Future Flows Hydrology: An ensemble of daily river flow and monthly groundwater levels for use for climate change impact assessment across Great Britain

Earth System Science Data

Volumn 5, Issue 1, 2013, Pages 101-107

  Prudhomme, C ^a   Haxton, T ^b   Crooks, S ^a   Jackson, C ^c   Barkwith, A ^c   Williamson, J ^a,e   Kelvin, J ^b   Mackay, J ^c   Wang, L ^c   Young, A ^b   Watts, G ^d  

^a CENTRE FOR ECOLOGY AND HYDROLOGY   (United Kingdom)

^b Crowmarsh Gifford   (United Kingdom)

^c BRITISH GEOLOGICAL SURVEY   (United Kingdom)

^d ENVIRONMENT AGENCY   (United Kingdom)

^e Welsh Water   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84892971135     PISSN: 18663508     EISSN: 18663516     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/essd-5-101-2013     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., and Smith, M.: FAO irrigation and drainage paper 56 -Crop evapotranspiration -Guidelines for computing crop water requirements, Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations, Rome, 300 pp., 1998.
2. Bell, V. A. and Moore, R. J.: An elevation-dependent snowmelt model for upland Britain, Hydrol. Process., 13, 1887-1903, 1999. (Pubitemid 30024788)
3. Charlton, M. B. and Arnell, N. W.: Adapting to climate change impacts on water resources in England -An assessment of draft Water Resources Management Plans, Global Environ. Change, 21, 238-248, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.07.012, 2011.
4. Christierson, B. v., Vidal, J.-P., and Wade, S. D.: Using UKCP09 probabilistic climate information for UK water resource planning, J. Hydrol., 424-425, 48-67, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.12.020, 2012.
5. Crooks, S. M. and Naden, P. S.: CLASSIC: a semi-distributed rainfall-runoff modelling system, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 516-531, doi:10.5194/hess-11-516-2007, 2007. (Pubitemid 46134783)
6. Crooks, S. M., Young, A. R., and Jackson, C. R.: Modelling protocol -Project Note -SC090016/PN4, CEH, Wallingford, 2012.
7. Diaz-Nieto, J. and Wilby, R. L.: A comparison of statistical downscaling and climate change factor methods: Impacts on low flows in the River Thames, United Kingdom, Clim. Change, 69, 245-268, 2005. (Pubitemid 40670035)
8. Griffiths, J., Young, A. R., and Keller, V.: Continuous Estimation of River Flows (CERF) -Technical Report: Task 1.3: Model scheme for representing rainfall interception and soil moisture, CEH, Wallingford, 45 pp., 2006.
9. Herrera-Pantoja, M. and Hiscock, K. M.: The effects of climate change on potential groundwater recharge in Great Britain, Hydrol. Process., 22, 73-86, doi:10.1002/hyp.6620, 2008. (Pubitemid 351149259)
10. Holman, I.: Climate change impacts on groundwater recharge -uncertainty, shortcomings, and the way forward?, Hydrogeol. J., 14, 637-647, 2006. (Pubitemid 44219527)
11. Jackson, C. R.: Future flows and groundwater levels: RGroundwater model summary. British Geological Survey Commissioned Report CR/12/105, Project Note -SC090016/PN6, BGS, Keyworth, 21 pp., 2012.
12. Jackson, C. R., Meister, R., and Prudhomme, C.: Modelling the effects of climate change and its uncertainty on UK Chalk groundwater resources from an ensemble of global climate model projections, J. Hydrol., 399, 12-28, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.12.028, 2011.
13. Kay, A. L. and Jones, D. A.: Transient changes in flood frequency and timing in Britain under potential projections of climate change, Int. J. Climatol., 32, 489-502, doi:10.1002/joc.2288, 2010.
14. Kay, A. L., Jones, D. A., Crooks, S. M., Kjeldsen, T. R., and Fung, C. F.: An investigation of site-similarity approaches to generalisation of a rainfall-runoff model, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 500-515, doi:10.5194/hess-11-500-2007, 2007. (Pubitemid 46134784)
15. Kay, A. L., Davies, H. N., Bell, V. A., and Jones, R. G.: Comparison of uncertainty sources for climate change impacts: flood frequency in England, Clim. Change, 92, 41-63, doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9471-4, 2009.
16. Ledbetter, R., Prudhomme, C., and Arnell, N.: A method for incorporating climate variability in climate change impact assessments: Sensitivity of river flows in the Eden catchment to precipitation scenarios, Clim. Change, 113, 803-823, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0386-0, 2011.
17. Limbrick, K. J., Whitehead, P. G., Butterfield, D., and Reynard, N.: Assessing the potential impacts of various climate change scenarios on the hydrological regime of the River Kennet at Theale, Berkshire, south-central England, UK: an application and evaluation of the new semi-distributed model, INCA, Sci. Total Environ., 251-252, 539-555, 2000. (Pubitemid 30314596)
18. Lopez, A., Fung, F., New, M., Watts, G., Weston, A., and Wilby, R. L.: From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts and adaptation: A case study of water resource management in the southwest of England, Water Resour. Res., 45, W08419, doi:10.1029/2008wr007499, 2009.
19. Moore, R. J.: The PDM rainfall-runoff model, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 483-499, doi:10.5194/hess-11-483-2007, 2007. (Pubitemid 46134785)
20. Murphy, J. M., Booth, B. B. B., Collins, M., Harris, G. R., Sexton, D. M. H., and Webb, M. J.: A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles, Philos. T. R. Soc. A, 365, 1993-2028, doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2077, 2007.
21. Murphy, J. M., Sexton, D. M. H., Jenkins, G. J., Booth, B. B. B., Brown, C. C., Clark, R. T., Collins, M., Harris, G. R., Kendon, E. J., Betts, R. A., Brown, S. J., Humphrey, K. A., McCarthy, M. P., McDonald, R. E., Stephens, A., Wallace, C., Warren, R., Wilby, R., and Wood, R. A.: UK Climate Projections Science Report: Climate Change Projections, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK, 190 pp., 2009.
22. Nawaz, N. R. and Adeloye, A. J.: Monte Carlo Assessment of Sampling Uncertainty of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources Yield in Yorkshire, England, Clim. Change, V78, 257-292, 2006. (Pubitemid 44496749)
23. Piani, C., Haerter, J. O., and Coppola, E.: Statistical bias correction for daily precipitation in regional climate models over Europe, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 99, 187-192, 2010a.
24. Piani, C.,Weedon, G. P., Best, M., Gomes, S. M., Viterbo, P., Hagemann, S., and Haerter, J. O.: Statistical bias correction of global simulated daily precipitation and temperature for the application of hydrological models, J. Hydrol., 395, 199-215, 2010b.
25. Prudhomme, C. and Davies, H.: Assessing uncertainties in climate change impact analyses on the river flow regimes in the UK. Part 2: future climate, Clim. Change, 93, 197-222, doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9461-6, 2009.
26. Prudhomme, C., Wilby, L. R., Crooks, S. M., Kay, A. L., and Reynard, N. S.: Scenario-neutral approach to climate change impact studies: application to flood risk, J. Hydrol., 390, 198-209, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.06.043, 2010.
27. Prudhomme, C., Dadson, S., Morris, D., Williamson, J., Goodsell, G., Crooks, S., Boelee, L., Davies, H., Buys, G., Lafon, T., and Watts, G.: Future Flows Climate: an ensemble of 1-km climate change projections for hydrological application in Great Britain, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 4, 143-148, doi:10.5194/essd-4-143-2012, 2012.
28. Wilby, R. L. and Harris, I.: A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: Low-flow scenarios for the River Thames, UK, Water Resour. Res., 42, W02419, doi:10.1029/2005wr004065, 2006.
29. Yusoff, I., Hiscock, K. M., and Conway, D.: Simulation of the impacts of climate change on groundwater resources in eastern England, in: Sustainable Groundwater Development. Special Publication No. 193, edited by: Hiscock, K. M., Rivett, M. O., and Davison, R. M., The Geological Society, London, 325-344, 2002. (Pubitemid 34455625)