메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 10, Issue , 2016, Pages 79-104

Evaluating the Uncertainties

Author keywords

Argumentation; Decision rules; Epistemic defaults; Expected utility; Fallacies; Hypothetical retrospection; Scenarios; Symmetry arguments; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords


EID: 85026637425     PISSN: 22149120     EISSN: 22149139     Source Type: Book Series    
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_4     Document Type: Chapter
Times cited : (20)

References (69)
  • 1
    • 80052610537 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • We should stop running away from radiation
    • Allison, W. (2011). We should stop running away from radiation. Philosophy and Technology, 24, 193–195.
    • (2011) Philosophy and Technology , vol.24 , pp. 193-195
    • Allison, W.1
  • 2
  • 3
    • 33750583314 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measles in the United Kingdom: Can we eradicate it by 2010?
    • Asaria, P., & MacMahon, E. (2006). Measles in the United Kingdom: Can we eradicate it by 2010? BMJ, 333, 890–895.
    • (2006) BMJ , vol.333 , pp. 890-895
    • Asaria, P.1    Macmahon, E.2
  • 5
    • 85006659917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Of myths and men
    • May 2
    • Ball, P. (2008, May 2). Of myths and men. Nature News. http://www.nature.com/news/2008/080502/full/news.2008.797.html. Accessed Jan 2013.
    • (2008) Nature News
    • Ball, P.1
  • 6
    • 14644391510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Focusing on improved water and sanitation for health
    • Bartram, J., Lewis, K., Lenton, R., & Wright, A. (2005). Focusing on improved water and sanitation for health. Lancet, 365, 810–812.
    • (2005) Lancet , vol.365 , pp. 810-812
    • Bartram, J.1    Lewis, K.2    Lenton, R.3    Wright, A.4
  • 7
    • 85106065073 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bentham, J. (1780). An introduction to the principles of morals and legislation. London: T. Payne. http://gallica.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/bpt6k93974k/f2.image.r¼.langEN
    • Bentham, J. (1780). An introduction to the principles of morals and legislation. London: T. Payne. http://gallica.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/bpt6k93974k/f2.image.r¼.langEN
  • 10
    • 84876426385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Debunking vaccination myths: Strong risk negations can increase perceived vaccination risks
    • Betsch, C., & Sachse, K. (2013). Debunking vaccination myths: Strong risk negations can increase perceived vaccination risks. Health Psychology, 32, 146.
    • (2013) Health Psychology , vol.32 , pp. 146
    • Betsch, C.1    Sachse, K.2
  • 11
    • 34248355715 scopus 로고
    • Unacceptability of acceptable risk
    • Bicevskis, A. (1982). Unacceptability of acceptable risk. Search, 13, 31–34.
    • (1982) Search , vol.13 , pp. 31-34
    • Bicevskis, A.1
  • 13
    • 85057019378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysing practical argumentation. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 39–77). Cham: Springer
    • Brun, G., & Betz, G. (2016). Analysing practical argumentation. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 39–77). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_3.
    • (2016) Doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_3
    • Brun, G.1    Betz, G.2
  • 14
    • 13844308336 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Invasive species are a leading cause of animal extinctions
    • Clavero, M., & García-Berthou, E. (2005). Invasive species are a leading cause of animal extinctions. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 20, 110–110.
    • (2005) Trends in Ecology and Evolution , vol.20 , pp. 110-110
    • Clavero, M.1    García-Berthou, E.2
  • 16
    • 84985165923 scopus 로고
    • Setting the agenda for a new Europe: The ERT and EC 1992
    • Cowles, M. G. (1995). Setting the agenda for a new Europe: The ERT and EC 1992. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 33, 501–526.
    • (1995) JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies , vol.33 , pp. 501-526
    • Cowles, M.G.1
  • 17
    • 78751687890 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How the vaccine crisis was meant to make money
    • Deer, B. (2011). How the vaccine crisis was meant to make money. BMJ, 342, c5258.
    • (2011) BMJ , vol.342 , pp. c5258
    • Deer, B.1
  • 18
    • 84871233075 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Polar bears are in trouble—And ice melt’s not the half of it
    • Dybas, C. L. (2012). Polar bears are in trouble—And ice melt’s not the half of it. BioScience, 62, 1014–1018.
    • (2012) Bioscience , vol.62 , pp. 1014-1018
    • Dybas, C.L.1
  • 19
    • 85040797784 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate geoengineering. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 305–324). Cham: Springer
    • Elliott, K. C. (2016). Climate geoengineering. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 305–324). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_13.
    • (2016) Doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_13
    • Elliott, K.C.1
  • 21
    • 84890841421 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How Fukushima Dai-ichi core meltdown changed the probability of nuclear accidents?
    • Escobar Rangel, L., & Lévêque, F. (2014). How Fukushima Dai-ichi core meltdown changed the probability of nuclear accidents? Safety Science, 64, 90–98.
    • (2014) Safety Science , vol.64 , pp. 90-98
    • Escobar Rangel, L.1    Lévêque, F.2
  • 22
    • 0022413430 scopus 로고
    • Toward a De Minimis policy in risk regulation
    • Fiksel, J. (1985). Toward a De Minimis policy in risk regulation. Risk Analysis, 5, 257–259.
    • (1985) Risk Analysis , vol.5 , pp. 257-259
    • Fiksel, J.1
  • 23
    • 84929063200 scopus 로고
    • The convention on long-range transboundary air pollution: Meeting the challenge of international cooperation
    • Fraenkel, A. A. (1989). The convention on long-range transboundary air pollution: Meeting the challenge of international cooperation. Harvard International Law Journal, 30, 447–476.
    • (1989) Harvard International Law Journal , vol.30 , pp. 447-476
    • Fraenkel, A.A.1
  • 26
    • 84902262687 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calculating nuclear accident probabilities from empirical frequencies
    • Ha-Duong, M., & Journé, V. (2014). Calculating nuclear accident probabilities from empirical frequencies. Environment Systems and Decisions, 34, 249–258.
    • (2014) Environment Systems and Decisions , vol.34 , pp. 249-258
    • Ha-Duong, M.1    Journé, V.2
  • 28
    • 34248349712 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • But what should I do?
    • Hansson, S. O. (1999a). But what should I do? Philosophia, 27, 433–440.
    • (1999) Philosophia , vol.27 , pp. 433-440
    • Hansson, S.O.1
  • 29
    • 0008779992 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The moral significance of indetectable effects
    • Hansson, S. O. (1999b). The moral significance of indetectable effects. Risk, 10, 101–108.
    • (1999) Risk , vol.10 , pp. 101-108
    • Hansson, S.O.1
  • 31
    • 85105975686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Great uncertainty about small things. Techne, 8, 26–35 [Reprinted in Nanotechnology Challenges: Implications for Philosophy, Ethics and Society, eds. Joachim Schummer, and Davis Baird, 315-325. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing
    • (b)
    • Hansson, S. O. (2004b). Great uncertainty about small things. Techne, 8, 26–35 [Reprinted in Nanotechnology Challenges: Implications for Philosophy, Ethics and Society, eds. Joachim Schummer, and Davis Baird, 315-325. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing, 2006.].
    • (2004) 2006.]
    • Hansson, S.O.1
  • 33
    • 34249669441 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Philosophical problems in cost-benefit analysis
    • Hansson, S. O. (2007b). Philosophical problems in cost-benefit analysis. Economics and Philosophy, 23, 163–183.
    • (2007) Economics and Philosophy , vol.23 , pp. 163-183
    • Hansson, S.O.1
  • 34
    • 67349207402 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From the casino to the jungle. Dealing with uncertainty in technological risk management
    • Hansson, S. O. (2009). From the casino to the jungle. Dealing with uncertainty in technological risk management. Synthese, 168, 423–432.
    • (2009) Synthese , vol.168 , pp. 423-432
    • Hansson, S.O.1
  • 35
    • 80052626481 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Radiation protection – Sorting out the arguments
    • Hansson, S. O. (2011). Radiation protection – Sorting out the arguments. Philosophy and Technology, 24, 363–368.
    • (2011) Philosophy and Technology , vol.24 , pp. 363-368
    • Hansson, S.O.1
  • 37
    • 85061424185 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. , Cham: Springer
    • Hansson, S. O., & Hirsch Hadorn, G. (2016). Introducing the argumentative turn in policy analysis. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 11–35). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_2.
    • (2016) Introducing the Argumentative Turn in Policy Analysis , pp. 11-35
    • Hansson, S.O.1    Hirsch Hadorn, G.2
  • 40
    • 85046946279 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporal strategies for decision making. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 217–242). Cham: Springer
    • Hirsch Hadorn, G. (2016). Temporal strategies for decision making. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 217–242). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_9.
    • (2016) Doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_9
    • Hirsch Hadorn, G.1
  • 41
    • 0002750171 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Radiation risk and ethics
    • Jaworowski, Z. (1999). Radiation risk and ethics. Physics Today, 52, 24–29.
    • (1999) Physics Today , vol.52 , pp. 24-29
    • Jaworowski, Z.1
  • 43
    • 75249094703 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A postmodern Pandora’s box: Anti-vaccination misinformation on the Internet
    • Kata, A. (2010). A postmodern Pandora’s box: Anti-vaccination misinformation on the Internet. Vaccine, 28, 1709–1716.
    • (2010) Vaccine , vol.28 , pp. 1709-1716
    • Kata, A.1
  • 45
    • 84866357779 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Herbal medicine development: A plea for a rigorous scientific foundation
    • Lietman, P. S. (2012). Herbal medicine development: A plea for a rigorous scientific foundation. American Journal of Therapeutics, 19, 351–356.
    • (2012) American Journal of Therapeutics , vol.19 , pp. 351-356
    • Lietman, P.S.1
  • 49
    • 0033231959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biotic homogenization: A few winners replacing many losers in the next mass extinction
    • McKinney, M. L., & Lockwood, J. L. (1999). Biotic homogenization: A few winners replacing many losers in the next mass extinction. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 14, 450–453.
    • (1999) Trends in Ecology and Evolution , vol.14 , pp. 450-453
    • McKinney, M.L.1    Lockwood, J.L.2
  • 51
    • 85061419248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Value uncertainty. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 105–133). Cham: Springer
    • M€oller, N. (2016). Value uncertainty. In S. O. Hansson & G. Hirsch Hadorn (Eds.), The argumentative turn in policy analysis. Reasoning about uncertainty (pp. 105–133). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_5.
    • (2016) Doi:10.1007/978-3-319-30549-3_5
  • 54
    • 0012585802 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implications of nanotechnology applications: Using genetics as a lesson
    • Moore, F. N. (2002). Implications of nanotechnology applications: using genetics as a lesson. Health Law Review, 10, 9–15.
    • (2002) Health Law Review , vol.10 , pp. 9-15
    • Moore, F.N.1
  • 56
    • 0034766249 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constructing ‘Sound Science’ and ‘Good Epidemiology’: Tobacco, lawyers, and public relations firms
    • Ong, E. K., & Glantz, S. A. (2001). Constructing ‘Sound Science’ and ‘Good Epidemiology’: Tobacco, lawyers, and public relations firms. American Journal of Public Health, 91, 1749–1757.
    • (2001) American Journal of Public Health , vol.91 , pp. 1749-1757
    • Ong, E.K.1    Glantz, S.A.2
  • 58
    • 68249124438 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gauging a Collider’s odds of creating a black hole
    • April 15
    • Overbye, D. (2008, April 15). Gauging a Collider’s odds of creating a black hole. New York Times. http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/15/science/15risk.html. Accessed 24 Aug 2015.
    • (2008) New York Times
    • Overbye, D.1
  • 59
    • 85106063612 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oxford English Dictionary (OED). (2015). fallacy, n. Oxford University Press. http://www.oed. com. Accessed 28 May 2015.
    • Oxford English Dictionary (OED). (2015). fallacy, n. Oxford University Press. http://www.oed. com. Accessed 28 May 2015.
  • 60
    • 3442875898 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The global smoking epidemic: A history and status report
    • Proctor, R. N. (2004). The global smoking epidemic: A history and status report. Clinical Lung Cancer, 5, 371–376.
    • (2004) Clinical Lung Cancer , vol.5 , pp. 371-376
    • Proctor, R.N.1
  • 61
    • 85105995272 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On green dread and agricultural technology
    • July 22
    • Revkin, A. C. (2011, July 22). On green dread and agricultural technology. New York Times. http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/07/22/on-green-dread-and-agricultural-technology/. Accessed 28 May 2015.
    • (2011) New York Times
    • Revkin, A.C.1
  • 62
    • 85105984431 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From Lynas to Pollan, agreement that golden rice trials should proceed
    • August 27
    • Revkin, A. C. (2013, August 27). From Lynas to Pollan, agreement that golden rice trials should proceed. New York Times. http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/08/27/from-mark-lynas-to-michael-pollan-agreement-that-golden-rice-trials-should-proceed/. Accessed 28 May 2015.
    • (2013) New York Times
    • Revkin, A.C.1
  • 65
    • 0002744571 scopus 로고
    • Some problems with environmental economics
    • Sagoff, M. (1988). Some problems with environmental economics. Environmental Ethics, 10, 55–74.
    • (1988) Environmental Ethics , vol.10 , pp. 55-74
    • Sagoff, M.1
  • 68
    • 0003376794 scopus 로고
    • Scenarios, uncharted waters ahead
    • Wack, P. (1985a). Scenarios, uncharted waters ahead. Harvard Business Review, 63, 73–89.
    • (1985) Harvard Business Review , vol.63 , pp. 73-89
    • Wack, P.1
  • 69
    • 0003376794 scopus 로고
    • Scenarios, shooting the rapids
    • Wack, P. (1985b). Scenarios, shooting the rapids. Harvard Business Review, 63, 139–150.
    • (1985) Harvard Business Review , vol.63 , pp. 139-150
    • Wack, P.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.