메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 10, Issue , 2016, Pages 135-169

Accounting for Possibilities in Decision Making

Author keywords

Ambiguity; Deep uncertainty; Epistemic possibility; Expected utility; Ignorance; Knightian uncertainty; Maximin; Modal epistemology; Possibility; Precautinary principle; Probabilism; Real possibility; Risk imposition; Robust decision analysis; Surprise; Unknown unknowns; Worst case

Indexed keywords


EID: 85061424035     PISSN: 22149120     EISSN: 22149139     Source Type: Book Series    
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_6     Document Type: Chapter
Times cited : (17)

References (55)
  • 1
    • 84866443470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shackle and modern decision theory
    • Basili, M., & Zappia, C. (2009). Shackle and modern decision theory. Metroeconomica, 60, 245–282.
    • (2009) Metroeconomica , vol.60 , pp. 245-282
    • Basili, M.1    Zappia, C.2
  • 3
    • 85050422057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What’s the worst case? The methodology of possibilistic prediction
    • Betz, G. (2010b). What’s the worst case? The methodology of possibilistic prediction. Analyse und Kritik, 32, 87–106.
    • (2010) Analyse Und Kritik , vol.32 , pp. 87-106
    • Betz, G.1
  • 4
    • 85036596544 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction
    • I. C. Jarvie & J. Zamora-Bonilla (Eds.), (pp. , Thousand Oaks: SAGE Publications
    • Betz, G. (2011). Prediction. In I. C. Jarvie & J. Zamora-Bonilla (Eds.), The sage handbook of the philosophy of social sciences (pp. 647–664). Thousand Oaks: SAGE Publications.
    • (2011) The Sage Handbook of the Philosophy of Social Sciences , pp. 647-664
    • Betz, G.1
  • 5
    • 84929071106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are climate models credible worlds? Prospects and limitations of possibilistic climate prediction
    • Betz, G. (2015). Are climate models credible worlds? Prospects and limitations of possibilistic climate prediction. European Journal for Philosophy of Science, 5, 191–215.
    • (2015) European Journal for Philosophy of Science , vol.5 , pp. 191-215
    • Betz, G.1
  • 7
    • 84945972559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Normative theories of rational choice: Expected utility
    • Briggs, R. (2014). Normative theories of rational choice: Expected utility. The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy. http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/rationality-normative-utility/.
    • (2014) The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy
    • Briggs, R.1
  • 8
    • 85057019378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysing practical argumentation. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 39–77). Cham: Springer
    • Brun, G., & Betz, G. (2016). Analysing practical argumentation. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 39–77). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_3.
    • (2016) Doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_3
    • Brun, G.1    Betz, G.2
  • 11
    • 85061415864 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. , Cham: Springer
    • Doorn, N. (2016). Reasoning about uncertainty in flood risk governance. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 245–263). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_10.
    • (2016) Reasoning about Uncertainty in Flood Risk Governance , pp. 245-263
    • Doorn, N.1
  • 14
    • 85040797784 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate geoengineering. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 305–324). Cham: Springer
    • Elliott, K. C. (2016). Climate geoengineering. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 305–324). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_13.
    • (2016) Doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_13
    • Elliott, K.C.1
  • 16
    • 84957363402 scopus 로고
    • Risk, ambiguity, and the savage axioms
    • Ellsberg, D. (1961). Risk, ambiguity, and the savage axioms. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 75, 643–669.
    • (1961) Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.75 , pp. 643-669
    • Ellsberg, D.1
  • 18
    • 85106024944 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European Commission. (2011). Commission staff working paper. Impact assessment. accompanying the document communication from the commission to the council, the European Parliament, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. Energy Roadmap 2050. COM(2011)885. http://ec.europa.eu/smart-regulation/impact/ia_car ried_out/docs/ia_2011/sec_2011_1565_en.pdf. Accessed 12 Aug 2015.
    • European Commission. (2011). Commission staff working paper. Impact assessment. accompanying the document communication from the commission to the council, the European Parliament, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. Energy Roadmap 2050. COM(2011)885. http://ec.europa.eu/smart-regulation/impact/ia_car ried_out/docs/ia_2011/sec_2011_1565_en.pdf. Accessed 12 Aug 2015.
  • 20
    • 77249163936 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is it always rational to satisfy Savage’s axioms?
    • Special Issue 03
    • Gilboa, I., Postlewaite, A., & Schmeidler, D. (2009). Is it always rational to satisfy Savage’s axioms? Economics and Philosophy, 25(Special Issue 03): 285–296.
    • (2009) Economics and Philosophy , vol.25 , pp. 285-296
    • Gilboa, I.1    Postlewaite, A.2    Schmeidler, D.3
  • 23
    • 0000592024 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The limits of precaution
    • Hansson, S. O. (1997). The limits of precaution. Foundations of Science, 1997, 293–306.
    • (1997) Foundations of Science , vol.1997 , pp. 293-306
    • Hansson, S.O.1
  • 25
    • 28044440671 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ethical criteria of risk acceptance
    • Hansson, S. O. (2003). Ethical criteria of risk acceptance. Erkenntnis, 59, 291–309.
    • (2003) Erkenntnis , vol.59 , pp. 291-309
    • Hansson, S.O.1
  • 27
    • 85026637425 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the uncertainties. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 79–104). Cham: Springer
    • Hansson, S. O. (2016). Evaluating the uncertainties. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 79–104). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_4.
    • (2016) Doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_4
    • Hansson, S.O.1
  • 28
    • 84902515431 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and decision in climate change economics
    • Heal, G., & Millner, A. (2013). Uncertainty and decision in climate change economics. NBER working paper No. 18929. http://www.nber.org/papers/w18929.pdf. Accessed 12 Aug 2015.
    • (2013) NBER Working Paper No. 18929
    • Heal, G.1    Millner, A.2
  • 29
    • 0004155291 scopus 로고
    • Chicago: University of Chicago Press
    • Jeffrey, R. (1965). The logic of decision. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
    • (1965) The Logic of Decision
    • Jeffrey, R.1
  • 34
    • 85061419248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Value uncertainty. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 105–133). Cham: Springer
    • M€oller, N. (2016). Value uncertainty. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 105–133). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_5.
    • (2016) Doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_5
  • 35
    • 80053320723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Certainty, uncertainty, and climate change
    • Morgan, M. G. (2011). Certainty, uncertainty, and climate change. Climatic Change, 108, 707–721.
    • (2011) Climatic Change , vol.108 , pp. 707-721
    • Morgan, M.G.1
  • 37
    • 84867139005 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Branching in the landscape of possibilities
    • Müller, T. (2012). Branching in the landscape of possibilities. Synthese, 188, 41–65.
    • (2012) Synthese , vol.188 , pp. 41-65
    • Müller, T.1
  • 38
    • 85027934415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Operationalizing climate targets under learning: An application of cost-risk analysis
    • Neubersch, D., Held, H., & Otto, A. (2014). Operationalizing climate targets under learning: An application of cost-risk analysis. Climatic Change, 126, 305–318.
    • (2014) Climatic Change , vol.126 , pp. 305-318
    • Neubersch, D.1    Held, H.2    Otto, A.3
  • 41
    • 33745355693 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The precautionary principle is incoherent
    • Peterson, M. (2006). The precautionary principle is incoherent. Risk Analysis, 26, 595–601.
    • (2006) Risk Analysis , vol.26 , pp. 595-601
    • Peterson, M.1
  • 42
    • 0004048289 scopus 로고
    • Cambridge: Harvard University Press
    • Rawls, J. (1971). A theory of justice. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
    • (1971) A Theory of Justice
    • Rawls, J.1
  • 47
    • 85105992289 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. , Cham: Springer
    • Schefczyk, M. (2016). Financial markets: The stabilisation task. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 265–290). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_11.
    • (2016) Financial Markets: The Stabilisation Task , pp. 265-290
    • Schefczyk, M.1
  • 48
    • 78651417382 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate targets under uncertainty: Challenges and remedies
    • Schmidt, M. G. W., Lorenz, A., Held, H., & Kriegler, E. (2011). Climate targets under uncertainty: Challenges and remedies. Climatic Change, 104, 783–791.
    • (2011) Climatic Change , vol.104 , pp. 783-791
    • Schmidt, M.G.W.1    Lorenz, A.2    Held, H.3    Kriegler, E.4
  • 49
    • 0035799690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What is ’dangerous’ climate change?
    • Schneider, S. H. (2001). What is ’dangerous’ climate change? Nature, 411, 17–19.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.411 , pp. 17-19
    • Schneider, S.H.1
  • 50
    • 85061424014 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. , Cham: Springer
    • Shrader-Frechette, K. (2016). Uncertainty analysis, nuclear waste, and million-year predictions. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 291–303). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_12.
    • (2016) Uncertainty Analysis, Nuclear Waste, and Million-Year Predictions , pp. 291-303
    • Shrader-Frechette, K.1
  • 51
    • 77956209712 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The precautionary principle: A new approach to public decision-making?
    • Steele, K. (2006). The precautionary principle: A new approach to public decision-making? Law, Probability, and Risk, 5, 19–31.
    • (2006) Law, Probability, and Risk , vol.5 , pp. 19-31
    • Steele, K.1
  • 53
    • 0037287640 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate policy in light of climate science: The ICLIPS project
    • Toth, F. L. (2003). Climate policy in light of climate science: The ICLIPS project. Climatic Change, 56, 7–36.
    • (2003) Climatic Change , vol.56 , pp. 7-36
    • Toth, F.L.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.