On the effect of ensemble size on the discrete and continuous ranked probability scores

Meteorological Applications

Volumn 15, Issue 1, 2008, Pages 19-24

  Ferro, Christopher A T ^a   Richardson, David S ^b   Weigel, Andreas P ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF EXETER   (United Kingdom)

^b EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS   (United Kingdom)

^c FEDERAL OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY METEOSWISS   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

Brier score; Forecast verification; Reliability; Sharpness; Skill scores

Indexed keywords

RELIABILITY;

BRIER SCORE; CONTINUOUS RANKED PROBABILITY SCORES; DISCRETE AND CONTINUOUS RANKED PROBABILITY SCORES; EXPECTED EFFECTS; FORECAST VERIFICATIONS; PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS; SHARPNESS; SKILL SCORE;

PROBABILITY;

DISCRETE CHOICE ANALYSIS; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; PROBABILITY; RELIABILITY ANALYSIS;

EID: 42549103051     PISSN: 13504827     EISSN: 14698080     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/met.45     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (10)

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10. Weigel AP, Liniger MA, Appenzeller C. 2007. The discrete Brier and ranked probability skill scores. Monthly Weather Review 135: 118-124.