-
1
-
-
77956649096
-
A survey of cross-validation procedures for model selection
-
Arlot, S., and Celisse, A.: A survey of cross-validation procedures for model selection. Statist. Surv., 4, 40-79, doi:10.1214/09-SS054, 2010.
-
(2010)
Statist. Surv.
, vol.4
, pp. 40-79
-
-
Arlot, S.1
Celisse, A.2
-
2
-
-
58249085384
-
On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation
-
Christensen, J. H., Boberg, F., Christensen, O. B., and Lucas-Picher, P.: On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L20709, doi:10.1029/2008GL035694, 2008.
-
(2008)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.35
, pp. L20709
-
-
Christensen, J.H.1
Boberg, F.2
Christensen, O.B.3
Lucas-Picher, P.4
-
3
-
-
84971373612
-
An experiment on risk-based decision-making in water management using monthly probabilistic forecasts
-
Crochemore, L., Ramos, M.-H., Pappenberger, F., van Andel, S. J., and Wood, A. W.: An Experiment on Risk-Based Decision-Making in Water Management Using Monthly Probabilistic Forecasts. B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 97, 541-551, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00270.1, 2016.
-
(2016)
B. Am. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.97
, pp. 541-551
-
-
Crochemore, L.1
Ramos, M.-H.2
Pappenberger, F.3
Van Andel, S.J.4
Wood, A.W.5
-
4
-
-
0022266169
-
Extended streamflow forecasting using nwsrfs
-
Day, G.: Extended Streamflow Forecasting Using NWSRFS. J. Water Res. Pl.-ASCE, 111, 157-170, 1985.
-
(1985)
J. Water Res. Pl.-ASCE
, vol.111
, pp. 157-170
-
-
Day, G.1
-
5
-
-
84921346683
-
The skill of seasonal ensemble low-flow forecasts in the Moselle River for three different hydrological models
-
Demirel, M. C., Booij, M. J., and Hoekstra, A. Y.: The skill of seasonal ensemble low-flow forecasts in the Moselle River for three different hydrological models, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 275-291, doi:10.5194/hess-19-275-2015, 2015.
-
(2015)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.19
, pp. 275-291
-
-
Demirel, M.C.1
Booij, M.J.2
Hoekstra, A.Y.3
-
6
-
-
84880702456
-
A rainfall calibration methodology for impacts modelling based on spatial mapping
-
Di Giuseppe, F., Molteni, F., and Tompkins, A. M.: A rainfall calibration methodology for impacts modelling based on spatial mapping. Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 139, 1389-1401, doi:10.1002/qj.2019, 2013.
-
(2013)
Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
, vol.139
, pp. 1389-1401
-
-
Di Giuseppe, F.1
Molteni, F.2
Tompkins, A.M.3
-
7
-
-
84904767657
-
Global meteorological drought-part 1: Probabilistic monitoring
-
Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F., Di Giuseppe, F., Naumann, G., Barbosa, P., Vogt, J., Pozzi, W., and Pappenberger, F.: Global meteorological drought-Part 1: Probabilistic monitoring. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2657-2667, doi:10.5194/hess-18-2657-2014, 2014.
-
(2014)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.18
, pp. 2657-2667
-
-
Dutra, E.1
Wetterhall, F.2
Di Giuseppe, F.3
Naumann, G.4
Barbosa, P.5
Vogt, J.6
Pozzi, W.7
Pappenberger, F.8
-
8
-
-
84869439488
-
HESS opinions should we apply bias correction to global and regional climate model data?
-
Ehret, U., Zehe, E., Wulfmeyer, V., Warrach-Sagi, K., and Liebert, J.: HESS Opinions ?Should we apply bias correction to global and regional climate model data. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 3391-3404, doi:10.5194/hess-16-3391-2012, 2012.
-
(2012)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.16
, pp. 3391-3404
-
-
Ehret, U.1
Zehe, E.2
Wulfmeyer, V.3
Warrach-Sagi, K.4
Liebert, J.5
-
10
-
-
0035425838
-
Reservoir optimization using sampling sdp with ensemble streamflow prediction (esp) forecasts
-
Faber, B. A., and Stedinger, J. R.: Reservoir optimization using sampling SDP with ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) forecasts. J. Hydrol., 249, 113-133, doi:10.1016/S0022-1694(01)00419-X, 2001.
-
(2001)
J. Hydrol.
, vol.249
, pp. 113-133
-
-
Faber, B.A.1
Stedinger, J.R.2
-
11
-
-
42549103051
-
On the effect of ensemble size on the discrete and continuous ranked probability scores
-
Ferro, C. A. T., Richardson, D. S., andWeigel, A. P.: On the effect of ensemble size on the discrete and continuous ranked probability scores. Meteorol. Appl., 15, 19-24, doi:10.1002/met.45, 2008.
-
(2008)
Meteorol. Appl.
, vol.15
, pp. 19-24
-
-
Ferro, C.A.T.1
Richardson, D.S.2
Weigel, A.P.3
-
12
-
-
20444484849
-
Calibrated probabilistic forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum crps estimation
-
Gneiting, T., Raftery, A. E., Westveld, A. H., and Goldman, T.: Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation. Mon. Weather Rev., 133, 1098-1118, doi:10.1175/MWR2904.1, 2005.
-
(2005)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.133
, pp. 1098-1118
-
-
Gneiting, T.1
Raftery, A.E.2
Westveld, A.H.3
Goldman, T.4
-
13
-
-
33847399672
-
Probabilistic forecasts calibration and sharpness
-
Gneiting, T., Balabdaoui, F., and Raftery, A. E.: Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. B, 69, 243-268, doi:10.1111/j.1467-9868.2007.00587.x, 2007.
-
(2007)
J. Roy. Stat. Soc. B
, vol.69
, pp. 243-268
-
-
Gneiting, T.1
Balabdaoui, F.2
Raftery, A.E.3
-
14
-
-
84867553702
-
Technical note: Downscaling rcm precipitation to the station scale using statistical transformations-A comparison of methods
-
Gudmundsson, L., Bremnes, J. B., Haugen, J. E., and Engen-Skaugen, T.: Technical Note: Downscaling RCM precipitation to the station scale using statistical transformations-A comparison of methods. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 3383-3390, doi:10.5194/hess-16-3383-2012, 2012.
-
(2012)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.16
, pp. 3383-3390
-
-
Gudmundsson, L.1
Bremnes, J.B.2
Haugen, J.E.3
Engen-Skaugen, T.4
-
15
-
-
70349272865
-
Decomposition of the mean squared error and nse performance criteria: Implications for improving hydrological modelling
-
Gupta, H. V., Kling, H., Yilmaz, K. K., and Martinez, G. F.: Decomposition of the mean squared error and NSE performance criteria: Implications for improving hydrological modelling. J. Hydrol., 377, 80-91, 2009.
-
(2009)
J. Hydrol.
, vol.377
, pp. 80-91
-
-
Gupta, H.V.1
Kling, H.2
Yilmaz, K.K.3
Martinez, G.F.4
-
16
-
-
33750361341
-
Measuring forecast skill: Is it real skill or is it the varying climatology?
-
Hamill, T. M., and Juras, J.: Measuring forecast skill: is it real skill or is it the varying climatology? Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 132, 2905-2923, doi:10.1256/qj.06.25, 2006.
-
(2006)
Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
, vol.132
, pp. 2905-2923
-
-
Hamill, T.M.1
Juras, J.2
-
17
-
-
0033382322
-
Columbia river streamflow forecasting based on enso and pdo climate signals
-
Hamlet, A. F., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: Columbia River Streamflow Forecasting Based on ENSO and PDO Climate Signals. J. Water Res. Pl.-ASCE, 125, 333-341, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(1999)125:6(333), 1999.
-
(1999)
J. Water Res. Pl.-ASCE
, vol.125
, pp. 333-341
-
-
Hamlet, A.F.1
Lettenmaier, D.P.2
-
18
-
-
0036577580
-
Confidence builders: Evaluating seasonal climate forecasts from user perspectives
-
Hartmann, H. C., Pagano, T. C., Sorooshian, S., and Bales, R.: Confidence Builders: Evaluating Seasonal Climate Forecasts from User Perspectives. B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 83, 683-698, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2002)0832.3.CO;2, 2002.
-
(2002)
B. Am. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.83
, pp. 683-698
-
-
Hartmann, H.C.1
Pagano, T.C.2
Sorooshian, S.3
Bales, R.4
-
19
-
-
33847409284
-
Evaluation of biascorrection methods for ensemble streamflow volume forecasts
-
Hashino, T., Bradley, A. A., and Schwartz, S. S.: Evaluation of biascorrection methods for ensemble streamflow volume forecasts. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 939-950, doi:10.5194/hess-11-939-2007, 2007.
-
(2007)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.11
, pp. 939-950
-
-
Hashino, T.1
Bradley, A.A.2
Schwartz, S.S.3
-
20
-
-
84921769223
-
Trends in the predictive performance of raw ensemble weather forecasts
-
Hemri, S., Scheuerer, M., Pappenberger, F., Bogner, K., and Haiden, T.: Trends in the predictive performance of raw ensemble weather forecasts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 9197-9205, doi:10.1002/2014GL062472, 2014.
-
(2014)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.41
, pp. 9197-9205
-
-
Hemri, S.1
Scheuerer, M.2
Pappenberger, F.3
Bogner, K.4
Haiden, T.5
-
21
-
-
0034292468
-
Decomposition of the continuous ranked probability score for ensemble prediction systems
-
Hersbach, H.: Decomposition of the continuous ranked probability score for ensemble prediction systems. Weather Forecast., 15, 559-570, 2000.
-
(2000)
Weather Forecast.
, vol.15
, pp. 559-570
-
-
Hersbach, H.1
-
22
-
-
84959237736
-
Importance of maximum snow accumulation for summer low flows in humid catchments
-
Jenicek, M., Seibert, J., Zappa, M., Staudinger, M., and Jonas, T.: Importance of maximum snow accumulation for summer low flows in humid catchments. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 859-874, doi:10.5194/hess-20-859-2016, 2016.
-
(2016)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.20
, pp. 859-874
-
-
Jenicek, M.1
Seibert, J.2
Zappa, M.3
Staudinger, M.4
Jonas, T.5
-
23
-
-
84869506823
-
Seasonal prediction skill of ecmwf system 4 and ncep cfsv2 retrospective forecast for the northern hemisphere winter
-
Kim, H.-M., Webster, P. J., and Curry, J. A.: Seasonal prediction skill of ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective forecast for the Northern Hemisphere Winter. Clim. Dynam., 39, 2957-2973, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1364-6, 2012.
-
(2012)
Clim. Dynam.
, vol.39
, pp. 2957-2973
-
-
Kim, H.-M.1
Webster, P.J.2
Curry, J.A.3
-
24
-
-
34248166114
-
Verification tools for probabilistic forecasts of continuous hydrological variables
-
Laio, F., and Tamea, S.: Verification tools for probabilistic forecasts of continuous hydrological variables. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 1267-1277, doi:10.5194/hess-11-1267-2007, 2007.
-
(2007)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.11
, pp. 1267-1277
-
-
Laio, F.1
Tamea, S.2
-
25
-
-
0036891145
-
The use of seasonal climate forecasting in policymaking: Lessons from northeast Brazil
-
Lemos, M., Finan, T., Fox, R., Nelson, D., and Tucker, J.: The Use of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Policymaking: Lessons from Northeast Brazil. Climatic Change, 55, 479-507, doi:10.1023/A:1020785826029, 2002.
-
(2002)
Climatic Change
, vol.55
, pp. 479-507
-
-
Lemos, M.1
Finan, T.2
Fox, R.3
Nelson, D.4
Tucker, J.5
-
26
-
-
84871400489
-
Evaluating the predictive skill of post-processed ncep gfs ensemble precipitation forecasts in China?s huai river basin
-
Liu, Y., Duan, Q., Zhao, L., Ye, A., Tao, Y., Miao, C., Mu, X., and Schaake, J. C.: Evaluating the predictive skill of post-processed NCEP GFS ensemble precipitation forecasts in China?s Huai river basin. Hydrol. Process., 27, 57-74, doi:10.1002/hyp.9496, 2013.
-
(2013)
Hydrol. Process.
, vol.27
, pp. 57-74
-
-
Liu, Y.1
Duan, Q.2
Zhao, L.3
Ye, A.4
Tao, Y.5
Miao, C.6
Mu, X.7
Schaake, J.C.8
-
27
-
-
84890312326
-
Towards improved post-processing of hydrologic forecast ensembles
-
Madadgar, S., Moradkhani, H., and Garen, D.: Towards improved post-processing of hydrologic forecast ensembles. Hydrol. Process., 28, 104-122, doi:10.1002/hyp.9562, 2014.
-
(2014)
Hydrol. Process.
, vol.28
, pp. 104-122
-
-
Madadgar, S.1
Moradkhani, H.2
Garen, D.3
-
28
-
-
84868683385
-
The new ecmwf seasonal forecast system (system 4)
-
available at (last access: 29 August 2016)
-
Molteni, F., Stockdale, T., Balmaseda, M., Balsamo, G., Buizza, R., Ferranti, L., Magnusson, L., Mogensen, K., Palmer, T., and Vitart, F.: The new ECMWF seasonal forecast system (System 4). ECMWF Tech. Memo., 656, 49 pp., available at: http://www.ecmwf.int/sites/default/files/elibrary/2011/ 11209-new-ecmwf-seasonal-forecast-system-system-4.pdf (last access: 29 August 2016), 2011.
-
(2011)
ECMWF Tech. Memo.
, vol.656
, pp. 49
-
-
Molteni, F.1
Stockdale, T.2
Balmaseda, M.3
Balsamo, G.4
Buizza, R.5
Ferranti, L.6
Magnusson, L.7
Mogensen, K.8
Palmer, T.9
Vitart, F.10
-
29
-
-
84879119684
-
On the need for bias correction in regional climate scenarios to assess climate change impacts on river runoff
-
Muerth, M. J., Gauvin St-Denis, B., Ricard, S., Velázquez, J. A., Schmid, J., Minville, M., Caya, D., Chaumont, D., Ludwig, R., and Turcotte, R.: On the need for bias correction in regional climate scenarios to assess climate change impacts on river runoff. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1189-1204, doi:10.5194/hess-17-1189-2013, 2013.
-
(2013)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.17
, pp. 1189-1204
-
-
Muerth, M.J.1
Gauvin St-Denis, B.2
Ricard, S.3
Velázquez, J.A.4
Schmid, J.5
Minville, M.6
Caya, D.7
Chaumont, D.8
Ludwig, R.9
Turcotte, R.10
-
31
-
-
84894253898
-
Forecasting droughts in east Africa
-
Mwangi, E., Wetterhall, F., Dutra, E., Di Giuseppe, F., and Pappenberger, F.: Forecasting droughts in East Africa. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 611-620, doi:10.5194/hess-18-611-2014, 2014.
-
(2014)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.18
, pp. 611-620
-
-
Mwangi, E.1
Wetterhall, F.2
Dutra, E.3
Di Giuseppe, F.4
Pappenberger, F.5
-
32
-
-
84905579334
-
Benchmarking hydrological models for lowflow simulation and forecasting on French catchments
-
Nicolle, P., Pushpalatha, R., Perrin, C., François, D., Thiéry, D., Mathevet, T., Le Lay, M., Besson, F., Soubeyroux, J.-M., Viel, C., Regimbeau, F., Andréassian, V., Maugis, P., Augeard, B., and Morice, E.: Benchmarking hydrological models for lowflow simulation and forecasting on French catchments. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2829-2857, doi:10.5194/hess-18-2829-2014, 2014.
-
(2014)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.18
, pp. 2829-2857
-
-
Nicolle, P.1
Pushpalatha, R.2
Perrin, C.3
François, D.4
Thiéry, D.5
Mathevet, T.6
Le Lay, M.7
Besson, F.8
Soubeyroux, J.-M.9
Viel, C.10
Regimbeau, F.11
Andréassian, V.12
Maugis, P.13
Augeard, B.14
Morice, E.15
-
33
-
-
14644403067
-
Which potential evapotranspiration input for a lumped rainfall-runoff model? Part 2-Towards a simple and efficient potential evapotranspiration model for rainfallrunoff modelling
-
Oudin, L., Hervieu, F., Michel, C., Perrin, C., Andréassian, V., Anctil, F., and Loumagne, C.: Which potential evapotranspiration input for a lumped rainfall-runoff model? Part 2-Towards a simple and efficient potential evapotranspiration model for rainfallrunoff modelling. J. Hydrol., 303, 290-306, 2005.
-
(2005)
J. Hydrol.
, vol.303
, pp. 290-306
-
-
Oudin, L.1
Hervieu, F.2
Michel, C.3
Perrin, C.4
Andréassian, V.5
Anctil, F.6
Loumagne, C.7
-
34
-
-
81155134788
-
A downward structural sensitivity analysis of hydrological models to improve low-flow simulation
-
Pushpalatha, R., Perrin, C., Mathevet, T., and Andreassian, V.: A downward structural sensitivity analysis of hydrological models to improve low-flow simulation. J. Hydrol., 411, 66-76, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.09.034, 2011.
-
(2011)
J. Hydrol.
, vol.411
, pp. 66-76
-
-
Pushpalatha, R.1
Perrin, C.2
Mathevet, T.3
Andreassian, V.4
-
35
-
-
40449109156
-
Analysis of near-surface atmospheric variables: Validation of the safran analysis over France
-
Quintana-Seguí, P., Le Moigne, P., Durand, Y., Martin, E., Habets, F., Baillon, M., Canellas, C., Franchisteguy, L., and Morel, S.: Analysis of Near-Surface Atmospheric Variables: Validation of the SAFRAN Analysis over France. J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim., 47, 92-107, doi:10.1175/2007JAMC1636.1, 2008.
-
(2008)
J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim.
, vol.47
, pp. 92-107
-
-
Quintana-Seguí, P.1
Le Moigne, P.2
Durand, Y.3
Martin, E.4
Habets, F.5
Baillon, M.6
Canellas, C.7
Franchisteguy, L.8
Morel, S.9
-
36
-
-
20444497873
-
Using Bayesian model averaging to calibrate forecast ensembles
-
Raftery, A. E., Gneiting, T., Balabdaoui, F., and Polakowski, M.: Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles. Mon. Weather Rev., 133, 1155-1174, doi:10.1175/MWR2906.1, 2005.
-
(2005)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.133
, pp. 1155-1174
-
-
Raftery, A.E.1
Gneiting, T.2
Balabdaoui, F.3
Polakowski, M.4
-
37
-
-
18744370263
-
Weather forecasts are for wimps: Why water resource managers do not use climate forecasts
-
Rayner, S., Lach, D., and Ingram, H.: Weather Forecasts are for Wimps: Why Water Resource Managers Do Not Use Climate Forecasts. Climatic Change, 69, 197-227, doi:10.1007/s10584-005-3148-z, 2005.
-
(2005)
Climatic Change
, vol.69
, pp. 197-227
-
-
Rayner, S.1
Lach, D.2
Ingram, H.3
-
38
-
-
77950177246
-
Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: The challenge of identifying input and structural errors
-
Renard, B., Kavetski, D., Kuczera, G., Thyer, M., and Franks, S.W.: Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: The challenge of identifying input and structural errors. Water Resour. Res., 46, W05521, doi:10.1029/2009WR008328, 2010.
-
(2010)
Water Resour. Res.
, vol.46
, pp. W05521
-
-
Renard, B.1
Kavetski, D.2
Kuczera, G.3
Thyer, M.4
Franks, S.W.5
-
39
-
-
84877002570
-
Improving statistical forecasts of seasonal streamflows using hydrological model output
-
Robertson, D. E., Pokhrel, P., and Wang, Q. J.: Improving statistical forecasts of seasonal streamflows using hydrological model output. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 579-593, doi:10.5194/hess-17-579-2013, 2013.
-
(2013)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.17
, pp. 579-593
-
-
Robertson, D.E.1
Pokhrel, P.2
Wang, Q.J.3
-
40
-
-
84923845202
-
Post-processing of medium-range probabilistic hydrological forecasting: Impact of forcing initial conditions and model errors
-
Roulin, E., and Vannitsem, S.: Post-processing of medium-range probabilistic hydrological forecasting: impact of forcing, initial conditions and model errors. Hydrol. Process., 29, 1434-1449, doi:10.1002/hyp.10259, 2015.
-
(2015)
Hydrol. Process.
, vol.29
, pp. 1434-1449
-
-
Roulin, E.1
Vannitsem, S.2
-
41
-
-
84880657930
-
On the sources of global land surface hydrologic predictability
-
Shukla, S., Sheffield, J., Wood, E. F., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: On the sources of global land surface hydrologic predictability. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2781-2796, doi:10.5194/hess-17-2781-2013, 2013.
-
(2013)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.17
, pp. 2781-2796
-
-
Shukla, S.1
Sheffield, J.2
Wood, E.F.3
Lettenmaier, D.P.4
-
42
-
-
84864361017
-
Bias correction of regional climate model simulations for hydrological climate-change impact studies: Review and evaluation of different methods
-
12-29
-
Teutschbein, C., and Seibert, J.: Bias correction of regional climate model simulations for hydrological climate-change impact studies: Review and evaluation of different methods. J. Hydrol., 456-457, 12-29, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.05.052, 2012.
-
(2012)
J. Hydrol.
, pp. 456-457
-
-
Teutschbein, C.1
Seibert, J.2
-
43
-
-
84890681083
-
Is bias correction of regional climate model (RCM) simulations possible for nonstationary conditions?
-
Teutschbein, C., and Seibert, J.: Is bias correction of regional climate model (RCM) simulations possible for nonstationary conditions? Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 5061-5077, doi:10.5194/hess-17-5061-2013, 2013.
-
(2013)
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.
, vol.17
, pp. 5061-5077
-
-
Teutschbein, C.1
Seibert, J.2
|