Predicting drift on politically insulated institutions: A study of ideological drift on the United States Supreme Court

Journal of Politics

Volumn 74, Issue 2, 2012, Pages 487-500

  Owens, Ryan J ^a   Wedeking, Justin ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MADISON   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84861072993     PISSN: 00223816     EISSN: 14682508     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0022381611001691     Document Type: Article

References (49)

1. Altemeyer, Robert A. 1998. "The Other Authoritarian Personality". In Advances in Experimental Social Psychology (Vol. 30), ed. M. P. Zanna. New York: Academic Press, 47-91.
2. Bailey, Michael A. 2007. "Comparable Preference Estimates Across Time and Institutions for the Court, Congress, and Presidency." American Journal of Political Science 51 (3): 433-48.
3. Cameron, Charles M., and Jee-Kwang Park. 2009. "How Will They Vote? Predicting the Future Behavior of Supreme Court Nominees, 1937-2006." Journal of Empirical Legal Studies 6 (3): 485-511.
4. Casillas, Christopher J., Peter K. Enns, and Patrick C. Wohlfarth. 2011. "How Public Opinion Constrains the Supreme Court." American Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 74-88.
5. Cialdini, Robert B., Melanie R. Trust, and Jason T. Newsom. 1995. "Preference for Consistency: The Development of a Valid Measure and the Discovery of Surprising Behavioral Implications." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 69 (2): 318-28.
6. Clark, Tom S. 2009. "The Separation of Powers, Court-Curbing and Judicial Legitimacy." American Journal of Political Science 53 (4): 971-89.
7. Collins, Jr., Paul M., and Wendy L. Martinek. 2011. "Judges And Friends: The Influence Of Amici Curiae On U.S. Court Of Appeals Judges." Prepared for delivery at the 69th annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association.
8. Ellis, Christopher, and James A. Stimson. 2009. "Symbolic Ideology in the American Electorate." Electoral Studies 28 (3): 388-402.
9. Epstein, Lee, Andrew D. Martin, Kevin M. Quinn, and Jeffrey A. Segal. 2007. "Ideological Drift Among Supreme Court Justices: Who, When, and How Important?" Northwestern University Law Review 101 (4): 1483-1542.
10. Epstein, Lee, and Jeffrey A. Segal. 2005. Advice and Consent: The Politics of Judicial Appointments. New York: Oxford University Press.
11. Festinger, Leon. 1957. A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press. First published by Row, Peterson, and Company.
12. Gadarian, Shana Kushner. 2010. "Foreign Policy at the Ballot Box: How Citizens Use Foreign Policy to Judge and Choose Candidates." Journal of Politics 72 (4): 1046-62.
13. Giles, Michael W., Bethany Blackstone, and Richard L. Vining. 2008. "The Supreme Court in American Democracy: Unreavling the Linkages Between Public Opinion and Judicial Decision Making." Journal of Politics 70 (2): 293-306.
14. Greenberg, Jeff, and Eva Jonas. 2003. "Psychological Motives and Politcal Orientation-The Left, the Right, and the Rigid: Comment on Jost et al. (2003)." Psychological Bulletin 129 (3): 376-82.
15. Greenhouse, Linda. 2007. "Justices Who Change: A Response to Epstein et al." Northwestern University Law Review 101 (4): 132-36.
16. Gruenfeld, Deborah H. 1995. "Status, Ideology, and Integrative Complexity on the U.S. Supreme Court: Rethinking the Politics of Political Decision Making." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 68 (1): 5-20.
17. Hill, Jeffrey S., and James E. Brazier. 1991. "Constraining Administrative Decisions: A Critical Examination of the Structure and Process Hypothesis." Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 7 (2): 373-400.
18. Jackson, Vicki C., and Mark Tushnet. 1999. Comparative Constitutional Law. New York: Foundation Press.
19. Jamal, Amaney, and Irfan Nooruddin. 2010. "The Democratic Utility of Trust: A Cross-National Analysis." Journal of Politics 72 (1): 45-59.
20. Jeong, Gyung-Ho, Gary Miller, and Andrew C. Sobel. 2009. "Political Compromise and Bureaucratic Structure: The Political Origins of the Federal Reserve System." Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 25 (2): 442-98.
21. Johnson, Timothy R., and Jason Roberts. 2005. "Pivotal Politics, Presidential Capital, and Supreme Court Nominations." Congress and the Presidency 32 (1): 31-48.
22. Jost, John T., Jack Glaser, Arie W. Kruglanski, and Frank J. Sulloway. 2003. "Political Conservatism as Motivated Social Cognition." Psychological Bulletin 129 (3): 339-75. (Pubitemid 37206643)
23. Martin, Andrew D., and Kevin M. Quinn. 2002. "Dynamic Ideal Point Estimation via Markov Chain Monte Carlo for the U.S. Supreme Court, 1953-1999." Political Analysis 10 (2): 134-53.
24. Martin, Matthew M., and Carolyn M. Anderson. 1998. "The Cognitive Flexibility Scale: Three Validity Studies." Communication Reports 11 (1): 1-9.
25. McCubbins, Mathew D., and Thomas Schwartz. 1984. "Congressional Oversight Overlooked: Police Patrols versus Fire Alarms." American Journal of Political Science 28 (1): 165-79.
26. McGuire, Kevin T., and James A. Stimson. 2004. "The Least Dangerous Branch Revisited: New Evidence on Supreme Court Responsiveness to Public Preferences." Journal of Politics 66 (4): 1018-35. (Pubitemid 39525966)
27. Moe, Terry M. 1987. "An Assessment of the Positive Theory of Congressional Dominance." Legislative Studies Quarterly 12 (4): 475-520.
28. Moraski, Bryon J., and Charles R. Shipan. 1999. "The Politics of Supreme Court Nominations: A Theory of Neoinstitutional Constraints and Choices." American Journal of Political Science 43 (4): 1069-95.
29. Moyer, Laura. Forthcoming. "The Role of Case Complexity in Judicial Decision Making." Law and Policy.
30. Nemacheck, Christine. 2007. Strategeic Selection: President Nomination of Supreme Court Justices from Herbert Hoover through George W. Bush. Charlottesville: University of Virginia Press.
31. Newman, Matthew L, James W Pennebaker, Diane S. Berry, and Jane M. Richards. 2003. "Lying Words: Predictin Deception From Linguistic Styles." Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 29 (5): 665-75.
32. Oreg, Shaul. 2003. "Resistance to Change: Developing an Individual Differences Measure." Journal of Applied Psychology 88 (4): 680-93. (Pubitemid 37035430)
33. Oreg, Shaul. 2006. "Personality, Context, and Resistance to Organizational Change." European Journal of Work and Organizational Psychology 15 (1): 73-101. (Pubitemid 43994639)
34. Owens, Ryan. 2010. "The Separation of Powers and Supreme Court Agenda Setting." American Journal of Political Science 54 (2): 412-27.
35. Pennebaker, James W., and Laura A. King. 1999. "Linguistic Styles: Language Use As An Individual Difference." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 77 (6): 1296-1312.
36. Sala, Brian R., and James F. Spriggs, II. 2004. "Designing Tests of the Supreme Court and the Separation of Powers." Political Research Quarterly 57 (2): 197-208. (Pubitemid 39026192)
37. Scott, William A. 1962. "Cognitive Complexity and Cognitive Flexibility." Sociometry 25 (4): 405-14.
38. Sidanius, Jim. 1978. "Cognitive Functioning and Socio-Political Ideology: An Exploratory Study." Perceptual and Motor Skills 46 (2): 515-30. (Pubitemid 8331875)
39. Sidanius, Jim. 1985. "Cognitive functioning and socio-political ideology revisited." Political Psychology 6 (4): 637-61.
40. Snyder, Susan K., and Barry R. Weingast. 2000. "The American System of Shared Powers: The President, Congress, and the NLRB." Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 16 (2): 269-305.
41. Stimson, James A. 1999. Public Opinion in America: Moods, Cycles, and Swings. 2nd, ed. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
42. Stirman, Shannon W., and James W. Pennebaker. 2001. "Word Use in the Poetry of Suicidal and Non-Suicidal Poets." Psychosomatic Medicine 63 (4): 517-22. (Pubitemid 32695131)
43. Tausczik, Yla R., and James W. Pennebaker. 2010. "The Psychological Meaning of Words: LIWC and Computerized Text Analysis Methods." Journal of Language and Social Psychology 29 (1): 24-54.
44. Tetlock, Philip E. 1983. "Cognitive Style And Political Ideology." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology: Personality Processes and Individual Differences 45 (1): 118-126.
45. Tetlock, Philip E. 1984. "Cognitive Style and Political Belief Systems in the British House of Commons." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 46 (1): 365-75.
46. Tetlock, Philip E., Jane Bernzweig, and Jack L. Gallant. 1985. "Supreme Court Decision Making: Cognitive Style as a Predictor of Ideological Consistency of Voting." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 48 (5): 1227-39.
47. Van Hiel, Alain, and Ivan Mervielde. 2003. "The Measurement of Cognitive Complexity and Its Relationship with Political Extremism." Political Psychology 24 (4): 781-801. (Pubitemid 37528444)
48. Weingast, Barry, and Mark Moran. 1983. "Bureaucratic Discretion or Congressional Control? Regulatory Policymaking by the Federal Trade Commission." Journal of Political Economy 91 (5): 765-800.
49. Wood, B. Dan, and Richard W. Waterman. 1991. "The Dynamics of Political Control of the Bureaucracy." American Political Science Review 85 (3): 801-28.