More than an artifact: Regression as a theoretical construct

Social Judgment and Decision Making

Volumn , Issue , 2012, Pages 171-189

  Krueger, Joachim I ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF HEIDELBERG   (Germany)

^b BROWN UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84921289867     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.4324/9780203854150     Document Type: Chapter

References (59)

1. Alicke, M. D., & Sedikides, C. (2009). Self-enhancement and self-protection: What they are and what they do. European Review of Social Psychology, 20, 1–48.
2. Bornstein, R. F. (1989). Exposure and affect: Overview and meta-analysis of research, 1967–1987. Psychological Bulletin, 106, 265–289.
3. Brown, W. (1910). Some experimental results in the correlation of mental abilities. British Journal of Psychology, 3, 276–322.
4. Campbell, D. T. (1996). Regression artifacts in time-series and longitudinal data. Evaluation and Program Planning, 19, 377–389.
5. Campbell, D. T., & Kenny, D. A. (1999). A primer on regression artifacts. London: Guilford Press.
6. Dawes, R. M., & Mulford, M. (1996). The false consensus effect and overconfidence: Flaws in judgment or flaws in how we study judgment? Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 65, 201–211.
7. Dovidio, J. F., & Gaertner, S. L. (2010). Intergroup bias. In S. T. Fiske, D. T. Gilbert, & G. Lindzey (Eds.), Handbook of social psychology (5th ed., Vol. 2, pp. 1084–1121). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.
8. Epley, N., & Whitchurch, E. (2008). Mirror, mirror on the wall: Enhancement in self-recognition. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 34, 1159–1170.
9. Erev, I., Wallsten, T. S., & Budescu, D. V. (1994). Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. Psychological Review, 101, 519–527.
10. Eysenck, H. J. (1965). Fact and fiction in psychology. Baltimore, MD: Pelican.
11. Fiedler, K. (1991). The tricky nature of skewed frequency tables: An information loss account of distinctiveness-based illusory correlations. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 60, 24–36.
12. Fiedler, K. (1996). Explaining and simulating judgment biases as an aggregation phenomenon in probabilistic, multiple-cue environments. Psychological Review, 103, 193–214.
13. Fiedler, K. (2000). Illusory correlations: A simple associative algorithm provides a convergent account of seemingly divergent paradigms. Review of General Psychology, 4, 25–58.
14. Fiedler, K. (2002) Frequency judgment and retrieval structures: Splitting, zooming, and merging the units of the empirical world. In P. Sedlmeier &. T. Betsch (Eds.), Frequency processing and cognition (pp. 67–87). Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
15. Fiedler, K. (2011). Voodoo correlations are everywhere—Not only in neuroscience. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 6(2), 163–171.
16. Fiedler, K., & Armbruster, T. (1994). Two halfs may be more than one whole: Categorysplit effects on frequency illusions. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 66, 633–645.
17. Fiedler, K., Freytag, P., & Unkelbach, C. (2007). Pseudocontingencies in a simulated classroom. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 92, 665–667.
18. Fiedler, K., Unkelbach, C., & Freytag, P. (2009). On splitting and merging categories: A regression account of subadditivity. Memory & Cognition, 37, 383–393.
19. Fiedler, K., Walther, E., Freytag, P., & Plessner, H. (2002). Judgment biases in a simulated classroom—A cognitive–environmental approach. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 88, 527–561.
20. Fiedler, K., Walther, E., & Nickel, S. (1999). The autoverification of social hypothesis: Stereotyping and the power of sample size. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 77, 5–18.
21. Furby, L. (1973). Interpreting regression toward the mean in developmental research. Developmental Psychology, 8, 172–179.
22. Galton, F. (1886). Regression toward mediocrity in hereditary stature. Journal of the Anthropological Institute of Great Britain and Ireland, 15, 246–263.
23. Gigerenzer, G., Swijtink, Z., Porter, T., Daston, L., Beatty, J., & Krüger, L. (1989). The empire of chance: How probability changed science and everyday life. New York: Cambridge University Press.
24. Goldberg, L. R. (1991). Human mind versus regression equation: Five contrasts. In D. Cicchetti & W. M. Grove (Eds.), Thinking clearly about psychology: Essays in honor of Paul E. Meehl (Vol. 1, pp. 173–184). Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.
25. Hamilton, D. L., & Gifford, R. K. (1976). Illusory correlation in interpersonal perception: A cognitive basis of stereotypic judgments. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 12, 392-407.
26. Hubert, M. (1999). The misuse of past-performance data. In L. E. Likson & R. A. Geist (Eds.), The psychology of investing (pp. 147–157). New York, NY: Wiley.
27. Jennions, M. D., & Møller, A. P. (2002). Relationships fade with time: A meta-analysis of temporal trends in publication in ecology and evolution. Proceedings of the Royal Society London B, 269, 43–48.
28. Juslin, P., Winman, A., & Olsson, H. (2000). Naive empiricism and dogmatism in confidence research: A critical examination of the hard–easy effect. Psychological Review, 107, 384–396.
29. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263–291.
30. Klar, Y., & Giladi, E. (1997). No one in my group can be below the group’s average: A robust positivity bias in favor of anonymous peers. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 73, 885–901.
31. Klauer, K., & Meiser, T. (2000). A source-monitoring analysis of illusory correlations. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 26, 1074–1093.
32. Klayman, J., & Ha, Y. (1987). Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing. Psychological Review, 94, 211–228.
33. Krueger, J. (1998). Enhancement bias in the description of self and others. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 24, 505–516.
34. Krueger, J., & Mueller, R. (2002). Unskilled, unaware, or both? The better-than-average heuristic and statistical regression predict errors in estimates of own performance. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 82, 180–188.
35. Krueger, J. I., & Wright, J. C. (2011). Measurement of self-enhancement (and self-protection). In M. D. Alicke & C. Sedikides (Eds.), Handbook of self-enhancement and self-protection (pp. 472–494). New York: Guilford.
36. Kruger, J., & Dunning, D. (1999). Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one’s own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 77, 1121–1134.
37. Langer, E. (1975). The illusion of control. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 32, 311–328.
38. McGarty, C., Haslam, S. A., Turner, J. C., & Oakes, P. J. (1993). Illusory correlation as accentuation of actual intercategory difference: Evidence for the effect with minimal stimulus information. European Journal of Social Psychology, 23, 391–410.
39. McNemar, Q. (1940). A critical examination of the University of Iowa studies of mental influences upon the IQ. Psychological Bulletin, 37, 63–92.
40. Moore, D. A., & Small, D. A. (2007). Error and bias in comparative judgment: On being both better and worse than we think we are. Journal of Personality of Social Psychology, 92, 972–989.
41. Morewedge, C. K., Gilbert, D. T., Keyzar, B., Berkovits, M. J., & Wilson, T. D. (2007). Mispredicting the hedonic benefits of segregated gains. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 136, 700–709.
42. Mullen, B., & Johnson, C. (1990). Distinctiveness-based illusory correlations and stereotyping: A meta-analytic integration. British Journal of Social Psychology, 29, 11–28.
43. Nickerson, R. S. (1998). Confirmation bias: A ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises. Review of General Psychology, 2, 175–220.
44. Ross, L., & Nisbett, R. E. (1991). The person and the situation. New York: McGraw-Hill.
45. Rottenstreich, Y., & Tversky, A. (1997). Unpacking, repacking, and anchoring: Advances in support theory. Psychological Review, 104, 406–415.
46. Rulon, P. J. (1941). Problems of regression. Harvard Educational Review, 11, 213–223.
47. Sedlmeier, P. (1999). Improving statistical reasoning: Theoretical models and practical implications. Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
48. Snyder, M. (1984). When belief creates reality. In L. Berkowitz (Ed.), Advances in experimental social psychology (Vol. 18, pp. 247–305). New York: Academic Press.
49. Soll, J. B. (1996). Determinants of overconfidence and miscalibration: The roles of random error and ecological structure. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 65(2), 117–137. doi:10.1006/obhd.1996.0011.
50. Spearman, C. C. (1910). Correlation calculated from faulty data. British Journal of Psychology, 3, 271–295.
51. Stelzl, I. (1982). Fehler und Fallen der Statistik [Errors and traps of statistics]. Bern, Switzerland: Huber.
52. Stigler, S. (1999). Statistics on the table: The history of statistical concepts and methods. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
53. Thompson, S., Armstrong, W., & Thomas, C. (1998). Illusions of control, underestimations, and accuracy: A control heuristic explanation. Psychological Bulletin, 123, 143–161.
54. Thorndike, E. L. (1924). The influence of chance imperfections on measures upon the relationship of initial score to gain or loss. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 7, 225–232.
55. Thorndike, R. L. (1942). Regression fallacies in the matched groups experiment. Psychometrika, 7, 85–102.
56. Tversky, A., & Koehler, D. J. (1994). Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. Psychological Review, 101, 547–567.
57. Unkelbach, C., & Fiedler, K. (2011). Regression-based frequency illusions and the mere exposure effect. Manuscript submitted for publication.
58. Weisz, J. R., McCarty, C. A., & Valeri, S. M. (2006). Effects of psychotherapy on depression in children and adolescents: A meta-analysis. Psychological Bulletin, 132, 132–149.
59. Zajonc, R. B. (1968). Attitudinal effects of mere exposure [Monograph supplement]. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 9(2, Pt. 2), 1–27.