Theoretical framework for assessment of risks posed to Canadian forests by invasive insect species

Forest Ecology and Management

Volumn 302, Issue , 2013, Pages 97-106

  Fuentealba, Alvaro ^a   Alfaro, René ^b   Bauce, Éric ^a  

^a UNIVERSITÉ LAVAL   (Canada)

^b LAURENTIAN FORESTRY CENTRE   (Canada)

Author keywords

Boreal forest; Climate warming; Mountain pine beetle; Quebec; Risk assessment

Indexed keywords

BOREAL FORESTS; CLIMATE WARMING; DENDROCTONUS PONDEROSAE; ECOSYSTEM SERVICES; MOUNTAIN PINE BEETLE; QUEBEC; SILVICULTURAL PRACTICES; THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK;

ECOSYSTEMS; EXPANSION; RISK ASSESSMENT;

FORESTRY;

BEETLE; BOREAL FOREST; CLIMATE CHANGE; DISEASE PREVALENCE; ECOLOGICAL IMPACT; ECONOMIC IMPACT; ECOSYSTEM SERVICE; INVASIVE SPECIES; PEST DAMAGE; PEST OUTBREAK; RANGE EXPANSION; RISK ASSESSMENT; SILVICULTURE; THEORETICAL STUDY; VULNERABILITY;

ECOSYSTEMS; FORESTS; INSECTS; QUEBEC; RISK ASSESSMENT; SEASONAL VARIATION;

CANADA; QUEBEC [CANADA];

COLEOPTERA; DENDROCTONUS PONDEROSAE; HEXAPODA; PINUS MUGO;

EID: 84876813485     PISSN: 03781127     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2013.03.023     Document Type: Review

References (80)

1. Alfaro R. Pest damage in forestry and its assessment. The Northwest Environmental Journal 1988, 4(2):279-300.
2. Alfaro R. Damage assessment and integrated pest management of forest defoliators. Forest Ecology and Management 1991, 39:275-281.
3. Alfaro, R., Campbell, E., Hawkes, B., 2004. Historical Frequency, Intensity and Extent of Mountain Pine Beetle Disturbance in Landscapes of British Columbia. Nat. Res. Canada, Can. For. Serv., Pac. For. Centre Mountain Pine Beetle Working Paper 2009-30. 60 pp.
4. Alfaro, R.I., Battisti, A., Carroll, A.L., Fleming, R., Hantula, J., Francis, D., Hennon, P.E., Lanfranco, D., Lilja, A., Muller, M., Ramos, M., Woods, A., 2010. Forest health in a changing environment. In: Mery, G., Katila, P., Galloway, G., Alfaro, R.I., Kanninen, M., Lobovikov, M., Varjo, J. (Eds.). Forest and Society - Responding to Global Drivers of Change. IUFRO World Series Volume 25. Vienna. International Union of Forest Research Organizations, pp. 113-134. 509 p.
5. Andersen M.C., Adams H., Hope B., Powell M. Risk assessment for invasive species. Risk Analysis 2004, 24(4):787-793.
6. Alberta Sustainable Resources Development (ASRD), 2006. Beetle bulletin: mountain pine beetle activities in Alberta, December 1, 2006. Alberta Sustainable Resources Development, Edmonton, Alberta.
7. Alberta Sustainable Resource Development (ASRD), 2011. Mountain pine beetle log management. Forest Management Branch Directive 2011-04. 5 p.
8. Aukema B.H., Carroll A.L., Zhu J., Raffa K.F., Sickley T.A., Taylor S.W. Landscape level analysis of mountain pine beetle in British Columbia, Canada: spatiotemporal development and spatial synchrony within the present outbreak. Ecography 2006, 29:427-441.
9. Axelson J., Alfaro R., Hawkes B. Influence of fire and mountain pine beetle on the dynamics of lodgepole pine stands in British Columbia. Canada Forest Ecology and Management 2009, 257(9):1874-1882.
10. Axelson J., Alfaro R., Hawkes B. Changes in stand structure in uneven-aged lodgepole pine stands impacted by mountain pine beetle epidemics and fires in central British Columbia. Forestry Chronicle 2010, 86(1):87-99.
11. Beaumont L.J., Pitman A.J., Poulsen M., Hughes L. Where will species go? Incorporating new advances in climate modelling into projections of species distribution. Global Change Biology 2007, 13:1368-1385.
12. Bentz B.J., Régnière J., Fettig C.J., Hansen M., Hayes J.L., Hicke J.A., Kelsey R.G., Negron J.F., Seybold S.T. Climate change and bark beetles of the western United States and Canada: direct and indirect effects. BioScience 2010, 60:602-613.
13. Bureau du forestier en chef (BFC) Bilan d'aménagement forestier durable au Québec 2000-2008 2010, Gouvernement du Québec, Roberval, Québec, 290 p.
14. Bier V.M. On the state of the art: risk communication to the public. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 2001, 71:139-150.
15. Carroll, A.L., 2007. The mountain pine beetle Dendroctonus ponderosae in Western North America: potential for area-wide integrated management. In: M.J.B Vreysen, A.S. Robinson, J. Hendrichs (Eds.), Area-wide control of insect pests, pp. 297-307.
16. Carroll, A.L., Safranyik, L., 2004. The bionomics of the mountain pine beetle in lodgepole pine forests: establishing a context. In: Shore, T.L., Brooks, J.E., Stone, J.E. (Eds.), Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium: Challenges and Solutions, 30-31 October 2003, Kelowna, British Columbia, Canada. Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Pacific Forestry Centre, Victoria, British Columbia, Information, Report BC-X-399, pp. 21-32, 298.
17. Carroll, A.L., Taylor, S., Régnière, J., Safranyik, L., 2004. Effects of climate change on range expansion by the mountain pine beetle in British Columbia. In: T.L. Shore, J.E. Brooks, J.E. Stone (Eds.), Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium: Challenges and Solutions. Canadian Forest Service, Victoria, BC. Inf. Rep. BC-X-399. pp. 223-232.
18. Carroll A.L., Shore T., Safranyik L. Direct control: theory and practice. The Mountain Pine Beetle: A Synthesis of Biology, Management and Impacts on Lodgepole Pine 2006, 155-172. Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Pacific Forestry Centre, Victoria, BC. L. Safranyik, W. Wilson (Eds.).
19. Cerezke H.F. Egg gallery, brood production, and adult characteristics of mountain pine beetle, Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins (Coleoptera: Scolytidae), in three pine hosts. Canadian Entomologist 1995, 127:965-995.
20. Canadian Forest Service Les grands pins au Québec: un choix d'avenir 2008 2008, Partenariat innovation forêt et l'Association forestière des Cantons de l'Est, Quebec, 28 p.
21. Chan-McLeod A.C.A. A review and synthesis of the effects of unsalvaged mountain-pine-beetle-attacked stands on wildlife and implications for forest management. BC Journal of Ecosystems and Management 2006, 7(2):119-132.
22. Cichowski D., Williston P. Mountain pine beetle and emerging issues in the management of woodland caribou in Westcentral British Columbia. Rangifer 2005, 16:97-103.
23. Clark, E.L., 2008. Terpene composition of lodgepole and jack pine and its relationship to the success of the mountain pine beetle. M.Sc. thesis, University of Northern British Columbia, Prince George, British Columbia.
24. Clark E.L., Carroll A.L., Huber D.P.W. Differences in lodgepole pine constitutive terpene profile across a geographic range in British Columbia and the correlation to historical attack by mountain pine beetle, Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins (Coleoptera: Curculionidae). The Canadian Entomologist 2010, 142:557-573.
25. Colgan L.J., Erbilgin N. The ecological interaction of the mountain pine beetle and jack pine budworm in the boreal forest. Forest Chronicle 2010, 86:766-774.
26. Coulombe, G., Huot, J., Arseneault, J., Bauce, É., Bernard, J., Bouchard, A., Liboiron, M.A., Szaraz, G., 2004. Commission d'étude sur la gestion de la forêt publique québécoise. 2004. Rapport. Québec. Bibliothèque nationale du Québec. ISBN 2-550-43626-1. 290 pp.
27. Cullingham C.I., Cooke J.E.K., Dang S., Davis C.S., Cooke B.J., Coltman D.W. Mountain pine beetle host-range expansion threatens the boreal forest. Molecular Ecology 2011, 20:2157-2171.
28. Desponts, M., 2007. Programmes d'amélioration génétique de l'épinette noire et du pin gris au Québec. In Bélanger, P., M. Perron, P. Périnet et M. Desponts (Eds.), Guide des visites de terrain - LARIX 2007: Symposium international du groupe de travail de l'IUFRO - S2.02.07 (Larch Breeding and Genetic Resources) - Integrated research activities for supply of improved larch to tree planting: tree improvement, floral biology and nursery production. 21 septembre 2007. Duchesnay, Québec. pp. 43-44.
29. Franklin, J.F., Forman, R.T.T., 1987. Creating landscape patterns by forest cutting: Ecological consequences and principles. Landscape Ecology 1, 5-18.Furniss, R.L., Carolin, V., 1977. Western forest insects. United States Department of Agriculture, Miscellaneous Publication No.1339. 654 p.
30. Furniss M.M., Schenk J.A. Sustained natural infestation of the mountain pine beetle in seven new Pinus and Picea hosts. Journal of Economic Entomology 1969, 62:518-519.
31. Gram S. Economic valuation of special forest products: an assessment of methodological shortcomings. Ecological Economics 2001, 36(5):109-117.
32. Greenberg M., Hass C., Cox A., Lowrie K., McComas K., North W. Ten most important accomplishments in risk analysis, 1980-2010. Risk Analysis 2012, 32(5):771-781.
33. Hargis C.D., Bissonette J.A., Turner D.L. The influence of forest fragmentation and landscape pattern on American martens. Journal of Applied Ecology 1999, 36:157-172.
34. Hicke J.A., Logan J.A., Powell J., Ojima D.S. Changing temperatures influence suitability for modeled mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae) outbreaks in the western United States. Journal of Geophysical Research 2006, 111:G02019. 10.1029/2005JG000101.
35. Hijmans R.J., Graham C.H. The ability of climate envelope models to predict the effect of climate change on species distributions. Global Change Biology 2006, 12:2272-2281.
36. Holecy J., Hanewinkel M. A forest management risk insurance model and its application to coniferous stands in southwest Germany. Forest Policy and Economics 2006, 8:161-174.
37. IPCC Climate Change 2007: the Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, Cambridge University Press.
38. Johnson D.R., Büntgen U., Frank D.C., Kausrud K., Haynes K.J., Liebhold A.M., Esper J., Stenseth N.C. Climatic warming disrupts recurrent alpine outbreaks. PNAS 2010, 107(47):20576-20581.
39. Kearney M.R., Wintle B.A., Porter W.P. Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecast under climate change. Conservation Letters 2010, 3:203-213.
40. Kron W. Flood risk=hazard×exposure×vulnerability. Flood Defence 2002, 82-97. Science Press, New York. M. Wu (Ed.).
41. Kurz W.A., Dymond C.C., Stinson G., Rampley G.J., Neilson E.T., Carroll A.L., Ebata T., Safranyik L. Mountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change. Nature 2008, 452:987-990.
42. Liebhold A.M. Forest pest management in a changing world. International Journal of Pest Management 2012, 58(3):289-295.
43. Liebhold A.M., Brockerhoff E.G., Garret L.J., Parke J.L., Britton K.O. Live plant imports: the major pathway for forest insect and pathogen invasions of the US. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 2012, 10(3):135-143.
44. Logan J.A., Powell J.A. Ghost forests, global warming, and the mountain pine beetle (Coleoptera: Scolytidae). American Entomologist 2001, 47:160-173.
45. Logan J.A., Regniere J., Powell J.A. Assessing the impacts of global warming on forest pest dynamics. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 2003, 1:130-137.
46. Magarey R.D., Fowler G.A., Borchert D.M., Sutton T.B., Colunga-Garcia M., Simpson J.A. NAPPFAST: an internet system for the weather-based mapping of plant pathogens. Plant Disease 2007, 91:336-345.
47. Maguire L.A. What can decision analysis do for invasive species management?. Risk Analysis 2004, 24(4):859-868.
48. Mattson W., Vanhanen H., Veteli T., Sivonen S., Niemelä P. Few immigrant phytophagous insects on woody plants in Europe: legacy of the European crucible?. Biological Invasions 2007, 9:957-974.
49. McFarlane B.L., Parkins J.R., Watson D.O.T. Risk, knowledge, and trust in managing forest insect disturbance. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 2012, 42:710-719.
50. MacLean D.A., Erdle T.A., MacKinnon W.E., Porter K.B., Beaton K.P., Cormier G., Morehouse S., Budd M. The spruce budworm decision support system: forest protection planning to sustain long-term wood supply. Canadian Journal of Forest Research-Revue Canadienne De Recherche Forestiere 2001, 31:1742-1757.
51. Murdock T.Q., Taylor S.W., Flower A., Mehlenbacher A., Montenegro A., Zwiers F.W., Alfaro R., Spittlehouse D.L. Pest outbreak distribution and forest management impacts in a changing climate in British Columbia. Environmental Science and Policy 2013, 26:75-89.
52. Nealis V.G., Peter, B., 2008. Risk Assessment of the Threat of Mountain Pine Beetle to Canada's Boreal and Eastern Pine Forests. Nat. Res. Canada, Can. For. Serv., Pac. For. Centre Inf. Rep. BC-X-417. 31pp.
53. Niemelä P., Mattson W.J. Invasion of North American forests by European phytophagous insects. Bioscience 1996, 46(10):741-753.
54. Nunes P.A.L.D., van den Bergh J.C.J.M. Economic valuation of biodiversity: sense or nonsense?. Ecological Economics 2001, 39:203-222.
55. Parent B. Ressources et industries forestières, Portrait statistique édition 2010 2010, Gouvernement du Québec, Ministère des Ressources naturelles et de la Faune.
56. Pearson R.G., Dawson T.P. Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimatic envelope models useful?. Global Ecology and Biogeography 2003, 12:361-371.
57. Pitman G.B., Vité J.P. Aggregation behaviour of Dendroctonus ponderosae (Coleoptera:Scolytidae) in response to chemical messengers. Canadian Entomologist 1969, 101:143-149.
58. Pitman G.B., Vité J.P., Kinzer G.W., Fentiman A.F. Bark beetle attractants: trans-verbanol isolated from Dendroctonus. Nature 1968, 218:168-169.
59. Progar, R.A., Eglitis, A., Lundquist, J.E., 2007. Some ecological, economic, and social consequences of bark beetle infestation. In: Proceedings of the Western Bark Beetle Research Group-U Unique Collaboration with Forest Health Protection Symposium, Society of American Forester Conference, 23-28 October 2007, Portland, Oregon, pp. 71-83.
60. Raffa K.F., Berryman A.A. Interacting selective pressures in conifer-bark beetle systems: a basis for reciprocal adaptations?. The American Naturalist 1987, 129:234-262.
61. Raffa K.F., Smalley E.B. Interaction of pre-attack and induced monoterpene concentrations in host conifer defense against bark beetle-fungal complexes. Oecologia (Berlin) 1995, 102:285-295.
62. Raffa K.F., Aukema B.H., Bentz B.J., Carroll A.L., Hicke J.A., Turner M.G., Romme W.H. Cross-scale drivers of natural disturbances prone to anthropogenic amplification: the dynamics of bark beetle eruptions. BioScience 2008, 58:501-517.
63. Régnière, J., Bentz, B.J., 2007. Modeling cold tolerance in the mountain pine beetle, Dendroctonus ponderosae. Journal of Insect Physiology, 53, 559-572.
64. Riel, W.G., Fall, A., Shore, T.L., Safranyik, L., 2004. A spatio-temporal simulation of mountain pine beetle impacts on the landscape. In: T.L. Shore, J.E. Brooks, J.E. Stone (Eds.), Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium: Challenges and Solutions, October 30-31, 2003, Kelowna, British Columbia, Canada. Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Pacific Forestry Centre, Victoria, British Columbia, Information Report BC-X-399, pp. 106-113, 298 pp.
65. Riel, W.G., Burnett, C., Fall, A., 2011. Impacts of climate change on mountain pine beetle habitat connectivity in western Canada. Nat. Res. Canada, Can. For. Serv., Pac. For. Centre. Mountain Pine Beetle Working Paper 2010-04. 26 pp.
66. Rosenberg, R.S., Smith, E.L., 1998. Assessing forest scenic beauty impacts of insects and management. FHTET 98-08. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Health Protection, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team, Fort Collins, CO, 39 p.
67. Safranyik L., Carroll A.L. The biology and epidemiology of the mountain pine beetle in lodgepole pine forests. The mountain pine beetle: a synthesis of its biology, management and impacts on lodgepole pine 2006, 3-66. Pacific Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Victoria, British Columbia. L. Safranyik, B. Wilson (Eds.).
68. Safranyik L., Linton D.A. Survival and development of mountain pine beetle broods in jack pine bolts from Ontario. Canadian Forestry Service Research Notes 1982, 2(3):17-18.
69. Safranyik, L., Shrimpton, D.M., Whitney, H.S., 1974. Management of Lodgepole Pine to Reduce Losses from the Mountain Pine Beetle. Canadian Forest Service Forest Technical Report No. 1.
70. Safranyik L., Shrimpton D.M., Whitney H.S. An interpretation of the interaction between lodgepole pine, the mountain pine beetle and its associated blue stain fungi in western Canada. Management of Lodgepole Pine Ecosystems 1975, 406-428. Washington State Univ. Coop. Ext. Serv, Pullman, WA. D.M. Baumgartner (Ed.).
71. Safranyik L., Carroll A.L., Régnière J., Langor D.W., Riel W.G., Shore T.L., Peter B., Cooke B.J., Nealis V.G., Taylor S.W. Potential for range expansion of mountain pine beetle into the boreal forest of North America. Canadian Entomologist 2010, 142:415-442.
72. Shore, T.L., Safranyik, L., 1992. Susceptibility and Risk Rating Systems for the Mountain Pine Beetle in Lodgepole Pine Stands. Forestry Canada, Pacific Forestry Centre, Victoria, BC. Inf. Rep. BC-X-336.
73. Smith K.G., Ficht E.J., Hobson D., Sorensen T.C., Hervieux D. Winter distribution of woodland caribou in relation to clear-cut logging in west-central Alberta. Canadian Journal of Zoology 2000, 78:1433-1440.
74. Soja A.J., Tchebakova N.M., French N.H.F., Flannigan M.D., Shugart H.H., Stocks B.J., Sukhinin A.I., Varfenova E.I., Chapin F.S., Stackhouse P.W. Climate-induced boreal forest change: predictions versus current observations. Global and Planetary Change 2007, 56(3-4):274-296.
75. Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), 2012. Glossary. http://www.sra.org/resources_glossary_p-r.php.
76. Wallin K.F., Raffa K.F. Altered constitutive and inducible phloem monoterpenes following natural defoliation of jack pine: implications to host mediated interguild interactions and plant defense theories. Journal of Chemical Ecology 1999, 25:861-880.
77. Wallin K.F., Raffa K.F. Effects of folivory on subcortical plant defences: can defence theories predict interguild processes?. Ecology 2001, 82:1387-1400.
78. Westfall, J., Ebata, T., 2010. 2010 Summary of forest health conditions in British Columbia. British Columbia Ministry of Forests and Range, Victoria, Pest Management Report No. 15.
79. Whitehead R., Safranyik L., Shore T. Preventive Management. The Mountain Pine Beetle: A Synthesis of Biology, Management and Impacts on Lodgepole Pine 2006, 173-192. Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Pacific Forestry Centre, Victoria, BC. L. Safranyik, W. Wilson (Eds.).
80. WTO Agreement on the Application of Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures 1993, World Trade Organization, Geneva.