A scaling model for estimating time-series party positions from Texts

American Journal of Political Science

Volumn 52, Issue 3, 2008, Pages 705-722

  Slapin, Jonathan B ^a   Proksch, Sven Oliver ^b  

^a TRINITY COLLEGE DUBLIN   (Ireland)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 47149095062     PISSN: 00925853     EISSN: 15405907     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2008.00338.x     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (49)

1. Baron, David P. 1991 A Spatial Bargaining Theory of Government Formation in Parliamentary Systems American Political Science Review 85 (1 137 64.
2. Bawn, Kathleen. 1999 Money and Majorities in the Federal Republic of Germany: Evidence for a Veto Players Model of Government Spending American Journal of Political Science 43 (3 707 36.
3. Benoit, Kenneth, and Michael Laver. 2006a Benchmarks for Text Analysis: A Response to Budge and Pennings Electoral Studies 26 (1 130 35.
4. Benoit, Kenneth, and Michael Laver. 2006b. Party Policy in Modern Democracies. London : Routledge.
5. Benoit, Kenneth, Michael Laver, and Slava Mikhaylov. 2007 Estimating Party Policy Positions with Uncertainty Based on Manifesto Codings Prepared for the 2007 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association.
6. Budge, Ian, Hans-Dieter Klingemann, Andrea Volkens, Judith Bara, and Eric Tanenbaum. 2001. Mapping Policy Preferences: Estimates for Parties, Electors, and Governments 1945-1998. Oxford : Oxford University Press.
7. Budge, Ian, and Paul Pennings. 2006 Do They Work? Validating Computerised Word Frequency Estimates Against Policy Series Electoral Studies 26 (1 121 29.
8. Budge, Ian, David Robertson, and Derek Hearl. 1987. Ideology, Strategy, and Party Change: Spatial Analyses of Post-War Election Programmes in 19 Democracies. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press.
9. Cameron, A. Colin, and Pravin K. Trivedi. 1998. Regression Analysis of Count Data. Cambridge University Press.
10. Castles, Francis G., and Peter Mair. 1984 Left-Right Political Scales: Some Expert Judgements European Journal of Political Research 12 (1 73 88.
11. Church, Kenneth W., and William A. Gale. 1995 Poisson Mixtures Natural Language Engineering 1 (2 163 90.
12. Crombez, Christophe. 1996 Minority Governments, Minimal Winning Coalitions and Surplus Majorities in Parliamentary Systems European Journal of Political Research 29 (1 1 29.
13. de Swaan, Abram. 1973. Coalition Theories and Cabinet Formation. Amsterdam : Elsevier.
14. Druckman, James N., Lanny W. Martin, and Michael F. Thies. 2005 Influence without Confidence: Upper Chambers and Government Formation Legislative Studies Quarterly 30 (4 529 48.
15. Druckman, James N., and Michael F. Thies. 2002 The Importance of Concurrence: The Impact of Bicameralism on Government Formation and Duration American Journal of Political Science 46 (4 760 71.
16. Eyheramendy, Susana, David Lewis, and David Madigan. 2003 On the Naive Bayes Model for Text Categorization Proceedings of the Ninth International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics.
17. Franzese, Robert J. 2002. Macroeconomic Policies of Developed Democracies. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press.
18. Gabel, Matthew J., and John D. Huber. 2000 Putting Parties in Their Place: Inferring Left-Right Ideological Positions from Party Manifestos Data American Journal of Political Science 44 (1 94 103.
19. Garrett, Geoffrey. 1998. Partisan Politics in the Global Economy. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press.
20. Hallerberg, Mark, and Scott Basinger. 1998 Internationalization and Changes in Tax Policy in OECD Countries: The Importance of Domestic Veto Players Comparative Political Studies 31 (3 321 52.
21. Holmes, D. I. 1985 The Analysis of Literary Style-A Review Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 148 (4 328 41.
22. Huber, John D., and Ronald Inglehart. 1995 Expert Interpretations of Party Space and Party Locations in 42 Societies Party Politics 1 (1 73 111.
23. Hug, Simon, and Tobias Schulz. 2007 Left-Right Positions of Political Parties in Switzerland Party Politics 13 (3 305 30.
24. Jansche, Martin. 2003 Parametric Models of Linguistic Count Data 41st Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, Sapporo, Japan, 288 95.
25. King, Gary. 1998. Unifying Political Methodology: The Likelihood Theory of Statistical Inference. Ann Arbor : University of Michigan Press.
26. Klingemann, Hans-Dieter. 1995 Party Positions and Voter Orientations In Citizens and the State, ed. Hans-Dieter Klingemann and Dieter Fuchs. Oxford : Oxford University Press, 183 205.
27. König, Thomas, Till Blume, and Bernd Luig. 2003 Policy Change without Government Change? German Gridlock After the 2002 Elections German Politics 12 (2 86 146.
28. Laver, Michael, ed. 2001. Estimating the Policy Positions of Political Actors. London : Routledge.
29. Laver, Michael. 2006 Legislatures and Parliaments in Comparative Context In Oxford Handbook of Political Economy, ed. Barry Weingast and Donald Wittman. Oxford : Oxford University Press, 121 40.
30. Laver, Michael, Kenneth Benoit, and John Garry. 2003 Extracting Policy Positions from Political Texts Using Words as Data American Political Science Review 97 (2 311 32.
31. Laver, Michael, and Ian Budge, eds. 1992. Party, Policy, and Government Coalitions. London : St. Martin's Press.
32. Laver, Michael, and W. Ben Hunt. 1992. Policy and Party Competition. New York : Routledge, Chapman and Hall.
33. Lewis, David D. 1998 Naive (Bayes) at Forty: The Independence Assumption in Information Retrieval Proceedings of the 10th European Conference on Machine Learning, 4 15.
34. Lewis, Jeffrey B., and Keith T. Poole. 2004 Measuring Bias and Uncertainty in Ideal Point Estimates via the Parametric Bootstrap Political Analysis 12 (2 105 27.
35. Lowe, Will. 2007 Yoshikoder: Multilingual Content Analysis Software in Java http://www.yoshikoder.org.
36. Martin, Lanny W., and Georg Vanberg. 2008 A Robust Transformation Procedure for Interpreting Political Text Political Analysis 16 (1 93 100.
37. McCallum, Andrew, and Kamal Nigam. 1998 A Comparison of Event Models for Naive Bayes Text Classification AAAI-98 Workshop on Learning for Text Categorization.
38. McGuire, Kevin T., and George Vanberg. 2005 Mapping the Policies of the U.S. Supreme Court: Data, Opinions, and Constitutional Law Prepared for delivery at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, DC.
39. McLachlan, Geoffrey J., and Thriyambakam Krishnan. 1997. The EM Algorithm and Extensions. New York : Wiley.
40. Monroe, Burt L., and Ko Maeda. 2004 Talk's Cheap: Text-Based Estimation of Rhetorical Ideal-Points 21st Annual Summer Meeting, Society for Political Methodology, Stanford University.
41. Mosteller, Frederick, and David L. Wallace. 1964. Applied Bayesian and Classical Inference: The Case of the Federalist Papers. New York : Springer Verlag.
42. Peng, Roger D., and Nicolas W. Hengartner. 2002 Quantitative Analysis of Literary Style The American Statistician 56 (3 175 85.
43. Poole, Keith, and Howard Rosenthal. 1985 A Spatial Model for Legislative Roll Call Analysis American Journal of Political Science 29 (2 357 84.
44. Proksch, Sven-Oliver, and Jonathan B. Slapin. 2006 Institutions and Coalition Formation: The German Election of 2005 West European Politics 29 (3 540 59.
45. Stevenson, Patrick. 2002. Language and German Disunity: A Sociolinguistic History of East and West in Germany, 1945-2000. Oxford : Oxford University Press.
46. Strom, Kaare. 1984 Minority Governments in Parliamentary Democracies Comparative Political Studies 17 (2 199 227.
47. Tsebelis, George. 2002. Veto Players: How Political Institutions Work. Princeton, NJ : Russell Sage/Princeton University Press.
48. Wallerstein, Michael. 1999 Wage-Setting Institutions and Pay Inequality in Advanced Industrialized Societies American Journal of Political Science 43 (3 649 80.
49. Warwick, Paul. 1992 Ideological Diversity and Government Survival in Western European Parliamentary Democracies Comparative Political Studies 25 (3 332 61.