메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 69, Issue 2-3, 2005, Pages 245-268

A comparison of statistical downscaling and climate change factor methods: Impacts on low flows in the River Thames, United Kingdom

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EVAPORATION; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); RIVERS;

EID: 18744391157     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-005-1157-6     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (410)

References (46)
  • 3
    • 0037474009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relative effects of multi-decadal climatic variability and changes in the mean and variability of climate due to global warming: Future streamflows in Britain
    • Arnell, N. W: 2003b, 'Relative effects of multi-decadal climatic variability and changes in the mean and variability of climate due to global warming: Future streamflows in Britain', J. Hydrol. 270, 19-213.
    • (2003) J. Hydrol. , vol.270 , pp. 19-213
    • Arnell, N.W.1
  • 4
    • 0030222820 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of climate change due to global warming on river flows in Great Britain
    • Arnell, N. W and Reynard, N. S.: 1996, 'The effects of climate change due to global warming on river flows in Great Britain', J. Hydrol. 183, 397-424.
    • (1996) J. Hydrol. , vol.183 , pp. 397-424
    • Arnell, N.W.1    Reynard, N.S.2
  • 5
    • 0036321283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local versus remote grid points in climate downscaling
    • Brinkmann, W. A. R: 2002, 'Local versus remote grid points in climate downscaling', Clim. Res. 21, 27-42.
    • (2002) Clim. Res. , vol.21 , pp. 27-42
    • Brinkmann, W.A.R.1
  • 6
    • 0037083611 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of climate and land-use change on strom runoff generation: Present knowledge and modelling capabilities
    • Bronstert, A., Niehoff, D. and Burger, G: 2002, 'Effects of climate and land-use change on strom runoff generation: Present knowledge and modelling capabilities', Hydrol Processes 16, 509-529.
    • (2002) Hydrol Processes , vol.16 , pp. 509-529
    • Bronstert, A.1    Niehoff, D.2    Burger, G.3
  • 7
    • 0033611345 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A spatio-temporal model for downscaling precipitation occurrence and amounts
    • Charles, S. P., Bates, B. C. and Hughes, J. P: 1999a, 'A spatio-temporal model for downscaling precipitation occurrence and amounts. J. Geophys. Res. 104, 31657-31669.
    • (1999) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.104 , pp. 31657-31669
    • Charles, S.P.1    Bates, B.C.2    Hughes, J.P.3
  • 8
    • 0033563603 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validation of downscaling models for changed climate conditions: Case study of southwestern Australia
    • Charles, S. P., Bates, B. C., Whetton, P. H. and Hughes, J. P.: 1999b, Validation of downscaling models for changed climate conditions: Case study of southwestern Australia. Clim. Res. 12, 1-14.
    • (1999) Clim. Res. , vol.12 , pp. 1-14
    • Charles, S.P.1    Bates, B.C.2    Whetton, P.H.3    Hughes, J.P.4
  • 9
    • 1542368482 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scale interactions and regional climate: Examples from the Susquehama river basin
    • Crane, R. G., Yarnal, B., Barron, E. J. and Hewitson, B.: 2002, Scale interactions and regional climate: Examples from the Susquehama river basin. Hum. Ecol. Risk Assess. 8, 147-158.
    • (2002) Hum. Ecol. Risk Assess. , vol.8 , pp. 147-158
    • Crane, R.G.1    Yarnal, B.2    Barron, E.J.3    Hewitson, B.4
  • 10
    • 0034452152 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rainfall-funoff modeling and the impact of land use change in the Thames catchment
    • Crooks, S., Davis, H. and Goodsell, G: 2000, 'Rainfall-funoff modeling and the impact of land use change in the Thames catchment', PIK Rep. 1, 111-126.
    • (2000) PIK Rep. , vol.1 , pp. 111-126
    • Crooks, S.1    Davis, H.2    Goodsell, G.3
  • 14
    • 0042231792 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Daily precipitation statistics in regional climate models: Evaluation and intercomparison for the European Alps
    • Frei, C., Christensen, J.H., Déqué, M., Jacob, D., Jones, R.G. and Vidale, P.L. 2002, Daily precipitation statistics in regional climate models: Evaluation and intercomparison for the European Alps. J. Geophy. Res. 108, 4124-4142.
    • (2002) J. Geophy. Res. , vol.108 , pp. 4124-4142
    • Frei, C.1    Christensen, J.H.2    Déqué, M.3    Jacob, D.4    Jones, R.G.5    Vidale, P.L.6
  • 15
    • 0035297926 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detection probability of trends in rare events: Theory and application to heavy precipitation in the Alpine region
    • Frei, C. and Schär, C.: 2001, 'Detection probability of trends in rare events: Theory and application to heavy precipitation in the Alpine region', J. Clim. 14, 1568-1584.
    • (2001) J. Clim. , vol.14 , pp. 1568-1584
    • Frei, C.1    Schär, C.2
  • 17
    • 0034107963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of delta change and downscaled GCM scenarios for three mountainous basins in the United States
    • Hay, L., Wilby, R. L. and Leavesley, G. H.: 2000, 'A comparison of delta change and downscaled GCM scenarios for three mountainous basins in the United States', J. Am. Water Res. Assoc. 362, 387-397.
    • (2000) J. Am. Water Res. Assoc. , vol.362 , pp. 387-397
    • Hay, L.1    Wilby, R.L.2    Leavesley, G.H.3
  • 18
    • 0030417301 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate downscaling: Techniques and application
    • Hewitson, B. C. and Crane, R. G.: 1996, 'Climate downscaling: Techniques and application', Clim. Res. 7, 85-95.
    • (1996) Clim. Res. , vol.7 , pp. 85-95
    • Hewitson, B.C.1    Crane, R.G.2
  • 19
    • 0035868538 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Have streamflow droughts in Europe become more severe or frequent?
    • Hisdal, H., Stahl, K., Tallaksen, L.M. and Demuth, S.: 2001, 'Have streamflow droughts in Europe become more severe or frequent?', Int. J. Climatol. 21, 317-333.
    • (2001) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.21 , pp. 317-333
    • Hisdal, H.1    Stahl, K.2    Tallaksen, L.M.3    Demuth, S.4
  • 20
    • 0027334604 scopus 로고
    • Long term variability in the water balances of the Plynlimon catchments
    • Hudson, J. A. and Gilman, K.: 1993, 'Long term variability in the water balances of the Plynlimon catchments', J. Hydrol. 143, 355-380.
    • (1993) J. Hydrol. , vol.143 , pp. 355-380
    • Hudson, J.A.1    Gilman, K.2
  • 21
    • 0033602205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relative impacts of human-induced climate change and natural climate variability
    • Hulme, M., Barrow, E. M., Arnell, N. W., Harrison, P. A., Johns, T. C. and Downing, T. E.: 1999, 'Relative impacts of human-induced climate change and natural climate variability', Nature 397, 688-691.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.397 , pp. 688-691
    • Hulme, M.1    Barrow, E.M.2    Arnell, N.W.3    Harrison, P.A.4    Johns, T.C.5    Downing, T.E.6
  • 23
    • 0038610460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
    • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): 2001, Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
    • (2001) Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis
  • 25
    • 0028551465 scopus 로고
    • Modelling the effects of climate change on water resources - A review
    • Leavesley, G. H.: 1994, 'Modelling the effects of climate change on water resources - a review', Clim. Change 28, 159-177.
    • (1994) Clim. Change , vol.28 , pp. 159-177
    • Leavesley, G.H.1
  • 26
    • 0032920124 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the use of 'goodness-of-fit' measures in hydrologic and hydroclimatic model validation
    • Legates, D. R. and McCabe, G. J.: 1999, 'Evaluating the use of 'goodness-of-fit' measures in hydrologic and hydroclimatic model validation', Water Resour Res. 35, 233-241.
    • (1999) Water Resour. Res. , vol.35 , pp. 233-241
    • Legates, D.R.1    McCabe, G.J.2
  • 27
    • 0032975197 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is potential evapotranspiration and its relationship with actual evapotranspiration sensitive to elevated atmospheric CO2 levels?
    • Lockwood, J. G.: 1999, 'Is potential evapotranspiration and its relationship with actual evapotranspiration sensitive to elevated atmospheric CO2 levels?', Clim. Change 41, 193-212.
    • (1999) Clim. Change , vol.41 , pp. 193-212
    • Lockwood, J.G.1
  • 28
  • 29
    • 0346540792 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical downscaling of monthly mean temperature to the beginning of flowering of Galanthus nivalis L. in northern Germany
    • Maak, K. and von Storch, H.: 1997, 'Statistical downscaling of monthly mean temperature to the beginning of flowering of Galanthus nivalis L. in northern Germany', Int. J. Biometeorol. 41, 5-12.
    • (1997) Int. J. Biometeorol. , vol.41 , pp. 5-12
    • Maak, K.1    Von Storch, H.2
  • 30
    • 84973235208 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and hydrological stability: A look at long-term trends in southeastern Britain
    • Marsh, T. J.: 2001, 'Climate change and hydrological stability: A look at long-term trends in southeastern Britain', Weather 56, 319-328.
    • (2001) Weather , vol.56 , pp. 319-328
    • Marsh, T.J.1
  • 31
    • 0025691153 scopus 로고
    • Hydrological aspects of the developments and rapid decay of the 1989 drought
    • Marsh, T. and Monkhouse, R.: 1990, 'Hydrological aspects of the developments and rapid decay of the 1989 drought', Weather 45, 290-299.
    • (1990) Weather , vol.45 , pp. 290-299
    • Marsh, T.1    Monkhouse, R.2
  • 32
    • 4944235001 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A year of hydrological extremes - 1990
    • Marsh, T. J. and Monkhouse, R. A.: 1996, 'A year of hydrological extremes - 1990', Weather 46, 365-376.
    • (1996) Weather , vol.46 , pp. 365-376
    • Marsh, T.J.1    Monkhouse, R.A.2
  • 33
    • 0001902716 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 1995 drought - A water resource perspective
    • Marsh, T. J. and Turton, P. S.: 1996, 'The 1995 drought - a water resource perspective', Weather 51, 46-53.
    • (1996) Weather , vol.51 , pp. 46-53
    • Marsh, T.J.1    Turton, P.S.2
  • 34
    • 0033507397 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of land surface coupled general circulation model to examine the impacts of doubled stomatal resistance on the water resources of the American Southwest
    • Martin, M., Robert, E. D. and Zong-Lang, Y.: 1999, 'Use of land surface coupled general circulation model to examine the impacts of doubled stomatal resistance on the water resources of the American Southwest', J. Clim. 12, 3359-3375.
    • (1999) J. Clim. , vol.12 , pp. 3359-3375
    • Martin, M.1    Robert, E.D.2    Zong-Lang, Y.3
  • 35
    • 0034733630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional impacts of climate change on water resources quantity and quality indicators
    • Mimikou, M. A., Baltas, E., Varanou, E. and Pantazis, K.: 2000, 'Regional impacts of climate change on water resources quantity and quality indicators', J. Hydrol. 234, 95-109.
    • (2000) J. Hydrol. , vol.234 , pp. 95-109
    • Mimikou, M.A.1    Baltas, E.2    Varanou, E.3    Pantazis, K.4
  • 36
    • 0033572368 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High resolution climate change scenarios: Implications for British runoff
    • Pilling, C. and Jones, J. A. A.: 1999, 'High resolution climate change scenarios: Implications for British runoff', Hydrol Processes 13, 2877-2895.
    • (1999) Hydrol Processes , vol.13 , pp. 2877-2895
    • Pilling, C.1    Jones, J.A.A.2
  • 37
    • 0031213627 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A regional investigation into climate change impacts on UK streamflows
    • Sefton, C. E. M. and Boorman, D. B.: 1997, 'A regional investigation into climate change impacts on UK streamflows', J. Hydrol. 195, 26-44.
    • (1997) J. Hydrol. , vol.195 , pp. 26-44
    • Sefton, C.E.M.1    Boorman, D.B.2
  • 38
    • 0344038754 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linear versus nonlinear techniques in downscaling
    • Weichert, A. and Bürger, G.: 1998, 'Linear versus nonlinear techniques in downscaling', Clim. Res. 10, 83-93.
    • (1998) Clim. Res. , vol.10 , pp. 83-93
    • Weichert, A.1    Bürger, G.2
  • 39
    • 84975836056 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Past and projected trends in London's urban heat island
    • Wilby, R. L.: 2003, 'Past and projected trends in London's urban heat island', Weather 58, 251-260.
    • (2003) Weather , vol.58 , pp. 251-260
    • Wilby, R.L.1
  • 40
    • 0031412203 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling general circulation model output: A review of methods and limitations
    • Wilby, R. L. and Wigley, T. M. L.: 1997, 'Downscaling general circulation model output: A review of methods and limitations', Prog. Phys. Geogr. 214, 530-548.
    • (1997) Prog. Phys. Geogr. , vol.214 , pp. 530-548
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Wigley, T.M.L.2
  • 41
    • 0034070008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precipitation predictors for downscaling circulation model relationships
    • Wilby, R. L. and Wigley, T. M. L.: 2000, 'Precipitation predictors for downscaling circulation model relationships', Int. J. Climatol. 20, 641-661.
    • (2000) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.20 , pp. 641-661
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Wigley, T.M.L.2
  • 42
    • 0036174909 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SDSM - A decision support tool for the assessment of regional climate change impacts
    • Wilby, R. L., Dawson, C. W. and Barrow, E. M.: 2001, 'SDSM - A decision support tool for the assessment of regional climate change impacts', Environ. Modell. Software 17, 145-157.
    • (2001) Environ. Modell. Software , vol.17 , pp. 145-157
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Dawson, C.W.2    Barrow, E.M.3
  • 43
    • 0028179708 scopus 로고
    • A coupled synoptic-hydrological model for climate change impact assessment
    • Wilby, R., Greenfield, B. and Glenny, C.: 1994, 'A coupled synoptic-hydrological model for climate change impact assessment', J. Hydrol. 153, 265-290.
    • (1994) J. Hydrol. , vol.153 , pp. 265-290
    • Wilby, R.1    Greenfield, B.2    Glenny, C.3
  • 44
    • 0038691950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-site simulation of precipitation by conditional resampling
    • Wilby, R.L., Tomlinson, O.J. and Dawson, C.W.: 2003, 'Multi-site simulation of precipitation by conditional resampling', Clim. Res. 23, 183-194.
    • (2003) Clim. Res. , vol.23 , pp. 183-194
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Tomlinson, O.J.2    Dawson, C.W.3
  • 46
    • 0033172665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: Comparison with more complicated methods
    • Zorita, E. and Von Storch, H.: 1999, 'The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: Comparison with more complicated methods', J. Clim. 12, 2474-2489.
    • (1999) J. Clim. , vol.12 , pp. 2474-2489
    • Zorita, E.1    Von Storch, H.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.