Locally calibrated probabilistic temperature forecasting using geostatistical model averaging and local bayesian model averaging

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 139, Issue 8, 2011, Pages 2630-2649

  Kleiber, William ^a,b   Raftery, Adrian E ^a   Baars, Jeffrey ^a   Gneiting, Tilmann ^c   Mass, Clifford F ^a   Grimit, Eric ^d  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

^b NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF HEIDELBERG   (Germany)

^d 3Tier Environmental Forecast Group ^*  (United States)

Author keywords

Bayesian methods; Ensembles; In situ observations; Probability forecasts models distributions; Surface temperature

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN METHODS; ENSEMBLES; IN SITU OBSERVATIONS; PROBABILITY FORECASTS/MODELS/DISTRIBUTIONS; SURFACE TEMPERATURE;

EXPERIMENTS; FORECASTING;

BAYESIAN NETWORKS;

AIR TEMPERATURE; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; FORECASTING METHOD; GEOSTATISTICS; INTERPOLATION; NUMERICAL MODEL; PROBABILITY; SURFACE TEMPERATURE;

EID: 80052419057     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2010MWR3511.1     Document Type: Article

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