메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 109, Issue 1-2, 2013, Pages 10-24

InterSpread Plus: A spatial and stochastic simulation model of disease in animal populations

Author keywords

Animal populations; Disease control; Disease spread; Epidemiology; Simulation models

Indexed keywords

ANIMAL; ANIMAL DISEASE; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DECISION MAKING; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIC; STATISTICS;

EID: 84874263673     PISSN: 01675877     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.08.015     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (72)

References (56)
  • 1
    • 0001242066 scopus 로고
    • An examination of the Reed-Frost theory of epidemics
    • Abbey H. An examination of the Reed-Frost theory of epidemics. Human Biol. 1952, 24:201-233.
    • (1952) Human Biol. , vol.24 , pp. 201-233
    • Abbey, H.1
  • 2
    • 0036224821 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Further studies to quantify the dose of natural aerosols of foot-and-mouth disease virus for pigs
    • Alexanderson S., Donaldson A. Further studies to quantify the dose of natural aerosols of foot-and-mouth disease virus for pigs. Epidemiol. Infect. 2001, 128:313-323.
    • (2001) Epidemiol. Infect. , vol.128 , pp. 313-323
    • Alexanderson, S.1    Donaldson, A.2
  • 3
    • 84874270127 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anonymous, EI 2001/69 Emergency instruction 2001/69/VEXDT (Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food, Scottish Executive Rural Affairs Department, National Assembly for Wales Agriculture Department).
    • Anonymous, 2001. EI 2001/69 Emergency instruction 2001/69/VEXDT (Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food, Scottish Executive Rural Affairs Department, National Assembly for Wales Agriculture Department).
    • (2001)
  • 4
    • 84874249492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anonymous, Epidemiological Modelling Project Report - The Silent Spread Model (London, Risk Solutions). (accessed 01.07.12).
    • Anonymous, 2003. Epidemiological Modelling Project Report - The Silent Spread Model (London, Risk Solutions). (accessed 01.07.12). http://archive.defra.gov.uk/foodfarm/farmanimal/movements/costbenefit/documents/p2modelling.pdf.
    • (2003)
  • 5
    • 84874268149 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Animal Health Australia, Australian Veterinary Emergency Plan (AUSVETPLAN), Edition 3. Primary Industries Ministerial Council, Canberra, ACT. (accessed 01.07.12).
    • Animal Health Australia, 2008. Australian Veterinary Emergency Plan (AUSVETPLAN), Edition 3. Primary Industries Ministerial Council, Canberra, ACT. (accessed 01.07.12). http://www.animalhealthaustralia.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/AUSVETPLAN-Summary-Document.pdf.
    • (2008)
  • 9
    • 67349145684 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing the epidemiological and economic effects of control strategies against classical swine fever in Denmark
    • Boklund A., Toft N., Alban L., Uttenthal A. Comparing the epidemiological and economic effects of control strategies against classical swine fever in Denmark. Prevent. Vet. Med. 2009, 90:180-193.
    • (2009) Prevent. Vet. Med. , vol.90 , pp. 180-193
    • Boklund, A.1    Toft, N.2    Alban, L.3    Uttenthal, A.4
  • 10
    • 84874225635 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Brazilian and Mercosur experiences in development and implementation of animal identification and recording systems
    • Cardoso F., Cardellino R. Brazilian and Mercosur experiences in development and implementation of animal identification and recording systems. Int. Committ. Animal Record. Tech. Ser. 2004, 9:121-132.
    • (2004) Int. Committ. Animal Record. Tech. Ser. , vol.9 , pp. 121-132
    • Cardoso, F.1    Cardellino, R.2
  • 11
    • 84874284387 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • DAFF, Report of Findings from a Review of the Operation of the National Livestock Identification System, Technical Report, Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, Canberra, Australia. (accessed 01.07.12).
    • DAFF, 2006. Report of Findings from a Review of the Operation of the National Livestock Identification System, Technical Report, Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, Canberra, Australia. (accessed 01.07.12). http://www.daff.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0019/117325/nlis-report.pdf.
    • (2006)
  • 12
    • 84874242708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Division Contralor de Semovientes (DICOSE), (accessed 01.07.12).
    • Division Contralor de Semovientes (DICOSE), 2005. (accessed 01.07.12). http://www.mgap.gub.uy/dgsg/DICOSE/dicose.htm.
    • (2005)
  • 13
    • 0001015619 scopus 로고
    • Quantitative data on airborne FMD virus; its production, carriage and deposition
    • Donaldson A. Quantitative data on airborne FMD virus; its production, carriage and deposition. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. (Ser. B) 1983, 302:529-534.
    • (1983) Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. (Ser. B) , vol.302 , pp. 529-534
    • Donaldson, A.1
  • 14
    • 0035849423 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relative risks of the uncontrollable (airborne) spread of FMD by different species
    • Donaldson A., Alexandersen S., Sorensen J., Mikkelsen T. Relative risks of the uncontrollable (airborne) spread of FMD by different species. Vet. Record 2001, 148:602-604.
    • (2001) Vet. Record , vol.148 , pp. 602-604
    • Donaldson, A.1    Alexandersen, S.2    Sorensen, J.3    Mikkelsen, T.4
  • 15
    • 0014888962 scopus 로고
    • Further investigations on the airborne excretion of foot-and-mouth disease virus
    • Donaldson A., Herniman K., Parker J., Sellers R. Further investigations on the airborne excretion of foot-and-mouth disease virus. J. Hyg. (Camb.) 1970, 68:557-564.
    • (1970) J. Hyg. (Camb.) , vol.68 , pp. 557-564
    • Donaldson, A.1    Herniman, K.2    Parker, J.3    Sellers, R.4
  • 19
    • 33644849907 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the spread of foot-and-mouth disease in Australia
    • Garner M.G., Beckett S.D. Modelling the spread of foot-and-mouth disease in Australia. Aust. Vet. J. 2005, 83:758-766.
    • (2005) Aust. Vet. J. , vol.83 , pp. 758-766
    • Garner, M.G.1    Beckett, S.D.2
  • 21
    • 0035893432 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Descriptive epidemiology of the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain: the first five months
    • Gibbens J., Sharpe C., Wilesmith J., Mansley L., Michalopoulou E., Ryan J., Hudson M. Descriptive epidemiology of the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain: the first five months. Vet. Record 2001, 149:729-743.
    • (2001) Vet. Record , vol.149 , pp. 729-743
    • Gibbens, J.1    Sharpe, C.2    Wilesmith, J.3    Mansley, L.4    Michalopoulou, E.5    Ryan, J.6    Hudson, M.7
  • 22
    • 0019887873 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the airborne spread of foot-and-mouth disease virus over the sea
    • Gloster J., Blackall R., Sellers R., Donaldson A. Forecasting the airborne spread of foot-and-mouth disease virus over the sea. Vet. Record 1981, 108:370-374.
    • (1981) Vet. Record , vol.108 , pp. 370-374
    • Gloster, J.1    Blackall, R.2    Sellers, R.3    Donaldson, A.4
  • 23
    • 0020484671 scopus 로고
    • Long distance transport of foot-and-mouth disease virus over the sea
    • Gloster J., Sellers R., Donaldson A. Long distance transport of foot-and-mouth disease virus over the sea. Vet. Record 1982, 110:47-52.
    • (1982) Vet. Record , vol.110 , pp. 47-52
    • Gloster, J.1    Sellers, R.2    Donaldson, A.3
  • 26
    • 0014476259 scopus 로고
    • The outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in Worcestershire. An epidemiological study: with special reference to spread of disease by wind-carriage of virus
    • Henderson R. The outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in Worcestershire. An epidemiological study: with special reference to spread of disease by wind-carriage of virus. J. Hyg. 1969, 67:21-33.
    • (1969) J. Hyg. , vol.67 , pp. 21-33
    • Henderson, R.1
  • 27
    • 0002305276 scopus 로고
    • Stochastic models for epidemics with special reference to AIDS
    • Isham V. Stochastic models for epidemics with special reference to AIDS. Ann. Appl. Probab. 1993, 3:1-27.
    • (1993) Ann. Appl. Probab. , vol.3 , pp. 1-27
    • Isham, V.1
  • 28
    • 0033378373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in The Netherlands. I. Description of simulation model
    • Jalvingh A., Nielen M., Maurice H., Stegeman A., Elbers A., Dijkhuizen A. Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in The Netherlands. I. Description of simulation model. Prevent. Vet. Med. 1999, 42:271-295.
    • (1999) Prevent. Vet. Med. , vol.42 , pp. 271-295
    • Jalvingh, A.1    Nielen, M.2    Maurice, H.3    Stegeman, A.4    Elbers, A.5    Dijkhuizen, A.6
  • 29
    • 0035895639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial and stochastic simulation to compare two emergency-vaccination strategies with a marker vaccine in the 1997/1998 Dutch Classical Swine Fever epidemic
    • Mangen M., Jalvingh A., Nielen M., Mourits M., Klinkenberg D., Dijkhuizen A. Spatial and stochastic simulation to compare two emergency-vaccination strategies with a marker vaccine in the 1997/1998 Dutch Classical Swine Fever epidemic. Prevent. Vet. Med. 2001, 48:177-200.
    • (2001) Prevent. Vet. Med. , vol.48 , pp. 177-200
    • Mangen, M.1    Jalvingh, A.2    Nielen, M.3    Mourits, M.4    Klinkenberg, D.5    Dijkhuizen, A.6
  • 30
    • 84874265630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelo de difusión del la influenza avia altamente patógena. Unpublished PhD thesis, Departamento de Sanidad Animal, Facultad de Veterinaria. Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain.
    • Martín, I.I., 2011. Modelo de difusión del la influenza avia altamente patógena. Unpublished PhD thesis, Departamento de Sanidad Animal, Facultad de Veterinaria. Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain.
    • (2011)
    • Martín, I.I.1
  • 31
    • 77954383265 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simulation model for the potential spread of foot-and-mouth disease in the Castile and Leon region of Spain
    • Martínez-López B., Perez A., Sánchez-Vizcaíno J. A simulation model for the potential spread of foot-and-mouth disease in the Castile and Leon region of Spain. Prevent. Vet. Med. 2009, 96:19-29.
    • (2009) Prevent. Vet. Med. , vol.96 , pp. 19-29
    • Martínez-López, B.1    Perez, A.2    Sánchez-Vizcaíno, J.3
  • 32
    • 84874248981 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Meat and Livestock Australia, The National Livestock Identification System. (accessed 01.07.12).
    • Meat and Livestock Australia, 2005. The National Livestock Identification System. (accessed 01.07.12). http://www.mla.com.au/.
    • (2005)
  • 34
    • 0035806792 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive spatial modelling of alternative control strategies for the foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain
    • Morris R., Wilesmith J., Stern M., Sanson R., Stevenson M. Predictive spatial modelling of alternative control strategies for the foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain. Vet. Record 2001, 149:137-144.
    • (2001) Vet. Record , vol.149 , pp. 137-144
    • Morris, R.1    Wilesmith, J.2    Stern, M.3    Sanson, R.4    Stevenson, M.5
  • 36
    • 0033391624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in The Netherlands. II. Comparison of control strategies
    • Nielen M., Jalvingh A., Meuwissen M., Horst S., Dijkhuizen A. Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in The Netherlands. II. Comparison of control strategies. Prevent. Vet. Med. 1999, 42:297-317.
    • (1999) Prevent. Vet. Med. , vol.42 , pp. 297-317
    • Nielen, M.1    Jalvingh, A.2    Meuwissen, M.3    Horst, S.4    Dijkhuizen, A.5
  • 37
    • 0343527964 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating control strategies for outbreaks in BHV1-free areas using stochastic and spatial simulation
    • Noordegraaf A., Jalvingh A., de Jong M., Franken P., Dijkhuizen A. Evaluating control strategies for outbreaks in BHV1-free areas using stochastic and spatial simulation. Prevent. Vet. Med. 2000, 44:21-42.
    • (2000) Prevent. Vet. Med. , vol.44 , pp. 21-42
    • Noordegraaf, A.1    Jalvingh, A.2    de Jong, M.3    Franken, P.4    Dijkhuizen, A.5
  • 38
    • 80052710766 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A sensitivity analysis of the New Zealand standard model of foot-and-mouth disease
    • Owen K., Stevenson M., Sanson R. A sensitivity analysis of the New Zealand standard model of foot-and-mouth disease. Rev. Sci. Tech. Off. Int. Epiz. 2011, 30:513-526.
    • (2011) Rev. Sci. Tech. Off. Int. Epiz. , vol.30 , pp. 513-526
    • Owen, K.1    Stevenson, M.2    Sanson, R.3
  • 40
    • 0003560428 scopus 로고
    • The development of a decision support system for an animal disease emergency.
    • Unpublished PhD thesis, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand.
    • Sanson, R., 1993. The development of a decision support system for an animal disease emergency. Unpublished PhD thesis, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand.
    • (1993)
    • Sanson, R.1
  • 41
    • 0002412521 scopus 로고
    • The epidemiology of foot-and-mouth disease: implications for New Zealand
    • Sanson R. The epidemiology of foot-and-mouth disease: implications for New Zealand. N. Z. Vet. J. 1994, 42:41-53.
    • (1994) N. Z. Vet. J. , vol.42 , pp. 41-53
    • Sanson, R.1
  • 42
    • 0348054680 scopus 로고
    • EpiMAN: a spatial decision support system for use in an exotic disease emergency
    • Sanson R., Morris R., Stern M. EpiMAN: a spatial decision support system for use in an exotic disease emergency. Agric. Syst. Inform. Technol. Newslett. 1993, 5:20-22.
    • (1993) Agric. Syst. Inform. Technol. Newslett. , vol.5 , pp. 20-22
    • Sanson, R.1    Morris, R.2    Stern, M.3
  • 44
    • 0040143476 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • EpiMAN-FMD: a decision support system for managing epidemics of vesicular disease
    • Sanson R., Morris R., Stern M. EpiMAN-FMD: a decision support system for managing epidemics of vesicular disease. Rev. Sci. Tech. Off. Int. Epiz. 1999, 18:593-605.
    • (1999) Rev. Sci. Tech. Off. Int. Epiz. , vol.18 , pp. 593-605
    • Sanson, R.1    Morris, R.2    Stern, M.3
  • 48
    • 0014644254 scopus 로고
    • Airborne excretion of foot-and-mouth disease virus
    • Sellers R., Parker J. Airborne excretion of foot-and-mouth disease virus. J. Hyg. (Camb.) 1969, 67:671-677.
    • (1969) J. Hyg. (Camb.) , vol.67 , pp. 671-677
    • Sellers, R.1    Parker, J.2
  • 49
    • 67349130373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Institute of Veterinary, Animal, and Biomedical Sciences, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand
    • Stern M. InterSpread Plus User Guide 2003, Institute of Veterinary, Animal, and Biomedical Sciences, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand.
    • (2003) InterSpread Plus User Guide
    • Stern, M.1
  • 50
    • 26244454409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Spatio-temporal Epidemiology of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy and Foot-and-Mouth Disease in Great Britain
    • Unpublished PhD thesis, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand.
    • Stevenson, M., 2003. The Spatio-temporal Epidemiology of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy and Foot-and-Mouth Disease in Great Britain. Unpublished PhD thesis, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand.
    • (2003)
    • Stevenson, M.1
  • 53
    • 14844363400 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Dumfries and Galloway, 2001. 1: characteristics and control
    • Thrusfield M., Mansley L., Dunlop P., Taylor J., Pawson A., Stringer L. The foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Dumfries and Galloway, 2001. 1: characteristics and control. Vet. Record 2005, 156:229-252.
    • (2005) Vet. Record , vol.156 , pp. 229-252
    • Thrusfield, M.1    Mansley, L.2    Dunlop, P.3    Taylor, J.4    Pawson, A.5    Stringer, L.6
  • 55
    • 84874279327 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of Livestock Standstill Policies applied in conjunction with Animal Movement Distance Restrictions for Foot-and-mouth Disease in Great Britain
    • (accessed 01.07.12).
    • Wilesmith, J., Morris, R., McIntyre, L., Stevenson, M., Stern, M., O'Leary, B., Sujau, M., 2003. Evaluation of Livestock Standstill Policies applied in conjunction with Animal Movement Distance Restrictions for Foot-and-mouth Disease in Great Britain. (accessed 01.07.12). http://archive.defra.gov.uk/foodfarm/farmanimal/movements/costbenefit/documents/evaluation.pdf.
    • (2003)
    • Wilesmith, J.1    Morris, R.2    McIntyre, L.3    Stevenson, M.4    Stern, M.5    O'Leary, B.6    Sujau, M.7
  • 56
    • 33646447054 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation analyses to evaluate alternative control strategies for the 2002 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak in the Republic of Korea
    • Yoon H., Wee S., Stevenson M., O'Leary B., Morris R., Hwang I., Park C., Stern M. Simulation analyses to evaluate alternative control strategies for the 2002 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak in the Republic of Korea. Prevent. Vet. Med. 2006, 74:212-222.
    • (2006) Prevent. Vet. Med. , vol.74 , pp. 212-222
    • Yoon, H.1    Wee, S.2    Stevenson, M.3    O'Leary, B.4    Morris, R.5    Hwang, I.6    Park, C.7    Stern, M.8


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.