메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 12, Issue 1, 2006, Pages 49-60

Using niche-based modelling to assess the impact of climate change on tree functional diversity in Europe

Author keywords

Climate change; Functional diversity; Niche based models; Species richness

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM FUNCTION; FUNCTIONAL RESPONSE; MODELING; NICHE; SPECIES RICHNESS;

EID: 33645005227     PISSN: 13669516     EISSN: 14724642     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1366-9516.2006.00216.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (225)

References (89)
  • 1
    • 24344439469 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equilibrium of species' distributions with climate
    • Araújo M.B. Pearson R.G. 2005 Equilibrium of species' distributions with climate Ecography 28 693 695
    • (2005) Ecography , vol.28 , pp. 693-695
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Pearson, R.G.2
  • 7
    • 0040771542 scopus 로고
    • European Forest Reserves
    • Koop H. Vos W. Broekmeyer M.E.A. Pudoc Scientific Publishers Wageningen, the Netherlands (ed. by
    • Broekmeyer M.E.A. Vos W. 1993 European Forest Reserves Forest reserves in Europe: a review (ed. by Broekmeyer M.E.A. Vos W. Koop H. Pudoc Scientific Publishers Wageningen, the Netherlands
    • (1993) Forest Reserves in Europe: A Review
    • Broekmeyer, M.E.A.1    Vos, W.2
  • 8
    • 0031685109 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seed dispersal and the Holocene migration of woodlands in southern Sweden
    • Cain M.L. Damman H. Muir A. 1998 Seed dispersal and the Holocene migration of woodlands in southern Sweden Ecological Monographs 68 325 347
    • (1998) Ecological Monographs , vol.68 , pp. 325-347
    • Cain, M.L.1    Damman, H.2    Muir, A.3
  • 9
    • 0037369671 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of plant traits on ecosystem and regional processes: A conceptual framework for predicting the consequences of global change
    • Chapin III. F.S. 2003 Effects of plant traits on ecosystem and regional processes: a conceptual framework for predicting the consequences of global change Annals of Botany 91 455 463
    • (2003) Annals of Botany , vol.91 , pp. 455-463
    • Chapin Iii., F.S.1
  • 11
    • 0031823937 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why trees migrate so fast: Confronting theory with dispersal biology and the paleorecord
    • Clark J.S. 1998 Why trees migrate so fast: confronting theory with dispersal biology and the paleorecord American Naturalist 152 204 224
    • (1998) American Naturalist , vol.152 , pp. 204-224
    • Clark, J.S.1
  • 12
    • 0033612682 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The taxonomic distinctness measure of biodiversity: Weighting of step lengths between hierarchical levels
    • Clarke K.R. Warwick R.M. 1999 The taxonomic distinctness measure of biodiversity: weighting of step lengths between hierarchical levels Marine Ecology Progress Series 184 21 29
    • (1999) Marine Ecology Progress Series , vol.184 , pp. 21-29
    • Clarke, K.R.1    Warwick, R.M.2
  • 14
    • 0030304875 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An experimental comparison of leaf decomposition rates in a wide range of temperate plant species and types
    • Cornelissen J.H.C. 1996 An experimental comparison of leaf decomposition rates in a wide range of temperate plant species and types Journal of Ecology 84 573 582
    • (1996) Journal of Ecology , vol.84 , pp. 573-582
    • Cornelissen, J.H.C.1
  • 19
    • 0032546016 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming
    • Davis A.J. Jenkinson L.S. Lawton J.H. Shorrocks B. Wood S. 1998 Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming Nature 391 783 786
    • (1998) Nature , vol.391 , pp. 783-786
    • Davis, A.J.1    Jenkinson, L.S.2    Lawton, J.H.3    Shorrocks, B.4    Wood, S.5
  • 20
    • 0035501320 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vive la différence: Plant functional diversity matters to ecosystem processes
    • Díaz S. Cabido M. 2001 Vive la différence: plant functional diversity matters to ecosystem processes Trends in Ecology and Evolution 16 646 655
    • (2001) Trends in Ecology and Evolution , vol.16 , pp. 646-655
    • Díaz, S.1    Cabido, M.2
  • 21
    • 0036185335 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying biodiversity: A phylogenetic perspective
    • Faith D.P. 2004 Quantifying biodiversity: a phylogenetic perspective Conservation Biology 16 248 252
    • (2004) Conservation Biology , vol.16 , pp. 248-252
    • Faith, D.P.1
  • 22
    • 0030953391 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models
    • Fielding A.H. Bell J.F. 1997 A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models Environmental Conservation 24 38 49
    • (1997) Environmental Conservation , vol.24 , pp. 38-49
    • Fielding, A.H.1    Bell, J.F.2
  • 24
    • 0033427908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecosystem consequences of plant life form changes at three sites in the semiarid United States
    • Gill R.A. Burke I.C. 1999 Ecosystem consequences of plant life form changes at three sites in the semiarid United States Oecologia 121 551 563
    • (1999) Oecologia , vol.121 , pp. 551-563
    • Gill, R.A.1    Burke, I.C.2
  • 25
    • 27744555581 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Landscape-scale positive feedbacks between fire and expansion of the large tussock grass, Ampelodesmos mauritanica in Catalan shrublands
    • Grigulis K. Lavorel S. Davies I.D. Dossantos A. Lloret F. Vila M. 2005 Landscape-scale positive feedbacks between fire and expansion of the large tussock grass, Ampelodesmos mauritanica in Catalan shrublands Global Change Biology 11 1042 1053
    • (2005) Global Change Biology , vol.11 , pp. 1042-1053
    • Grigulis, K.1    Lavorel, S.2    Davies, I.D.3    Dossantos, A.4    Lloret, F.5    Vila, M.6
  • 26
    • 33645022462 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vulnerability of Meditteranean basin ecosystems to climate change and invasion by exotic plant species
    • In press
    • Gritti E. Smith B. Sykes M.T. 2005 Vulnerability of Meditteranean basin ecosystems to climate change and invasion by exotic plant species J. Biogeography In press
    • (2005) J. Biogeography
    • Gritti, E.1    Smith, B.2    Sykes, M.T.3
  • 27
    • 24344493920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species distribution: Offering more than simple habitat models
    • Guisan A. Thuiller W. 2005 Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models Ecology Letters 8 993 1009
    • (2005) Ecology Letters , vol.8 , pp. 993-1009
    • Guisan, A.1    Thuiller, W.2
  • 28
    • 24144434307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bioclimate envelope models: What they detect and what they hide
    • Hampe A. 2004 Bioclimate envelope models: what they detect and what they hide Global Ecology and Biogeography 13 469 476
    • (2004) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.13 , pp. 469-476
    • Hampe, A.1
  • 29
    • 33645018672 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and biodiversity: Synergistic impacts
    • Lovejoy T.E. Hannah L. Yale University Press, New Haven (ed. by
    • Higgins S.I. Lavorel S. Tackenberg O. 2003 Climate change and biodiversity: synergistic impacts Plant dispersal and habitat loss synergies (ed. by Hannah L. Lovejoy T.E. Yale University Press, New Haven
    • (2003) Plant Dispersal and Habitat Loss Synergies
    • Higgins, S.I.1    Lavorel, S.2    Tackenberg, O.3
  • 30
    • 0033056129 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Allocating C-S-R plant functional types: A soft approach to a hard problem
    • Hodgson J.G. Wilson P.J. Hunt R. Grime J.P. Thompson K. 1999 Allocating C-S-R plant functional types: a soft approach to a hard problem Oikos 85 282 294
    • (1999) Oikos , vol.85 , pp. 282-294
    • Hodgson, J.G.1    Wilson, P.J.2    Hunt, R.3    Grime, J.P.4    Thompson, K.5
  • 31
    • 0031823441 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of complementarity and competition in ecosystem responses to variation in plant diversity
    • Hooper D.U. 1998 The role of complementarity and competition in ecosystem responses to variation in plant diversity Ecology 79 704 719
    • (1998) Ecology , vol.79 , pp. 704-719
    • Hooper, D.U.1
  • 32
    • 0034144294 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biological consequences of global warming: Is the signal already apparent?
    • Hughes L. 2000 Biological consequences of global warming: is the signal already apparent? Trends in Ecology and Evolution 15 56 61
    • (2000) Trends in Ecology and Evolution , vol.15 , pp. 56-61
    • Hughes, L.1
  • 33
    • 84986776507 scopus 로고
    • European post-glacial forests: Compositional changes in response to climate change
    • Huntley B. 1990 European post-glacial forests: compositional changes in response to climate change Journal of Vegetation Science 1 507 518
    • (1990) Journal of Vegetation Science , vol.1 , pp. 507-518
    • Huntley, B.1
  • 34
  • 36
    • 0242308216 scopus 로고
    • The Committee for Mapping the Flora of Europe Societas Biologica Fennica Vanamo Helsinki, Finland
    • Jalas J. Suominen J. 1972-96 Altas Florae Europaeae The Committee for Mapping the Flora of Europe Societas Biologica Fennica Vanamo Helsinki, Finland
    • (1972) Altas Florae Europaeae
    • Jalas, J.1    Suominen, J.2
  • 38
    • 0242370058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Non-equilibrium succession dynamics indicate continued northern migration of lodgepole pine
    • Jonhnstone J.F. Chapin III. F.S. 2003 Non-equilibrium succession dynamics indicate continued northern migration of lodgepole pine Global Change Biology 9 1401 1409
    • (2003) Global Change Biology , vol.9 , pp. 1401-1409
    • Jonhnstone, J.F.1    Chapin Iii., F.S.2
  • 39
    • 0002588743 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From dot maps to bitmaps - Atlas Florae Europaeae goes digital
    • Lahti T. Lampinen R. 1999 From dot maps to bitmaps - Atlas Florae Europaeae goes digital Acta Botanica Fennica 162 5 9
    • (1999) Acta Botanica Fennica , vol.162 , pp. 5-9
    • Lahti, T.1    Lampinen, R.2
  • 41
    • 0036791340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting changes in community composition and ecosystem functioning from plant trait: Revisiting the Holy Grail
    • Lavorel S. Garnier E. 2002 Predicting changes in community composition and ecosystem functioning from plant trait: revisiting the Holy Grail Functional Ecology 16 545 556
    • (2002) Functional Ecology , vol.16 , pp. 545-556
    • Lavorel, S.1    Garnier, E.2
  • 42
    • 0031425520 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Plant functional classifications: From general groups to specific groups based on response to disturbance
    • Lavorel S. McIntyre S. Landsberg J. Forbes T.D.A. 1997 Plant functional classifications: from general groups to specific groups based on response to disturbance Trends in Ecology and Evolution 12 471 478
    • (1997) Trends in Ecology and Evolution , vol.12 , pp. 471-478
    • Lavorel, S.1    McIntyre, S.2    Landsberg, J.3    Forbes, T.D.A.4
  • 46
    • 0034770214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating presence-absence models in ecology: The need to account for prevalence
    • Manel S. Williams H.C. Ormerod S.J. 2001 Evaluating presence-absence models in ecology: the need to account for prevalence Journal of Applied Ecology 38 921 931
    • (2001) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.38 , pp. 921-931
    • Manel, S.1    Williams, H.C.2    Ormerod, S.J.3
  • 47
    • 0034141726 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial distributions of understory light along the grassland/forest continuum: Effects of cover, height, and spatial pattern of tree canopies
    • Martens S.N. Breshears D.D. Meyer C.W. 2000 Spatial distributions of understory light along the grassland/forest continuum: effects of cover, height, and spatial pattern of tree canopies Ecological Modelling 126 79 93
    • (2000) Ecological Modelling , vol.126 , pp. 79-93
    • Martens, S.N.1    Breshears, D.D.2    Meyer, C.W.3
  • 48
    • 0002649855 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biodiversity: A biology of numbers and difference
    • (ed. by. Gaston K.J. Blackwell Science Oxford pp
    • Martinez N.D. 1997 Biodiversity: a biology of numbers and difference Defining and measuring functional aspects of biodiversity (ed. by Gaston K.J. pp 114 148 Blackwell Science Oxford
    • (1997) Defining and Measuring Functional Aspects of Biodiversity , pp. 114-148
    • Martinez, N.D.1
  • 50
    • 33645036410 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Plant functional types: Their relevance to ecosystem properties and global change
    • (ed. by. Woodward F.I. Shugart H.H. Smith T.M. Cambridge University Press Cambridge pp
    • Mooney H.A. 1996 Plant functional types: their relevance to ecosystem properties and global change Ecosystem function of biodiversity (ed. by Smith T.M. Shugart H.H. Woodward F.I. pp 341 354 Cambridge University Press Cambridge
    • (1996) Ecosystem Function of Biodiversity , pp. 341-354
    • Mooney, H.A.1
  • 51
    • 0029660502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implementation of a hierarchical global vegetation classification in ecosystem function models
    • Nemani R. Running S.W. 1996 Implementation of a hierarchical global vegetation classification in ecosystem function models Journal of Vegetation Science 7 337 346
    • (1996) Journal of Vegetation Science , vol.7 , pp. 337-346
    • Nemani, R.1    Running, S.W.2
  • 52
    • 0037413628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
    • Parmesan C. Yohe G. 2003 A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems Nature 421 37 42
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 37-42
    • Parmesan, C.1    Yohe, G.2
  • 53
    • 0033831709 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the predictive performance of habitat models developed using logistic regression
    • Pearce J. Ferrier S. 2000 Evaluating the predictive performance of habitat models developed using logistic regression Ecological Modelling 133 225 245
    • (2000) Ecological Modelling , vol.133 , pp. 225-245
    • Pearce, J.1    Ferrier, S.2
  • 54
    • 33645031435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Peat H. Fitter A. 2002 The ecological Flora of the British Isles
    • (2002)
    • Peat, H.1    Fitter, A.2
  • 55
    • 0036098711 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Functional diversity (FD), species richness and community composition
    • Petchey O.L. Gaston K.J. 2002 Functional diversity (FD), species richness and community composition Ecology Letters 5 402 411
    • (2002) Ecology Letters , vol.5 , pp. 402-411
    • Petchey, O.L.1    Gaston, K.J.2
  • 58
    • 0036343004 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Functional redundancy in ecology and conservation
    • Rosenfeld J.C. 2002 Functional redundancy in ecology and conservation Oikos 98 156 162
    • (2002) Oikos , vol.98 , pp. 156-162
    • Rosenfeld, J.C.1
  • 59
    • 0034095686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Response of subartic vegetation to transient climatic change on the Seward Peninsula in north-west Alaska
    • Rupp T.S. Chapin III. S.F Starfield A.M. 2000 Response of subartic vegetation to transient climatic change on the Seward Peninsula in north-west Alaska Global Change Biology 6 541 555
    • (2000) Global Change Biology , vol.6 , pp. 541-555
    • Rupp, T.S.1    Chapin Iii., S.F.2    Starfield, A.M.3
  • 61
    • 28144447574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecosystem service supply and human vulnerability to global change in Europe
    • DOI: 10.1126/science.1115233. In press
    • Schröter D. Cramer W. Leemans R. Prentice I.C. Araújo M.B. Arnell N.W. et al. 2005 Ecosystem service supply and human vulnerability to global change in Europe Science DOI: 10.1126/science.1115233. In press
    • (2005) Science
    • Schröter, D.1    Cramer, W.2    Leemans, R.3    Prentice, I.C.4    Araújo, M.B.5    Arnell, N.W.6
  • 64
    • 3042779077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Limited filling of the potential range in European tree species
    • Svenning J.-C. Skov F. 2004 Limited filling of the potential range in European tree species Ecology Letters 7 565 573
    • (2004) Ecology Letters , vol.7 , pp. 565-573
    • Svenning, J.-C.1    Skov, F.2
  • 65
    • 0023890867 scopus 로고
    • Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems
    • Swets K.A. 1988 Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems Science 240 1285 1293
    • (1988) Science , vol.240 , pp. 1285-1293
    • Swets, K.A.1
  • 66
    • 0030304341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A bioclimatic model for the potential distributions of north European tree species under present and future climate
    • Sykes M.T. Prentice I.C. Cramer W. 1996 A bioclimatic model for the potential distributions of north European tree species under present and future climate Journal of Biogeography 23 203 233
    • (1996) Journal of Biogeography , vol.23 , pp. 203-233
    • Sykes, M.T.1    Prentice, I.C.2    Cramer, W.3
  • 67
    • 0030616894 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The logic of carbon and nitrogen interactions in terrestrial ecosystems
    • Tateno M. Chapin III. F.S. 1997 The logic of carbon and nitrogen interactions in terrestrial ecosystems American Naturalist 149 723 744
    • (1997) American Naturalist , vol.149 , pp. 723-744
    • Tateno, M.1    Chapin Iii., F.S.2
  • 69
    • 0242275331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • BIOMOD: Optimising predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change
    • Thuiller W. 2003 BIOMOD: optimising predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change Global Change Biology 9 1353 1362
    • (2003) Global Change Biology , vol.9 , pp. 1353-1362
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 70
    • 10944234906 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change
    • Thuiller W. 2004 Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change Global Change Biology 10 2020 2027
    • (2004) Global Change Biology , vol.10 , pp. 2020-2027
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 71
    • 1542289824 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do we need land-cover data to model species distributions in Europe?
    • Thuiller W. Araújo M.B. Lavorel S. 2004a Do we need land-cover data to model species distributions in Europe? Journal of Biogeography 31 353 361
    • (2004) Journal of Biogeography , vol.31 , pp. 353-361
    • Thuiller, W.1    Araújo, M.B.2    Lavorel, S.3
  • 73
    • 4744352914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future species distributions
    • Thuiller W. Brotons L. Araújo M.B. Lavorel S. 2004c Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future species distributions Ecography 27 165 172
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 165-172
    • Thuiller, W.1    Brotons, L.2    Araújo, M.B.3    Lavorel, S.4
  • 74
    • 22144483511 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Niche properties and geographic extent as predictors of species sensitivity to climate change
    • Thuiller W. Lavorel S. Araújo M.B. 2005a Niche properties and geographic extent as predictors of species sensitivity to climate change Global Ecology and Biogeography 14 347 357
    • (2005) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.14 , pp. 347-357
    • Thuiller, W.1    Lavorel, S.2    Araújo, M.B.3
  • 76
    • 85042836215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Functional diversity
    • (ed. by. Levin S.A. Academic Press San Diego, CA pp
    • Tilman D. 2001 Functional diversity Encyclopedia of Biodiversity (ed. by Levin S.A. pp 109 120 Academic Press San Diego, CA
    • (2001) Encyclopedia of Biodiversity , pp. 109-120
    • Tilman, D.1
  • 79
    • 0027089264 scopus 로고
    • Biodiversity and ecological redundancy
    • Walker B.H. 1992 Biodiversity and ecological redundancy Conservation Biology 6 18 23
    • (1992) Conservation Biology , vol.6 , pp. 18-23
    • Walker, B.H.1
  • 81
    • 0004090939 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fingerprints of climate change - Adapted behaviour and shifting species ranges
    • (ed. by Kluwer Academic Edwards P.J. Burga C.A. Walther G.-R. Plenum Publishers New York /
    • Walther G.-R. Carraro G. Klötzli K. 2001 Fingerprints of climate change - adapted behaviour and shifting species ranges Evergreen broad-leaved species as indicators for climate change (ed. by Walther G.-R. Burga C.A. Edwards P.J. Kluwer Academic / Plenum Publishers New York
    • (2001) Evergreen Broad-leaved Species As Indicators for Climate Change
    • Walther, G.-R.1    Carraro, G.2    Klötzli, K.3
  • 83
    • 0002959644 scopus 로고
    • Global warming and biological diversity
    • Lovejoy T.E. Peters R.L. Yale University New Haven and London (ed. by
    • Webb T.I. 1992 Global warming and biological diversity Past changes in vegetation and climate: lessons for the future (ed. by Peters R.L. Lovejoy T.E. Yale University New Haven and London
    • (1992) Past Changes in Vegetation and Climate: Lessons for the Future
    • Webb, T.I.1
  • 85
    • 18444394052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationships among indices suggest that richness if an incomplete surrogate for grassland biodiversity
    • Wilsey B.J. Chalcraft D.R. Bowles C.M. Willig M.R. 2005 Relationships among indices suggest that richness if an incomplete surrogate for grassland biodiversity Ecology 86 1178 1184
    • (2005) Ecology , vol.86 , pp. 1178-1184
    • Wilsey, B.J.1    Chalcraft, D.R.2    Bowles, C.M.3    Willig, M.R.4
  • 87
    • 0000734949 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of vegetation change: Health warnings for equilibrium 'dodo' models
    • Woodward F.I. Beerling D.J. 1997 The dynamics of vegetation change: health warnings for equilibrium 'dodo' models Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters 6 413 418
    • (1997) Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters , vol.6 , pp. 413-418
    • Woodward, F.I.1    Beerling, D.J.2
  • 88
    • 4344650280 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vegetation dynamics - Simulating responses to climatic change
    • Woodward F.I. Lomas M.R. 2004 Vegetation dynamics - simulating responses to climatic change Biological Reviews 79 643 670
    • (2004) Biological Reviews , vol.79 , pp. 643-670
    • Woodward, F.I.1    Lomas, M.R.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.