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Volumn 314, Issue 5806, 2006, Pages 1740-1745

ENSO as an integrating concept in earth science

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; EARTH ATMOSPHERE; ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; FORECASTING; OSCILLATIONS; PUBLIC POLICY;

EID: 33845702072     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: 10959203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.1132588     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (1441)

References (81)
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  • 8
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    • According to the Web of Science Citation Index (71), during the 5-year period from 2001 to 2005, 4257 publications in the refereed earth science literature appeared with El Niño, La Niña, or ENSO in the abstract, the title, or as a key word. This output represents more than half of all 8128 ENSO-related papers published in the 40 years since 1966 when the first seminal paper on El Niño as a basin-wide phenomenon was published (72).
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    • It has been proposed that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation results from rather than causes the decadal variation of EN50 (73).
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    • High-frequency intraseasonal forcing has often been characterized in terms of purely stochastic noise. However, large-scale seasonally varying background conditions in the tropical Pacific modulate aspects of this forcing, such as seasonal mean variance levels, so there may be a partially deterministic and predictable component to it as well (74).
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    • ENSO impacts in Antarctica are described in (76).
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    • note
    • Dynamical and statistical models in Fig. 3 are the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (NASA GMAO) model, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Centers for Environmental Prediction Coupled Forecast System (NCEP CFS) model, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) model, the Scripps Institution of Oceanography (Scripps) model, the Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO) model, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA), the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model, the United Kingdom Met Office (UKMO) model, the Korea Meteorological Administration (Korea SNU) model, the University of Maryland Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center Intermediate Coupled Model (ESSIC ICM), European Centre Hamburg Model-Modular Ocean Model (ECHAM MOM), the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies Anomaly. (COLA ANOM) model, the NOAA Climate Prediction Center Markov (CPC MRKOV) model, the NOAA Climate Diagnostics Center Linear Inverse Model (CDC LIM), the NOAA Climate Prediction Center Constructed Analog (CPC CA) model, the NOAA Climate Prediction Center Canonical Correlation Analysis (CPC CCA) model, the Colorado State University Climatology and Persistence (CSU CLIPER) model, the University of British Columbia Neural Network (UBC NNET) model, the Florida State University Regression (FSU REGR) model, and the University of California at Los Angeles Theoretical Climate Dynamics (UCLA TCD) model.
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    • note
    • We acknowledge funding from NOAA's Climate Program Office (M. J. M. and S. E. Z.) and the National Science Foundation (M. H. G.). Special thanks to T. Barnston, S. Tudhope, M. Holmgren, and R. Feely for helpful suggestions and to S. Hare for permission to reproduce Fig. 1. This is PMEL publication 2969.


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