Distinguishing sources of HIV transmission from the distribution of newly acquired HIV infections: Why is it important for HIV prevention planning?

Sexually Transmitted Infections

Volumn 90, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 19-25

  Mishra, Sharmistha ^a   Pickles, Michael ^a   Blanchard, James F ^b   Moses, Stephen ^b   Boily, Marie Claude ^a  

^a Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology School of Public Health Imperial College St Mary's Campus   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MANITOBA   (Canada)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CONCURRENT SEXUAL PARTNERSHIP; FEMALE; HETEROSEXUALITY; HIGH RISK POPULATION; HUMAN; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS INFECTION; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS PREVALENCE; INFECTION PREVENTION; PREVENTION STUDY; PRIORITY JOURNAL; STRATEGIC PLANNING; UNPROTECTED SEX; UNSAFE SEX; VIRUS TRANSMISSION;

HIV; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; MODES OF TRANSMISSION; PROGRAMME SCIENCE; TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS;

EPIDEMICS; EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MONITORING; FEMALE; HETEROSEXUALITY; HIV INFECTIONS; HUMANS; MALE; MODELS, THEORETICAL;

EID: 84895562793     PISSN: 13684973     EISSN: 14723263     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1136/sextrans-2013-051250     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS. UNAIDS report on the global AIDS epidemic. Geneva. 2010. http://www.unaids.org/globalreport/global-report. htm (accessed 30 Jul 2013).
2. UNAIDS. Getting to zero: 2011-2015 strategy: Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS. Geneva. 2010. http://www.unaids.org/en/media/unaids/ contentassests/ documents/unaidspublication/2010/JC2034-UNAIDS-Strategy.en.pdf (accessed 30 Jul 2013).
3. Aral SO, Blanchard JF. The Program Science initiative: improving the planning, implementation and evaluation of HIV/STI prevention programs. Sex Transm Infect 2012;88: 157-59.
4. Moses S, Blanchard JF, Kang H, et al. AIDS in south Asia: understanding and responding to a heterogenous epidemic. Washington: The World Bank, 2006.
5. Wilson D, Halperin DT. "Know your epidemic, know your response": a useful approach, if we get it right. Lancet 2008;372: 423-26.
6. Vickerman P, Foss AM, Pickles M, et al. To what extent is the HIV epidemic in southern India driven by commercial sex? A modelling analysis. AIDS 2010;24: 2563-72.
7. Deering KN, Vickerman P, Moses S, et al. The impact of out-migrants and out-migration on the HIV/AIDS epidemic: a case study from south-west India. AIDS 2008;22(Suppl 5):165-S81.
8. Boily MC, Lowndes C, Alary M. The impact of HIV epidemic phases on the effectiveness of core group interventions: insights from mathematical models. Sex Transm Infect 2002;78:I78-90.
9. Lopman BA, Nyamukapa C, Hallett TB, et al. Role of widows in the heterosexual transmission of HIV in Manicaland, Zimbabwe, 1998-2003. Sex Transm Infect 2009;85(Suppl 1): 41-8.
10. Bishop M, Foreit K. Serodiscordant couples in Sub-Saharan Africa: what do the survey data tell us? Washington: Futures Group, Health Policty Initiative, Task Order 1, 2010.
11. Uganda National AIDS Commission. Uganda: HIV modes of transmission and prevention response analysis. Uganda. 2009. http://unaidsdemo.co.za.dedi2032. nur4.host-h.net/thematic-areas/hiv-prevention/know-your-epidemic- modestransmission (accessed 30 Jul 2013).
12. Dunkle KL, Greenberg L, Lanterman A, et al. Source of new infections in generalised HIV epidemics - Reply. Lancet 2008;372: 1300-01.
13. Case K, Ghys PD, Gouws E, et al. Understanding the modes of transmission model of new HIV infection and ints use in prevention planning. Bull World Health Org 2012;90: 831-38.
14. Xiridou M, Geskus R, de Wit J, et al. The contribution of steady and casual partnerships to the incidence of HIV infection among homosexual men in Amsterdam. AIDS 2003;17: 1029-38.
15. Bailey NTJ. An improved hybrid HIV AIDS model geared to specific public-health data and decision-making. Mathematical Biosciences 1993;117: 221-37.
16. Mishra S, Sgaier SK, Thompson LH, et al. HIV epidemic appraisals for assisting in the design of effective prevention programmes: shifting the paradigm back to basics. PLoS ONE 2012;7:e32324.
17. UNAIDS/GAMET. Analysis of HIV prevention response and modes of transmission: the UNAIDS-GAMET supported synthesis process. Geneva. 2009. http://www. unaidsrstesa.org/thematic-areas/hiv-prevention/know-your-epidemic- modestransmission (accessed 1 Jun 2013).
18. Gouws E, Cuchi P. Focusing the HIV response through estimating the major modes of HIV transmission: a multi-country analysis. Sex Transm Infect 2012;88(Suppl 2): i76-85.
19. Gouws E, White PJ, Stover J, et al. Short term estimates of adult HIV incidence by mode of transmission: Kenya and Thailand as examples. Sex Transm Infect 2006;82: iii51-5.
20. UNAIDS. Modelling the expected short-term distribution of incidence of HIV infections by exposure group. Geneva. 2012. http://www.unaids.org/en/ dataanalysis/ datatools/incidencebymodesoftransmission/ (accessed 1 Mar 2013).
21. Rothman KJ, Greenland S, Lash TL. Modern epidemiology. 2nd edn. Philadelphia: Lippincott Williams and Wilkins, 2008.
22. Steen R, Wi TE, Kamali A, et al. Control of sexually transmitted infections and prevention of HIV transmission: mending a fractured paradigm. Bull World Health Org 2009;87: 858-65.
23. Mayer KH, Krakower D. Antiretroviral medication and HIV prevention: new steps forward and new questions. Ann Intern Med 2012;156:312-U105.
24. Cohen MS, Chen YQ, McCauley M, et al. Prevention of HIV-1 infection with early antiretroviral therapy. N Engl J Med 2011;365: 493-505.
25. UNAIDS/WHO/UNICEF. Global HIV/AIDS response: epidemic update and health sector progress towards universal access. Geneva. 2011. http://www.unaids.org/ en/ resources/unaidspublications/2011/ (accessed 1 Mar 2013).
26. Maleta K, Bowie C. Selecting HIV infection prevention interventions in the mature HIV epidemic in Malawi using the mode of transmission model. BMC Health Serv Res 2010;10:243.
27. Prudden H, Watts CH, Vickerman P, et al. Can the UNAIDS Modes of Transmission Model be improved? A comparison of the original and revised model projections using data from Nigeria. AIDS Published Online First: 6 Aug 2013. doi:10.1097/01. aids.0000432476.22616.2f.
28. Stover J, Johnson P, Hallett T, et al. The Spectrum projection package: improvements in estimating incidence by age and sex, mother-to-child transmission, HIV progression in children and double orphans. Sex Transm Infect 2010;86(Suppl 2):ii16-21.
29. World Health Organization. The strategic use of antiretrovirals for treatment and prevention of HIV infection. Geneva. 2011. http://www.who.int/hiv/ pub/ meetingreports/consultation-20111116/en/index.html (accessed 1 Mar 2013).
30. Ramakrishnan L, Gautam A, Goswami P, et al. Programme coverage, condom use and STI treatment among FSWs in a large-scale HIV prevention programme: results from cross-sectional surveys in 22 districts in southern India. Sex Transm Infect 2010;86:I62-8.
31. National AIDS Control Organization. TI performance analysis: 2010-2011. New Delhi. 2012. http://www.nacoonline.org/NACO/ (accessed 1 Mar 2013).