메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 104, Issue 3, 2014, Pages 1122-1180

Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, version 3 (UCERF3) -The time-independent model

(19)  Field, Edward H a   Arrowsmith, Ramon J b   Biasi, Glenn P c   Bird, Peter d   Dawson, Timothy E e   Felzer, Karen R f   Jackson, David D d   Johnson, Kaj M g   Jordan, Thomas H h   Madden, Christopher i   Michael, Andrew J e   Milner, Kevin R h   Page, Morgan T f   Parsons, Tom e   Powers, Peter M a   Shaw, Bruce E j   Thatcher, Wayne R k   Weldon II, Ray J l   Zeng, Yuehua a  


Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DEFORMATION; FAULT SLIPS; FORECASTING; INVERSE PROBLEMS; SIMULATED ANNEALING; SUPERCOMPUTERS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84903736969     PISSN: 00371106     EISSN: 19433573     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1785/0120130164     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (445)

References (112)
  • 2
    • 0347504720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fault interactions and large complex earthquakes in the Los Angeles area
    • doi: 10. 1126/science. 1090747
    • Anderson, G., B. Aagaard, and K. Hudnut (2003). Fault interactions and large complex earthquakes in the Los Angeles area, Science 203, 1946-1949, doi: 10. 1126/science. 1090747.
    • (2003) Science , vol.203 , pp. 1946-1949
    • Anderson, G.1    Aagaard, B.2    Hudnut, K.3
  • 3
    • 0034451432 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probability of rupture of multiple fault segments
    • Andrews, D. J., and E. Schwerer (2000). Probability of rupture of multiple fault segments, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 90, 1498-1506.
    • (2000) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.90 , pp. 1498-1506
    • Andrews, D.J.1    Schwerer, E.2
  • 5
    • 67649949739 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • San Andreas fault rupture scenarios from multiple paleoseismic records: Stringing pearls
    • doi: 10. 1785/0120080287
    • Biasi, G. P., and R. J. Weldon (2009). San Andreas fault rupture scenarios from multiple paleoseismic records: Stringing pearls, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 99, 471-498, doi: 10. 1785/0120080287.
    • (2009) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.99 , pp. 471-498
    • Biasi, G.P.1    Weldon, R.J.2
  • 8
    • 72049101851 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term fault slip rates distributed deformation rates, and forecast of seismicity in the western United States from joint fitting of community geologic, geodetic, and stress direction data sets
    • doi: 10. 1029/2009JB006317
    • Bird, P. (2009). Long-term fault slip rates, distributed deformation rates, and forecast of seismicity in the western United States from joint fitting of community geologic, geodetic, and stress direction data sets, J. Geophys. Res. 114, no. B11403, doi: 10. 1029/2009JB006317.
    • (2009) J. Geophys. Res , vol.114 , Issue.B11403
    • Bird, P.1
  • 9
    • 63149088841 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probability of multifault rupture
    • doi: 10. 1785/0120070271
    • Black, N. M., and D. D. Jackson (2008). Probability of multifault rupture, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 98, 3017-3024, doi: 10. 1785/0120070271.
    • (2008) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.98 , pp. 3017-3024
    • Black, N.M.1    Jackson, D.D.2
  • 10
    • 52549103562 scopus 로고
    • in Robustness in Statistics, R.L. Launer and G.N. Wilkinson (Editors), Academic Press, New York
    • Box, G. E. P. (1979). Robustness in the strategy of scientific model building, in Robustness in Statistics, R. L. Launer and G. N. Wilkinson (Editors), Academic Press, New York.
    • (1979) Robustness in the strategy of scientific model building
    • Box, G.E.P.1
  • 12
    • 78650101037 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Building Seismic Safety Council (BSSC), Federal Emergency Management Agency, Publication Number P-750
    • Building Seismic Safety Council (BSSC) (2009). NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions for New Building and Other Structures, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Publication Number P-750, http://www. fema. gov/media-library/assets/documents/18152/(last accessed January 2014).
    • (2009) NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions for New Building and Other Structures
  • 13
    • 0000153123 scopus 로고
    • Engineering seismic risk analysis
    • Cornell, C. A. (1968). Engineering seismic risk analysis, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 58, 1583-1606.
    • (1968) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.58 , pp. 1583-1606
    • Cornell, C.A.1
  • 14
    • 70349519436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Real-time performance of the Virtual Seismologist earthquake early warning algorithm in southern California
    • doi: 10. 1785/gssrl. 80. 5. 740
    • Cua, G., M. Fischer, T. Heaton, and S. Wiemer (2009). Real-time performance of the Virtual Seismologist earthquake early warning algorithm in southern California, Seismol. Res. Lett. 80, 740-747, doi: 10. 1785/gssrl. 80. 5. 740.
    • (2009) Seismol. Res. Lett , vol.80 , pp. 740-747
    • Cua, G.1    Fischer, M.2    Heaton, T.3    Wiemer, S.4
  • 17
    • 78049527406 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earthquake recurrence in simulated fault systems
    • Dieterich, J. H., and K. B. Richards-Dinger (2010). Earthquake recurrence in simulated fault systems, Pure Appl. Geophys. 167, 1087-1184.
    • (2010) Pure Appl. Geophys , vol.167 , pp. 1087-1184
    • Dieterich, J.H.1    Richards-Dinger, K.B.2
  • 18
    • 33745756374 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heterogeneous fault stresses from previous earthquakes and the effect on dynamics of parallel strike-slip faults
    • Duan, B. C., and D. D. Oglesby (2006). Heterogeneous fault stresses from previous earthquakes and the effect on dynamics of parallel strike-slip faults, J. Geophys. Res. 111, no. B0, 5309-5324.
    • (2006) J. Geophys. Res , vol.111 , Issue.B0 , pp. 5309-5324
    • Duan, B.C.1    Oglesby, D.D.2
  • 20
    • 84903742101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2013-1165-K, and California Geol. Surv. Special Rept. 228-K
    • Felzer, K. R. (2013a). Appendix K: The UCERF3 earthquake catalog, U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2013-1165-K, and California Geol. Surv. Special Rept. 228-K.
    • (2013) Appendix K: The UCERF3 earthquake catalog
    • Felzer, K.R.1
  • 22
    • 84903744266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2013-1165-M, and California Geol. Surv. Special Rept. 228-M
    • Felzer, K. R. (2013c). Appendix M: Adaptive smoothed seismicity model, U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2013-1165-M, and California Geol. Surv. Special Rept. 228-M.
    • (2013) Appendix M: Adaptive smoothed seismicity model
    • Felzer, K.R.1
  • 23
    • 84903711442 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2013-1165-Q, and California Geol. Surv. Special Rept. 228-Q
    • Felzer, K. R. (2013d). Appendix Q: The empirical model, U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2013-1165-Q, and California Geol. Surv. Special Rept. 228-Q.
    • (2013) Appendix Q: The empirical model
    • Felzer, K.R.1
  • 24
  • 25
    • 34248673702 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overview of theWorking Group for the Development of Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM)
    • Field, E. H. (2007). Overview of theWorking Group for the Development of Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM), Seismol. Res. Lett. 78, 7-16.
    • (2007) Seismol. Res. Lett , vol.78 , pp. 7-16
    • Field, E.H.1
  • 27
    • 79251649623 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating earthquake-rupture rates on a fault or fault system
    • doi: 10. 1785/0120100004
    • Field, E. H., and M. T. Page (2011). Estimating earthquake-rupture rates on a fault or fault system, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 101, 79-92, doi: 10. 1785/0120100004.
    • (2011) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.101 , pp. 79-92
    • Field, E.H.1    Page, M.T.2
  • 30
    • 84860398033 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • OpenSHA: A developing community-modeling environment for seismic hazard analysis
    • Field, E. H., T. H. Jordan, and C. A. Cornell (2003). OpenSHA: A developing community-modeling environment for seismic hazard analysis, Seismol. Res. Lett. 74, 406-419.
    • (2003) Seismol. Res. Lett , vol.74 , pp. 406-419
    • Field, E.H.1    Jordan, T.H.2    Cornell, C.A.3
  • 31
    • 84865517053 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Damage in step-overs may enable large cascading earthquakes
    • Finzi, Y., and S. Langer (2012). Damage in step-overs may enable large cascading earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res. 39, LI6303.
    • (2012) J. Geophys. Res , vol.39
    • Finzi, Y.1    Langer, S.2
  • 32
    • 0029518123 scopus 로고
    • Mapping seismic hazard in the central and eastern United States
    • Frankel, A. (1995). Mapping seismic hazard in the central and eastern United States, Seismol. Res. Lett. 66, 8-21.
    • (1995) Seismol. Res. Lett , vol.66 , pp. 8-21
    • Frankel, A.1
  • 36
    • 0001278883 scopus 로고
    • Is the sequence of earthquakes in southern California with aftershocks removed Poissonian?
    • Gardner, J. K., and L. Knopoff (1974). Is the sequence of earthquakes in southern California with aftershocks removed Poissonian? Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 64, 1363-1367.
    • (1974) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.64 , pp. 1363-1367
    • Gardner, J.K.1    Knopoff, L.2
  • 38
    • 79954476251 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Block modeling of crustal deformation of the northern Walker Lane and Basin and Range from GPS velocities
    • doi: 10. 1029/2010JB007817
    • Hammond, W. C., G. Blewitt, and C. Kreemer (2011). Block modeling of crustal deformation of the northern Walker Lane and Basin and Range from GPS velocities, J. Geophys. Res. 166, no. B04402, doi: 10. 1029/2010JB007817.
    • (2011) J. Geophys. Res , vol.166 , Issue.B04402
    • Hammond, W.C.1    Blewitt, G.2    Kreemer, C.3
  • 39
    • 40549133857 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • M-log A observations of recent large earthquakes
    • Hanks, T. C., andW. H. Bakun (2008). M-log A observations of recent large earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 98, 490.
    • (2008) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.98 , pp. 490
    • Hanks, T.C.1    Bakun, W.H.2
  • 40
    • 0027498628 scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of fault interaction-parallel strike-slip faults
    • Harris, R. A., and S. M. Day (1993). Dynamics of fault interaction-parallel strike-slip faults, J. Geophys. Res. 98, 4461-4472.
    • (1993) J. Geophys. Res , vol.98 , pp. 4461-4472
    • Harris, R.A.1    Day, S.M.2
  • 41
    • 0025956510 scopus 로고
    • Fault steps and the dynamic rupture process: 2-D numerical simulations of a spontaneously propagating shear fracture
    • Harris, R. A., R. J. Archuleta, and S. M. Day (1991). Fault steps and the dynamic rupture process: 2-D numerical simulations of a spontaneously propagating shear fracture, Geophys. Res. Lett. 18, 893-896.
    • (1991) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.18 , pp. 893-896
    • Harris, R.A.1    Archuleta, R.J.2    Day, S.M.3
  • 43
    • 84875480493 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variability of displacement at a point: Implications for earthquake-size distribution and rupture hazard on faults
    • doi: 10. 1785/0120120159
    • Hecker, S., N. A. Abrahamson, and K. E. Wooddell (2013). Variability of displacement at a point: Implications for earthquake-size distribution and rupture hazard on faults, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 103, 651-674, doi: 10. 1785/0120120159.
    • (2013) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.103 , pp. 651-674
    • Hecker, S.1    Abrahamson, N.A.2    Wooddell, K.E.3
  • 44
    • 34248663223 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High-resolution time-independent grid-based forecast forM ≥5 earthquakes in California
    • Helmstetter, A., Y. Y. Kagan, and D. D. Jackson (2007). High-resolution time-independent grid-based forecast forM ≥5 earthquakes in California, Seismol. Res. Lett. 78, 78-86.
    • (2007) Seismol. Res. Lett , vol.78 , pp. 78-86
    • Helmstetter, A.1    Kagan, Y.Y.2    Jackson, D.D.3
  • 46
    • 3142733609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earthquake recurrence parameters from seismic and geodetic strain rates in the eastern Mediterranean
    • doi: 10. 1111/j. 1365-246X. 2004. 02261. x
    • Jenny, S., S. Goes, D. Giardini, and H.-G. Kahle (2004). Earthquake recurrence parameters from seismic and geodetic strain rates in the eastern Mediterranean, Geophys. J. Int. 157, 1331-1347, doi: 10. 1111/j. 1365-246X. 2004. 02261. x.
    • (2004) Geophys. J. Int , vol.157 , pp. 1331-1347
    • Jenny, S.1    Goes, S.2    Giardini, D.3    Kahle, H.-G.4
  • 47
    • 78650035291 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New methods for estimating the spatial distribution of locked asperities and stress-driven interseismic creep on faults with application to the San Francisco Bay area
    • doi: 10. 1029/2010JB007703
    • Johnson, K. M., and J. Fukuda (2010). New methods for estimating the spatial distribution of locked asperities and stress-driven interseismic creep on faults with application to the San Francisco Bay area, California, J. Geophys. Res. 115, no. B12408, doi: 10. 1029/2010JB007703.
    • (2010) California, J. Geophys. Res , vol.115 , Issue.B12408
    • Johnson, K.M.1    Fukuda, J.2
  • 48
    • 80052984193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Operational earthquake forecasting: State of knowledge and guidelines for implementation final report of the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection
    • doi: 10. 4401/ag-5350
    • Jordan, T. H., Y.-T. Chen, P. Gasparini, R. Madariaga, I. Main, W. Marzocchi, G. Papadopoulos, G. Sobolev, K. Yamaoka, and J. Zschau (2011). Operational earthquake forecasting: State of knowledge and guidelines for implementation, final report of the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection, Ann. Geophys. 54, no. 4, 315-391, doi: 10. 4401/ag-5350.
    • (2011) Ann. Geophys , vol.54 , Issue.4 , pp. 315-391
    • Jordan, T.H.1    Chen, Y.-T.2    Gasparini, P.3    Madariaga, R.4    Main, I.5    Marzocchi, W.6    Papadopoulos, G.7    Sobolev, G.8    Yamaoka, K.9    Zschau, J.10
  • 49
    • 0036127318 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seismic moment distribution revisited: I
    • Kagan, Y. Y. (2002a). Seismic moment distribution revisited: I, Statistical Results, Geophys. J. Int. 148, 520-541.
    • (2002) Statistical Results, Geophys. J. Int , vol.148 , pp. 520-541
    • Kagan, Y.Y.1
  • 51
    • 84875459191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tohoku earthquake: A surprise?
    • Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson (2013). Tohoku earthquake: A surprise? Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 103, 1181-1194.
    • (2013) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.103 , pp. 1181-1194
    • Kagan, Y.Y.1    Jackson, D.D.2
  • 56
    • 0036477068 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of releasing step-overs on surface fault rupture and fault segmentation: Examples from the 17 August 1999 Izmit earthquake on the North Anatolian fault
    • Lettis, W., J. Bachhuber, R. Witter, C. Brankman, C. E. Randolph, A. Barka, W. D. Page, and A. Kaya (2002). Influence of releasing step-overs on surface fault rupture and fault segmentation: Examples from the 17 August 1999 Izmit earthquake on the North Anatolian fault, Turkey, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 92, 19-42.
    • (2002) Turkey, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.92 , pp. 19-42
    • Lettis, W.1    Bachhuber, J.2    Witter, R.3    Brankman, C.4    Randolph, C.E.5    Barka, A.6    Page, W.D.7    Kaya, A.8
  • 60
    • 13344259283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seismic versus aseismic deformation in Iran inferred from earthquakes and geodetic data
    • doi: 10. 1111/j. 1365-246X. 2004. 02465. x
    • Masson, F., J. Chéry, D. Hatzfeld, J. Martinod, P. Vernant, F. Tavakoli, and M. Ghafory-Ashtiani (2005). Seismic versus aseismic deformation in Iran inferred from earthquakes and geodetic data, Geophys. J. Int. 160, 217-226, doi: 10. 1111/j. 1365-246X. 2004. 02465. x.
    • (2005) Geophys. J. Int , vol.160 , pp. 217-226
    • Masson, F.1    Chéry, J.2    Hatzfeld, D.3    Martinod, J.4    Vernant, P.5    Tavakoli, F.6    Ghafory-Ashtiani, M.7
  • 61
    • 1642418764 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • in Plate Boundary Zones, Geodynamics Series, S. Stein and J. Freymueller (Editors), Vol. 30, American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C., 101-122
    • McCaffrey, R. (2002). Crustal block rotations and plate coupling, in Plate Boundary Zones, Geodynamics Series, S. Stein and J. Freymueller (Editors), Vol. 30, American Geophysical Union, Washington, D. C., 101-122.
    • (2002) Crustal block rotations and plate coupling
    • McCaffrey, R.1
  • 62
    • 25444525718 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Block kinematics of the Pacific/North America plate boundary in the southwestern United States from inversion of GPS seismological, and geologic data
    • doi: 10. 1029/2004JB003307
    • McCaffrey, R. (2005). Block kinematics of the Pacific/North America plate boundary in the southwestern United States from inversion of GPS, seismological, and geologic data, J. Geophys. Res. 110, no. B07401, doi: 10. 1029/2004JB003307.
    • (2005) J. Geophys. Res , vol.110 , Issue.B07401
    • McCaffrey, R.1
  • 63
    • 84864833599 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earthquake in a maze: Compressional rupture branching during the 2012 Mw 8. 6 Sumatra earthquake
    • doi: 10. 1126/science. 1224030
    • Meng, L., J.-P. Ampuero, J. Stock, Z. Duputel, Y. Luo, and V. C. Tsai (2012). Earthquake in a maze: Compressional rupture branching during the 2012 Mw 8. 6 Sumatra earthquake, Science 337, 724-726, doi: 10. 1126/science. 1224030.
    • (2012) Science , vol.337 , pp. 724-726
    • Meng, L.1    Ampuero, J.-P.2    Stock, J.3    Duputel, Z.4    Luo, Y.5    Tsai, V.C.6
  • 65
    • 84903745466 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National Research Council, R.M., R.A. Andrews, R.A. Bauer, J.A. Bullock, S.E. Chang, W.T. Holmes, L.A. Johnson, T.H. Jordan, G.A. Kreps, S.P. Nishenko, A.Z. Rose, L.T. Tobin, and A.S. Whittaker, National Earthquake Resilience: Research, Implementation, and Outreach, National Research Council, National Academies Press, Washington, D. C
    • National Research Council (2011). Hamilton, R. M., R. A. Andrews, R. A. Bauer, J. A. Bullock, S. E. Chang, W. T. Holmes, L. A. Johnson, T. H. Jordan, G. A. Kreps, S. P. Nishenko, A. Z. Rose, L. T. Tobin, and A. S. Whittaker, National Earthquake Resilience: Research, Implementation, and Outreach, National Research Council, National Academies Press, Washington, D. C., 198 pp.
    • (2011) Hamilton , pp. 198
  • 66
    • 84872918637 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stable creeping fault segments can become destructive as a result of dynamic weakening
    • doi: 10. 1038/nature11703
    • Noda, H., and N. Lapusta (2013). Stable creeping fault segments can become destructive as a result of dynamic weakening, Nature 493, 518-521, doi: 10. 1038/nature11703.
    • (2013) Nature , vol.493 , pp. 518-521
    • Noda, H.1    Lapusta, N.2
  • 67
    • 0012346731 scopus 로고
    • Statistical models of point occurrences and residual analysis for point processes
    • Ogata, Y. (1988). Statistical models of point occurrences and residual analysis for point processes, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 83, 9-27.
    • (1988) J. Am. Stat. Assoc , vol.83 , pp. 9-27
    • Ogata, Y.1
  • 68
    • 84055176339 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The magnitude distribution of earthquakes near southern California faults
    • doi: 10. 1029/2010JB007933
    • Page, M. T., D. Alderson, and J. Doyle (2011). The magnitude distribution of earthquakes near southern California faults, J. Geophys. Res. 116, no. B12309, doi: 10. 1029/2010JB007933.
    • (2011) J. Geophys. Res , vol.116 , Issue.B12309
    • Page, M.T.1    Alderson, D.2    Doyle, J.3
  • 71
    • 33644514935 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of seismic and geodetic scalar moment rates across the Basin and Range Province
    • doi: 10. 1785/0120040166
    • Pancha, A., J. G. Anderson, and C. Kreemer (2006). Comparison of seismic and geodetic scalar moment rates across the Basin and Range Province, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 96, 11-32, doi: 10. 1785/0120040166.
    • (2006) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.96 , pp. 11-32
    • Pancha, A.1    Anderson, J.G.2    Kreemer, C.3
  • 72
    • 69549126528 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is there basis for preferring characteristic earthquakes over Gutenberg-Richter distributions on individual faults in probabilistic earthquake forecasting?
    • doi: 10. 1785/0120080069
    • Parsons, T., and E. L. Geist (2009). Is there basis for preferring characteristic earthquakes over Gutenberg-Richter distributions on individual faults in probabilistic earthquake forecasting? Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 99, 2012-2019, doi: 10. 1785/0120080069.
    • (2009) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.99 , pp. 2012-2019
    • Parsons, T.1    Geist, E.L.2
  • 74
    • 34248642549 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Timeindependent and time-dependent seismic hazard assessment for the State of California: Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Model 1. 0
    • Petersen, M. D., T. Cao, K. W. Campbell, and A. D. Frankel (2007). Timeindependent and time-dependent seismic hazard assessment for the State of California: Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Model 1. 0, Seismol. Res. Lett. 78, 99-109.
    • (2007) Seismol. Res. Lett , vol.78 , pp. 99-109
    • Petersen, M.D.1    Cao, T.2    Campbell, K.W.3    Frankel, A.D.4
  • 78
    • 84866422491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trimming the UCERF2 hazard logic tree
    • doi: 10. 1785/0220120012
    • Porter, K. A., E. H. Field, and K. Milner (2012). Trimming the UCERF2 hazard logic tree, Seismol. Res. Lett. 83, 815-828, doi: 10. 1785/0220120012.
    • (2012) Seismol. Res. Lett , vol.83 , pp. 815-828
    • Porter, K.A.1    Field, E.H.2    Milner, K.3
  • 79
    • 84903747783 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2013-1165-O, and California Geol. Surv. Special Rept. 228-O
    • Powers, P. M., and E. H. Field (2013). Appendix O: Gridded seismicity sources, U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2013-1165-O, and California Geol. Surv. Special Rept. 228-O.
    • (2013) Appendix O: Gridded seismicity sources
    • Powers, P.M.1    Field, E.H.2
  • 82
    • 77957893045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of geodetic and seismic strain rates in Greece by using a uniform processing approach to campaign GPS measurements over the interval 1994-2000
    • doi: 10. 1016/j. jog.04.2010.008
    • Rontogianni, S. (2008). Comparison of geodetic and seismic strain rates in Greece by using a uniform processing approach to campaign GPS measurements over the interval 1994-2000, J. Geodyn. doi: 10. 1016/j. jog. 2010. 04. 008.
    • (2008) J. Geodyn
    • Rontogianni, S.1
  • 83
  • 84
    • 0027526688 scopus 로고
    • Inferred depth of creep on the Hayward fault central California
    • Savage, J. C., and M. Lisowski (1993). Inferred depth of creep on the Hayward fault, central California, J. Geophys. Res. 98, no. B1, 787-793.
    • (1993) J. Geophys. Res , vol.98 , Issue.B1 , pp. 787-793
    • Savage, J.C.1    Lisowski, M.2
  • 86
    • 0000738279 scopus 로고
    • Mechanics of discontinuous faults
    • Segall, P., and D. D. Pollard (1980). Mechanics of discontinuous faults, J. Geophys. Res. 85, 4337-4350.
    • (1980) J. Geophys. Res , vol.85 , pp. 4337-4350
    • Segall, P.1    Pollard, D.D.2
  • 87
    • 0003596815 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, U.S. Dept. of Energy, Electric Power Research Institute; NUREG/CR-6372, UCRLID-122160, Vol. 1/2. (Also a review of the document by National Academy Press, Washington, D.C.,)
    • Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee (1997). Recommendations for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis: Guidance on Uncertainty and Use of Experts, U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, U. S. Dept. of Energy, Electric Power Research Institute; NUREG/CR-6372, UCRLID-122160, Vol. 1/2. (Also a review of the document by National Academy Press, Washington, D. C., 73 pp.).
    • (1997) Recommendations for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis: Guidance on Uncertainty and Use of Experts , pp. 73
  • 88
    • 67649934431 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constant stress drop from small to great earthquakes in magnitude-area scaling
    • doi: 10. 1785/0120080006
    • Shaw, B. E. (2009). Constant stress drop from small to great earthquakes in magnitude-area scaling, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 99, 871, doi: 10. 1785/0120080006.
    • (2009) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.99 , pp. 871
    • Shaw, B.E.1
  • 89
    • 84875431416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earthquake surface slip-length data is fit by constant stress drop and is useful for seismic hazard analysis
    • doi: 10. 1785/0120110258
    • Shaw, B. E. (2013a). Earthquake surface slip-length data is fit by constant stress drop and is useful for seismic hazard analysis, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 103, 876, doi: 10. 1785/0120110258.
    • (2013) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.103 , pp. 876
    • Shaw, B.E.1
  • 91
    • 34548030436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilities for jumping fault segment stepovers
    • doi: 10. 1029/2006GL027980
    • Shaw, B. E., and J. H. Dieterich (2007). Probabilities for jumping fault segment stepovers, Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L01307, doi: 10. 1029/2006GL027980.
    • (2007) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.34
    • Shaw, B.E.1    Dieterich, J.H.2
  • 93
    • 85082754878 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are short-term evacuations warranted? Case of the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake
    • doi: 10. 1029/2009gl042352
    • van Stiphout, T., S. Wiemer, andW. Marzocchi (2010). Are short-term evacuations warranted? Case of the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake, Geophys. Res. Lett. 37, doi: 10. 1029/2009gl042352.
    • (2010) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.37
    • van Stiphout, T.1    Wiemer, S.2    Marzocchi, W.3
  • 95
    • 0032450042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the consistency of earthquake moment release and space geodetic strain rates: Europe
    • doi: 10. 1046/j. 1365-246X. 1998. t01-2-00658. x
    • Ward, S. N. (1998). On the consistency of earthquake moment release and space geodetic strain rates: Europe, Geophys. J. Int. 135, 1011-1018, doi: 10. 1046/j. 1365-246X. 1998. t01-2-00658. x.
    • (1998) Geophys. J. Int , vol.135 , pp. 1011-1018
    • Ward, S.N.1
  • 96
    • 0034130625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • San Francisco Bay area earthquake simulations: A step toward a standard physical earthquake model
    • Ward, S. N. (2000). San Francisco Bay area earthquake simulations: A step toward a standard physical earthquake model, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 90, 370-386.
    • (2000) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.90 , pp. 370-386
    • Ward, S.N.1
  • 97
    • 0001267520 scopus 로고
    • Estimation of the earthquake recurrence parameters for unequal observation periods for different magnitudes
    • Weichert, D. H. (1980). Estimation of the earthquake recurrence parameters for unequal observation periods for different magnitudes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 70, 1337-1346.
    • (1980) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.70 , pp. 1337-1346
    • Weichert, D.H.1
  • 102
    • 84903715815 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Updated empirical relationships among magnitude rupture area, rupture length, and surface displacement (abstract)
    • Wells, D. (2013). Updated empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture area, rupture length, and surface displacement (abstract), Seismol. Res. Lett. 84, 309.
    • (2013) Seismol. Res. Lett , vol.84 , pp. 309
    • Wells, D.1
  • 103
    • 0028555013 scopus 로고
    • New empirical relationships among magnitude rupture length, rupture width, rupture area and surface displacement
    • Wells, D. L., and K. J. Coppersmith (1994). New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area and surface displacement, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 84, 974-1002.
    • (1994) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.84 , pp. 974-1002
    • Wells, D.L.1    Coppersmith, K.J.2
  • 104
    • 33751085616 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the endpoints of earthquake fuptures
    • doi: 10. 1038/nature05275
    • Wesnousky, S. G. (2006). Predicting the endpoints of earthquake fuptures, Nature 444, 358-360, doi: 10. 1038/nature05275.
    • (2006) Nature , vol.444 , pp. 358-360
    • Wesnousky, S.G.1
  • 105
  • 106
    • 0025600735 scopus 로고
    • Probabilities of large earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay region
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP)
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) (1990). Probabilities of large earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay region, California, U. S. Geol. Surv. Circ. 1053, 51 pp.
    • (1990) California, U.S. Geol. Surv. Circ , vol.1053 , pp. 51
  • 107
    • 0029479524 scopus 로고
    • Seismic hazards in southern California: Probable earthquakes
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP)
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) (1995). Seismic hazards in southern California: probable earthquakes, 1994-2024, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 85, 379-439.
    • (1995) 1994-2024, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.85 , pp. 379-439
  • 108
    • 1142305132 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP), U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2003-214
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) (2003). Earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay region: 2002-2031, U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2003-214.
    • (2003) Earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay region: 2002-2031
  • 109
    • 50549085505 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP), Version 2 (UCERF 2), U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2007-1437
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) (2007). The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2), U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2007-1437.
    • (2007) The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast
  • 110
    • 77955500927 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability perspectives on computational earth science
    • doi: 10. 1002/cpe. 1519
    • Zechar, J. D., D. Schorlemmer, M. Liukis, J. Yu, F. Euchner, P. J. Maechling, and T. H. Jordan (2010). The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability perspectives on computational earth science, Concurrency Computat. Pract. Exper. 22, 1836-1847, doi: 10. 1002/cpe. 1519.
    • (2010) Concurrency Computat. Pract. Exper , vol.22 , pp. 1836-1847
    • Zechar, J.D.1    Schorlemmer, D.2    Liukis, M.3    Yu, J.4    Euchner, F.5    Maechling, P.J.6    Jordan, T.H.7
  • 112
    • 84892438299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fault network modeling of crustal deformation in California constrained using GPS and geologic observations
    • doi: 10. 1016/j. tecto.11.2013.030
    • Zeng, Y., and Z.-K. Shen (2014). Fault network modeling of crustal deformation in California constrained using GPS and geologic observations, Tectonophysics 612/613, 1-17, doi: 10. 1016/j. tecto. 2013. 11. 030.
    • (2014) Tectonophysics , vol.612-613 , pp. 1-17
    • Zeng, Y.1    Shen, Z.-K.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.