Combination mode dynamics of the anomalous northwest pacific anticyclone

Journal of Climate

Volumn 28, Issue 3, 2015, Pages 1093-1111

  Stuecker, Malte F ^a   Jin, Fei Fei ^a   Timmermann, Axel ^a   Mcgregor, Shayne ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DYNAMICS; FEEDBACK; FREQUENCY DOMAIN ANALYSIS; NICKEL; PHASE SHIFT; PHASE SHIFTERS;

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CYCLONIC CIRCULATION; HIGH FREQUENCY VARIABILITIES; INTERANNUAL TIME SCALE; NONLINEAR INTERACTIONS; POSITIVE FEEDBACK LOOP; WESTERN PACIFIC WARM POOL; WIND VARIABILITIES;

CLIMATOLOGY;

ANTICYCLONE; ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN COUPLING; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; LA NINA; MERIDIONAL CIRCULATION; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; WARM POOL; WIND;

INDIAN OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (NORTHWEST);

EID: 84922996938     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00225.1     Document Type: Article

References (58)

1. Adler, R. F., and Coauthors, 2003: The Version-2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) monthly precipitation analysis (1979-present). J. Hydrometeor., 4, 1147-1167, doi: 10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004,1147:TVGPCP.2.0.CO;2.
2. Alexander, M. A., N.-C. Lau, and J. D. Scott, 2013: Broadening the atmospheric bridge paradigm: ENSO teleconnections to the tropical west Pacific-Indian Oceans over the seasonal cycle and to the North Pacific in summer. Earth's Climate: The Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction, Geophys. Monogr., Vol. 147, Amer. Geophys. Union, 85-103.
3. Cai, W., and Coauthors, 2012: More extreme swings of the South Pacific convergence zone due to greenhouse warming. Nature, 488, 365-369, doi: 10.1038/nature11358.
4. Chowdary, J. S., C. Gnanaseelan, and S. Chakravorty, 2013: Impact of northwest Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer mon-soon region. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 113, 329-336, doi: 10.1007/s00704-012-0785-9.
5. Chung, P.-H., C.-H. Sui, and T. Li, 2011: Interannual relationships between the tropical sea surface temperature and summertime subtropical anticyclone over the western North Pacific. J. Geophys. Res., 116, D13111, doi: 10.1029/2010JD015554.
6. Delworth, T. L., and Coauthors, 2006: GFDL's CM2 global coupled climate models. Part I: Formulation and simulation characteristics. J. Climate, 19, 634-674, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3629.1.
7. Fan, L., S. I. Shin, Q. Liu, and Z. Liu, 2013: Relative importance of tropical SST anomalies in forcing East Asian summer monsoon circulation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 2471-2477, doi: 10.1002/grl.50494.
8. Gill, A. E., 1980: Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 106, 447-462, doi: 10.1002/qj.49710644905.
9. Harrison, D. E., 1987: Monthly mean island surface winds in the central tropical Pacific and El Niño events. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 3133-3145, doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115,3133: MMISWI.2.0.CO;2.
10. Harrison, D. E., and N. K. Larkin, 1996: The COADS sea level pressure signal: A near-global El Nino composite and time series view, 1946-1993. J. Climate, 9, 3025-3055, doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009,3025: TCSLPS.2.0.CO;2.
11. Harrison, D. E., and G. A. Vecchi, 1999: On the termination of El Niño. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 1593-1596, doi: 10.1029/1999GL900316.
12. Hoerling, M. P., A. Kumar, and M. Zhong, 1997: El Niño, La Niña, and the nonlinearity of their teleconnections. J. Climate, 10, 1769-1786, doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010,1769: ENOLNA.2.0.CO;2.
13. Hurrell, J. W., J. J. Hack, D. Shea, J. M. Caron, and J. Rosinski, 2008: A new sea surface temperature and sea ice boundary dataset for the Community Atmosphere Model. J. Climate, 21, 5145-5153, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2292.1.
14. Kang, I.-S., and J.-S. Kug, 2002: El Niño and La Niña sea surface temperature anomalies: Asymmetry characteristics associated with their wind stress anomalies. Geophys. Res. Lett., 107, 4372, doi: 10.1029/2001JD000393.
15. Kiehl, J. T., C. A. Shields, J. J. Hack, and W. D. Collins, 2006: The climate sensitivity of the Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3). J. Climate, 19, 2584-2596, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3747.1.
16. Kosaka, Y., S.-P. Xie, 2013: Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling. Nature, 501, 403-407, doi: 10.1038/nature12534.
17. Kosaka, Y., and S.-P. Xie, N.-C. Lau, and G. A. Vecchi, 2013: Origin of seasonal predictability for summer climate over the northwestern Pacific. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 110, 7574-7579, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1215582110.
18. Kucharski, F., A. Bracco, J. H. Yoo, and F. Molteni, 2007: Low-frequency variability of the Indian monsoon-ENSO relationship and the tropical Atlantic: The weakening of the 1980s and 1990s. J. Climate, 20, 4255-4266, doi: 10.1175/JCLI4254.1.
19. Kug, J.-S., I.-S. Kang, and S.-I. An, 2003: Symmetric and antisymmetric mass exchanges between the equatorial and offequatorial Pacific associated with ENSO. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 3284, doi: 10.1029/2002JC001671.
20. Kug, J.-S., T. Li, S.-I. An, I.-S. Kang, J.-J. Luo, S. Masson, and T. Yamagata, 2006: Role of the ENSO-Indian Ocean coupling on ENSO variability in a coupled GCM. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L09710, doi: 10.1029/2005GL024916.
21. Larkin, N. K., and D. E. Harrison, 2002: ENSO warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) event life cycles: Ocean surface anomaly patterns, their symmetries, asymmetries, and implications. J. Climate, 15, 1118-1140, doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015,1118: EWENOA.2.0.CO;2.
22. Lau, N.-C., and M. J. Nath, 2006: ENSO modulation of the interannual and intraseasonal variability of the East Asian monsoon-A model study. J. Climate, 19, 4508-4530, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3878.1.
23. Lau, N.-C., and M. J. Nath, 2009: A model investigation of the role of air-sea interaction in the climatological evolution and ENSO-related variability of the summer monsoon over the South China Sea and western North Pacific. J. Climate, 22, 4771-4792, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2758.1.
24. Lau, N.-C., A. Leetmaa, M. J. Nath, and H.-L. Wang, 2005: Influences of ENSO-induced Indo-western Pacific SST anomalies on extratropical atmospheric variability during the boreal summer. J. Climate, 18, 2922-2942, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3445.1.
25. Lee, S.-K., D. B. Enfield, and C. Wang, 2008: Why do some El Niños have no impact on tropical North Atlantic SST? Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L16705, doi: 10.1029/2008GL034734.
26. Lee, S.-K., R. Atlas, D. Enfield, C. Wang, and H. Liu, 2013: Is there an optimal ENSO pattern that enhances large-scale atmospheric processes conducive to tornado outbreaks in the United States? J. Climate, 26, 1626-1642, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00128.1.
27. Lengaigne, M., J.-P. Boulanger, C. Menkes, and H. Spencer, 2006: Influence of the seasonal cycle on the termination of El Niño events in a coupled general circulation model. J. Climate, 19, 1850-1868, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3706.1.
28. Li, T., and B. Wang, 2005: A review on the western North Pacific monsoon: Synoptic-to-interannual variabilities. Terr. Atmos. Oceanic Sci., 16, 285-314.
29. Lu, J., M. Zhang, B. Cash, and S. Li, 2011: Oceanic forcing for the East Asian precipitation in pacemaker AGCM experiments. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L12702, doi: 10.1029/2011GL047614.
30. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, N. Schneider, M. F. Stuecker, and M. H. England, 2012: The effect of the South Pacific convergence zone on the termination of El Niño events and the meridional asymmetry of ENSO. J. Climate, 25, 5566-5586, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00332.1.
31. McGregor, S., N. Ramesh, P. Spence, M. H. England, M. J. McPhaden, and A. Santoso, 2013: Meridional movement of wind anomalies during ENSO events and their role in event termination. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 749-754, doi: 10.1002/grl.50136.
32. McGregor, S., P. Spence, F. U. Schwarzkopf, M. H. England, A. Santoso, W. S. Kessler, A. Timmermann, and C. W. Böning, 2014a: ENSO-driven interhemispheric Pacific mass transports. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 119, 6221-6237, doi: 10.1002/2014JC010286.
33. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, M. F. Stuecker, M. H. England, M. Merrifield, F.-F. Jin, and Y. Chikamoto, 2014b: Recent Walker circulation strengthening and Pacific cooling amplified by Atlantic warming. Nat. Climate Change, 4, 888-892, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2330.
34. Monterey, G. I., and S. Levitus, 1997: Climatological cycle of mixed layer depth in the World Ocean. NOAA NESDIS, 5 pp.
35. Neale, R. B., J. Richter, S. Park, P. H. Lauritzen, S. J. Vavrus, P. J. Rasch, and M. Zhang, 2013: The mean climate of the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM4) in forced SST and fully coupled experiments. J. Climate, 26, 5150-5168, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00236.1.
36. Ohba, M., and H. Ueda, 2009: Role of nonlinear atmospheric response to SST on the asymmetric transition process of ENSO. J. Climate, 22, 177-192, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2334.1.
37. Okumura, Y. M., M. Ohba, C. Deser, and H. Ueda, 2011: A proposed mechanism for the asymmetric duration of El Niño and La Niña. J. Climate, 24, 3822-3829, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3999.1.
38. Rayner, N. A., D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and A. Kaplan, 2003: Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4407, doi: 10.1029/2002JD002670.
39. Song, F., and T. Zhou, 2014: Interannual variability of East Asian summer monsoon simulated by CMIP3 and CMIP5 AGCMs: Skill dependence on Indian Ocean-western Pacific anticyclone teleconnection. J. Climate, 27, 1679-1697, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00248.1.
40. Spencer, H., 2004: Role of the atmosphere in seasonal phase locking of El Niño. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L24104, doi: 10.1029/2004GL021619.
41. Stein, K., A. Timmermann, N. Schneider, F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker, 2014: ENSO seasonal synchronization theory. J. Climate, 27, 5285-5310, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00525.1.
42. Stuecker, M. F., A. Timmermann, F.-F. Jin, S. McGregor, and H.-L. Ren, 2013: A combination mode of the annual cycle and the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Nat. Geosci., 6, 540-544, doi: 10.1038/ngeo1826.
43. Uppala, S. M., and Coauthors, 2005: The ERA-40 Re-Analysis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 2961-3012, doi: 10.1256/qj.04.176.
44. Vecchi, G. A., and D. E. Harrison, 2006: The termination of the 1997-98 El Niño. Part I: Mechanism of oceanic change. J. Climate, 19, 2633-2646, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3776.1.
45. Wang, B., and Q. Zhang, 2002: Pacific-East Asian teleconnection. Part II: How the Philippine Sea anomalous anticyclone is established during El Niño development. J. Climate, 15, 3252-3265, doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015,3252:PEATPI.2.0.CO;2.
46. Wang, B., R. Wu, and R. Lukas, 1999: Role of the western North Pacific wind variation in thermocline adjustment and ENSO phase transition. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 77, 1-16.
47. Wang, B., R. Wu, and X. Fu, 2000: Pacific-East Asian teleconnection: How does ENSO affect East Asian climate? J. Climate, 13, 1517-1536, doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013,1517: PEATHD.2.0.CO;2.
48. Wang, B., B. Xiang, and J.-Y. Lee, 2013: Subtropical high predictability establishes a promising way for monsoon and tropical storm predictions. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 110, 2718-2722, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1214626110.
49. Watanabe, M., and F.-F. Jin, 2002: Role of Indian Ocean warming in the development of Philippine Sea anticyclone during ENSO. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, doi:10.1029/2001GL014318.
50. Watanabe, M., and F.-F. Jin, 2003: A moist linear baroclinic model: Coupled dynamical-convective response to El Niño. J. Climate, 16, 1121-1139, doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)16,1121:AMLBMC.2.0.CO;2.
51. Weisberg, R. H., and C. Wang, 1997: A western Pacific oscillator paradigm for the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 24, 779-782, doi: 10.1029/97GL00689.
52. Widlansky, M. J., A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, M. F. Stuecker, and W. Cai, 2014: An interhemispheric tropical sea level seesaw due to El Niño taimasa. J. Climate, 27, 1070-1081, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00276.1.
53. Wu, B., T. Li, and T. Zhou, 2010a: Asymmetry of atmospheric circulation anomalies over the western North Pacific between El Niño and La Niña. J. Climate, 23, 4807-4822, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3222.1.
54. Wu, B., T. Li, and T. Zhou, 2010b: Relative contributions of the Indian Ocean and local SST anomalies to the maintenance of the western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone during the El Niño decaying summer. J. Climate, 23, 2974-2986, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3300.1.
55. Xiang, B., B. Wang, W. Yu, and S. Xu, 2013: How can anomalous western North Pacific subtropical high intensify in late summer? Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 2349-2354, doi: 10.1002/grl.50431.
56. Xie, S.-P., K. Hu, J. Hafner, H. Tokinaga, Y. Du, G. Huang, and T. Sampe, 2009: Indian Ocean capacitor effect on Indo-western pacific climate during the summer following El Niño. J. Climate, 22, 730-747, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2544.1.
57. Yamanaka, G., T. Yasuda, Y. Fujii, and S. Matsumoto, 2009: Rapid termination of the 2006 El Niño and its relation to the Indian Ocean. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L07702, doi: 10.1029/2009GL037298.
58. Yuan, Y., S. Yang, and Z. Zhang, 2012: Different evolutions of the Philippine Sea anticyclone between the eastern and central Pacific El Niño: Possible effects of Indian Ocean SST. J. Climate, 25, 7867-7883, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00004.1.