Evaluation of the benefit of emergency vaccination in a foot-and-mouth disease free country with low livestock density

Preventive Veterinary Medicine

Volumn 113, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 34-46

  Dürr, Salome ^a   Fasel Clemenz, Céline ^b   Thür, Barbara ^c   Schwermer, Heinzpeter ^b   Doherr, Marcus G ^a   Dohna, Heinrich zu ^d   Carpenter, Tim E ^d,e   Perler, Lukas ^b   Hadorn, Daniela C ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BERN   (Switzerland)

^b SWISS FEDERAL VETERINARY OFFICE   (Switzerland)

^c INSTITUTE OF VIROLOGY AND IMMUNOLOGY   (Switzerland)

^d UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^e MASSEY UNIVERSITY   (New Zealand)

Author keywords

Contingency management; Control strategies; Epidemiological model; Infectious disease; Livestock; Stochastic model; Switzerland

Indexed keywords

ANIMALIA; IPS;

VIRUS VACCINE;

ANIMAL; ANIMAL DISEASE; ARTICLE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONTINGENCY MANAGEMENT; CONTROL STRATEGIES; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIC; EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MODEL; FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE; FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE VIRUS; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING; INFECTION; LIVESTOCK; STATISTICS; STOCHASTIC MODEL; SWITZERLAND; THEORETICAL MODEL; VACCINATION; VIROLOGY;

CONTINGENCY MANAGEMENT; CONTROL STRATEGIES; EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MODEL; INFECTIOUS DISEASE; LIVESTOCK; STOCHASTIC MODEL; SWITZERLAND;

ANIMALS; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DISEASE OUTBREAKS; FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE; FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE VIRUS; LIVESTOCK; MODELS, THEORETICAL; STOCHASTIC PROCESSES; SWITZERLAND; VACCINATION; VIRAL VACCINES;

EID: 84888202558     PISSN: 01675877     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2013.10.015     Document Type: Article

References (56)

1. Aggarwal N., Zhang Z., Cox S., Statham R., Alexandersen S., Kitching R.P., Barnett P.V. Experimental studies with foot-and-mouth disease virus, strain O, responsible for the 2001 epidemic in the United Kingdom. Vaccine 2002, 20:2508-2515.
2. Alexandersen S., Brotherhood I., Donaldson A.I. Natural aerosol transmission of foot-and-mouth disease virus to pigs: minimal infectious dose for strain O1 Lausanne. Epidemiol. Infect. 2002, 128:301-312.
3. Anonymous Maul- und Klauenseuche Simulationsübung NOSOS 2011 des Veterinärdienstes Schweiz vom 28.-30. Juni 2011, http://www.bvet.admin.ch/gesundheit_tiere/index.html%3Flang=de.
4. Anonymous Federal Office of Agriculture 2013, Agrarinformationssystem AGIS. http://www.blw.admin.ch/themen/00006/00232/index.html%3Flang=de.
5. Arnold M.E., Paton D.J., Ryan E., Cox S.J., Wilesmith J.W. Modelling studies to estimate the prevalence of foot-and-mouth disease carriers after reactive vaccination. Proc. Biol. Sci. 2008, 275:107-115.
6. Bachmann I., Rufenacht J., Griot C., Morris R.S., Staerk K.D.C. Assessing of the efficiency of different control strategies against Foot-and-mouth disease in Switzerland using a dynamic simulation model. Proceedings of the Meeting of Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine 2005, 222-233.
7. Bachmann I. Assessing of the Efficiency of Different Control Strategies Against Foot-and-Mouth Disease in Switzerland using a Dynamic Simulation Model 2004, 1-74. Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Bern.
8. Backer J.A., Bergevoet R., Hagenaars Th, Bondt N., Nodelijk G., van Wagenberg C., van Roermund H.J. Vaccination against Foot-and-Mouth Disease; Differentiating strategies and their epidemiological and economic consequences 2009, 1-158. Wageningen, UR, Wageningen.
9. Backer J.A., Engel B., Dekker A., van Roermund H.J. Vaccination against foot-and-mouth disease II: regaining FMD-free status. Prev. Vet. Med. 2012, 107:41-50.
10. Backer J.A., Hagenaars T.J., Nodelijk G., van Roermund H.J. Vaccination against foot-and-mouth disease I: epidemiological consequences. Prev. Vet. Med. 2012, 107:27-40.
11. Bates T.W., Thurmond M.C., Carpenter T.E. Direct and indirect contact rates among beef, dairy, goat, sheep, and swine herds in three California counties, with reference to control of potential foot-and-mouth disease transmission. Am. J. Vet. Res. 2001, 62:1121-1129.
12. Bates T.W., Carpenter T.E., Thurmond M.C. Benefit-cost analysis of vaccination and preemptive slaughter as a means of eradicating foot-and-mouth disease. Am. J. Vet. Res. 2003, 64:805-812.
13. Bates T.W., Thurmond M.C., Carpenter T.E. Description of an epidemic simulation model for use in evaluating strategies to control an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. Am. J. Vet. Res. 2003, 64:195-204.
14. Bates T.W., Thurmond M.C., Carpenter T.E. Results of epidemic simulation modeling to evaluate strategies to control an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. Am. J. Vet. Res. 2003, 64:205-210.
15. Bruckner G.K. Ensuring safe international trade: how are the roles and responsibilities evolving and what will the situation be in ten years' time?. Rev. Sci. Tech. 2011, 30:317-324.
16. Burrows R. Excretion of foot-and-mouth disease virus prior to development of lesions. Vet. Rec. 1968, 82:387-388.
17. Carpenter T.E., O'Brien J.M., Hagerman A.D., Mccarl B.A. Epidemic and economic impacts of delayed detection of foot-and-mouth disease: a case study of a simulated outbreak in California. J. Vet. Diagn. Invest. 2011, 23:26-33.
18. Charleston B., Bankowski B.M., Gubbins S., Chase-Topping M.E., Schley D., Howey R., Barnett P.V., Gibson D., Juleff N.D., Woolhouse M.E. Relationship between clinical signs and transmission of an infectious disease and the implications for control. Science 2011, 332:726-729.
19. Delgado A.H., Norby B., Dean W.R., McIntosh W.A., Scott H.M. Utilizing qualitative methods in survey design: examining Texas cattle producers' intent to participate in foot-and-mouth disease detection and control. Prev. Vet. Med. 2012, 103:120-135.
20. Donaldson A.I., Alexandersen S., Sorensen J.H., Mikkelsen T. Relative risks of the uncontrollable (airborne) spread of FMD by different species. Vet. Rec. 2001, 148:602-604.
21. Durr S., zu Dohna H., Di Labio E., Carpenter T.E., Doherr M.G. Evaluation of control and surveillance strategies for classical swine fever using a simulation model. Prev. Vet. Med. 2013, 108:73-84.
22. European Commission D.S. Expert Opinion on the Vaccine and/or Diagnostic Banks for Major Animal Diseases (SANCO/7070/2010) 2010, http://ec.europa.eu/food/animal/diseases/strategy/pillars/docs/7070-vaccine-bank-summary_en.pdf.
23. Ferguson N.M., Donnelly C.A., Anderson R.M. The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions. Science 2001, 292:1155-1160.
24. Ferguson N.M., Donnelly C.A., Anderson R.M. Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. Nature 2001, 413:542-548.
25. Gibbens J.C., Sharpe C.E., Wilesmith J.W., Mansley L.M., Michalopoulou E., Ryan J.B., Hudson M. Descriptive epidemiology of the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain: the first five months. Vet. Rec. 2001, 149:729-743.
26. Hagerman A.D., Mccarl B.A., Carpenter T.E., Ward M.P., O'Brien J. Emergency vaccination to control foot-and-mouth disease: implications of its inclusion as a U.S. policy option. Appl. Econ. Perspect. Policy 2012, 34:119-146.
27. Halasa T., Boklund A., Cox S., Enoe C. Meta-analysis on the efficacy of foot-and-mouth disease emergency vaccination. Prev. Vet. Med. 2011, 98:1-9.
28. Herholz C., Fussel A.E., Timoney P., Schwermer H., Bruckner L., Leadon D. Equine travellers to the Olympic Games in Hong Kong 2008: a review of worldwide challenges to equine health, with particular reference to vector-borne diseases. Equine Vet. J. 2008, 40:87-95.
29. Hutber A.M., Kitching R.P., Pilipcinec P. Predictions for the timing and use of culling or vaccination during a foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Res. Vet. Sci. 2006, 81.
30. Hutber A.M., Kitching R.P., Fishwick J.C., Bires J. Foot-and-mouth disease: the question of implementing vaccinal control during an epidemic. Vet. J. 2011, 188:18-23.
31. Keeling M.J., Woolhouse M.E., Shaw D.J., Matthews L., Chase-Topping M., Haydon D.T., Cornell S.J., Kappey J., Wilesmith J., Grenfell B.T. Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape. Science 2001, 294:813-817.
32. Keeling M.J., Woolhouse M.E., May R.M., Davies G., Grenfell B.T. Modelling vaccination strategies against foot-and-mouth disease. Nature 2003, 421:136-142.
33. Kitching R.P., Hutber A.M., Thrusfield M.V. A review of foot-and-mouth disease with special consideration for the clinical and epidemiological factors relevant to predictive modelling of the disease. Vet. J. 2005, 169:197-209.
34. Kitching R.P., Hughes G.J. Clinical variation in foot and mouth disease: sheep and goats. Rev. Sci. Tech. 2002, 21:505-512.
35. LeMenach A., Legrand J., Grais R.F., Viboud C., Valleron A.J., Flahault A. Modeling spatial and temporal transmission of foot-and-mouth disease in France: identification of high-risk areas. Vet. Res. 2005, 36:699-712.
36. Mansley L.M., Donaldson A.I., Thrusfield M.V., Honhold N. Destructive tension: mathematics versus experience - the progress and control of the 2001 foot and mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain. Rev. Sci. Tech. 2011, 30:483-498.
37. McLaws M., Ribble C. Description of recent foot and mouth disease outbreaks in nonendemic areas: exploring the relationship between early detection and epidemic size. Can. Vet. J. 2007, 48:1051-1062.
38. Michel I., Windhorst H.-W. Densely populated livestock areas: definition and spatial distribution in the European Union - a case study for five member states. Development of prevention and control strategies to address animal health and related problems in densely populated livestock areas of the Community 2003, 10-25. European Commission, Luxembourg.
39. Moonen P., Jacobs L., Crienen A., Dekker A. Detection of carriers of foot-and-mouth disease virus among vaccinated cattle. Vet. Microbiol. 2004, 103:151-160.
40. Orsel K., De Jong M.C., Bouma A., Stegeman J.A., Dekker A. The effect of vaccination on foot and mouth disease virus transmission among dairy cows. Vaccine 2007, 25:327-335.
41. Orsel K., Dekker A., Bouma A., Stegeman J.A., De Jong M.C. Quantification of foot and mouth disease virus excretion and transmission within groups of lambs with and without vaccination. Vaccine 2007, 25:2673-2679.
42. Orsel K., Bouma A. The effect of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) vaccination on virus transmission and the significance for the field. Can. Vet. J. 2009, 50:1059-1063.
43. Pineda-Krch M., O'Brien J.M., Thunes C., Carpenter T.E. Potential impact of introduction of foot-and-mouth disease from wild pigs into commercial livestock premises in California. Am. J. Vet. Res. 2010, 71:82-88.
44. Pluimers F.H. Foot-and-Mouth disease control using vaccination: the Dutch experience in 2001. Dev. Biol. (Basel) 2004, 119:41-49.
45. Schley D., Paton D.J., Cox S.J., Parida S., Gubbins S. The effect of vaccination on undetected persistence of foot-and-mouth disease virus in cattle herds and sheep flocks. Epidemiol. Infect. 2009, 137:1494-1504.
46. Schoenbaum M.A., Terry D.W. Modeling alternative mitigation strategies for a hypothetical outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in the United States. Prev. Vet. Med. 2003, 58:25-52.
47. Stevenson M.A., Sanson R.L., Stern M.W., O'Leary B.D., Sujau M., Moles-Benfell N., Morris R.S. InterSpread Plus: a spatial and stochastic simulation model of disease in animal populations. Prev. Vet. Med. 2013, 109:10-24.
48. Sutmoller P., Casas O.R. Unapparent foot and mouth disease infection (sub-clinical infections and carriers): implications for control. Rev. Sci. Tech. 2002, 21:519-529.
49. Swiss Federal Office for Statistics Agriculture Livestock Population 2007 2011, http://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/portal/de/index/themen/07/03/blank/data/01/03.html.
50. Thompson D., Muriel P., Russell D., Osborne P., Bromley A., Rowland M., Creigh-Tyte S., Brown C. Economic costs of the foot and mouth disease outbreak in the United Kingdom in 2001. Rev. Sci. Tech. 2002, 21:675-687.
51. Tildesley M.J., Savill N.J., Shaw D.J., Deardon R., Brooks S.P., Woolhouse M.E., Grenfell B.T., Keeling M.J. Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. Nature 2006, 440:83-86.
52. Tomassen F.H., de K.A., Mourits M.C., Dekker A., Bouma A., Huirne R.B. A decision-tree to optimise control measures during the early stage of a foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Prev. Vet. Med. 2002, 54:301-324.
53. Traulsen I., Rave G., Teuffert J., Krieter J. Consideration of different outbreak conditions in the evaluation of preventive culling and emergency vaccination to control foot and mouth disease epidemics. Res. Vet. Sci. 2011, 91:219-224.
54. Ward M.P., Highfield L.D., Vongseng P., Graeme G.M. Simulation of foot-and-mouth disease spread within an integrated livestock system in TX, USA. Prev. Vet. Med. 2009, 88:286-297.
55. World Organisation for Animal Health Foot and Mouth Disease Card 2010, http://www.oie.int/fileadmin/Home/eng/Animal_Health_in_the_World/docs/pdf/FOOT_AND_MOUTH_DISEASE_FINAL.pdf.
56. World Organisation for Animal Health Terrestrial Animal Health Code, Foot and Mouth Disease 2011, http://www.oie.int/index.php%3Fid=169%26L=0%26htmfile=chapitre_1.8.5.htm.