메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 39, Issue 12, 2012, Pages 2225-2239

Parameter and uncertainty estimation for process-oriented population and distribution models: Data, statistics and the niche

Author keywords

Bayesian inference; Demography; Dispersal; Dynamic models; Dynamic range models; Establishment; Global change; Niche models; Species distribution models

Indexed keywords

ABUNDANCE; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; CLIMATE CHANGE; DATA SET; DEMOGRAPHY; DISPERSAL; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; ECOLOGICAL THEORY; GLOBAL CHANGE; MARKOV CHAIN; NICHE; PARAMETERIZATION; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; POPULATION MODELING; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84869878631     PISSN: 03050270     EISSN: 13652699     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2012.02772.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (37)

References (71)
  • 1
    • 77955616890 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Herbarium records identify the role of long-distance spread in the spatial distribution of alien plants in New Zealand
    • Aikio, S., Duncan, R.P. & Hulme, P.E. (2010) Herbarium records identify the role of long-distance spread in the spatial distribution of alien plants in New Zealand. Journal of Biogeography, 37, 1740-1751.
    • (2010) Journal of Biogeography , vol.37 , pp. 1740-1751
    • Aikio, S.1    Duncan, R.P.2    Hulme, P.E.3
  • 5
    • 77955242672 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian image restoration models for combining expert knowledge on recording activity with species distribution data
    • Bierman, S., Butler, A., Marion, G. & Kühn, I. (2010) Bayesian image restoration models for combining expert knowledge on recording activity with species distribution data. Ecography, 33, 451-460.
    • (2010) Ecography , vol.33 , pp. 451-460
    • Bierman, S.1    Butler, A.2    Marion, G.3    Kühn, I.4
  • 7
    • 84866751465 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accounting for uncertainty in colonisation times: a novel approach to modelling the spatio-temporal dynamics of alien invasions using distribution data
    • doi:10.1111/j.1600-0587.2011.07190.x.
    • Catterall, S., Cook, A.R., Marion, G., Butler, A. & Hulme, P.E. (2012) Accounting for uncertainty in colonisation times: a novel approach to modelling the spatio-temporal dynamics of alien invasions using distribution data. Ecography, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0587.2011.07190.x.
    • (2012) Ecography
    • Catterall, S.1    Cook, A.R.2    Marion, G.3    Butler, A.4    Hulme, P.E.5
  • 10
    • 0035020799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Invasion by extremes: population spread with variation in dispersal and reproduction
    • Clark, J.S., Lewis, M.A. & Horvath, L. (2001) Invasion by extremes: population spread with variation in dispersal and reproduction. The American Naturalist, 157, 537-554.
    • (2001) The American Naturalist , vol.157 , pp. 537-554
    • Clark, J.S.1    Lewis, M.A.2    Horvath, L.3
  • 11
    • 0033780596 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the spatial distribution of non-indigenous riparian weeds: issues of spatial scale and extent
    • Collingham, Y.C., Wadsworth, R.A., Huntely, B. & Hulme, P.E. (2000) Predicting the spatial distribution of non-indigenous riparian weeds: issues of spatial scale and extent. Journal of Applied Ecology, 37(Suppl. 1), 13-27.
    • (2000) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.37 , Issue.SUPPL. 1 , pp. 13-27
    • Collingham, Y.C.1    Wadsworth, R.A.2    Huntely, B.3    Hulme, P.E.4
  • 12
    • 34547661921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference for the spatio-temporal invasion of alien species
    • Cook, A., Marion, G., Butler, A. & Gibson, G. (2007) Bayesian inference for the spatio-temporal invasion of alien species. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 69, 2005-2025.
    • (2007) Bulletin of Mathematical Biology , vol.69 , pp. 2005-2025
    • Cook, A.1    Marion, G.2    Butler, A.3    Gibson, G.4
  • 16
    • 77953149553 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Beyond scarcity: citizen science programmes as useful tools for conservation biogeography
    • Devictor, V., Whittaker, R.J. & Beltrame, C. (2010) Beyond scarcity: citizen science programmes as useful tools for conservation biogeography. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 354-362.
    • (2010) Diversity and Distributions , vol.16 , pp. 354-362
    • Devictor, V.1    Whittaker, R.J.2    Beltrame, C.3
  • 18
    • 73949141293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time
    • Elith, J. & Leathwick, J.R. (2009) Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 40, 677-697.
    • (2009) Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics , vol.40 , pp. 677-697
    • Elith, J.1    Leathwick, J.R.2
  • 20
    • 63849327366 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • MigClim: predicting plant distribution and dispersal in a changing climate
    • Engler, R. & Guisan, A. (2009) MigClim: predicting plant distribution and dispersal in a changing climate. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 590-601.
    • (2009) Diversity and Distributions , vol.15 , pp. 590-601
    • Engler, R.1    Guisan, A.2
  • 21
    • 0034361250 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Correcting for regression dilution bias: comparison of methods for a single predictor variable
    • Frost, C. & Thompson, S.G. (2000) Correcting for regression dilution bias: comparison of methods for a single predictor variable. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 163, 173-189.
    • (2000) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A , vol.163 , pp. 173-189
    • Frost, C.1    Thompson, S.G.2
  • 23
    • 0039377949 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for fitting spatiotemporal stochastic models in plant epidemiology
    • Gibson, G.J. (1997) Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for fitting spatiotemporal stochastic models in plant epidemiology. Applied Statistics, 46, 215-233.
    • (1997) Applied Statistics , vol.46 , pp. 215-233
    • Gibson, G.J.1
  • 25
    • 24344493920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models
    • Guisan, A. & Thuiller, W. (2005) Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecology Letters, 8, 993-1009.
    • (2005) Ecology Letters , vol.8 , pp. 993-1009
    • Guisan, A.1    Thuiller, W.2
  • 26
    • 0034610199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology
    • Guisan, A. & Zimmermann, N.E. (2000) Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecological Modelling, 135, 147-186.
    • (2000) Ecological Modelling , vol.135 , pp. 147-186
    • Guisan, A.1    Zimmermann, N.E.2
  • 27
    • 0037202446 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: setting the scene
    • Guisan, A., Edwards, T.C. & Hastie, T. (2002) Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: setting the scene. Ecological Modelling, 157, 89-100.
    • (2002) Ecological Modelling , vol.157 , pp. 89-100
    • Guisan, A.1    Edwards, T.C.2    Hastie, T.3
  • 28
    • 79960410421 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical inference for stochastic simulation models - theory and application
    • Hartig, F., Calabrese, J.M., Reineking, B., Wiegand, T. & Huth, A. (2011) Statistical inference for stochastic simulation models - theory and application. Ecology Letters, 14, 816-827.
    • (2011) Ecology Letters , vol.14 , pp. 816-827
    • Hartig, F.1    Calabrese, J.M.2    Reineking, B.3    Wiegand, T.4    Huth, A.5
  • 33
    • 14544271909 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inference in disease transmission experiments by using stochastic epidemic models
    • Höhle, M., Jørgensen, E. & O'Neill, P.D. (2005) Inference in disease transmission experiments by using stochastic epidemic models. Applied Statistics, 54, 349-366.
    • (2005) Applied Statistics , vol.54 , pp. 349-366
    • Höhle, M.1    Jørgensen, E.2    O'Neill, P.D.3
  • 34
    • 34547692612 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical spatiotemporal matrix models for characterizing invasions
    • Hooten, M.B., Wikle, C.K., Dorazio, R.M. & Royle, J.A. (2007) Hierarchical spatiotemporal matrix models for characterizing invasions. Biometrics, 63, 558-567.
    • (2007) Biometrics , vol.63 , pp. 558-567
    • Hooten, M.B.1    Wikle, C.K.2    Dorazio, R.M.3    Royle, J.A.4
  • 35
    • 58149394368 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relative roles of life-form, land use and climate in recent dynamics of alien plant distributions in the British Isles
    • Hulme, P.E. (2009) Relative roles of life-form, land use and climate in recent dynamics of alien plant distributions in the British Isles. Weed Research, 49, 19-28.
    • (2009) Weed Research , vol.49 , pp. 19-28
    • Hulme, P.E.1
  • 36
    • 84860412844 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consistent flowering response to global warming by European plants introduced into North America
    • Hulme, P.E. (2011) Consistent flowering response to global warming by European plants introduced into North America. Functional Ecology, 25, 1189-1196.
    • (2011) Functional Ecology , vol.25 , pp. 1189-1196
    • Hulme, P.E.1
  • 38
    • 77951024118 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the rate of range expansion of an invasive alien bumblebee (Bombus terrestris) using a stochastic spatio-temporal model
    • Kadoya, T. & Washitani, I. (2010) Predicting the rate of range expansion of an invasive alien bumblebee (Bombus terrestris) using a stochastic spatio-temporal model. Biological Conservation, 143, 8-1235.
    • (2010) Biological Conservation , vol.143 , pp. 8-1235
    • Kadoya, T.1    Washitani, I.2
  • 40
    • 33645100079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating species richness: calibrating a large avian monitoring programme
    • Kéry, M. & Schmid, H. (2006) Estimating species richness: calibrating a large avian monitoring programme. Journal of Applied Ecology, 43, 101-110.
    • (2006) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.43 , pp. 101-110
    • Kéry, M.1    Schmid, H.2
  • 42
    • 78751613377 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Matrix heterogeneity affects population size of the harvest mice: Bayesian estimation of matrix resistance and model validation
    • Kuroe, M., Yamaguchi N ., Kadoya.T. & Miyashita, T. (2011) Matrix heterogeneity affects population size of the harvest mice: Bayesian estimation of matrix resistance and model validation. Oikos, 120, 271-279.
    • (2011) Oikos , vol.120 , pp. 271-279
    • Kuroe, M.1    Yamaguchi N, K.2    Miyashita, T.3
  • 48
    • 3042760102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological niches as stable distributional constraints on mammal species, with implications for Pleistocene extinctions and climate change projections for biodiversity
    • Martínez-Meyer, E., Peterson, A.T. & Hargrove, W.W. (2004) Ecological niches as stable distributional constraints on mammal species, with implications for Pleistocene extinctions and climate change projections for biodiversity. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 13, 305-314.
    • (2004) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.13 , pp. 305-314
    • Martínez-Meyer, E.1    Peterson, A.T.2    Hargrove, W.W.3
  • 50
    • 84867663184 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fine scale environmental variation in species distribution models: regression dilution, latent variables and neighbourly advice
    • McInerny, G.J. & Purves, D.W. (2011) Fine scale environmental variation in species distribution models: regression dilution, latent variables and neighbourly advice. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2, 248-257.
    • (2011) Methods in Ecology and Evolution , vol.2 , pp. 248-257
    • McInerny, G.J.1    Purves, D.W.2
  • 51
    • 0005205167 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian analysis of metapopulation data
    • O'Hara, R.B., Arjas, E., Toivonen, H. & Hanski, I. (2002) Bayesian analysis of metapopulation data. Ecology, 83, 2408-2415.
    • (2002) Ecology , vol.83 , pp. 2408-2415
    • O'Hara, R.B.1    Arjas, E.2    Toivonen, H.3    Hanski, I.4
  • 52
    • 77956310393 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Introduction and snapshot review: relating infectious disease transmission models to data
    • O'Neill, P.D. (2010) Introduction and snapshot review: relating infectious disease transmission models to data. Statistics in Medicine, 29, 2069-2077.
    • (2010) Statistics in Medicine , vol.29 , pp. 2069-2077
    • O'Neill, P.D.1
  • 53
    • 84855561216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics
    • Pagel, J. & Schurr, F.M. (2012) Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21, 293-304.
    • (2012) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.21 , pp. 293-304
    • Pagel, J.1    Schurr, F.M.2
  • 54
    • 79952717076 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 1999-2003 summary of the North American Breeding Bird Survey
    • Pardieck, K.L. & Sauer, J.R. (2007) The 1999-2003 summary of the North American Breeding Bird Survey. Bird Populations, 8, 28-45.
    • (2007) Bird Populations , vol.8 , pp. 28-45
    • Pardieck, K.L.1    Sauer, J.R.2
  • 55
    • 0141856572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful?
    • Pearson, R.G. & Dawson, T.P. (2003) Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful? Global Ecology and Biogeography, 12, 361-371.
    • (2003) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.12 , pp. 361-371
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2
  • 58
    • 65649117400 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The demography of range boundaries versus range cores in eastern US tree species
    • Purves, D.W. (2009) The demography of range boundaries versus range cores in eastern US tree species. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 276, 1477-1484.
    • (2009) Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences , vol.276 , pp. 1477-1484
    • Purves, D.W.1
  • 64
    • 33646253574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Niche-based modelling as a tool for predicting the risk of alien plant invasions at a global scale
    • Thuiller, W., Richardson, D.M., Pyšek, P., Midgley, G.F., Hughes, G.O. & Rouget, M. (2005) Niche-based modelling as a tool for predicting the risk of alien plant invasions at a global scale. Global Change Biology, 11, 2234-2250.
    • (2005) Global Change Biology , vol.11 , pp. 2234-2250
    • Thuiller, W.1    Richardson, D.M.2    Pyšek, P.3    Midgley, G.F.4    Hughes, G.O.5    Rouget, M.6
  • 66
    • 70350453943 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Invasive species distribution modelling (iSDM): are absence data and dispersal constraints needed to predict actual distributions?
    • Václavík, T. & Meentemeyer, R.K. (2009) Invasive species distribution modelling (iSDM): are absence data and dispersal constraints needed to predict actual distributions? Ecological Modelling, 220, 3248-3258.
    • (2009) Ecological Modelling , vol.220 , pp. 3248-3258
    • Václavík, T.1    Meentemeyer, R.K.2
  • 68
    • 0041985115 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical Bayesian methods for predicting the spread of ecological processes
    • Wikle, C.K. (2003) Hierarchical Bayesian methods for predicting the spread of ecological processes. Ecology, 84, 1382-1394.
    • (2003) Ecology , vol.84 , pp. 1382-1394
    • Wikle, C.K.1
  • 69
    • 80051901927 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The probabilistic niche model reveals substantial variation in the niche structure of empirical food webs
    • Williams, R.J. & Purves, D.W. (2011) The probabilistic niche model reveals substantial variation in the niche structure of empirical food webs. Ecology, 92, 1849-1857.
    • (2011) Ecology , vol.92 , pp. 1849-1857
    • Williams, R.J.1    Purves, D.W.2
  • 70
    • 70349694123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Static species distribution models in dynamically changing systems: how good can predictions really be?
    • Zurell, D., Jeltsch, F., Dormann, C.F. & Schröder, B. (2009) Static species distribution models in dynamically changing systems: how good can predictions really be? Ecography, 32, 733-744.
    • (2009) Ecography , vol.32 , pp. 733-744
    • Zurell, D.1    Jeltsch, F.2    Dormann, C.F.3    Schröder, B.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.