Driving transit retention to renaissance: Trends in Montreal commute public transport mode share and factors by age group and birth cohort

Public Transport

Volumn 5, Issue 3, 2013, Pages 219-241

  Grimsrud, Michael ^a   El Geneidy, Ahmed ^a  

^a MCGILL UNIVERSITY   (Canada)

Author keywords

Cohort; Lifecycle; Logit; Mode share; Montreal; Public transport

Indexed keywords

DRIVER LICENSING; LOGISTIC REGRESSION; SURVEYS;

COHORT; LOGIT; MODE SHARE; MONTREAL; PUBLIC TRANSPORT;

LIFE CYCLE;

EID: 84884888755     PISSN: 1866749X     EISSN: 16137159     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s12469-013-0075-7     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. Agence Metropolitaine de Transport (AMT) (2012a) AMT-origin-destination survey. http://www. amt. qc. ca/corp_template. aspx?id=686&LangType=1033. Retrieved 20 January, 2012.
2. Agence Metropolitaine de Transport (AMT) (2012b) Programme triennal d'immobilisations 2012/2013/2014. http://www. amt. qc. ca/uploadedfiles/amt/site_corpo/nouvelles_et_publications/PTI_2012-13-14. pdf. Retrieved 22 February, 2013.
3. Beige S (2008) Long-term and mid-term mobility decisions during the life course. Dissertation, Institut für Verkehrsplanung und Transportsysteme, Zürich.
4. Bush S (2005) Forecasting 65 + travel: an integration of cohort analysis and travel demand modeling. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the transportation research board. http://18. 7. 29. 232/bitstream/handle/1721. 1/29941/52770123. pdf?sequence=1.
5. Cervero R, Kockelman K (1997) Travel demand and the 3D's: density, diversity, and design. Transp Res, Part D 2(3): 199-219.
6. Chen C, Gong H, Paaswell R (2008) Role of the built environment on mode choice decisions: additional evidence on the impact of density. Transportation 35(3): 285-299.
7. Collin J, Dagenais M, Poitras C (2003) From city to city-region: historical perspective on the contentious definition of the Montréal metropolitan area. Can J Urban Res 12(1): 16-34.
8. Dargay J (2007) The effect of prices and income on car travel in the UK. Transp Res, Part A 41(10): 949-960.
9. Dargay J, Hanly M (2003) Travel to work: an investigation based on the British household panel survey. Paper presented at the NECTAR conference No. 7, Umeå, Sweden.
10. Dargay J, Hanly M (2007) Volatility of car ownership, commuting mode and time in the UK. Transp Res, Part A 41(10): 934-948.
11. Davis B, Dutzik T, Baxandall P (2012) Transportation and the new generation: why young people are driving less and what it means for transportation policy. Frontier Group, U. S. PIRG Education Fund.
12. De Witte A, Hollevoet J, Dobruszkes F, Hubert M, Macharis C (2013) Linking modal choice to motility: a comprehensive review. Transp Res, Part A 49: 329-341.
13. Diab E, El-Geneidy A (2012) Understanding the impacts of a combination of service improvement strategies on bus running time and passenger's perception. Transp Res, Part A 46(3): 614-625.
14. Dickens M (2012) Public transportation ridership report: fourth quarter 2011. American Public Transportation Association, Washington, pp 1-31.
15. El-Geneidy A, Tetreault P, Surprenant-Legault J (2010) Pedestrian access to transit: identifying redundancies and gaps using a variable service area analysis. Paper presented at the 89th, transportation research board annual meeting, Washington, DC, USA.
16. Fan W, Machemehl R (2009) Do transit users just wait for buses or wait with strategies? Transp Res Rec (2111): 169-176.
17. Goodwin P, Dargay J, Hanly M (2004) Elasticities of road traffic and fuel consumption with respect to price and income: a review. Transp Rev 24(3): 275-292.
18. Grimsrud M, El-Geneidy A (2013) Transit to eternal youth: lifecycle and generational trends in greater Montreal public transport mode share. Transportation. doi: 10. 1007/s11116-013-9454-9.
19. Hall R (2001) Passenger waiting time and information acquisition using automatic vehicle location for verification. Transp Plan Technol 24: 249-269.
20. Kim S, Ulfarsson G (2008) Curbing automobile use for sustainable transportation: analysis of mode choice on short home-based trips. Transportation 35(6): 723-737.
21. Knoblauch R, Pietrucha M, Nizburg M (1996) Field studies of pedestrian walking speed and start-up time. Transp Res Rec (1538): 27-38.
22. Kuhnimhof T, Buehler R, Wirtz M, Kalinowska D (2012) Travel trends among young adults in Germany: increasing multimodality and declining car use for men. J Transp Geogr 24: 443-450.
23. Levinson D, El-Geneidy A (2009) The minimum circuity frontier and the journey to work. Reg Sci Urban Econ 39: 732-738.
24. Limtanakool N, Dijst M (2006) The influence of socioeconomic characteristics, land use and travel time in consideration on mod choice for medium- and longer-distance trips. J Transp Geogr 14(5): 327-341.
25. Mason K, Mason W, Winsborough H, Poole W (1973) Some methodological issues in cohort analysis of archival data. Am Sociol Rev 38: 843-861.
26. Matas A, Raymond J (2008) Changes in the structure of car ownership in Spain. Transp Res, Part A 42(1): 187-202.
27. Ministère de l'education loisir et sport (2004) Reform du curriculum: Les disciplines retenues dans le curriculum et leur distribution dans la grille-matière. http://www. mels. gouv. qc. ca/reforme/curricu/ecole04. htm. Retrieved October 12, 2012.
28. Nolan A (2010) A dynamic analysis of household car ownership. Transp Res, Part A 44(6): 446-455.
29. O'Brien R (2000) Age period cohort characteristic models. Soc Sci Res 29: 123-139.
30. Regie de l'energie Quebec (2009) Évolution des prix de détail de l'essence ordinaire en 2008-région de Montréal. Regie de l'energie Quebec, Montreal.
31. Shalaby A (1998) Investigating the role of relative level-of-service characteristics in explaining mode split for the work trip. Transp Plan Technol 22(2): 125-148.
32. Simma A, Axhausen K (2003) Commitments and modal usage: analysis of German and Dutch panels. Transp Res Rec (1854): 22-31.
33. Simpson H (2003) The evolution and effectiveness of graduated licensing. J Saf Res 34(1): 25-34.
34. Societe de transport de Montreal (STM) (2012) Important dates in STM's history. http://www. stm. info/english/en-bref/a-dates. htm. Retrieved May 16, 2012.
35. Societe de transport de Montreal (STM) (2013) Bus schedules: September 1998, 2003, 2008.
36. Statistics Canada (2010) 2006 census: census trends-selected trend data for Montreal (CMA), 2006, 2001 and 1996 censuses. http://www12. statcan. ca/census-recensement/2006/dp-pd/92-596/P1-2. cfm?Lang=eng&T=CMA&PRCODE=24&GEOCODE=462&GEOLVL=CMA&TID=0. Retrieved April 13, 2012.
37. Statistics Canada (2012a) CANSIM table 282-0110: labour force survey estimates (LFS), by census metropolitan area based on 2006 census boundaries, sex and age group. http://www5. statcan. gc. ca/cansim/a05?lang=eng&id=2820110.
38. Statistics Canada (2012b) CANSIM table 326-0020 consumer price index, 2009 basket. http://www5. statcan. gc. ca/cansim/a05?lang=eng&id=3260020.
39. Statistics Canada (2012c) CHASS Canadian census analyser: Profile of census tracts. http://dc. chass. utoronto. ca/census/ct. html. Retrieved February 25, 2013.
40. Statistics Canada (2013) Census profile: Montreal. Retrieved February 12, 2013.
41. Sweet M, Chen M (2011) Does regional travel time unreliability influence mode choice? Transportation 38(4): 635-642.
42. Thakuriah P, Tang L, Menchu S (2009) Young women's transportation and labor market experiences. Paper presented at the 4th TRB international conference on women's issues in transportation, Irvine.
43. Thakuriah P, Menchu S, Tang L (2010) Car ownership among young adults: generational and period-specific perspective. Transp Res Rec (2156): 1-8.
44. Thogersen J (2006) Understanding repetitive travel mode choices in a stable context: a panel study approach. Transp Res, Part A 40(8): 621-638.