메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 10, Issue , 2015, Pages 1-5

Eight challenges in modelling infectious livestock diseases

Author keywords

Challenges; Data driven modelling; Livestock diseases; Mathematical modelling; Modelling for policy

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; BREEDING; DISEASE CARRIER; DISEASE CONTROL; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; ENDEMIC DISEASE; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; EPIDEMIC; FUNDING; HERD; INFECTION; LIVESTOCK; NONHUMAN; POPULATION STRUCTURE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; ANIMAL; ANIMAL HUSBANDRY; COMMUNICABLE DISEASES; INFECTION CONTROL; PROCEDURES; SELECTIVE BREEDING; STATISTICAL MODEL; TRANSMISSION; VETERINARY;

EID: 84926190253     PISSN: 17554365     EISSN: 18780067     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.08.005     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (63)

References (39)
  • 1
    • 72849135369 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Control of equine influenza: scenario testing using a realistic metapopulation model of spread
    • Baguelin M., Newton J.R., Demiris N., Daly J., Mumford J.A., Wood J.L.N. Control of equine influenza: scenario testing using a realistic metapopulation model of spread. J. R. Soc. Interface 2010, 7:67-79. 10.1098/rsif.2009.0030.
    • (2010) J. R. Soc. Interface , vol.7 , pp. 67-79
    • Baguelin, M.1    Newton, J.R.2    Demiris, N.3    Daly, J.4    Mumford, J.A.5    Wood, J.L.N.6
  • 2
    • 84864766410 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic rationale for interventions to control livestock disease
    • Bennett R. Economic rationale for interventions to control livestock disease. EuroChoices 2012, 11:5-11. 10.1111/j.1746-692X. 2012.00227.x.
    • (2012) EuroChoices , vol.11 , pp. 5-11
    • Bennett, R.1
  • 3
    • 77749246035 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the genetic interpretation of disease data
    • Bishop S.C., Woolliams J.A. On the genetic interpretation of disease data. PLoS ONE 2010, 5:e8940. 10.1371/journal.pone.0008940.
    • (2010) PLoS ONE , vol.5 , pp. e8940
    • Bishop, S.C.1    Woolliams, J.A.2
  • 6
    • 84904216928 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A dynamic model of bovine tuberculosis spread and control in Great Britain
    • Brooks-Pollock E., Roberts G.O., Keeling M.J. A dynamic model of bovine tuberculosis spread and control in Great Britain. Nature 2014, 511:228-231. 10.1038/nature13529.
    • (2014) Nature , vol.511 , pp. 228-231
    • Brooks-Pollock, E.1    Roberts, G.O.2    Keeling, M.J.3
  • 8
    • 84879814213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding foot-and-mouth disease virus transmission biology: identification of the indicators of infectiousness
    • Chase-Topping M.E., et al. Understanding foot-and-mouth disease virus transmission biology: identification of the indicators of infectiousness. Vet. Res. 2013, 44:46. 10.1186/1297-9716-44-46.
    • (2013) Vet. Res. , vol.44 , pp. 46
    • Chase-Topping, M.E.1
  • 12
    • 0035807295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain
    • Ferguson N.M., Donnelly C.A., Anderson R.M. Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. Nature 2001, 413:542-548. 10.1038/35097116.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.413 , pp. 542-548
    • Ferguson, N.M.1    Donnelly, C.A.2    Anderson, R.M.3
  • 13
    • 84871651323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of changes in cattle movement regulations on the risks of bovine tuberculosis for Scottish farms
    • Gates M.C., Volkova V., Woolhouse V.M.E.J. Impact of changes in cattle movement regulations on the risks of bovine tuberculosis for Scottish farms. Prev. Vet. Med. 2013, 108:125-136. 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.07.016.
    • (2013) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.108 , pp. 125-136
    • Gates, M.C.1    Volkova, V.2    Woolhouse, V.M.E.J.3
  • 14
    • 84898184088 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A restatement of the natural science evidence base relevant to the control of bovine tuberculosis in Great Britain
    • Godfray H.C.J., et al. A restatement of the natural science evidence base relevant to the control of bovine tuberculosis in Great Britain. Proc. R. Soc. B: Biol. Sci. 2013, 280:20131634. 10.1098/rspb.2013.1634.
    • (2013) Proc. R. Soc. B: Biol. Sci. , vol.280 , pp. 20131634
    • Godfray, H.C.J.1
  • 15
    • 4344701248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The UK foot-and-mouth disease outbreak - the aftermath
    • Haydon D.T., Kao R.R., Kitching R.P. The UK foot-and-mouth disease outbreak - the aftermath. Nat. Rev. Microbiol. 2004, 2:675-681. 10.1038/nrmicro960.
    • (2004) Nat. Rev. Microbiol. , vol.2 , pp. 675-681
    • Haydon, D.T.1    Kao, R.R.2    Kitching, R.P.3
  • 16
    • 79951795155 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mixed-genotype white spot syndrome virus infections of shrimp are inversely correlated with disease outbreaks in ponds
    • Hoa T.T.T., Zwart M.P., Phuong N.T., Oanh D.T.H., de Jong M.C.M., Vlak J.M. Mixed-genotype white spot syndrome virus infections of shrimp are inversely correlated with disease outbreaks in ponds. J. Gen. Virol. 2011, 92:675-680. 10.1099/vir.0.026351-0.
    • (2011) J. Gen. Virol. , vol.92 , pp. 675-680
    • Hoa, T.T.T.1    Zwart, M.P.2    Phuong, N.T.3    Oanh, D.T.H.4    de Jong, M.C.M.5    Vlak, J.M.6
  • 17
    • 0033378373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in The Netherlands. I. Description of simulation model
    • Jalvingh A.W., Nielen M., Maurice H., Stegeman A.J., Elbers A.R., Dijkhuizen A.A. Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in The Netherlands. I. Description of simulation model. Prev. Vet. Med. 1999, 42:271-295.
    • (1999) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.42 , pp. 271-295
    • Jalvingh, A.W.1    Nielen, M.2    Maurice, H.3    Stegeman, A.J.4    Elbers, A.R.5    Dijkhuizen, A.A.6
  • 18
    • 33747053644 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Demographic structure and pathogen dynamics on the network of livestock movements in Great Britain
    • Kao R.R., Danon L., Green D.M., Kiss I.Z. Demographic structure and pathogen dynamics on the network of livestock movements in Great Britain. Proc. Biol. Sci. 2006, 273:1999-2007. 10.1098/rspb.2006.3505.
    • (2006) Proc. Biol. Sci. , vol.273 , pp. 1999-2007
    • Kao, R.R.1    Danon, L.2    Green, D.M.3    Kiss, I.Z.4
  • 19
    • 0035955427 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape
    • Keeling M.J., et al. Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape. Science 2001, 294:813-817. 10.1126/science.1065973.
    • (2001) Science , vol.294 , pp. 813-817
    • Keeling, M.J.1
  • 20
    • 77952708202 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Individual identity and movement networks for disease metapopulations
    • Keeling M.J., Danon L., Vernon M.C., House T.A. Individual identity and movement networks for disease metapopulations. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2010, 107:8866-8870. 10.1073/pnas.1000416107.
    • (2010) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. , vol.107 , pp. 8866-8870
    • Keeling, M.J.1    Danon, L.2    Vernon, M.C.3    House, T.A.4
  • 21
    • 84863104142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Indirect genetic effects and the spread of infectious disease: are we capturing the full heritable variation underlying disease prevalence?
    • Lipschutz-Powell D., Woolliams J.A., Bijma P., Doeschl-Wilson A.B. Indirect genetic effects and the spread of infectious disease: are we capturing the full heritable variation underlying disease prevalence?. PLoS ONE 2012, 7:e39551. 10.1371/journal.pone.0039551.
    • (2012) PLoS ONE , vol.7 , pp. e39551
    • Lipschutz-Powell, D.1    Woolliams, J.A.2    Bijma, P.3    Doeschl-Wilson, A.B.4
  • 22
    • 78651452290 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Suppression of avian influenza transmission in genetically modified chickens
    • Lyall J., et al. Suppression of avian influenza transmission in genetically modified chickens. Science 2011, 331:223-226. 10.1126/science.1198020.
    • (2011) Science , vol.331 , pp. 223-226
    • Lyall, J.1
  • 23
    • 84881223773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consumer acceptability of interventions to reduce Campylobacter in the poultry food chain
    • MacRitchie L.A., Hunter C.J., Strachan N.J.C. Consumer acceptability of interventions to reduce Campylobacter in the poultry food chain. Food Control 2014, 35:260-266. 10.1016/j.foodcont.2013.06.005.
    • (2014) Food Control , vol.35 , pp. 260-266
    • MacRitchie, L.A.1    Hunter, C.J.2    Strachan, N.J.C.3
  • 24
    • 84885047100 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the public health benefit of vaccinating cattle against Escherichia coli O157
    • Matthews L., et al. Predicting the public health benefit of vaccinating cattle against Escherichia coli O157. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2013, 110:16265-16270. 10.1073/pnas.1304978110.
    • (2013) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. , vol.110 , pp. 16265-16270
    • Matthews, L.1
  • 26
    • 79956150523 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Genome-scale evolution and phylodynamics of equine H3N8 influenza A virus
    • Murcia P.R., Wood J.L.N., Holmes E.C. Genome-scale evolution and phylodynamics of equine H3N8 influenza A virus. J. Virol. 2011, 85:5312-5322. 10.1128/JVI. 02619-10.
    • (2011) J. Virol. , vol.85 , pp. 5312-5322
    • Murcia, P.R.1    Wood, J.L.N.2    Holmes, E.C.3
  • 27
    • 80052710935 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian evidence synthesis for a transmission dynamic model for HIV among men who have sex with men
    • Presanis A.M., De Angelis D., Goubar A., Gill O.N., Ades A.E. Bayesian evidence synthesis for a transmission dynamic model for HIV among men who have sex with men. Biostatistics 2011, 12:666-681. 10.1093/biostatistics/kxr006.
    • (2011) Biostatistics , vol.12 , pp. 666-681
    • Presanis, A.M.1    De Angelis, D.2    Goubar, A.3    Gill, O.N.4    Ades, A.E.5
  • 28
    • 84893299973 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The potential effects of changing HIV treatment policy on tuberculosis outcomes in South Africa: results from three tuberculosis-HIV transmission models
    • Pretorius C., et al. The potential effects of changing HIV treatment policy on tuberculosis outcomes in South Africa: results from three tuberculosis-HIV transmission models. AIDS 2014, 28(Suppl. 1):S25-S34. 10.1097/QAD. 0000000000000085.
    • (2014) AIDS , vol.28 , pp. S25-S34
    • Pretorius, C.1
  • 29
    • 35648963209 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incriminating bluetongue virus vectors with climate envelope models
    • Purse B.V., et al. Incriminating bluetongue virus vectors with climate envelope models. J. Appl. Ecol. 2007, 44:1231-1242. 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2007.01342.x.
    • (2007) J. Appl. Ecol. , vol.44 , pp. 1231-1242
    • Purse, B.V.1
  • 30
    • 77950487055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of influenza virus infection and pathology
    • Saenz R.A., et al. Dynamics of influenza virus infection and pathology. J. Virol. 2010, 84:3974-3983. 10.1128/JVI. 02078-09.
    • (2010) J. Virol. , vol.84 , pp. 3974-3983
    • Saenz, R.A.1
  • 31
    • 80052783831 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Foot and mouth disease model verification and "relative validation" through a formal model comparison
    • Sanson R.L., et al. Foot and mouth disease model verification and "relative validation" through a formal model comparison. Rev. Sci. Tech. 2011, 30:527-540.
    • (2011) Rev. Sci. Tech. , vol.30 , pp. 527-540
    • Sanson, R.L.1
  • 32
    • 42149147261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling foot-and-mouth disease: a comparison between the UK and Denmark
    • Tildesley M.J., Keeling M.J. Modelling foot-and-mouth disease: a comparison between the UK and Denmark. Prev. Vet. Med. 2008, 85:107-124. 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2008.01.008.
    • (2008) Prev. Vet. Med. , vol.85 , pp. 107-124
    • Tildesley, M.J.1    Keeling, M.J.2
  • 33
    • 84870676094 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disease prevention versus data privacy: using landcover maps to inform spatial epidemic models
    • Tildesley M.J., Ryan S.J. Disease prevention versus data privacy: using landcover maps to inform spatial epidemic models. PLoS Comput. Biol. 2012, 8:e1002723. 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002723.
    • (2012) PLoS Comput. Biol. , vol.8 , pp. e1002723
    • Tildesley, M.J.1    Ryan, S.J.2
  • 34
    • 84859772332 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling bluetongue virus transmission between farms using animal and vector movements
    • Turner J., Bowers R.G., Baylis M. Modelling bluetongue virus transmission between farms using animal and vector movements. Sci. Rep. 2012, 2:319. 10.1038/srep00319.
    • (2012) Sci. Rep. , vol.2 , pp. 319
    • Turner, J.1    Bowers, R.G.2    Baylis, M.3
  • 35
    • 84895836265 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Small distances can keep bacteria at bay for days
    • Van Bunnik B.A.D., et al. Small distances can keep bacteria at bay for days. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2014, 111:3556-3560. 10.1073/pnas.1310043111.
    • (2014) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. , vol.111 , pp. 3556-3560
    • Van Bunnik, B.A.D.1
  • 36
    • 84894196941 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of genetic selection for Johne's disease resistance in dairy cattle: results of a genetic-epidemiological model
    • Van Hulzen K.J.E., Koets A.P., Nielen M., Heuven H.C.M., van Arendonk J.A.M., Klinkenberg D. The effect of genetic selection for Johne's disease resistance in dairy cattle: results of a genetic-epidemiological model. J. Dairy Sci. 2014, 97:1762-1773. 10.3168/jds.2013-7032.
    • (2014) J. Dairy Sci. , vol.97 , pp. 1762-1773
    • Van Hulzen, K.J.E.1    Koets, A.P.2    Nielen, M.3    Heuven, H.C.M.4    van Arendonk, J.A.M.5    Klinkenberg, D.6
  • 37
    • 84860662607 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oocyst output and transmission rates during successive infections with Eimeria acervulina in experimental broiler flocks
    • Velkers F.C., Bouma A., Stegeman J.A., de Jong M.C.M. Oocyst output and transmission rates during successive infections with Eimeria acervulina in experimental broiler flocks. Vet. Parasitol. 2012, 187:63-71. 10.1016/j.vetpar.2011.12.032.
    • (2012) Vet. Parasitol. , vol.187 , pp. 63-71
    • Velkers, F.C.1    Bouma, A.2    Stegeman, J.A.3    de Jong, M.C.M.4
  • 38
    • 25444496232 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Epidemiological implications of the contact network structure for cattle farms and the 20-80 rule
    • Woolhouse M.E.J., Shaw D.J., Matthews L., Liu W.-C., Mellor D.J., Thomas M.R. Epidemiological implications of the contact network structure for cattle farms and the 20-80 rule. Biol. Lett. 2005, 1:350-352. 10.1098/rsbl.2005.0331.
    • (2005) Biol. Lett. , vol.1 , pp. 350-352
    • Woolhouse, M.E.J.1    Shaw, D.J.2    Matthews, L.3    Liu, W.-C.4    Mellor, D.J.5    Thomas, M.R.6


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.