Presence-absence versus presence-only modelling methods for predicting bird habitat suitability

Ecography

Volumn 27, Issue 4, 2004, Pages 437-448

  Brotons, Lluís ^a,b   Thuiller, Wilfried ^b   Araújo, Miguel B ^b   Hirzel, Alexandre H ^c  

^a Zoologia   (Spain)

^b CNRS   (France)

^c UNIVERSITY OF BERN   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BIRD; HABITAT; MODELING;

AVES; VERTEBRATA;

EID: 3042679203     PISSN: 09067590     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.0906-7590.2004.03764.x     Document Type: Article

References (48)

1. Anon. 1999. S-Plus 2000 Guide to statistics. Vol. 1. - Mathsoft, Seattle.
2. Araújo, M. B. and Williams, P. H. 2000. Selecting areas for species persistence using occurrence data. - Biol. Conserv. 96: 331-345.
3. Araújo, M. B., Williams, P. H. and Fuller, R. J. 2002. Dynamics of extinction and the selection of nature reserves. - Proc. Roy. Soc., Biol. Sci. 269: 1971-1980.
4. Austin, G. E. et al. 1996. Predicting the spatial distribution of buzzard Buteo buteo nesting areas using a Geographical Information System and remote sensing. - J. Appl. Ecol. 33: 1541-1550.
5. Bani, L. et al. 2002. The use of focal species in designing a habitat network for a lowland area of Lombardy, Italy. - Conserv. Biol. 16: 826-831.
6. Beutel, T. S., Beeton, R. J. S. and Baxter, G. S. 1999. Building better wildlife-habitat models. - Ecography 22: 219-223.
7. Boyce, M. et al. 2002. Evaluating resource selection functions. - Ecol. Modell. 157: 281-300.
8. Buckland, S. T., Elston, D. A. and Beaney, S. J. 1996. Predicting distributional change, with application to bird distributions in northeast Scotland. - Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. Lett. 5: 66-84.
9. Carpenter, G., Gillison, A. N. and Winter, J. 1993. Domain: a flexible modelling procedure for mapping potential distributions of plants and animals. - Biodiv. Conserv. 2: 667-680.
10. Chamber, J. M. and Hastie, T. J. 1997. Statistical models in S. - Chapman and Hall.
11. Chamberlain, D. E. and Fuller, R. J. 1999. Density-dependent habitat distribution in birds: issues of scale, habitat definition and habitat availability. - J. Avian Biol. 30: 427-436.
12. Donald, P. F. and Fuller, R. 1998. Ornithological atlas data: A review of uses and limitations. - Bird Study 45: 129-145.
13. Elith, J. and Burgman, M. A. 2002a. Predictions and their validation: rare plants in the Central Highlands, Victoria, Australia. - In: Scott, M. S. et al. (eds), Predicting species occurrences: issues of accuracy and scale. Island Press, pp. 303-319.
14. Elith, J. and Burgman, M. A. 2002b. Habitat models for PVA. - In: Brigham, C. A. and Schwartz, M. W. (eds), Population viability in plants. Springer, pp. 203-238.
15. Estrada, J. et al. 2004. Catalan breeding bird atlas (1999-2002). - Inst. Catalá d'Ornitologia, Barcelona, in press.
16. Farber, O. and Kadmon, R. 2003. Assessment of alternative approaches for bioclimatic modelling with special emphasis on the Mahalanobis distance. - Ecol. Modell. 160: 115-130.
17. Fielding, A. H. and Bell, J. F. 1997. A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. - Environ. Conserv. 24: 38-49.
18. Gates, S. and Donald, P. F. 2000. Local extinction of British farmland birds and the prediction of further loss. - J. Appl. Ecol. 37: 806-820.
19. Gibbons, D. W., Reid, J. B. and Chapman, R. A. 1993. Thenewatlas of breeding birds in Britain and Ireland: 1988-1991. - T and AD Poyser.
20. Guisan, A. and Zimmerman, N. E. 2000. Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. - Ecol. Modell. 135: 147-186.
21. Hausser, J. 1995. Mammifères de Suisse. - Birkhäuser.
22. Hepinstall, J. A., Krohn, W. B. and Sader. S. A. 2002. Effects of niche width on the performance and agreement of avian habitat models. - In: Scott, M. S. et al. (eds), Predicting species occurrences: issues of accuracy and scale. Island Press, pp. 593-606.
23. Hirzel, A. H. and Guisan, A. 2002. Which is the optimal sampling strategy for habitat suitability modelling. - Ecol. Modell. 157: 331-341.
24. Hirzel, A. H. and Arlettaz, R. in press. Modelling habitat suitability for complex species distributions by the environmental-distance geometric mean. - Environ. Manage.
25. Hirzel, A. H., Helfer, V. and Métral, F. 2001. Assessing habitat-suitability models with a virtual species. - Ecol. Modell. 145: 111-121.
26. Hirzel, A. H., Hausser, J. and Perrin. N. 2002a. Biomapper 2.0. Div. of Conservation Biology, Bern, 〈http://www.unil.ch/biomapper〉.
27. Hirzel, A. H. et al. 2002b. Ecological-niche factor analysis: How to compute habitat- suitability maps without absence data? - Ecology 83: 2027-2036.
28. Johnson, D. H. and Sargeant, G. A. 2002. Towards better atlases: improving presence-absence information. - In: Scott, M. S. et al. (eds), Predicting species occurrences: issues of accuracy and scale. Island Press, pp. 391-398.
29. Karl, J. W. et al. 2002. Species commonness and the accuracy of habitat-relationship models. - In: Scott, M. S. et al. (eds), Predicting species occurrences: issues of accuracy and scale. Island Press, pp. 573-580.
30. Legendre, P. and Legendre, L. 1998. Numerical ecology, 2nd ed. - Elsevier.
31. Loehle, C. and LeBlanc, D. 1996. Model-based assessments of climate change effects on forests: a critical review. - Ecol. Modell. 90: 1-31.
32. Manel, D. et al. 1999. Alternative methods for predicting species distribution: an illustration with Himalayan river birds. - J. Appl. Ecol. 36: 734-747.
33. Manel, S., Williams, H. C. and Ormerod, S. J. 2001. Evaluating presence-absence models in ecology: the need to account for prevalence. - J. Appl. Ecol. 38: 921-931.
34. McCullagh, P. and Nelder, J. A. 1989. Generalized Linear Models. - Chapman Hall.
35. Mitchell-Jones, A. J. et al. 1999. Atlas of European mammals. - Academic Press.
36. Ninyerola, M., Pons, X. and Roure, J. M. 2000. A methodological approach of climatological modelling of air temperature and precipitation through GIS techniques. - Int. J. Climatol. 20: 1823-1841.
37. Osborne, P. E. and Suárez-Seoane, S. 2002. Should data be partitioned before building large-scale distribution models? - Ecol. Modell. 157: 249-259.
38. Osborne, P. E., Alonso, J. C. and Bryant, R. G. 2001. Modelling landscape-scale habitat use using GIS and remote sensing: a case study with great bustards. - J. Appl. Ecol. 38: 458-471.
39. Pearce, J. and Ferrier, S. 2000. An evaluation of alternative algorithms for fitting species distribution models using logistic regression. - Ecol. Modell. 128: 127-147.
40. Peterson, A. T. et al. 2002. Future projections for Mexican faunas under global change scenarios. - Nature 416: 626-629.
41. Segurado, P. and Araújo, M. B. 2004. Evaluation of methods for modelling species probabilities of occurrence. - J. Biogeogr, in press.
42. Stockwell, D. R. and Peterson, A. T. 2002a. Controlling bias in biodiversity. - In: Scott, M. S. et al. (eds), Predicting species occurrences: issues of accuracy and scale. Island Press, pp. 537-546.
43. Stockwell, D. R. and Peterson, A. T. 2002b. Effects of sample size on accuracy of species distribution models. - Ecol. Modell. 148: 1-13.
44. Thuiller, W. 2003a. BIOMOD: Optimising predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change. - Global Change Biol. 9: 1353-1362.
45. Thuiller, W. 2003b. Impacts of global climate change on biodiversity in Europe: projections and uncertainties. - Thesis, Univ. of Montpellier, Montpellier.
46. Thuiller, W., Araújo, M. B. and Lavorel, S. 2003. Generalized Models versus Classification Tree Analysis: a comparative study for predicting spatial distributions of plant species at different scales. - J. Veg. Sci. 14: 669-680.
47. Underhill, L. and Gibbons, D. 2002. Mapping and monitoring bird populations: their conservation uses. - In: Norris, K. and Pain, D. J. (eds), Conserving bird biodiversity: general principles and applications. Univ. Press.
48. Zaniewski, A. E., Lehman, A. and Overton, J. 2002. Predicting species spatial distributions using presence-only data: a case study of native New Zealand ferns. - Ecol. Modell. 157: 261-280.