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Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) [Accessed 20 October 2013]
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Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), World AIDS Day Report 2012, 2012. http://www.unaids.org/en/media/unaids/contentassets/ documents/epidemiology/2012/gr2012/jc2434-worldaidsday-results-en. pdf. [Accessed 20 October 2013]
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(2012)
World AIDS Day Report 2012
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2
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38049087576
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Elevated risk for hiv infection among men who have sex with men in low-and middleincome countries 2000-2006: A systematic review
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Baral S, Sifakis F, Cleghorn C, Beyrer S. Elevated risk for HIV infection among men who have sex with men in low-and middleincome countries 2000-2006: a systematic review. PLoS Med 2007; 4: e339.
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PLoS Med
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Baral, S.1
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Beyrer, S.4
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3
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84862768950
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Burden of hiv among female sex workers in low-income and middle-income countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis
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A useful review of the burden of HIV among FSW
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- 3.Baral S, Beyrer C, Muessig K, et al. Burden of HIV among female sex workers in low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Infect Dis 2012; 12:538-549. A useful review of the burden of HIV among FSW.
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Lancet Infect Dis
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Baral, S.1
Beyrer, C.2
Muessig, K.3
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Worldwide burden of hiv in transgender women: A systematic review and meta-analysis
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Baral S, Poteat T, Strömdahl S, et al. Worldwide burden of HIV in transgender women: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Infect Dis 2013; 13:214-222.
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Lancet Infect Dis
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Baral, S.1
Poteat, T.2
Strömdahl, S.3
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Global epidemiology of injecting drug use and hiv among people who inject drugs: A systematic review
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Mathers B, Degenhardt L, Phillips B, et al. Global epidemiology of injecting drug use and HIV among people who inject drugs: a systematic review. Lancet 2008; 372:1733-1745.
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Lancet
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Mathers, B.1
Degenhardt, L.2
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Focusing the hiv response through estimating the major modes of hiv transmission: A multicountry analysis
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Gouws E, Cuchi P. Focusing the HIV response through estimating the major modes of HIV transmission: a multicountry analysis. Sex Transm Infect 2012; 88 (Suppl 2):i76-i85.
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Cuchi, P.2
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7
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The hiv modes of transmission model: A systematic review of its findings and adherence to guidelines
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(provisionally accepted). A critical analytic review of the transmission model highlighting the surprising homogeneity in estimates of the burden of HIV among FSWs across settings, even where the HIV epidemic is known to be driven by sex work
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- 7.Shubber Z, Mishra S, Vesga J, Boily MC. The HIV modes of transmission model: a systematic review of its findings and adherence to guidelines. J Int AIDS Soc, (provisionally accepted). A critical analytic review of the transmission model highlighting the surprising homogeneity in estimates of the burden of HIV among FSWs across settings, even where the HIV epidemic is known to be driven by sex work.
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J Int AIDS Soc
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Shubber, Z.1
Mishra, S.2
Vesga, J.3
Boily, M.C.4
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8
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84878130431
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Hiv due to female sex work: Regional and global estimates
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Prüss-Ustün A, Wolf J, Driscoll T, et al. HIV due to female sex work: regional and global estimates. PLoS ONE 2013; 8:e63476.
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PLoS ONE
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Prüss-Ustün, A.1
Wolf, J.2
Driscoll, T.3
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9
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78650432541
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Injection drug use, hiv and the current response in selected low-income and middle-income countries
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Bergenstrom AM, Adul-Quader AS. Injection drug use, HIV and the current response in selected low-income and middle-income countries. AIDS 2010; 24 (Suppl 3):S20-S29.
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AIDS
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Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), GLOBAL REPORT: UNAIDS report on the global AIDS epidemic 2013, 2013: Geneva. http://www.unaids.org/en/media/unaids/contentassets/documents/epidemiology/2013/ gr2013/UNAIDS-Global-Report-2013-en.pdf. [Accessed 20 October 2013]
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(2013)
GLOBAL REPORT: UNAIDS report on the global AIDS epidemic 2013
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11
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78549231225
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To what extent is the hiv epidemic in southern india driven by commercial sex? A modelling analysis
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Vickerman P, Foss AM, Pickles M, et al. To what extent is the HIV epidemic in southern India driven by commercial sex? A modelling analysis. AIDS 2010; 24:2563-2572.
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AIDS
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Vickerman, P.1
Foss, A.M.2
Pickles, M.3
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12
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84875470987
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The cost and impact of scaling up preexposure prophylaxis for hiv prevention: A systematic review of cost-effectiveness modelling studies
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A very useful and comprehensive review of previous modelling studies on the costeffectiveness of PrEP
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Gomez G, Borquez A, Caceres C, et al. The cost and impact of scaling up preexposure prophylaxis for HIV prevention: a systematic review of cost-effectiveness modelling studies. PLoS Med 2013; 10: e1001401. A very useful and comprehensive review of previous modelling studies on the costeffectiveness of PrEP.
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(2013)
PLoS Med
, vol.10
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Gomez, G.1
Borquez, A.2
Caceres, C.3
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13
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Mathematical models for the study of hiv spread and control amongst men who have sex with men
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Punyacharoensin N, Edmunds W, D De Angelis, White G. Mathematical models for the study of HIV spread and control amongst men who have sex with men. Eur J Epidemiol 2011; 26:695-709.
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Edmunds, W.2
De Angelis, D.3
White, G.4
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14
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84880970143
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Sex role segregation and mixing among men who have sex with men: Implications for biomedical hiv prevention interventions
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Armbruster B, Roy S, Kapur A, Schneider J. Sex role segregation and mixing among men who have sex with men: implications for biomedical HIV prevention interventions. PLoS ONE 2013; 8:e70043.
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PLoS ONE
, vol.8
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Armbruster, B.1
Roy, S.2
Kapur, A.3
Schneider, J.4
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15
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84859771317
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The cost-effectiveness of preexposure prophylaxis for hiv prevention in the united states in men who have sex with men
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Juusola J, Brandeau M, Owens D, Bendavid E. The cost-effectiveness of preexposure prophylaxis for HIV prevention in the united states in men who have sex with men. Ann Intern Med 2012; 156:541-550.
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Ann Intern Med
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Juusola, J.1
Brandeau, M.2
Owens, D.3
Bendavid, E.4
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16
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84878337526
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Test-and-treat in los angeles: A mathematical model of the effects of test-and-treat for the population of men who have sex with men in los angeles county
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Sood N, Wagner Z, Jaycocks A, et al. Test-and-treat in Los Angeles: a mathematical model of the effects of test-and-treat for the population of men who have sex with men in Los Angeles County. Clin Infect Dis 2013; 56:1789-1796.
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Clin Infect Dis
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Sood, N.1
Wagner, Z.2
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17
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Increased hiv incidence in men who have sex with men despite high levels of art-induced viral suppression: Analysis of an extensively documented epidemic
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Phillips A, Cambiano V, Nakagawa F, et al. Increased HIV incidence in men who have sex with men despite high levels of ART-induced viral suppression: analysis of an extensively documented epidemic. PLoS One 2013; 8:e55312.
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(2013)
PLoS One
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Phillips, A.1
Cambiano, V.2
Nakagawa, F.3
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18
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84884469235
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Sexually transmitted infections screening at hiv treatment centers for msm can be cost-effective
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Vriend HJ, Lugner AK, Xiridou M, et al. Sexually transmitted infections screening at HIV treatment centers for MSM can be cost-effective. AIDS 2013; 27:2281-2290.
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(2013)
AIDS
, vol.27
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Vriend, H.J.1
Lugner, A.K.2
Xiridou, M.3
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19
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84884175643
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Modelling the impact of chlamydia screening on the transmission of hiv among men who have sex with men
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Xiridou M, Vriend H, Lugner A, et al. Modelling the impact of chlamydia screening on the transmission of HIV among men who have sex with men. BMC Infect Dis 2013; 13:436.
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(2013)
BMC Infect Dis
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, pp. 436
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Xiridou, M.1
Vriend, H.2
Lugner, A.3
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20
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84868089015
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The potential impact of pre-exposure prophylaxis for hiv prevention among men who have sex with men and transwomen in lima, peru: A mathematical modelling study
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A very detailed modelling and cost-effectiveness analysis of PrEP among MSM and transwomen. Given the high cost of PrEP programmes, the authors looked at a maximum coverage of 20%, which is lower than in many other studies but potentially more realistic given the high cost. Emphasizes the prohibitive cost of PrEP programmes, preventing the use of PrEP as wide-scale prevention tool
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Gomez G, Borquez A, Caceres C, et al. The potential impact of pre-exposure prophylaxis for HIV prevention among men who have sex with men and transwomen in Lima, Peru: a mathematical modelling study. PLoS Med 2012; 9:e1001323. A very detailed modelling and cost-effectiveness analysis of PrEP among MSM and transwomen. Given the high cost of PrEP programmes, the authors looked at a maximum coverage of 20%, which is lower than in many other studies but potentially more realistic given the high cost. Emphasizes the prohibitive cost of PrEP programmes, preventing the use of PrEP as wide-scale prevention tool.
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(2012)
PLoS Med
, vol.9
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Gomez, G.1
Borquez, A.2
Caceres, C.3
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21
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78650549662
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Iprex team. Preexposure chemoprophylaxis for hiv prevention in men who have sex with men
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Grant RM, Lama JR, Anderson PL, et al., iPrEx team. Preexposure chemoprophylaxis for HIV prevention in men who have sex with men. N Engl J Med 2010; 363:2587-2599.
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(2010)
N Engl J Med
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, pp. 2587-2599
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Grant, R.M.1
Lama, J.R.2
Anderson, P.L.3
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22
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84860001423
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Could implementation of australia's national gay men's syphilis action plan have an indirect effect on the hiv epidemic?
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Hoare A, Gray RT, Wilson DP. Could implementation of Australia's National Gay Men's Syphilis Action Plan have an indirect effect on the HIV epidemicSex Health 2012; 9:144-151.
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(2012)
Sex Health
, vol.9
, pp. 144-151
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Hoare, A.1
Gray, R.T.2
Wilson, D.P.3
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23
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84856766707
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A mathematical model of comprehensive test-and-treat services and hiv incidence among men who have sex with men in the united states
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Sorensen S, Sansom S, Brooks J, et al. A mathematical model of comprehensive test-and-treat services and HIV incidence among men who have sex with men in the United States. PLoS One 2012; 7:e29098.
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(2012)
PLoS One
, vol.7
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Sorensen, S.1
Sansom, S.2
Brooks, J.3
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24
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84866404147
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Resurgence of hiv infection among men who have sex with men in switzerland: Mathematical modelling study
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van Sighem A, Vidondo B, Glass T, et al. Resurgence of HIV infection among men who have sex with men in Switzerland: mathematical modelling study. PLoS One [Electronic Resource] 2012; 7:e44819.
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(2012)
PLoS One [Electronic Resource]
, vol.7
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Van Sighem, A.1
Vidondo, B.2
Glass, T.3
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25
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84879495312
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The efficiency of targeted intervention in limiting the spread of hiv and hepatitis c virus among injecting drug users
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De Vos AS, Kretzschmar ME. The efficiency of targeted intervention in limiting the spread of HIV and Hepatitis C Virus among injecting drug users. J Theor Biol 2013; 333:126-134.
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J Theor Biol
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De Vos, A.S.1
Kretzschmar, M.E.2
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26
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84872497886
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Could low dead-space syringes really reduce hiv transmission to low levels
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A very detailed study reviewing available data to estimate the reduced risk of HIV associated with LDDS. Using conservative impact estimates of LDSS interventions compared with previous ones, the study still highlights its use as a strategy to reduce HIV among PWID
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Vickerman P, Martin NK, Hickman M. Could low dead-space syringes really reduce HIV transmission to low levels Int J Drug Policy 2013; 24:8-14. A very detailed study reviewing available data to estimate the reduced risk of HIV associated with LDDS. Using conservative impact estimates of LDSS interventions compared with previous ones, the study still highlights its use as a strategy to reduce HIV among PWID.
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(2013)
Int J Drug Policy
, vol.24
, pp. 8-14
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Vickerman, P.1
Martin, N.K.2
Hickman, M.3
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27
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84872469409
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Are major reductions in new hiv infections possible with people who inject drugs The case for low dead-space syringes in highly affected countries
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Zule WA, Cross HE, Stover J, Pretorius C. Are major reductions in new HIV infections possible with people who inject drugs The case for low dead-space syringes in highly affected countries. Int J Drug Policy 2013; 24:1-7.
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(2013)
Int J Drug Policy
, vol.24
, pp. 1-7
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Zule, W.A.1
Cross, H.E.2
Stover, J.3
Pretorius, C.4
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28
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84894081742
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[Accessed 21 October 2013]
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The Futures Institute, GOALS model. http://www.futuresinstitute.org/ spectrum2.aspx. [Accessed 21 October 2013]
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The Futures Institute, GOALS model
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29
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84869490498
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Estimating the cost-effectiveness of needle-syringe programs in australia
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Kwon JA, Anderson J, Kerr C, et al. Estimating the cost-effectiveness of needle-syringe programs in Australia. AIDS 2012; 26:2201-2210.
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(2012)
AIDS
, vol.26
, pp. 2201-2210
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Kwon, J.A.1
Anderson, J.2
Kerr, C.3
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30
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Positive impact of a large-scale hiv prevention programme among female sex workers and clients in south india
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Boily MC, Pickles M, Lowndes C, et al. Positive impact of a large-scale HIV prevention programme among female sex workers and clients in South India. AIDS 2013; 27:1449-1460.
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(2013)
AIDS
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, pp. 1449-1460
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Boily, M.C.1
Pickles, M.2
Lowndes, C.3
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31
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84888124885
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Assessment of the population-level effectiveness of the avahan hiv-prevention programme in south india: A preplanned, causal-pathway-based modelling analysis
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Real-life evaluation of the largest core group intervention in the world based for the first time on a mathematical study design. The findings demonstrate that targeting high-risk groups with a tailored range of services can help control HIV among key populations and the general population. This suggests that similar programmes could have a considerable impact on HIV epidemics in many parts of the world
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Pickles M, Boily MC, Vickerman P, et al. Assessment of the population-level effectiveness of the Avahan HIV-prevention programme in South India: a preplanned, causal-pathway-based modelling analysis. Lancet Global Health 2013; 1:e289-e299. Real-life evaluation of the largest core group intervention in the world based for the first time on a mathematical study design. The findings demonstrate that targeting high-risk groups with a tailored range of services can help control HIV among key populations and the general population. This suggests that similar programmes could have a considerable impact on HIV epidemics in many parts of the world.
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(2013)
Lancet Global Health
, vol.1
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Pickles, M.1
Boily, M.C.2
Vickerman, P.3
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32
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84873442601
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Estimating the impact of reducing violence against female sex workers on hiv epidemics in kenya and ukraine: A policy modeling exercise
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Decker MR, Wirtz AL, Pretorius C, et al. Estimating the impact of reducing violence against female sex workers on HIV epidemics in Kenya and Ukraine: a policy modeling exercise. Am J Reprod Immunol 2013; 69:2013; Suppl 1:122-132.
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Am J Reprod Immunol
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Decker, M.R.1
Wirtz, A.L.2
Pretorius, C.3
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33
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84883458797
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The potential impact of expanding antiretroviral therapy and combination prevention in vietnam: Towards elimination of hiv transmission
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Kato M, Granich R, Bui D, et al. The potential impact of expanding antiretroviral therapy and combination prevention in Vietnam: towards elimination of HIV transmission. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2013; 63:e142-e149.
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J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr
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Kato, M.1
Granich, R.2
Bui, D.3
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34
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84884127810
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Averting hiv infections in new york city: A modeling approach estimating the future impact of additional behavioral and biomedical hiv prevention strategies
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Kessler J, Myers J, Nucifora K, et al. Averting HIV infections in New York City: a modeling approach estimating the future impact of additional behavioral and biomedical HIV prevention strategies. PLoS One 2013; 8:e73269.
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PLoS One
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Kessler, J.1
Myers, J.2
Nucifora, K.3
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35
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84865156888
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Projecting hiv transmission in japan
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Gilmour S, Li J, Shibuya K. Projecting HIV transmission in Japan. PLoS One 2012; 7:e43473.
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(2012)
PLoS One
, vol.7
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Gilmour, S.1
Li, J.2
Shibuya, K.3
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36
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84867741247
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The epidemiological impact and costeffectiveness of hiv testing, antiretroviral treatment and harm reduction programs
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Li J, Gilmour S, Zhang H, et al. The epidemiological impact and costeffectiveness of HIV testing, antiretroviral treatment and harm reduction programs. AIDS 2012; 26:2069-2078.
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(2012)
AIDS
, vol.26
, pp. 2069-2078
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Li, J.1
Gilmour, S.2
Zhang, H.3
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37
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84856025161
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Modelling hiv in the injecting drug user population and the male homosexual population in a developed country context
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Sutton AJ, House T, Hope V, et al. Modelling HIV in the injecting drug user population and the male homosexual population in a developed country context. Epidemics 2012; 4:48-56.
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(2012)
Epidemics
, vol.4
, pp. 48-56
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Sutton, A.J.1
House, T.2
Hope, V.3
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38
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84866171577
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Cost-effectiveness of methadone maintenance therapy as hiv prevention in an indonesian high-prevalence setting: A mathematical modeling study
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Wammes JJ, Siregar AY, Hidayat T, et al. Cost-effectiveness of methadone maintenance therapy as HIV prevention in an Indonesian high-prevalence setting: a mathematical modeling study. Int J Drug Policy 2012; 23:358-364.
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(2012)
Int J Drug Policy
, vol.23
, pp. 358-364
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Wammes, J.J.1
Siregar, A.Y.2
Hidayat, T.3
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39
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84862565716
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Modelling the epidemiological impact of scaling up hiv testing and antiretroviral treatment in china
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Zhang L, Gray RT, Wilson DP. Modelling the epidemiological impact of scaling up HIV testing and antiretroviral treatment in China. Sex Health 2012; 9:261-271.
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(2012)
Sex Health
, vol.9
, pp. 261-271
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Zhang, L.1
Gray, R.T.2
Wilson, D.P.3
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40
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4043055125
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The asian epidemic model: A process model for exploring hiv policy and programme alternatives in asia
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Brown T, Peerapatanapokin W. The Asian Epidemic Model: a process model for exploring HIV policy and programme alternatives in Asia. Sex Transm Infect 2004; 80 (Suppl 1):i19-i24.
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(2004)
Sex Transm Infect
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Brown, T.1
Peerapatanapokin, W.2
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41
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84874400775
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A mathematical model for hiv and hepatitis c co-infection and its assessment from a statistical perspective
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Castro Sanchez AY, Aerts M, Shkedy Z, et al. A mathematical model for HIV and hepatitis C co-infection and its assessment from a statistical perspective. Epidemics 2013; 5:56-66.
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(2013)
Epidemics
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, pp. 56-66
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Castro Sanchez, A.Y.1
Aerts, M.2
Shkedy, Z.3
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42
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84881665312
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Is the hcv-hiv co-infection prevalence amongst injecting drug users a marker for the level of sexual and injection related hiv transmission?
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A great review and modelling exercise using data from more than 43 countries to assess how HIV-HCV co-infection prevalence can be used to quantitatively determine the amount of sexual transmission among PWID
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Vickerman P, Martin NK, Roy A, et al. Is the HCV-HIV co-infection prevalence amongst injecting drug users a marker for the level of sexual and injection related HIV transmission? Drug Alcohol Depend 2013; 132:172-181. A great review and modelling exercise using data from more than 43 countries to assess how HIV-HCV co-infection prevalence can be used to quantitatively determine the amount of sexual transmission among PWID.
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(2013)
Drug Alcohol Depend
, vol.132
, pp. 172-181
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Vickerman, P.1
Martin, N.K.2
Roy, A.3
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43
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84857129558
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Determinants of persistent spread of hiv in hcv-infected populations of injecting drug users
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De Vos AS, Van der Helm JJ, Prins M, Kretzschmar ME. Determinants of persistent spread of HIV in HCV-infected populations of injecting drug users. Epidemics 2012; 4:57-67.
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(2012)
Epidemics
, vol.4
, pp. 57-67
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De Vos, A.S.1
Van Der Helm, J.J.2
Prins, M.3
Kretzschmar, M.E.4
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44
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84861224989
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Understanding the trends in hiv and hepatitis c prevalence amongst injecting drug users in different settings: Implications for intervention impact
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Vickerman P, Martin NK, Hickman M. Understanding the trends in HIV and hepatitis C prevalence amongst injecting drug users in different settings: implications for intervention impact. Drug Alcohol Depend 2012; 123:122-131.
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(2012)
Drug Alcohol Depend
, vol.123
, pp. 122-131
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Vickerman, P.1
Martin, N.K.2
Hickman, M.3
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45
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84858293568
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Modeling the impact of supra-structural network nodes: The case of anonymous syringe sharing and hiv among people who inject drugs
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Richardson L, Grund T. Modeling the impact of supra-structural network nodes: the case of anonymous syringe sharing and HIV among people who inject drugs. Soc Sci Res 2012; 41:624-636.
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(2012)
Soc Sci Res
, vol.41
, pp. 624-636
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Richardson, L.1
Grund, T.2
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46
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84884418316
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Hiv transmission from drug injectors to partners who do not inject and beyond: Modelling the potential for a generalized heterosexual epidemic in st. Petersburg russia
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Mills HL, White E, Colijn C, et al. HIV transmission from drug injectors to partners who do not inject, and beyond: modelling the potential for a generalized heterosexual epidemic in St. Petersburg, Russia. Drug Alcohol Depend 2013; 133:242-247.
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(2013)
Drug Alcohol Depend
, vol.133
, pp. 242-247
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Mills, H.L.1
White, E.2
Colijn, C.3
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47
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84873447619
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Detectable signals of episodic risk effects on acute hiv transmission: Strategies for analyzing transmission systems using genetic data
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An interesting and innovative study combining deterministic and IBMs to understand the role of transient risk behaviour on the fraction of infections due to the acute HIV stage and the size and length of acute transmission chains in order to help interpret genetic data
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- 47.Alam SJ, Zhang X, Romero-Severson E, et al. Detectable signals of episodic risk effects on acute HIV transmission: strategies for analyzing transmission systems using genetic data. Epidemics 2013; 5:44-55. An interesting and innovative study combining deterministic and IBMs to understand the role of transient risk behaviour on the fraction of infections due to the acute HIV stage and the size and length of acute transmission chains in order to help interpret genetic data.
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(2013)
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