Who gets what in coalition governments? Predictors of portfolio allocation in parliamentary democracies

European Journal of Political Research

Volumn 50, Issue 4, 2011, Pages 441-478

  Bäck, Hanna ^a   Debus, Marc ^a   Dumont, Patrick ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MANNHEIM   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF LUXEMBOURG   (Luxembourg)

Author keywords

Coalition formation; Comparative Manifesto Project data; Policy saliency; Portfolio allocation; Western Europe

Indexed keywords

EID: 79955006051     PISSN: 03044130     EISSN: 14756765     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6765.2010.01980.x     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Ansolabehere, S. etal. (2005). Voting weights and formateur advantages in the formation of coalition governments. American Journal of Political Science 49: 550-563.
2. Bäck, H. (2003). Explaining coalitions: Evidence and lessons from studying coalition formation in Swedish local government. Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis.
3. Bäck, H. & Dumont, P. (2008). Making the first move: A two-stage analysis of the role of formateurs in parliamentary government formation. Public Choice 135: 353-373.
4. Bäck, H., Meier, H.E. & Persson, T. (2009). Party size and portfolio payoffs: A study of the mechanism underlying the proportionality relationship in coalition governments. Journal of Legislative Studies 15: 10-34.
5. Benoit, K., Laver, M. & Mikhaylov, S. (2009). Treating words as data with error: Uncertainty in text statements of policy positions. American Journal of Political Science 53: 495-513.
6. Brambor, T., Clark, W.R. & Golder, M. (2006). Understanding interaction models: Improving empirical analysis. Political Analysis 14: 63-82.
7. Browne, E.C. & Feste, K. (1975). Qualitative dimensions of coalition payoffs. American Behavioral Scientist 18: 530-556.
8. Browne, E.C. & Franklin, M.N. (1973). Aspects of coalition payoffs in European parliamentary democracies. American Political Science Review 67: 453-469.
9. Bräuninger, T. (2005). A partisan model of government expenditure. Public Choice 125: 409-429.
10. Bräuninger T. & Debus M. (2009) Legislative agenda-setting in parliamentary democracies. European Journal of Political Research 48: 804-839.
11. Budge, I. & Keman, H. (1990). Parties and democracy: Coalition formation and government functioning in twenty states. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
12. Budge, I. etal. (eds) (2001). Mapping policy preferences: Estimates for parties, electors and governments, 1945-1998. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
13. Carroll, R. & Cox, G.W. (2007). The logic of Gamson's Law: Pre-electoral coalitions and portfolio allocations. American Journal of Political Science 51: 300-313.
14. Conrad, C.R. & Golder, S.N. (2010). Measuring government duration and stability in Central Eastern European democracies. European Journal of Political Research 49: 119-150.
15. Cusack, T.R. (1997). Partisan politics and public spending. Public Choice 91: 375-395.
16. Cusack, T.R. (2001). Partisanship in the setting and coordination of fiscal and monetary policies. European Journal of Political Research 40: 93-115.
17. Debus, M. (2009). Analysing party politics in Germany with new approaches for estimating policy preferences of political actors. German Politics 18(3): 281-300.
18. De Winter, L. & Dumont, P. (2006). Parties into government: Still many puzzles. In R.S. Katz & W. Crotty (eds), Handbook of party politics. London: Sage.
19. Diermeier, D. & Merlo, A. (2004). An empirical investigation of coalitional bargaining procedures. Journal of Public Economics 88: 783-797.
20. Downs, A. (1957). An economic theory of democracy. New York: Harper.
21. Druckman, J.N., & Warwick, P.V. (2005). The missing piece: Measuring portfolio salience in Western European parliamentary democracies. European Journal of Political Research 44: 17-42.
22. Dumont, P. (1998). Keys for the Analysis of the Relation between Parties' Programmatic Preferences and Portfolio Allocation in Government Formation. Paper presented at the Joint Sessions of Workshops of the European Consortium for Political Research, Warwick, 23-28 March.
23. Dumont, P. & Bäck, H. (2006). Why so few and why so late? Green parties and the question of governmental participation. European Journal of Political Research 45: 35-67.
24. Franchino, F. (2009). Experience and the distribution of portfolio payoffs in the European Commission. European Journal of Political Research 48: 1-30.
25. Gamson, W. (1961). A theory of coalition formation. American Sociological Review 26: 373-382.
26. Greene, W.H. (2000). Econometric analysis (4th edn). Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice-Hall.
27. Hart, R.A. & Clark, D.H. (1999). Does size matter? Exploring the small sample properties of maximum likelihood estimation. St Louis, MO: Society for Political Methodology.
28. Hox, J. (2002). Multilevel analysis: Techniques and applications. Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
29. Klingemann, H.-D., Hofferbert, R. & Budge, I. (eds) (1994). Parties, policies and democracy. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
30. Klingemann, H.-D. etal. (eds) (2006). Mapping policy preferences II: Estimates for parties, electors and governments in Eastern Europe, European Union and OECD, 1990-2003. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
31. Laver, M. (2001). Position and salience in the policies of political actors. In Estimating the policy positions of political actors. London/New York: Routledge.
32. Laver, M. & Budge, I. (eds) (1992). Party policy and government coalitions. New York: St Martin's Press.
33. Laver, M. & Hunt, B.W. (1992). Policy and party competition. New York/London: Routledge.
34. Laver, M. & Schofield, N. (1990). Multiparty government: The politics of coalition in Europe. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.
35. Laver, M. & Shepsle, K.A. (1996). Making and breaking governments. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
36. Laver, M., Benoit, K. & Garry, J. (2003). Extracting policy positions from political texts using words as data. American Political Science Review 97: 311-331.
37. Mair, P. & Mudde, C. (1998). The party family and its study. Annual Review of Political Science 1: 211-229.
38. McFadden, D. (1973). Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior. In. P. Zarembka (ed.), Frontiers in econometrics. New York: Academic Press.
39. McFadden, D. (1974). The measurement of urban travel demand. Journal of Public Economics 3: 303-328.
40. Martin, L.W. & Stevenson, R.T. (2001). Government formation in parliamentary democracies. American Journal of Political Science 45(1): 33-50.
41. Martin L.W. & Vanberg G. (2005) Coalition policymaking and legislative review. American Political Science Review 99: 93-106.
42. Mikhaylov, S., Laver, M. & Benoit, K. (2008). Coder Reliability and Misclassification in Comparative Manifesto Project Codings. Paper presented at the 66th MPSA Annual National Conference, Palmer House Hilton Hotel and Towers, 3-6 April.
43. Müller, W.C. & Strøm, K. (eds) (2000). Coalition governments in Western Europe. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
44. Müller, W.C. & Strøm, K. (2008). Coalition agreements and cabinet governance. In K. Strøm, W.C. Müller & T. Bergman (eds), Cabinet governance: Bargaining and the cycle of democratic politics. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
45. Narud, H.M. & Valen, H. (2008). Coalition membership and electoral performance. In K. Strøm, W.C. Müller & T. Bergman (eds), Cabinet governance: Bargaining and the cycle of democratic politics. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
46. Pappi, F.U., Becker, A. & Herzog, A. (2005). Regierungsbildung in Mehrebenensystemen: Zur Erklärung der Koalitionsbildung in den deutschen Bundesländern. Politische Vierteljahresschrift 46: 432-458.
47. Pappi, F.U., Schmitt, R. & Linhart, E. (2008). Die Ministeriumsverteilung in den deutschen Landesregierungen seit dem Zweiten Weltkrieg. Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen 39: 269-288.
48. Slapin, J. & Proksch, S.-O. (2008). A scaling model for estimating time-series party positions from texts. American Journal of Political Science 52: 705-722.
49. Snijders, T.A.B. & Bosker, R.J. (1999). Multilevel analysis: An introduction to basic and advanced multilevel modeling. London: Sage.
50. Stefanski, L.A. & Cook, J.R. (1995). Simulation-extrapolation: The measurement error jackknife. Journal of the American Statistical Association 90: 1247-1256.
51. Strøm, K. (1990). Minority government and majority rule. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
52. Strøm, K., Müller, W.C. & Bergman, T. (eds) (2003). Delegation and accountability in parliamentary democracies. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
53. Strøm, K., Müller, W.C. & Bergman, T. (eds) (2008). Cabinet governance: Bargaining and the democratic life cycle in Western Europe. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
54. Thomson, R. (1999). The party mandate: Election pledges and government actions in the Netherlands, 1986-1998. Amsterdam: Thela Thesis.
55. Tsebelis, G. (2002). Veto players: How political institutions work. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
56. Warwick, P.V. (1996). Coalition government membership in West European parliamentary democracies. British Journal of Political Science 26: 471-499.
57. Warwick, P.V. & Druckman, J.N. (2006). The portfolio allocation paradox: An investigation into the nature of a very strong but puzzling relationship. European Journal of Political Research 45: 635-665.