Selection for increased body length in Subantarctic fur seals on Amsterdam Island

Journal of Evolutionary Biology

Volumn 24, Issue 3, 2011, Pages 607-616

  Authier, M ^a,b   Cam, E ^c   Guinet, C ^a  

^a CENTRE D ETUDES BIOLOGIQUES DE CHIZÉ   (France)

^b UNIVERSITÉ DE POITIERS   (France)

^c Laboratoire Evolution et Diversité Biologique   (France)

Author keywords

Bayesian; Pinnipeds; Quantitative genetics; Selection

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; BODY SIZE; BREEDING; DENSITY DEPENDENCE; FITNESS; PINNIPED; SEXUAL SELECTION; SUBANTARCTIC REGION;

ADAPTATION; ANIMAL; ANTARCTICA; ARTICLE; BODY SIZE; EVOLUTION; FEMALE; GENETIC SELECTION; GENETICS; GEOGRAPHY; REPRODUCTIVE FITNESS; SEAL;

ADAPTATION, PHYSIOLOGICAL; ANIMALS; ANTARCTIC REGIONS; BIOLOGICAL EVOLUTION; BODY SIZE; FEMALE; FUR SEALS; GENETIC FITNESS; GEOGRAPHY; SELECTION, GENETIC;

AMSTERDAM ISLAND; FRENCH SOUTHERN TERRITORIES;

ANIMALIA; ARCTOCEPHALUS TROPICALIS; PINNIPEDIA;

EID: 79951746590     PISSN: 1010061X     EISSN: 14209101     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1420-9101.2010.02193.x     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. Badyaev, A. 2002. Growing apart: an ontogenetic perspective on the evolution of sexual size dimorphism. Trends Ecol. Evol. 17: 369-378.
2. Beauplet, G. & Guinet, C. 2007. Phenotypic determinants of individual fitness in female fur seals: larger is better. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 274: 1877-1883.
3. Beauplet, G., Dubroca, L., Guinet, C., Cherel, Y., Dabin, W., Gagne, C. et al. 2004. Foraging ecology of Subantarctic fur seals, Arctocephalus tropicalis, Breeding on Amsterdam Island: seasonal changes in relation to maternal characteristics and pup growth. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 273: 211-225.
4. Beauplet, G., Barbraud, C., Dabin, W., Küssener, C. & Guinet, C. 2006. Age-specific survival and reproductive performances in fur seals: evidence of senescence and individual quality. Oikos 112: 430-441.
5. Berubé, C., Festa-Bianchet, M. & Jorgensson, J. 1999. Individual differences, longevity, and reproductive senescence in big horn ewes. Ecology 80: 2554-2565.
6. Cam, E., Link, W., Cooch, E., Monnat, J.Y. & Danchin, E. 2002. Individual covariation in life-history traits: seeing the trees despite the forests. Am. Nat. 159: 96-105.
7. Chambellant, M., Beauplet, G., Guinet, C. & Georges, J.Y. 2003. Long-term evaluation of pup-growth and preweaning survival rates in Subantarctic fur seals, Arctocephalus tropicalis. Can. J. Zool. 81: 1229-1239.
8. Clément, V., Bibé, B., Verrier, E., Elsen, J.M., Manfredi, E. & Hanocq, E. 2001. Simulation analysis to test the influence of model adequacy and data structure on the estimation of genetic parameters for traits with direct maternal effects. Gen. Sel. Evol. 33: 369-395.
9. Cowles, M. & Carlin, B. 1996. Markov chain monte carlo convergence diagnostics: a comparative review. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 91: 883-904.
10. Dabin, W., Beauplet, G., Crespo, E. & Guinet, C. 2004. Age structure, growth and demographic parameters in breeding-aged female Subantarctic fur seals, Arctocephalus tropicalis. Can. J. Zool. 82: 1043-1050.
11. Damgaard, L. 2007. Technical note: how to use WinBUGS to draw inferences in animal models. J. Animal Sci. 85: 1363-1368.
12. Festa-Bianchet, M., Gaillard, J.M. & Jorgensson, J. 1998. Mass- and density-dependent reproductive success and reproductive costs in a capital breeder. Am. Nat. 152: 367-379.
13. Gelman, A. 2006. Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models (comment on article by browne and draper). Bayesian Analysis 1: 515-534.
14. Gelman, A. & Shalizi, C. 2010. Philosophy and the practice of bayesian statistics in the social sciences. In: Oxford Handbook of the Philosophy of the Social Sciences (H. Kincaid, ed), in press. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
15. Gelman, A., Carlin, J., Stern, H. & Rubin, D. 2003. Bayesian Data Analysis, 2nd edn. Chapman & Hall\CRC, New York.
16. Gelman, A., Jakulin, A., Grazia Pittau, M. & Su, Y.S. 2008. A weakly informative default prior distribution for logistic and other regression models. Ann. Appl. Stat. 2: 1360-1383.
17. Georges, J.Y. & Guinet, C. 2000. Maternal care in the Subantarctic fur seals on Amsterdam Island. Ecology 81: 295-308.
18. Gimenez, O., Viallefont, A., Charmantier, A., Pradel, R., Cam, E., Brown, C. et al. 2008. The risk of flawed inference in evolutionary studies when detectability is less than one. Am. Nat. 172: 441-448.
19. Green, M., Medley, G. & Browne, W. 2009. Use of posterior predictive assessments to evaluate model fit in multivel logistic regression. Vet. Res. 40: 30.
20. Guinet, C., Jouventin, P. & Georges, J.Y. 1994. Long-term populations changes of fur seals Arctocephalus gazella and A. tropicalis on Subantarctic (Crozet) and Subtropical (Saint Paul and Amsterdam) Islands and their possible relationship to El Niño southern oscillation. Antarct. Sci. 6: 473-478.
21. Guo, X. & Carlin, B. 2004. Separate and joint modeling of longitudinal and event time data using standard computer packages. Am. Stat. 58: 1-9.
22. Gurrin, L., Scurrah, K. & Hazelton, M. 2005. Tutorial in biostatistics: spline smoothing with linear mixed models. Stat. Med. 24: 3361-3381.
23. Hadfield, J. 2008. Estimating evolutionary parameters when viability selection is operating. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 275: 723-734.
24. Hadfield, J., Wilson, A., Garant, D., Sheldon, B. & Kruuk, L. 2010. The misuse of BLUP in ecology and evolution. Am. Nat. 175: 116-125.
25. Hendry, A. & Kinnison, M. 2001. The pace of modern life II: from rates of contemporary microevolution to patterns and processes. Genetica 112/113: 145-164.
26. Hereford, J., Hansen, T. & Houle, D. 2004. Comparing strengths of directional selection: how strong is strong? Evolution 58: 2133-2143.
27. Janzen, F. & Stern, H. 1998. Logistic regression for empirical studies of multivariate selection. Evolution 52: 1564-1571.
28. Kruuk, L. 2004. Estimating genetic parameters in natural populations using the "animal model". Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 359: 873-890.
29. Lande, R. & Arnold, S. 1983. The measurement of selection on correlated characters. Evolution 37: 1210-1226.
30. Leder, E., Cano, J., Leinonen, T., O'Hara, R., Nikinmaa, M., Primmer, C. et al. 2010. Female-biased expression on the X chromosome as a key step in sex chromosome evolution in threespine sticklebacks. Mol. Biol. Evol. 27: 1495-1503.
31. Luque, S., Arnould, J., Miller, E., Cherel, Y. & Guinet, C. 2007. Foraging behaviour of sympatric antarctic and Subantarctic fur seals: does their contrasting duration of lactation make a difference. Mar. Biol. 152: 213-224.
32. Lynch, M. & Walsh, B. 1998. Genetics and Analysis of Quantitative Traits, 1st edn. Sinauer Associates, Massasuchetts.
33. McLaren, I. 1993. Growth in pinnipeds. Biol. Rev. 68: 1-79.
34. McNab, B. 2010. Geographic and temporal correlations of mammalian size reconsidered: a resource rule. Oecologia 164: 13-23.
35. Morrissey, M.B., Kruuk, L.E.B. & Wilson, A.J. 2010. The danger of applying the Breeder's equation in observational studies of natural populations. J. Evol. Biol. 23: 2277-2288.
36. O'Hara, R., Cano, J., Ovaskainen, O., Teplitsky, C. & Alho, J. 2008. Bayesian approaches in evolutionary quantitative genetics. J. Evol. Biol. 21: 949-957.
37. Phillimore, A., Hadfield, J., Jones, O. & Smithers, R. 2010. Differences in spawning date between populations of common frog reveal local adaptation. P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 107: 8292-8297.
38. Plummer, M., Best, N., Cowles, K. & Vines, K. 2008. coda: Output Analysis and Diagnostics for MCMC. R package version 0.13-2.
39. R Development Core Team 2009. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
40. Reinhold, K. 2002. Maternal effects and the evolution of behavioural and morphological characters: a litterature review indicates the importance of extended maternal care. J. Hered. 93: 400-405.
41. Rubin, D. 2005. Causal inference using potential outcomes: design, modeling, decisions. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 100: 322-331.
42. Spiegelhalter, D., Best, T., Best, N. & Lunn, D. 2003. WinBUGS User Manual version 1.4.
43. Sturtz, S., Ligges, U. & Gelman, A. 2005. R2winbugs: a package for running WinBUGS from R. J. Stat. Soft. 12: 1-16.
44. Sutter, N., Bustamante, C., Chase, K., Gray, M., Zhao, K., Zhu, L. et al. 2007. A single IGF1 allele is a major determinant of small size in dogs. Science 316: 112-115.
45. Treier, S. & Jackman, S. 2008. Democracy as a latent variable. Am. J. Pol. Sci. 52: 201-217.
46. Trillmich, F. 1996. Parental investment in pinnipeds. Adv. Stud. Behav. 25: 533-577.
47. Vonesh, E., Chinchilli, V. & Pu, K. 1996. Goodness-of-fit in generalized nonlinear mixed-effects models. Biometrics 52: 572-587.
48. Vonesh, E.F., Greene, T. & Schluchter, M.D. 2006. Shared parameters models for the joint analysis of longitudinal data and event times. Stat. Med. 25: 143-163.
49. Walsh, B. 2007. Escape from flatland. J. Evol. Biol. 20: 36-38.
50. Walsh, B. 2009. Quantitative genetics, Version 3.0: where have we gone since 1987 and where are we heading? Genetica 136: 213-223.
51. Wilson, A., Kruuk, L. & Coltman, D. 2005. Ontogenetic patterns in heritable variation for body size: using random regression models in a wild ungulate population. Am. Nat. 166: E117-E192.
52. Winsor, C. 1932. The gompertz curve as a growth curve. P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 18: 1-8.
53. Wynen, L., Goldsworthy, S., Guinet, C., Bester, M., Boyd, I., Gjertz, I. et al. 2000. Post-sealing genetic variation and population structure of two species of fur seals Arctocephalus tropicalis. Mol. Ecol. 9: 299-314.