A quantification of robustness

Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition

Volumn 2, Issue 3, 2013, Pages 137-148

  Walsh, Matthew M ^a   Einstein, Evan H ^b   Gluck, Kevin A ^a  

^a AIR FORCE RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

^b VASSAR COLLEGE   (United States)

Author keywords

Cognitive systems; Decision making; Quantification; Robustness

Indexed keywords

EID: 84883814781     PISSN: 22113681     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jarmac.2013.07.002     Document Type: Article

References (73)

1. ACT, Inc. Developing achievement levels on the 2005 National Assessment of Educational Progress in Grade Twelve Mathematics: Process report 2005, Author, Iowa City, IA.
2. Ayton P., Onkal D., McReynolds L. Effects of ignorance and information on judgments and decisions. Judgment and Decision Making 2011, 6:381-391.
3. Bates D.G., Cosentino C. Validation and invalidation of systems biology models using robustness analysis. IET Systems Biology 2011, 5:229-244.
4. Bitmore K. Rational decisions 2009, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
5. Borrell B. What is a bird strike? How can we keep planes safe from them in the future?. Scientific American 2009, Retrieved from http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=what-is-a-bird-strike.
6. Brighton H., Gigerenzer G. Towards competitive instead of biased testing of heuristics: A reply to Hilbig and Richter (2011). Topics in Cognitive Science 2011, 3:197-205.
7. Brunswik E. Representative design and probabilistic theory in functional psychology. Psychological Review 1955, 62:193-217.
8. Structural robustness design for practising engineers. COST Action TU0601 2011, T.D.G. Canisius (Ed.).
9. Czerlinski J., Gigerenzer G., Goldstein D.G. How good are simple heuristics?. Simple heuristics that make us smart 1999, 97-118. ABC Research Group, Oxford University Press, New York, NY. G. Gigerenzer, P.M. Todd (Eds.).
10. Dawes R.M. The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making. American Psychologist 1979, 34:571-582.
11. Dhami M.K. Psychological models of professional decision making. Psychological Science 2003, 14:175-180.
12. Dueck G. New optimization heuristics: The great deluge algorithm and the record-to-record travel. Journal of Computational Physics 1993, 104:86-92.
13. Eaton N.R., Krueger R.F., South S.C., Simms L.J., Clark L.A. Contrasting prototypes and dimensions in the classification of personality pathology: Evidence that dimensions, but not prototypes, are robust. Psychological Medicine 2011, 41:1151-1163.
14. Erceg-Hurn D.M., Mirosevich V.M. Modern robust statistical methods: An easy way to maximize the accuracy and power of your research. American Psychologist 2008, 63:591-601.
15. Fischer J.E., Steiner F., Zucol F., Berger C., Martignon L., Bossart W., Altwegg M., Nadal D. Use of simple heuristics to target macrolide prescription in children with community-acquired pneumonia. Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine 2002, 156:1005-1008.
16. Fraher A.L. Hero-making as a defense against the anxiety of responsibility and risk: A case study of US Airways Flight 1549. Organisational and Social Dynamics 2011, 11:59-78.
17. Garcia-Retamero R., Dhami M.K. Take-the-best in expert-novice decision strategies for residential burglary. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 2009, 16:163-169.
18. Gigerenzer G. Why heuristics work. Perspectives on Psychological Science 2008, 3:20-29.
19. Gigerenzer G., Brighton H. Homo heuristics: Why biased minds make better inferences. Topics in Cognitive Science 2009, 1:107-143.
20. Gigerenzer G., Gaissmaier W. Heuristic decision making. Annual Review of Psychology 2011, 62:451-482.
21. Gigerenzer G., Goldstein D.G. Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality. Psychological Review 1996, 103:650-669.
22. Gigerenzer G., Goldstein D.G. The recognition heuristic: A decade of research. Judgment and Decision Making 2011, 6:100-121.
23. Heuristics: The foundations of adaptive behavior 2011, Oxford University Press, New York, NY. G. Gigerenzer, R. Hertwig, T. Pachur (Eds.).
24. Glasgow R.E., Estabrooks P.A., Marcus A.C., Smith T.L., Gaglio B., Levinson A.H., Tong S. Evaluating initial reach and robustness of a practical randomized trial of smoking reduction. Health Psychology 2008, 27:780-788.
25. Gluck K.A., McNamara J.M., Brighton H., Dayan P., Kareev Y., Krause J., Wimsatt W.C. Robustness in a variable environment. Evolution and the mechanisms of decision making 2012, Strüngmann forum report, vol. 11, J. Lupp, series ed.. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
26. Goldstein D.G., Gigerenzer G. The recognition heuristic: How ignorance makes us smart. Simple heuristics that make us smart 1999, 37-58. ABC Research Group, Oxford University Press, London. G. Gigerenzer, P.M. Todd (Eds.).
27. Goldstein D.G., Gigerenzer G. Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic. Psychological Review 2002, 109:75-90.
28. Green L., Mehr D.R. What alters physicians' decisions to admit to the coronary care unit?. Journal of Family Practice 1997, 45:219-226.
29. Gunzelmann G., Gluck K.A. An integrative approach to understanding and predicting the consequences of fatigue on cognitive performance. Cognitive Technology 2009, 14:14-25.
30. Hafner M., Koeppl H., Hasler M., Wagner A. 'Glocal' robustness analysis and model discrimination for circadian oscillators. PLoS Computational Biology 2009, 5:1-10.
31. Hilbig B.E., Erdfelder E., Pohl R.F. Fluent, fast, and frugal? A formal model evaluation of the interplay between memory, fluency, and comparative judgments. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition 2011, 37:827-839.
32. Hilbig B.E., Erdfelder E., Pohl R.F. A matter of time: Antecedents of one-reason decision making based on recognition. Acta Psychologica 2012, 141:9-16.
33. Hoyer W.D., Brown S.P. Effects of brand awareness on choice for a common, repeat-purchase product. Journal of Consumer Research 1990, 17:141-148.
34. Huaco D.R., Bowders J.J., Loehr J.E. Method to develop target levels of reliability for design using LRFD. Transportation Research Board 91st annual meeting 2012, (no. 12-4327).
35. Jagacinski R.J., Flach J.M. Control theory for humans: Quantitative approaches to modeling performance 2003, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, NJ.
36. Katsikopoulos K.V., Schooler L.J., Hertwig R. The robust beauty of ordinary information. Psychological Review 2010, 117:1259-1266.
37. Kitano H. Biological robustness. Nature Reviews Genetics 2004, 5:826-837.
38. Koedinger K.R., Corbett A.T., Perfetti C. The knowledge-learning-instruction (KLI) framework: Bridging the science-practice chasm to enhance robust student learning. Cognitive Science 2011, 36:757-798.
39. Larhlimi A., Blachon S., Selbig J., Nikoloski Z. Robustness of metabolic networks: A review of existing definitions. Biosystems 2011, 106:1-8.
40. The oxford handbook of cognitive engineering 2013, Oxford University Press, New York, NY. J.D. Lee, A. Kirlik (Eds.).
41. Lempert R., Nakicenovic N., Sarewitz D., Schlesinger M. Characterizing climate-change uncertainties for decision-makers. Climatic Change 2004, 65:1-9.
42. Luan S., Schooler L.J., Gigerenzer G. A signal-detection analysis of fast-and-frugal trees. Psychological Review 2011, 118:316-338.
43. Marewski J.N., Gigerenzer G. Heuristic decision making in medicine. Dialogues in Clinical Neuroscience 2012, 14:77-89.
44. Marewski J.N., Olsson H. Beyond the null ritual: Formal modeling of psychological processes. Journal of Psychology 2009, 217:49-60.
45. Marewski J.N., Schooler L.J. Cognitive niches: An ecological model of strategy selection. Psychological Review 2011, 118:393-437.
46. Martignon L., Katsikopoulos K.V., Woike J.K. Categorization with limited resources: A family of simple heuristics. Journal of Mathematical Psychology 2008, 52:352-361.
47. McKay M.D., Beckman R.J., Conover W.J. A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code. Technometrics 1979, 21:239-245.
48. Newell B.R., Shanks D.R. On the role of recognition in decision making. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition 2004, 30:923-935.
49. Oakley J.E., O'Hagan A. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: A Bayesian approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B 2004, 66:751-769.
50. Pachur T., Marinello G. Expert intuitions: How to model the decision strategies of airport customs officers?. Acta Psychologica 2013, 144:97-103.
51. Pachur T. Recognition-based inference: When is less more in the real world?. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 2010, 17:589-598.
52. Pachur T., Todd P.M., Gigerenzer G., Schooler L.J., Goldstein D.G. The recognition heuristic: A review of theory and tests. Frontiers in Psychology 2011, 2:1-14.
53. Reinman G., Ayer T., Davan T., Devore M., Finley S., Glanovsky J., Yudichak D. Design for variation. Quality Engineering 2012, 24:317-345.
54. Rieskamp J., Otto P.E. SSL: A theory of how people learn to select strategies. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 2006, 135:207-236.
55. Rosenhead J., Elton M., Gupta S.K. Robustness and optimality as criteria for strategic decisions. Operational Research Quarterly 1972, 23:413-431.
56. Savage L.J. The foundations of statistics 1972, Dover Publications, New York, NY.
57. Schwartz B., Ben-Haim Y., Dacso C. What makes a good decision? Robust satisficing as a normative standard of rational decision making. Journal for the Theory of Social Behavior 2010, 41:209-227.
58. Simon H.A. A behavioral model of rational choice. Quarterly Journal of Economics 1955, 69:99-118.
59. Starossek U., Haberland M. Robustness of structures. International Journal of Lifecycle Performance Engineering 2012, 1:3-21.
60. Staszewski J.J. Spatial thinking and the design of landmine detection training. Applied spatial cognition: From research to cognitive technology 2006, 231-265. Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, NJ. G.A. Allen (Ed.).
61. Swets J.A., Dawes R.M., Monahan J. Psychological science can improve diagnostic decisions. Psychological Science in the Public Interest 2000, 1:1-26.
62. Taatgen N.A., Huss D., Dickison D., Anderson J.R. The acquisition of robust and flexible cognitive skills. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 2008, 137:548-565.
63. Todorov A., Olson I.R. Robust learning of affective trait associations with faces when the hippocampus is damaged, but not when the amygdala and temporal pole are damaged. Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience 2008, 3:195-203.
64. Tomlinson T., Marewski J.N., Dougherty M. Four challenges for cognitive research on the recognition heuristic and a call for a research strategy shift. Judgment and Decision Making 2011, 6:89-99.
65. US Army Military specification: Detecting set, metallic mine, portable. Operational Requirements Document MIL-D-0023359G (ME) 1990, 4-6.
66. Van de Werf F., Bax J., Betriu A., Blomstrom-Lundqvist C., Crea F., Falk V., Weis M. Management of acute myocardial infarction in patients presenting with ST-segment elevation. European Heart Journal 2008, 29:2909-2945.
67. Wagner A. Robustness and evolvability in living systems 2005, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
68. Weinstein M.C., Fineberg H.V. Clinical decision analysis 1980, WB Saunders, Philadelphia, PA.
69. Wilcox R.R. The goals and strategies of robust methods. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology 1998, 51:1-39.
70. Wixted J.T., Mickes L. The field of eyewitness memory should abandon probative value and embrace receiver operating characteristic analysis. Perspectives on Psychological Science 2012, 7:275-278.
71. Wynn K. Findings of addition and subtraction in infants are robust and consistent: Reply to Wakeley, Rivera, and Langer. Child Development 2000, 71:1535-1536.
72. Yonelinas A.P. The nature of recollection and familiarity: A review of 30 years of research. Journal of Memory and Language 2002, 46:441-517.
73. Zhou K.J., Doyle J.C. Essentials of robust control 1997, Prentice-Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.