메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 8, Issue 1, 2015, Pages

Predicting potential ranges of primary malaria vectors and malaria in northern South America based on projected changes in climate, land cover and human population

Author keywords

An. darlingi; An. nuneztovari s.l; Climate change; Land use changes; Malaria; Maxent; Population expansion; South America; Species distribution models

Indexed keywords

ANOPHELES DARLINGI; ANOPHELES NUNEZTOVARI; ARTICLE; CLIMATE; DISEASE CARRIER; ENVIRONMENTAL TEMPERATURE; GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION; HABITAT SELECTION; HUMAN; LAND USE; MALARIA; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; POPULATION; PRECIPITATION; PREDICTION; SEASONAL VARIATION; SOUTH AMERICA; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION; TREND STUDY; AGRICULTURE; ANIMAL; ANIMAL DISPERSAL; CLIMATE CHANGE; INSECT VECTOR; PHYSIOLOGY; POPULATION GROWTH; TRANSMISSION;

EID: 84939542582     PISSN: None     EISSN: 17563305     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1186/s13071-015-1033-9     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (50)

References (112)
  • 1
    • 84939532775 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Latin America's Economies: Life after the Commodity Boom
    • Accessed 7 April 2015 March 29
    • The Economist. Latin America's economies: Life after the commodity boom. March 29, 2014. http://www.economist.com/news/americas/21599782-instead-crises-past-mediocre-growth-big-riskunless-productivity-rises-life. Accessed 7 April 2015.
    • (2014) The Economist
  • 3
  • 4
    • 0002110195 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking satellite, census, and survey data to study deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon
    • D. Liverman (eds) et al. National Academies Press Washington, DC
    • Wood CH, Skole DL. Linking satellite, census, and survey data to study deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon. In: Liverman D et al., editors. People and Pixels. Washington, DC: National Academies Press; 1998. p. 70-93.
    • (1998) People and Pixels , pp. 70-93
    • Wood, C.H.1    Skole, D.L.2
  • 5
    • 67650287682 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking deforestation to malaria in the Amazon: Characterization of the breeding habitat of the principal malaria vector, Anopheles darlingi
    • 3757555 19556558
    • Vittor AY, Pan W, Gilman RH, Tielsch J, Glass G, Shields T, et al. Linking deforestation to malaria in the Amazon: characterization of the breeding habitat of the principal malaria vector, Anopheles darlingi. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2009;81:5-12.
    • (2009) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.81 , pp. 5-12
    • Vittor, A.Y.1    Pan, W.2    Gilman, R.H.3    Tielsch, J.4    Glass, G.5    Shields, T.6
  • 6
    • 84896797343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of deforestation, logging, and fire on malaria in the Brazilian Amazon
    • 3880339 24404206
    • Hahn MB, Gangnon RE, Barcellos C, Asner GP, Patz JA. Influence of deforestation, logging, and fire on malaria in the Brazilian Amazon. PLoS One. 2014;9(1):e85725. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0085725.
    • (2014) PLoS One , vol.9 , Issue.1
    • Hahn, M.B.1    Gangnon, R.E.2    Barcellos, C.3    Asner, G.P.4    Patz, J.A.5
  • 8
    • 84920884329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World Health Organization WHO Press Geneva
    • World Health Organization. World malaria report. Geneva: WHO Press; 2014.
    • (2014) World Malaria Report
  • 10
    • 33645993914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of deforestation on the human-biting rate of Anopheles darlingi, the primary vector of falciparum malaria in the Peruvian Amazon
    • Vittor AY, Gilman RH, Tielsch J, Glass G, Shields T, Lozano WS, et al. The effect of deforestation on the human-biting rate of Anopheles darlingi, the primary vector of falciparum malaria in the Peruvian Amazon. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2006;74(1):3-11.
    • (2006) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.74 , Issue.1 , pp. 3-11
    • Vittor, A.Y.1    Gilman, R.H.2    Tielsch, J.3    Glass, G.4    Shields, T.5    Lozano, W.S.6
  • 11
    • 33645822952 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria risk and temperature: Influences from global climate change and local land use practices
    • 1458623 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD28XktFais70%3D 16595623
    • Patz JA, Olson SH. Malaria risk and temperature: influences from global climate change and local land use practices. PNAS. 2006;103(15):5635-6.
    • (2006) PNAS , vol.103 , Issue.15 , pp. 5635-5636
    • Patz, J.A.1    Olson, S.H.2
  • 12
    • 80052825198 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecology of Anopheles darlingi root with respect to vector importance: A review
    • Hiwat H, Bretas G. Ecology of Anopheles darlingi root with respect to vector importance: a review. Par Vect. 2011;4:177.
    • (2011) Par Vect , vol.4 , pp. 177
    • Hiwat, H.1    Bretas, G.2
  • 13
    • 78649600756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dominant Anopheles vectors of human malaria in the Americas: Occurrence data, distribution maps and bionomic précis
    • Sinka ME, Rubio-Palis Y, Manguin S, Patil AP, Temperley WH, Gething PW, et al. The dominant Anopheles vectors of human malaria in the Americas: occurrence data, distribution maps and bionomic précis. Par Vect. 2010;3:72.
    • (2010) Par Vect , vol.3 , pp. 72
    • Sinka, M.E.1    Rubio-Palis, Y.2    Manguin, S.3    Patil, A.P.4    Temperley, W.H.5    Gething, P.W.6
  • 15
    • 0022973687 scopus 로고
    • Potential vectors of malaria and their different susceptibility to Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax in northern Brasil identified by immunoassay
    • de Arruda M, Carvallo MB, Nussenzweig RS, Maracic M, Ferreira AW, Cochrane AH. Potential vectors of malaria and their different susceptibility to Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax in northern Brasil identified by immunoassay. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1986;35:873-81.
    • (1986) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.35 , pp. 873-881
    • De Arruda, M.1    Carvallo, M.B.2    Nussenzweig, R.S.3    Maracic, M.4    Ferreira, A.W.5    Cochrane, A.H.6
  • 18
    • 38349183296 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The value of georeferenced collection records for predicting patterns of mosquito species richness and endemism in the Neotropics
    • Foley DH, Weitzman AL, Miller SE, Faran ME, Rueda LM, Wilkerson RC. The value of georeferenced collection records for predicting patterns of mosquito species richness and endemism in the Neotropics. Ecol Entomol. 2008;33:12-23.
    • (2008) Ecol Entomol , vol.33 , pp. 12-23
    • Foley, D.H.1    Weitzman, A.L.2    Miller, S.E.3    Faran, M.E.4    Rueda, L.M.5    Wilkerson, R.C.6
  • 20
    • 0031230123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecoregional classification of malaria vectors in the neotropics
    • 1:STN:280:DyaK1c%2FhvVSrsQ%3D%3D 9379453
    • Rubio-Palis Y, Zimmerman RH. Ecoregional classification of malaria vectors in the neotropics. J Med Entomol. 1997;34:499-510.
    • (1997) J Med Entomol , vol.34 , pp. 499-510
    • Rubio-Palis, Y.1    Zimmerman, R.H.2
  • 21
    • 52749098925 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Species composition and distribution of adult Anopheles (Diptera: Culicidae) in Panama
    • 2874935 1:STN:280:DC%2BD1cnjsFyltA%3D%3D 18826025
    • Loaiza JR, Bermingham E, Scott ME, Rovira JR, Conn JE. Species composition and distribution of adult Anopheles (Diptera: Culicidae) in Panama. J Med Entomol. 2008;45:841-51.
    • (2008) J Med Entomol , vol.45 , pp. 841-851
    • Loaiza, J.R.1    Bermingham, E.2    Scott, M.E.3    Rovira, J.R.4    Conn, J.E.5
  • 22
    • 84862173780 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Near-present and future distribution of Anopheles albimanus in Mesoamerica and the Caribbean Basin modeled with climate and topographic data
    • 3416578 22545756
    • Fuller DO, Ahumada ML, Quiñones ML, Herrera S, Beier JC. Near-present and future distribution of Anopheles albimanus in Mesoamerica and the Caribbean Basin modeled with climate and topographic data. Int J Health Geogr. 2012;11:13.
    • (2012) Int J Health Geogr , vol.11 , pp. 13
    • Fuller, D.O.1    Ahumada, M.L.2    Quiñones, M.L.3    Herrera, S.4    Beier, J.C.5
  • 25
    • 0026956563 scopus 로고
    • Ecology of malaria vectors in the Americas and future direction
    • Zimmerman RH. Ecology of malaria vectors in the Americas and future direction. Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz. 1992;87 Suppl 111:371-83.
    • (1992) Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz , vol.87 , pp. 371-383
    • Zimmerman, R.H.1
  • 26
    • 0028331298 scopus 로고
    • Sequence analysis of the ribosomal DNA internal transcribed spacer 2 from populations of Anopheles nuneztovari s.l. (Diptera: Culicidae)
    • 1:CAS:528:DyaK2cXksFWju7Y%3D 8015435
    • Fritz GN, Conn J, Cockburn A, Seawright J. Sequence analysis of the ribosomal DNA internal transcribed spacer 2 from populations of Anopheles nuneztovari s.l. (Diptera: Culicidae). Mol Biol Evol. 1994;11:406-16.
    • (1994) Mol Biol Evol , vol.11 , pp. 406-416
    • Fritz, G.N.1    Conn, J.2    Cockburn, A.3    Seawright, J.4
  • 27
    • 58049140218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Resurrection of Anopheles goeldii from synonymy with Anopheles nuneztovari (Diptera: Culicidae) and a new record for Anopheles dunhami in the Brazilian Amazon
    • 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD1MXkt12nu7s%3D 19148419
    • Calado DC, Foster PG, Bergo ES, dos Santos CL, Galardo AK, Sallum MA. Resurrection of Anopheles goeldii from synonymy with Anopheles nuneztovari (Diptera: Culicidae) and a new record for Anopheles dunhami in the Brazilian Amazon. Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz. 2008;103:791-9.
    • (2008) Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz , vol.103 , pp. 791-799
    • Calado, D.C.1    Foster, P.G.2    Bergo, E.S.3    Dos Santos, C.L.4    Galardo, A.K.5    Sallum, M.A.6
  • 28
    • 0002828596 scopus 로고
    • Malaria vectors in Brazil
    • Deane LM. Malaria vectors in Brazil. Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz. 1986;81:5-14.
    • (1986) Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz , vol.81 , pp. 5-14
    • Deane, L.M.1
  • 30
    • 0030102858 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Characterization of Anopheles darlingi (Diptera: Culicidae) larval habitats in Belize, Central America
    • 1:STN:280:DyaK28zltFajtQ%3D%3D 8742522
    • Manguin S, Roberts DR, Andre RG, Rejmankova E, Hakre S. Characterization of Anopheles darlingi (Diptera: Culicidae) larval habitats in Belize, Central America. J Med Entomol. 1996;33:205-11.
    • (1996) J Med Entomol , vol.33 , pp. 205-211
    • Manguin, S.1    Roberts, D.R.2    Andre, R.G.3    Rejmankova, E.4    Hakre, S.5
  • 31
    • 0346246934 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biting indices, host-seeking activity and natural infection rates of anopheline species in Boa Vista, Roraima, Brazil from 1996 to 1998
    • da Silva-Vasconcelos A, Kato MY, Mourao EN, de Souza RT, Lacerda RN, Sibajev A, et al. Biting indices, host-seeking activity and natural infection rates of anopheline species in Boa Vista, Roraima, Brazil from 1996 to 1998. Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz. 2002;97:151-61.
    • (2002) Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz , vol.97 , pp. 151-161
    • Da Silva-Vasconcelos, A.1    Kato, M.Y.2    Mourao, E.N.3    De Souza, R.T.4    Lacerda, R.N.5    Sibajev, A.6
  • 32
    • 28244466409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identificación de criaderos de anofelinos en un área endémica del estado Bolívar, Venezuela
    • Moreno JE, Rubio-Palis Y, Acevedo P. Identificación de criaderos de anofelinos en un área endémica del estado Bolívar, Venezuela. Bol Malariol San Amb. 2000;40:21-30.
    • (2000) Bol Malariol San Amb , vol.40 , pp. 21-30
    • Moreno, J.E.1    Rubio-Palis, Y.2    Acevedo, P.3
  • 33
    • 33645917058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data
    • Elith J, Graham C, Anderson R, Dudik M, Ferrier S, Guisan A, et al. Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography. 2006;29:129-51.
    • (2006) Ecography , vol.29 , pp. 129-151
    • Elith, J.1    Graham, C.2    Anderson, R.3    Dudik, M.4    Ferrier, S.5    Guisan, A.6
  • 34
    • 67149128316 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using species distribution models to predict new occurrences for rare plants
    • Williams JN, Seo CW, Thorne J, Nelson JK, Erwin S, et al. Using species distribution models to predict new occurrences for rare plants. Div & Dist. 2009;15:565-76.
    • (2009) Div & Dist , vol.15 , pp. 565-576
    • Williams, J.N.1    Seo, C.W.2    Thorne, J.3    Nelson, J.K.4    Erwin, S.5
  • 35
    • 82255191793 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical mapping of suitability to dengue fever in Mexico using species distribution modeling
    • Machado-Machado EA. Empirical mapping of suitability to dengue fever in Mexico using species distribution modeling. App Geo. 2012;33:82-93.
    • (2012) App Geo , vol.33 , pp. 82-93
    • Machado-Machado, E.A.1
  • 37
    • 84939533373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accessed 22 Sept 2013.
    • VectorMap. http://www.vectormap.org. Accessed 22 Sept 2013.
    • VectorMap
  • 39
    • 77949434701 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • MosquitoMap and the Mal-area calculator: New web tools to relate mosquito species distribution with vector borne disease
    • Foley DH, Wilkerson RC, Birney I, Harrison S, Christensen J, Rueda LM. MosquitoMap and the Mal-area calculator: new web tools to relate mosquito species distribution with vector borne disease. Intl J Health Geo. 2010;9:11.
    • (2010) Intl J Health Geo , vol.9 , pp. 11
    • Foley, D.H.1    Wilkerson, R.C.2    Birney, I.3    Harrison, S.4    Christensen, J.5    Rueda, L.M.6
  • 41
    • 0030179877 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biological variation in Anopheles darlingi Root
    • 1:STN:280:DyaK2s3itlOjtA%3D%3D 9070397
    • Charlwood JD. Biological variation in Anopheles darlingi Root. Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz. 1996;91:391-8.
    • (1996) Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz , vol.91 , pp. 391-398
    • Charlwood, J.D.1
  • 42
    • 37349094035 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Abundance, biting behaviour and parous rate of anopheline mosquito species in relation to malaria incidence in gold-mining areas of southern Venezuela
    • 1:STN:280:DC%2BD1c%2FmtFGlug%3D%3D 18092972
    • Moreno JE, Rubio-Palis Y, Paez E, Perez E, Sanchez V. Abundance, biting behaviour and parous rate of anopheline mosquito species in relation to malaria incidence in gold-mining areas of southern Venezuela. Med Vet Entomol. 2007;21:339-49.
    • (2007) Med Vet Entomol , vol.21 , pp. 339-349
    • Moreno, J.E.1    Rubio-Palis, Y.2    Paez, E.3    Perez, E.4    Sanchez, V.5
  • 43
    • 19744378438 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mapas preliminaries de la distribution de species de Anopheles vectores de malaria en Colombia
    • Olano VA, Brochero H, Saenz R, Quinones ML, Molina JA. Mapas preliminaries de la distribution de species de Anopheles vectores de malaria en Colombia. Biomedica. 2001;21:402-8.
    • (2001) Biomedica , vol.21 , pp. 402-408
    • Olano, V.A.1    Brochero, H.2    Saenz, R.3    Quinones, M.L.4    Molina, J.A.5
  • 44
    • 33749024784 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of remote sensing and geographic information systems to predict locations of Anopheles darlingi positive breeding sites within the Sibun River in Belize, Central America
    • Achee NL, Grieco JP, Masuoka P, Andre RG, Roberts DR, Thomas J, et al. Use of remote sensing and geographic information systems to predict locations of Anopheles darlingi positive breeding sites within the Sibun River in Belize, Central America. J Med Entomol. 2006;43:382-92.
    • (2006) J Med Entomol , vol.43 , pp. 382-392
    • Achee, N.L.1    Grieco, J.P.2    Masuoka, P.3    Andre, R.G.4    Roberts, D.R.5    Thomas, J.6
  • 45
    • 0036597049 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial distribution of adult Anopheles darlingi and Anopheles albimanus in relation to riparian habitats in Belize, Central America
    • Roberts DR, Manguin S, Rejmankova E, Andre R, Harbach RE, Vanzie E, et al. Spatial distribution of adult Anopheles darlingi and Anopheles albimanus in relation to riparian habitats in Belize, Central America. J Vect Ecol. 2002;27:21-30.
    • (2002) J Vect Ecol , vol.27 , pp. 21-30
    • Roberts, D.R.1    Manguin, S.2    Rejmankova, E.3    Andre, R.4    Harbach, R.E.5    Vanzie, E.6
  • 47
    • 0010528413 scopus 로고
    • An attempt to eradicate malaria by weekly administration of pyrimethamine in areas of out-of-doors transmission in Venezuela
    • Gabaldón A, Guerrero L. An attempt to eradicate malaria by weekly administration of pyrimethamine in areas of out-of-doors transmission in Venezuela. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1959;8:433-9.
    • (1959) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.8 , pp. 433-439
    • Gabaldón, A.1    Guerrero, L.2
  • 48
    • 0034153840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria vectors in the Brazilian amazon: Anopheles of the subgenus Nyssorhynchus
    • 1:STN:280:DC%2BD3cvgslemug%3D%3D 10810323
    • Tadei WP, Dutary TB. Malaria vectors in the Brazilian amazon: Anopheles of the subgenus Nyssorhynchus. Rev Inst Med Trop Sao Paulo. 2000;42:87-94.
    • (2000) Rev Inst Med Trop Sao Paulo , vol.42 , pp. 87-94
    • Tadei, W.P.1    Dutary, T.B.2
  • 49
    • 0027008475 scopus 로고
    • Biting and resting behaviour of anophelines in western Venezuela and implications for control of malaria transmission
    • 1:STN:280:DyaK3s%2FpvFehsA%3D%3D 1463897
    • Rubio-Palis Y, Curtis CF. Biting and resting behaviour of anophelines in western Venezuela and implications for control of malaria transmission. Med Vet Entomol. 1992;6:325-34.
    • (1992) Med Vet Entomol , vol.6 , pp. 325-334
    • Rubio-Palis, Y.1    Curtis, C.F.2
  • 52
    • 84880920789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accessed 28 Sept 2013; 15 May 2014
    • WorldClim Global Climate database. http://www.worldclim.org/ Accessed 28 Sept 2013; 15 May 2014.
    • WorldClim Global Climate Database
  • 53
    • 29544443445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas
    • Hijmans RJ, Cameron SE, Parra JL, Jones PG, Jarvis A. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. Intl J Clim. 2005;25:1965-78.
    • (2005) Intl J Clim , vol.25 , pp. 1965-1978
    • Hijmans, R.J.1    Cameron, S.E.2    Parra, J.L.3    Jones, P.G.4    Jarvis, A.5
  • 55
    • 80053904283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300
    • 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3MXht12gsbfL
    • Meinshausen M, Smith SJ, Calvin K, Daniel JS, Kainuma MLT, Lamarque JF, et al. The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300. Clim Chang. 2011;109(1-2):213-41.
    • (2011) Clim Chang , vol.109 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 213-241
    • Meinshausen, M.1    Smith, S.J.2    Calvin, K.3    Daniel, J.S.4    Kainuma, M.L.T.5    Lamarque, J.F.6
  • 57
    • 84867377756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shuttle Radar Topography Mission
    • University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, February Accessed 29 Aug 2013.
    • Shuttle Radar Topography Mission. Global Land Cover Facility, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, February 2000. http://glcf.umd.edu/data/srtm/ Accessed 29 Aug 2013.
    • (2000) Global Land Cover Facility
  • 58
    • 0018441920 scopus 로고
    • A physically based, variable contributing area model of basin hydrology/Un modèle à base physique de zone d"appel variable de l"hydrologie du bassin versant
    • Beven KJ, Kirkby MJ. A physically based, variable contributing area model of basin hydrology/Un modèle à base physique de zone d"appel variable de l"hydrologie du bassin versant. Hydrolog Sci J. 1979;24:43-69.
    • (1979) Hydrolog Sci J , vol.24 , pp. 43-69
    • Beven, K.J.1    Kirkby, M.J.2
  • 59
    • 84939480520 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High Resolution Global Population Data Set copyrighted by UT-Battelle, LLC, operator of Oak Ridge National Laboratory under Contract No. DE-AC05-00OR22725 with the United States Department of Energy.
    • LandScan (2010)™. High Resolution Global Population Data Set copyrighted by UT-Battelle, LLC, operator of Oak Ridge National Laboratory under Contract No. DE-AC05-00OR22725 with the United States Department of Energy.
    • LandScan (2010)™
  • 60
    • 30344444371 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and infectious diseases
    • A. McMichael D. Campbell-Lendrum C. Corvalan K. Ebi A. Githeko J. Scheraga A. Woodward (eds) World Health Organization Geneva
    • Patz JA, Githeko AK, McCarty JP, Hussein S, Confalonieri U, de Wet N. Climate change and infectious diseases. In: McMichael A, Campbell-Lendrum D, Corvalan C, Ebi K, Githeko A, Scheraga J, Woodward A, editors. Climate change and human health: risks and responses. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2003. p. 103-32.
    • (2003) Climate Change and Human Health: Risks and Responses , pp. 103-132
    • Patz, J.A.1    Githeko, A.K.2    McCarty, J.P.3    Hussein, S.4    Confalonieri, U.5    De Wet, N.6
  • 63
    • 84939476015 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Land Change Modeler for Ecological Sustainability
    • Accessed 9 April 2015
    • Clarks Lab. The Land Change Modeler for Ecological Sustainability. Idrisi Focus paper 2009. http://www.clarklabs.org/applications/upload/Land-Change-Modeler-IDRISI-Focus-Paper.pdf Accessed 9 April 2015.
    • (2009) Idrisi Focus Paper
    • Clarks Lab1
  • 65
    • 84864507560 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking land cover and species distribution models to project potential ranges of malaria vectors: An example using Anopheles arabiensis in Sudan and Upper Egypt
    • 3483279 22866895
    • Fuller DO, Parenti MS, Hassan AN, Beier JC. Linking land cover and species distribution models to project potential ranges of malaria vectors: an example using Anopheles arabiensis in Sudan and Upper Egypt. Malar J. 2012;11:264.
    • (2012) Malar J , vol.11 , pp. 264
    • Fuller, D.O.1    Parenti, M.S.2    Hassan, A.N.3    Beier, J.C.4
  • 67
    • 14344261668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A maximum entropy approach to species distribution modeling
    • Phillips SJ, Dudik M, Schapire RE. A maximum entropy approach to species distribution modeling. Proceeding ICML. 2004; doi: 10.1145/1015330.1015412.
    • (2004) Proceeding ICML
    • Phillips, S.J.1    Dudik, M.2    Schapire, R.E.3
  • 68
    • 73949141293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Species distribution models: Ecological explanation and prediction across space and time
    • Elith J, Leathwick JR. Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Ann Rev Eco Evol Syst. 2009;40:677-97.
    • (2009) Ann Rev Eco Evol Syst , vol.40 , pp. 677-697
    • Elith, J.1    Leathwick, J.R.2
  • 69
    • 84874016128 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of sampling bias and model complexity on the predictive performance of MaxEnt species distribution models
    • e55158 3573023 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3sXjtl2qtrg%3D 23457462
    • Syfert MM, Smith MJ, Coomes DA. The effects of sampling bias and model complexity on the predictive performance of MaxEnt species distribution models. PLoS One. 2013;8, e55158.
    • (2013) PLoS One , vol.8
    • Syfert, M.M.1    Smith, M.J.2    Coomes, D.A.3
  • 70
    • 41449100102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: New extensions and a comprehensive evaluation
    • Phillips SJ, Dudík M. Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation. Ecography. 2008;31:161-75.
    • (2008) Ecography , vol.31 , pp. 161-175
    • Phillips, S.J.1    Dudík, M.2
  • 71
    • 84903381448 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological niche and potential distribution of Anopheles arabiensis in Africa in 2050
    • 4066281 24888886
    • Drake JM, Beier JC. Ecological niche and potential distribution of Anopheles arabiensis in Africa in 2050. Malar J. 2014;13:213.
    • (2014) Malar J , vol.13 , pp. 213
    • Drake, J.M.1    Beier, J.C.2
  • 72
    • 33749591316 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variation in demersal fish species richness in the oceans surrounding New Zealand: An analysis using boosted regression trees
    • Leathwick JR, Elith J, Francis MP, Hastie T, Taylor P. Variation in demersal fish species richness in the oceans surrounding New Zealand: an analysis using boosted regression trees. Mar Ecol Prog Ser. 2006;321:267-81.
    • (2006) Mar Ecol Prog ser , vol.321 , pp. 267-281
    • Leathwick, J.R.1    Elith, J.2    Francis, M.P.3    Hastie, T.4    Taylor, P.5
  • 73
    • 84903779363 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the distribution of the West Nile and Rift Valley Fever vector Culex pipiens in arid and semi-arid regions of the Middle East and North Africa
    • Conley AK, Fuller DO, Haddad N, Hassan AN, Gad AM, Beier JC. Modeling the distribution of the West Nile and Rift Valley Fever vector Culex pipiens in arid and semi-arid regions of the Middle East and North Africa. Par Vect. 2014;7:289.
    • (2014) Par Vect , vol.7 , pp. 289
    • Conley, A.K.1    Fuller, D.O.2    Haddad, N.3    Hassan, A.N.4    Gad, A.M.5    Beier, J.C.6
  • 74
    • 63849333773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: Implications for background and pseudo-absence data
    • Phillips SJ, Dudik M, Elith J, Graham CH, Lehmann A, Leathwick J, et al. Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: implications for background and pseudo-absence data. Ecol Appl. 2009;19:181-97.
    • (2009) Ecol Appl , vol.19 , pp. 181-197
    • Phillips, S.J.1    Dudik, M.2    Elith, J.3    Graham, C.H.4    Lehmann, A.5    Leathwick, J.6
  • 75
    • 27944446350 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions
    • Phillips SJ, Anderson RP, Schapire RE. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecol Model. 2006;190:231-59.
    • (2006) Ecol Model , vol.190 , pp. 231-259
    • Phillips, S.J.1    Anderson, R.P.2    Schapire, R.E.3
  • 76
    • 0030953391 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models
    • Fielding AH, Bell JF. A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Env Cons. 1997;24:38-49.
    • (1997) Env Cons , vol.24 , pp. 38-49
    • Fielding, A.H.1    Bell, J.F.2
  • 77
    • 33645471168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves: Pedagogical Tools and Methods
    • Fan J, Upadhye S, Worster A. Understanding receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves: Pedagogical Tools and Methods. CJEM. 2006;8(1):19-20.
    • (2006) CJEM , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. 19-20
    • Fan, J.1    Upadhye, S.2    Worster, A.3
  • 78
    • 20444488428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the predictions of species distribution
    • Liu C, Berry PM, Dawson TP, Pearson RG. Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the predictions of species distribution. Ecography. 2005;28:385-93.
    • (2005) Ecography , vol.28 , pp. 385-393
    • Liu, C.1    Berry, P.M.2    Dawson, T.P.3    Pearson, R.G.4
  • 79
    • 84884334169 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating optimal complexity for ecological niche models: A jackknife approach for species with small sample sizes
    • Shcheglovitova M, Anderson RP. Estimating optimal complexity for ecological niche models: a jackknife approach for species with small sample sizes. Ecol Model. 2013;269:9-17.
    • (2013) Ecol Model , vol.269 , pp. 9-17
    • Shcheglovitova, M.1    Anderson, R.P.2
  • 80
    • 0033198348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of C/B ratios from studies using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis
    • 1:STN:280:DyaK1Mvls1aqtQ%3D%3D 10529029
    • Cantor SB, Sun CC, Tortolero-Luna G, Richards-Kortum R, Follen M. A comparison of C/B ratios from studies using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. J Clin Epidemiol. 1999;52(9):885-92.
    • (1999) J Clin Epidemiol , vol.52 , Issue.9 , pp. 885-892
    • Cantor, S.B.1    Sun, C.C.2    Tortolero-Luna, G.3    Richards-Kortum, R.4    Follen, M.5
  • 81
    • 0036227839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geographical distributions of spiny pocket mice in South America: Insights from predictive models
    • Anderson RP, Gomez-Laverde M, Peterson AT. Geographical distributions of spiny pocket mice in South America: insights from predictive models. Global Ecol Biogeo. 2002;11:131-41.
    • (2002) Global Ecol Biogeo , vol.11 , pp. 131-141
    • Anderson, R.P.1    Gomez-Laverde, M.2    Peterson, A.T.3
  • 82
    • 33845604583 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species distributions from small numbers of occurrence records: A test case using cryptic geckos in Madagascar
    • Pearson RG, Raxworthy CJ, Nakamura M, Townsend PA. Predicting species distributions from small numbers of occurrence records: a test case using cryptic geckos in Madagascar. Biogeo. 2007;34:102-17.
    • (2007) Biogeo. , vol.34 , pp. 102-117
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Raxworthy, C.J.2    Nakamura, M.3    Townsend, P.A.4
  • 83
    • 38949161848 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • AUC: A misleading measure of the performance of predictive distribution models
    • Lobo JM, Jimenez-Valverde A, Real R. AUC: a misleading measure of the performance of predictive distribution models. Global Ecol Biogeog. 2008;17:145-51.
    • (2008) Global Ecol Biogeog , vol.17 , pp. 145-151
    • Lobo, J.M.1    Jimenez-Valverde, A.2    Real, R.3
  • 84
    • 84896142323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making better MAXENT models of species distributions: Complexity, overfitting and evaluation
    • 2031
    • Radosavljevic A, Anderson RP. Making better MAXENT models of species distributions: complexity, overfitting and evaluation. J Biogeography. 2031;41:629-43.
    • J Biogeography , vol.41 , pp. 629-643
    • Radosavljevic, A.1    Anderson, R.P.2
  • 85
    • 33750525529 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: Prevalence, kappa and the true skill statistic (TSS)
    • Allouche O, Tsoar A, Kadmon R. Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: prevalence, kappa and the true skill statistic (TSS). J Appl Ecol. 2006;43:1223-32.
    • (2006) J Appl Ecol , vol.43 , pp. 1223-1232
    • Allouche, O.1    Tsoar, A.2    Kadmon, R.3
  • 86
    • 84930342045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New baseline environmental assessment of mosquito ecology in northern Haiti during increased urbanization
    • Samson DM, Archer RS, Alimi TO, Arheart KK, Impoinvil DE, Oscar R, et al. New baseline environmental assessment of mosquito ecology in northern Haiti during increased urbanization. J Vect Ecol. 2015;40(1):1-13.
    • (2015) J Vect Ecol , vol.40 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-13
    • Samson, D.M.1    Archer, R.S.2    Alimi, T.O.3    Arheart, K.K.4    Impoinvil, D.E.5    Oscar, R.6
  • 87
    • 77950101405 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining local and large-scale models to predict the distributions of invasive plant species
    • Jones CC, Acker SA, Halpern CB. Combining local and large-scale models to predict the distributions of invasive plant species. Ecol Appl. 2010;20:311-26.
    • (2010) Ecol Appl , vol.20 , pp. 311-326
    • Jones, C.C.1    Acker, S.A.2    Halpern, C.B.3
  • 88
    • 84930655846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contrasting transmission dynamics of co-endemic Plasmodium vivax and P. falciparum: Implications for malaria control and elimination
    • 4423885 25951184
    • Noviyanti R, Coutrier F, Utami RAS, Trimarsanto H, Tirta YK, Trianty L, et al. Contrasting transmission dynamics of co-endemic Plasmodium vivax and P. falciparum: implications for malaria control and elimination. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2015;9(5):e0003739.
    • (2015) PLoS Negl Trop Dis , vol.9 , Issue.5
    • Noviyanti, R.1    Coutrier, F.2    Utami, R.A.S.3    Trimarsanto, H.4    Tirta, Y.K.5    Trianty, L.6
  • 89
    • 0025225165 scopus 로고
    • Amazon deforestation and climate change
    • 1:STN:280:DC%2BC3cvmt1GjtQ%3D%3D 17843795
    • Shukla J, Nobre C, Sellers P. Amazon deforestation and climate change. Science. 1990;247:1322-5.
    • (1990) Science , vol.247 , pp. 1322-1325
    • Shukla, J.1    Nobre, C.2    Sellers, P.3
  • 90
    • 84924558385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of tropical deforestation on climate and agriculture
    • Lawrence D, Vandecar K. Effects of tropical deforestation on climate and agriculture. Nature Clim Change. 2015;5:27-36.
    • (2015) Nature Clim Change , vol.5 , pp. 27-36
    • Lawrence, D.1    Vandecar, K.2
  • 94
    • 0028492010 scopus 로고
    • Anophelism without malaria: An ecological and epidemiological puzzle
    • 1:STN:280:DyaK2M3gs1yitw%3D%3D 7898963
    • Fantini B. Anophelism without malaria: an ecological and epidemiological puzzle. Parassitologia. 1994;36:83-106.
    • (1994) Parassitologia , vol.36 , pp. 83-106
    • Fantini, B.1
  • 95
    • 84919470135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk assessment of vector-borne diseases for public health governance
    • 1:STN:280:DC%2BC2MzitFaquw%3D%3D
    • Sedda L, Morley DW, Braks MA, De Simone L, Benz D, Rogers DJ. Risk assessment of vector-borne diseases for public health governance. Pub Health. 2014;128(12):1049-58.
    • (2014) Pub Health , vol.128 , Issue.12 , pp. 1049-1058
    • Sedda, L.1    Morley, D.W.2    Braks, M.A.3    De Simone, L.4    Benz, D.5    Rogers, D.J.6
  • 96
    • 0012065786 scopus 로고
    • The natural disappearance of malaria in certain parts of Europe
    • Hackett LW, Missiroli A. The natural disappearance of malaria in certain parts of Europe. Am J Epidemiology. 1931;13:57-78.
    • (1931) Am J Epidemiology , vol.13 , pp. 57-78
    • Hackett, L.W.1    Missiroli, A.2
  • 97
    • 77951729060 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Annual variations in the number of malaria cases related to two different patterns of Anopheles darlingi transmission potential in the Maroni area of French Guiana
    • 2859772 20307300
    • Fouque F, Gaborit P, Carinci R, Issaly J, Girod R. Annual variations in the number of malaria cases related to two different patterns of Anopheles darlingi transmission potential in the Maroni area of French Guiana. Malar J. 2010;9:80.
    • (2010) Malar J , vol.9 , pp. 80
    • Fouque, F.1    Gaborit, P.2    Carinci, R.3    Issaly, J.4    Girod, R.5
  • 98
    • 84905454600 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria vectors in ecologically heterogenous localities of the Colombian Pacific region
    • 4121283 25090233
    • Naranjo-Diaz N, Altamiranda M, Luckhart S, Conn JE, Correa MM. Malaria vectors in ecologically heterogenous localities of the Colombian Pacific region. PLoS One. 2014;9(8):e103769.
    • (2014) PLoS One , vol.9 , Issue.8
    • Naranjo-Diaz, N.1    Altamiranda, M.2    Luckhart, S.3    Conn, J.E.4    Correa, M.M.5
  • 101
    • 84977550079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria 2050: From science to strategy; From evidence to eradication
    • Feachem R. Malaria 2050: from science to strategy; from evidence to eradication. Malar J. 2014;13 Suppl 1:O9.
    • (2014) Malar J , vol.13 , pp. O9
    • Feachem, R.1
  • 102
    • 84896793962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Altitudinal changes in malaria incidence in highlands of Ethiopia and Colombia
    • 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC2cXjsVegsL4%3D 24604201
    • Siraj AS, Santos-Vega M, Bouma MJ, Yadeta D, Ruiz Carrascal D, Pascual M. Altitudinal changes in malaria incidence in highlands of Ethiopia and Colombia. Science. 2014;343(6175):1154-8.
    • (2014) Science , vol.343 , Issue.6175 , pp. 1154-1158
    • Siraj, A.S.1    Santos-Vega, M.2    Bouma, M.J.3    Yadeta, D.4    Ruiz Carrascal, D.5    Pascual, M.6
  • 104
    • 38949194161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate prediction of El Niño malaria epidemics in north-west Tanzania
    • 2228309 18062817
    • Jones AE, Wort UU, Morse AP, Hastings IM, Gagnon AS. Climate prediction of El Niño malaria epidemics in north-west Tanzania. Malar J. 2007;6:162.
    • (2007) Malar J , vol.6 , pp. 162
    • Jones, A.E.1    Wort, U.U.2    Morse, A.P.3    Hastings, I.M.4    Gagnon, A.S.5
  • 105
    • 0344837855 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Association between annual reported gold mining extraction and incidence of malaria in Mato Grosso- Brazil, 1985-1996
    • Duarte EC, Fontes CJ. Association between annual reported gold mining extraction and incidence of malaria in Mato Grosso- Brazil, 1985-1996. Rev Soc Bras Med Trop. 2002;35:665-8.
    • (2002) Rev Soc Bras Med Trop , vol.35 , pp. 665-668
    • Duarte, E.C.1    Fontes, C.J.2
  • 106
    • 80051489635 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New highland distribution records of multiple Anopheles species in the Ecuadorian Andes
    • 3176254 21835004
    • Pinault LL, Hunter FF. New highland distribution records of multiple Anopheles species in the Ecuadorian Andes. Malar J. 2011;10:236.
    • (2011) Malar J , vol.10 , pp. 236
    • Pinault, L.L.1    Hunter, F.F.2
  • 107
    • 1542349177 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Introduced Plasmodium vivax malaria in a Bolivian community at an elevation of 2,300 meters
    • Rutar T, Baldomar-Salgueiro EJ, Maguire JH. Introduced Plasmodium vivax malaria in a Bolivian community at an elevation of 2,300 meters. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2004;70:15-9.
    • (2004) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.70 , pp. 15-19
    • Rutar, T.1    Baldomar-Salgueiro, E.J.2    Maguire, J.H.3
  • 108
    • 0036898331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hot topic or hot air? Climate change and malaria resurgence in East African highlands
    • 3166841 12482536
    • Hay SI, Rogers DJ, Randolph SE, Stern SI, Cox J, Shanks D, et al. Hot topic or hot air? Climate change and malaria resurgence in East African highlands. Trends Parasitol. 2002;18:530-4.
    • (2002) Trends Parasitol , vol.18 , pp. 530-534
    • Hay, S.I.1    Rogers, D.J.2    Randolph, S.E.3    Stern, S.I.4    Cox, J.5    Shanks, D.6
  • 109
    • 33750593667 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria vector productivity in relation to the highland environment in Kenya
    • Minakawa N, Omukunda E, Zhou G, Githeko A, Yan G. Malaria vector productivity in relation to the highland environment in Kenya. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2006;75:448-53.
    • (2006) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.75 , pp. 448-453
    • Minakawa, N.1    Omukunda, E.2    Zhou, G.3    Githeko, A.4    Yan, G.5
  • 110
    • 79960091565 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the spatio-temporal distribution of Anopheles mosquito based on life history and surface water conditions
    • Kashiwada M, Ohta S. Modeling the spatio-temporal distribution of Anopheles mosquito based on life history and surface water conditions. Open Ecol J. 2010;3:29-40.
    • (2010) Open Ecol J , vol.3 , pp. 29-40
    • Kashiwada, M.1    Ohta, S.2
  • 111
    • 84900013301 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geographic distribution, evolution, and disease importance of species within the Neotropical Anopheles albitarsis Group (Diptera, Culicidae)
    • Foley DH, Linton YM, Ruiz-Lopez JF, Conn JE, Sallum MA, Póvoa MM, et al. Geographic distribution, evolution, and disease importance of species within the Neotropical Anopheles albitarsis Group (Diptera, Culicidae). J Vect Ecol. 2014;39(1):168-81.
    • (2014) J Vect Ecol , vol.39 , Issue.1 , pp. 168-181
    • Foley, D.H.1    Linton, Y.M.2    Ruiz-Lopez, J.F.3    Conn, J.E.4    Sallum, M.A.5    Póvoa, M.M.6
  • 112
    • 84870663548 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicted distribution of major malaria vectors belonging to the Anopheles dirus complex in Asia: Ecological niche and environmental influences
    • 3511573 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38XhvVKqtr3P 23226292
    • Obsomer V, Defourny P, Coosemans M. Predicted distribution of major malaria vectors belonging to the Anopheles dirus complex in Asia: ecological niche and environmental influences. PLoS One. 2012;7(11):e50475.
    • (2012) PLoS One , vol.7 , Issue.11
    • Obsomer, V.1    Defourny, P.2    Coosemans, M.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.