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ENSO teleconnections to Europe are relatively weak, but there is potentially a predictable signal in European rainfall during boreal spring after the peak 55T anomalies in both El Niño and La Niña years (75).
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Dynamical and statistical models in Fig. 3 are the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (NASA GMAO) model, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Centers for Environmental Prediction Coupled Forecast System (NCEP CFS) model, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) model, the Scripps Institution of Oceanography (Scripps) model, the Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO) model, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA), the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model, the United Kingdom Met Office (UKMO) model, the Korea Meteorological Administration (Korea SNU) model, the University of Maryland Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center Intermediate Coupled Model (ESSIC ICM), European Centre Hamburg Model-Modular Ocean Model (ECHAM MOM), the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies Anomaly. (COLA ANOM) model, the NOAA Climate Prediction Center Markov (CPC MRKOV) model, the NOAA Climate Diagnostics Center Linear Inverse Model (CDC LIM), the NOAA Climate Prediction Center Constructed Analog (CPC CA) model, the NOAA Climate Prediction Center Canonical Correlation Analysis (CPC CCA) model, the Colorado State University Climatology and Persistence (CSU CLIPER) model, the University of British Columbia Neural Network (UBC NNET) model, the Florida State University Regression (FSU REGR) model, and the University of California at Los Angeles Theoretical Climate Dynamics (UCLA TCD) model.
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We acknowledge funding from NOAA's Climate Program Office (M. J. M. and S. E. Z.) and the National Science Foundation (M. H. G.). Special thanks to T. Barnston, S. Tudhope, M. Holmgren, and R. Feely for helpful suggestions and to S. Hare for permission to reproduce Fig. 1. This is PMEL publication 2969.
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