Trends in the predictive performance of raw ensemble weather forecasts

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 41, Issue 24, 2014, Pages 9197-9205

  Hemri, S ^a,b   Scheuerer, M ^c   Pappenberger, F ^b,d,e   Bogner, K ^b,f   Haiden, T ^b  

^a HEIDELBERG INSTITUTE FOR THEORETICAL STUDIES   (Germany)

^b EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS   (United Kingdom)

^c NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

^d HOHAI UNIVERSITY   (China)

^e UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL   (United Kingdom)

^f SWISS FEDERAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE WSL   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

EMOS; ensemble weather forecasts; model verification; statistical postprocessing

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; FORECASTING; WIND;

EMOS; ENSEMBLE MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS; ENSEMBLE WEATHER FORECASTS; EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS; MODEL VERIFICATION; NEAR SURFACE TEMPERATURE; PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE; STATISTICAL POSTPROCESSING;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; GLOBAL CHANGE; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; RELIABILITY ANALYSIS; SURFACE TEMPERATURE; WEATHER FORECASTING; WIND VELOCITY;

EID: 84921769223     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: 19448007     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062472     Document Type: Article

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