Attribution of seasonal and regional changes in Arctic moisture convergence

Journal of Climate

Volumn 22, Issue 19, 2009, Pages 5115-5134

  Skific, Natasa ^a   Francis, Jennifer A ^a   Cassano, John J ^b  

^a RUTGERS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANTHROPOGENIC GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CIRCULATION PATTERNS; EASTERN ARCTIC; ECMWF RE-ANALYSIS; MOISTURE CONVERGENCE; MOISTURE GRADIENT; MOISTURE TRANSPORT; NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCHES; NORTH ATLANTIC; SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE FIELDS; SPECIAL REPORT ON EMISSIONS SCENARIOS; SPECIFIC HUMIDITY; TEMPORAL CHANGE; THERMODYNAMIC CHANGES; THERMODYNAMIC EFFECT;

ATMOSPHERIC HUMIDITY; CLIMATE MODELS; CLIMATOLOGY; CONFORMAL MAPPING; GAS EMISSIONS; GLOBAL WARMING; GREENHOUSE GASES; LEAKAGE (FLUID); MODEL STRUCTURES; SEA LEVEL; THERMODYNAMICS; UPPER ATMOSPHERE;

MOISTURE;

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE; EMISSION; GREENHOUSE GAS; HUMIDITY; INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE; SEASONAL VARIATION; TWENTIETH CENTURY;

ARCTIC;

EID: 69249146767     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI2829.1     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. ACIA, 2005: Impacts of a Warming Arctic: Arctic Climate Impact Assessment. Cambridge University Press, 144 pp.
2. Alexander, M., and Coauthors, 2006: Extratropical atmosphere-ocean variability in CCSM3. J. Climate, 19, 2496-2525.
3. Ammann, C. M., G. A. Meehl, W. M. Washington, and C. S. Zender, 2003: A monthly and latitudinally varying volcanic forcing dataset in simulations of 20th century climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1657, doi:10.1029/2003GL016875.
4. Armstrong, R., M. J. Brodzik, and A. Varani, 1997: The NSIDC EASE-Grid: Addressing the need for a common, flexible, mapping and gridding scheme. Earth System Monitor, Vol. 7, 3 pp.
5. Betts, R. A., 2000: Offset of the potential sink from boreal forestation by decreases in surface albedo. Nature, 408, 187-190.
6. Cassano, J. J., P. Uotila, and A. H. Lynch, 2006: Changes in synoptic weather patterns in the polar regions in the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. Part 1: Arctic. Int. J. Climatol., 26, 1027-1049.
7. Cassano, J. J., P. Uotila, A. H. Lynch, and E. N. Cassano, 2007: Predicted changes in synoptic forcing of net precipitation in large Arctic river basins during the 21st century. J. Geophys. Res., 112, G04S49, doi:10.1029/2006JG000332.
8. Chapin, F. S., III, and Coauthors, 2005: Role of land-surface changes in Arctic summer warming. Science, 310, 657-660.
9. Chapman, W. L., and J. E. Walsh, 2007: Simulations of Arctic surface temperature and sea level pressure by global coupled models. J. Climate, 20, 609-632.
10. Cherry, J. E., L. B. Tremblay, M. Stieglitz, G. Gong, and S. J. Déry, 2007: Development of the pan-Arctic snowfall reconstruction: New land-based solid precipitation estimates for 1940-99. J. Hydrometeor., 8, 1243-1263.
11. Cullather, R. I., D. H. Bromwich, and M. C. Serreze, 2000: The atmospheric hydrologic cycle over the Arctic basin from reanalyses. Part I: Comparisons with observations and previous studies. J. Climate, 13, 923-937.
12. Emori, S., and S. J. Brown, 2005: Dynamic and thermodynamic changes in mean and extreme precipitation under changed climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L17706.
13. Finnis, J., M. M. Holland, M. C. Serreze, and J. J. Cassano, 2007: Response of Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclone activity and associated precipitation to climate change, as represented by the Community Climate System Model. J. Geophys. Res., 112, G04S42, doi:10.1029/2006JG000286.
14. Finnis, J., J. Cassano, M. Holland, M. Serreze, and P. Uotila, 2009a: Synoptically forced hydroclimatology of major Arctic watersheds in general circulation models. Part 1: The Mackenzie River basin. Int. J. Climatol., 29, 1226-1243.
15. Finnis, J., J. Cassano, M. Holland, M. Serreze, and P. Uotila, 2009b: Synoptically forced hydroclimatology of major Arctic watersheds in general circulation models. Part 2: Eurasian watersheds. Int. J. Climatol., 29, 1244-1261.
16. Francis, J. A., and E. Hunter, 2007: Changes in the fabric of the Arctic's greenhouse blanket. Environ. Res. Lett., 2, 045011, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/2/4/045011.
17. Groves, D., and J. A. Francis, 2002: Moisture budget of the Arctic atmosphere from TOVS satellite data. J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4391, doi:10.1029/2001JD001191.
18. Hewitson, B. C., and R. G. Crane, 2002: Self-organizing maps: Applications to synoptic climatology. Climate Res., 22, 13-26.
19. Kiehl, J., T. Schneider, R. Portmann, and S. Solomon, 1999: Climate forcing due to tropospheric and stratospheric ozone. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 31 239-31 254.
20. Kohonen, T., 2001: Self-Organizing Maps. 3rd ed. Springer-Verlag, 501 pp.
21. Lawrence, D. M., and A. G. Slater, 2005: A projection of severe near-surface permafrost degradation during the 21st century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L24401, doi:10.1029/2005GL025080.
22. Lean, J. L., Y.-M. Wang, and N. R. Sheeley Jr., 2002: The effect of increasing solar activity on the Sun's total and open magnetic flux during multiple cycles: Implications for solar forcing of climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 2224, doi:10.1029/2002GL015880.
23. Manabe, S., and R. J. Stouffer, 1994: Multiple-century response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to an increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide. J. Climate, 7, 5-23.
24. Manabe, S., and R. J. Stouffer, 1995: Simulation of abrupt climate change induced by freshwater input to the North Atlantic Ocean. Nature, 378, 165-167.
25. Manabe, S., and R. J. Stouffer, 1997: Coupled ocean-atmosphere model response to freshwater input: Comparison to Younger Dryas event. Paleoceanography, 12, 321-336.
26. 2. Part I: Annual mean response. J. Climate, 4, 785-818.
27. Mekis, É., and William D. Hogg, 1999: Rehabilitation and analysis of Canadian daily precipitation time series. Atmos.-Ocean, 37, 53-85.
28. Min, S. K., X. Zhang, and F. Zwiers, 2008: Human-induced Arctic moistening. Science, 320, 518-520.
29. Nakicenovic, N., and R. Swart, 2000: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emission Scenarios. Cambridge University Press, 570 pp.
30. Rahmstorf, S., A. Cazenave, J. A. Church, J. A. Hansen, R. F. Keeling, D. E. Parker, and R. J. Somerville, 2007: Recent climate observations compared to projections. Science, 316, 709.
31. Reed, R. J., and B. A. Kunkel, 1960: The Arctic circulation in the summer. J. Meteor., 17, 489-506.
32. Reusch, D., R. Alley, and B. Heitson, 2005: Relative performance of self organizing maps and principal component analysis pattern extraction from synthetic climatological data. Polar Geogr., 29, 188-212.
33. Schweiger, A. J., R. W. Lindsay, S. Vavrus, and J. A. Francis, 2008: Relationships between Arctic sea ice and clouds during autumn. J. Climate, 21, 4799-4810.
34. Serreze, M., and R. G. Barry, 2005: The Arctic Climate System. Cambridge University Press, 385 pp.
35. Serreze, M., and J. A. Francis, 2006: The Arctic on the fast track of change. Weather, 61, 65-69.
36. Serreze, M., A. P. Barrett, and F. Lo, 2005: Northern high-latitude precipitation as depicted by atmospheric reanalyses and satellite retrievals. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 3407-3430.
37. Serreze, M., and Coauthors, 2006: The large-scale freshwater cycle of the Arctic. J. Geophys. Res., 111, C11010, doi:10.1029/2005JC003424.
38. Skific, N., J. A. Francis, and J. J. Cassano, 2009: Attribution of projected changes in atmospheric moisture transport in the Arctic: A self-organizing map perspective. J. Climate, 22, 4135-4153.
39. Smith, S. J., H. M. Pitcher, and T. M. L. Wigley, 2001: Global and regional anthropogenic sulfur dioxide emissions. Global Planet. Change, 29, 99-119.
40. Smith, S. J., H. M. Pitcher, and T. M. L. Wigley, 2005: Future sulfur dioxide emissions. Climatic Change, 73, 267-318.
41. Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, M. Marquis, K. Averyt, M. M. B. Tignor, H. L. Miller Jr., and Z. Chen, Eds., 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Sciences Basis. Cambridge University Press, 996 pp.
42. Stephens, G. L., and T. D. Ellis, 2008: Controls of global-mean precipitation increases in global warming GCM experiments. J. Climate, 21, 6141-6155.
43. Uppala, S. M., and Coauthors, 2005: The ERA-40 Re-Analysis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 2961-3012.
44. Yang, D., 1999: An improved precipitation climatology for the Arctic Ocean. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 1625-1628.
45. Yang, D., and T. Ohata, 2001: A bias-corrected Siberian regional precipitation climatology. J. Hydrometeor., 2, 122-139.