Use of circulation types classifications to evaluate AR4 climate models over the Euro-Atlantic region

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 39, Issue 7-8, 2012, Pages 2059-2077

  Pastor, M A ^a   Casado, M J ^a  

^a Agencia Estatal de Meteorología ^*  (Spain)

Author keywords

Circulation types; COST733; ERA40; Euro Atlantic region; GCMs; Synoptic climatology

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATOLOGY; COMPUTER SIMULATION; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE; SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY; WINTER;

EID: 84867101737     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1449-2     Document Type: Article

References (62)

1. Anagnostopoulou CHR, Tolika K, Maheras P, Kutiel H, Flocas HA (2008) Performance of the general circulation HadAM3P model in simulating circulation types over the Mediterranean region. Int J Climatol 28: 185-203. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1521.
2. Brunet M, Casado MJ, de Castro M, Galán P, López JA, Martín JM, Pastor A, Petisco E, Ramos P, Ribalaygua J, Rodríguez E, Torres L (2008) Generación de Escenarios Regionalizados de cambio climático para España, Agencia Estatal de Meteorología, Secretaría General Técnica, Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Medio Rural y Marino, p 157. ISBN: 978-84-8320-470-2.
3. Cahynová M, Huth R (2009) Enhanced lifetime of atmospheric circulation types over Europe: fact or fiction? Tellus 61(3): 407-416. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1600-0870. 2009. 00393. x.
4. Casado MJ, Pastor MA (2012) Use of variability modes to evaluate AR4 climate models over the Euro-Atlantic region. Clim Dyn 38(1-2): 225-237. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-011-1077-2.
5. Casado MJ, Pastor MA, Doblas-Reyes FJ (2009) Euro-Atlantic circulation types and modes of variability in winter. Theor Appl Climatol 96: 17-29. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-008-0036-2.
6. Cassano JP, Uotila P, Lyinch A (2006) Changes in synoptic weather patterns in the polar regions in the twentieth and twenty-first centuries, part 1: Arctic. Int J Climatol 26: 1027-1049.
7. Cassou C, Terray L, Phillips AS (2005) Tropical Atlantic influences on European heatwaves. J Clim 18: 2085-2111.
8. Collins WD et al (2006) The community climate system model version 3 (CCSM3). CM2 global coupled climate models. Part I: formulation and simulation characteristics. J Clim 19: 2122-2143.
9. Collins M, Booth BB, Harris GR, Murphy JM, Sexton DM, Webb MJ (2011) Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles. Clim Dyn 36: 1737-1766. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-010-0808-0.
10. Corti S, Molteni F, Palmer T (1999) Signature of recent climate change in frequencies of natural atmospheric circulation regimes. Nature 398: 799-802.
11. Delworth TL et al (2006) GFDL's CM2 global coupled climate models. Part I: formulation and simulation characteristics. J Clim 19: 643-674.
12. Demuzere M, Werner M, van Lipzig NPM, Roeckner E (2009) An analysis of present and future ECHAM5 pressure fields using a classification of circulation patterns. Int J Climatol 29: 1796-1811.
13. Demuzere M, Kassomenos P, Philipp A (2010) The COST733 circulation type classification software: an example for surface ozone concentrations in Central Europe. Theor Appl Climatol. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-010-0378-4.
14. Diansky NA, Volodin EM (2002) Simulation of the present day climate with a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. Izv Atmos Ocean Phys 38: 732-747.
15. Diansky NA, Bagno AV, Zalesny VB (2002) Sigma model of global ocean circulation and its sensitivity to variations in wind stress. Izv Atmos Ocean Phys 38: 477-494.
16. Errasti I, Ezcurra A, Sáenz J, Ibarra-Berastegui G (2011) Validation of IPCC AR4 models over the Iberian Peninsula. Theor Appl Climatol 103(1-2): 61-79. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-010-0282-y.
17. Finnis J, Cassano J, Holland M, Serreze M, Uotilla P (2009) Synoptically forced hydroclimatology of major arctic watersheds in general circulation models, part 1: the Mackenzie River Basin. Int J Climatol 29: 1226-1243.
18. Flato GM (2005) The third generation coupled global climate model (CGCM3). Available online at http://www. cccma. bc. ec. gc. ca/models/cgcm3. shtml.
19. Furevik T, Bentsen M, Drange H, Kindem IKT, Kvamstø NG, Sorteberg A (2003) Description and evaluation of the Bergen climate model: ARPEGE coupled with MICOM. Clim Dyn 21: 27-51.
20. Gordon C, Cooper C, Senior CA, Banks H, Gregory JM, Johns TC, Mitchell JFB, Wood RA (2000) The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments. Clim Dyn 16: 147-168.
21. Gordon HB, Rotstayn LD, McGregor JL, Dix MR, Kowalczyk EA, O'Farrell SP, Waterman LJ, Hirst AC, Wilson SG, Collier MA, Watterson IG, Elliott TI (2002) The CSIRO Mk3 climate system model. CSIRO atmospheric research technical paper; no. 60, p 134. Available online at http://www. dar. csiro. au/publications/gordon_2002a. pdf.
22. Handorf D, Dethloff K (2009) Atmospheric teleconnections and flow regimes under future climate projections. Eur Phys J Special Topics 174: 237-255.
23. Hartigan JA, Wong MA (1979) A K-means clustering algorithm. Appl Stat 28: 100-108.
24. Hasumi H, Emori S (2004) K-1 coupled GCM (MIROC) description. K-1 Tech. Rep. 1, Center for climate system research, University of Tokyo, p 39. Available online at http://www. ccsr. u-tokyo. ac. jp/kyosei/hasumi/MIROC/tech-repo. pdf.
25. Huth R (1997) Continental-scale circulation in the UKHI GCM. J Clim 10: 1545-1561.
26. Huth R (2000) A circulation classification scheme applicable in GCM studies. Theor Appl Climatol 67: 1-18.
27. Huth R, Beck C, Philipp A, Demuzere M, Ustrnul Z, Cahynová M, Kyselý K, Tveito OE (2008) Classifications of atmospheric circulation patterns: recent advances and applications. Ann N Y Acad Sci 1146: 105-152.
28. James PM (2007) An objective classification method for Hess and Brezowsky Grosswetterlagen over Europe. Theor Appl Climatol 88: 17-42.
29. Johns TC et al (2006) The new Hadley centre climate model (HadGEM1): evaluation of coupled simulations. J Clim 19: 1327-1353.
30. Jolliffe IT (2002) Principal component analysis. Springer, Berlin, p 502.
31. Kjellström E et al (2010) Daily and monthly temperature and precipitation statistics as performance indicators for regional climate models. Clim Res 44: 135-150.
32. Knutti R, Furrer R, Tebaldi C, Meehl GA (2010) Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models. J Clim 23: 2739-2758.
33. Küttel M, Wanner H, Luterbacher J (2011) Multidecadal changes in winter circulation-climate relationships in Europe: frequency variations, within-type modifications, and long-term trends. Clim Dyn 36: 957-972. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-009-0737.
34. Lapp S, Byrne J, Kienzle S, Townshend I (2002) Linking global circulation model synoptics and precipitation for western North America. Int J Climatol 22: 1807-1817.
35. Legras B, Ghil M (1985) Persistent anomalies, blocking and variations in atmospheric predictability. J Atmos Sci 42: 433-471.
36. Martin GM, Ringer MA, Pope VD, Jones A, Dearden C, Hinton TJ (2006) The physical properties of the atmosphere in the new Hadley centre global environmental model (HadGEM1). Part I: model description and global climatology. J Clim 19: 1274-1301.
37. McKendry IG, Steyn DG, McBean G (1995) Validation of synoptic circulation patterns simulated by the Canadian climate centre general circulation model for western North America. Atmos Ocean 33: 809-825.
38. McKendry IG, Stahl K, Moore RD (2006) Synoptic sea-level pressure patterns generated by a general circulation model: comparison with types derived from NCEP/NCAR re-analysis and implications for downscaling. Int J Climatol 26: 1727-1736.
39. Michelangeli PA, Vautard R, Legras B (1995) Weather regimes: recurrence and quasi stationarity. J Atmos Sci 52: 1237-1256.
40. Pelly JL, Hoskins BJ (2003) How well does the ECMWF ensemble prediction system predict blocking? Q J Roy Meteor Soc 129: 1683-1702.
41. Philipp A, Della-Marta PM, Jacobeit PM, Fereday DR, Jones PD, Moberg A, Wanner H (2007) Long term variability of daily north atlantic-european pressure patterns since 1850 classified by simulated annealing clustering. J Clim 20(16): 4065-4095.
42. Philipp A, Bartholy J, Beck C, Erpicum M, Esteban P, Fettweis X, Huth R, James P, Jourdain S, Kreienkamp F, Krennert T, Lykoudis S, Michalides SC, Pianko_Kluczynskda K, Post P, Alvarez DR, Schiemann R, Spekat A, Tymvios FS (2010) Cost733cat-a database of weather and circulation type classifications. Phys Chem Earth (Special Issue) 35: 360-373.
43. Pope VD, Gallani ML, Rowntree PR, Stratton RA (2000) The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley centre climate model: HadAM3. Clim Dyn 16: 123-146.
44. Reinhold BB, Pierrehumbert RT (1982) Dynamics of weather regimes: quasi-stationary waves and blocking. Mon Weather Rev 110: 1105-1145.
45. Robertson AW, Ghil M (1999) Large-scale weather regimes and local climate over the western United States. J Clim 12: 1796-1813.
46. Roeckner E et al. (2003) The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM 5. Part I: model description. Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology Rep., p 127. Available online at http://edoc. mpg. de/175329.
47. Russell GL (2005) 4x3 atmosphere-ocean model documentation. Available online at http://aom. giss. nasa. gov/doc4x3. html.
48. Russell GL, Miller JR, Rind D (1995) A coupled atmosphere-ocean model for transient climate change studies. Atmo Ocean 33: 683-730.
49. Rust H, Vrac M, Lengaigne M, Sultan B (2010) Quantifying differences in circulation patterns based on probabilistic models: IPCC-AR4 multi-model comparison for the North Atlantic. J Clim 23: 6573-6589. doi: 10. 1175/2010JCLI3432. 1.
50. Salas-Melia D et al. (2005) Description and validation of the CNRM-CM3 global coupled model. CNRM Working Note 103, p 36.
51. Sánchez Gomez E, Terray L (2005) Large-scale atmospheric dynamics and local intense precipitation episodes. Geophys Res Lett 32: L24711. doi: 10. 1029/2005GL023990.
52. Schoof JT, Pryor SC (2006) An evaluation of two GCMs: simulation of North American teleconnection indices and synoptic phenomena. Int J Climatol 26(2): 267-282.
53. Schwierz C, Appenzeller C, Davies HC, Liniger M, Müller W, Stocker TF, Yoshimori M (2006) Challenges posed by and approaches to the study of seasonal-to-decadal climate variability. Clim Change 79: 31-63. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-006-9076-8.
54. Sheridan S, Lee C (2010) Synoptic climatology and the general circulation model. Prog Phys Geogr 34(1): 101-109. doi: 10. 1177/0309133309357012.
55. Stahl K, Moore RD, McKendry IG (2006) The role of synoptic-scale circulation in the linkage between large-scale ocean-atmosphere indices and winter surface climate in British Columbia, Canada in press. Int J Climatol 26: 541-560. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1286.
56. Stephenson DB, Hannachi A, O'Neill A (2004) On the existence of multiple climate regimes. Q J Roy Meteor Soc 130: 583-605.
57. Uppala SM, Kållberg PW, Simmons AJ, Andrae U, da Costa Bechtold V, Fiorino M, Gibson JK, Haseler J, Hernandez A, Kelly GA, Li X, Onogi K, Saarinen S, Sokka N, Allan RP, Andersson E, Arpe K, Balmaseda MA, Beljaars ACM, van de Berg L, Bidlot J, Bormann N, Caires S, Chevallier F, Dethof A, Dragosavac M, Fisher M, Fuentes M, Hagemann S, Hólm E, Hoskins BJ, Isaksen L, Janssen PAEM, Jenne R, McNally AP, Mahfouf JF, Morcrette JJ, Rayner NA, Saunders RW, Simon P, Sterl A, Trenberth KE, UnCTh A, Vasiljevic D, Viterbo P, Woollen J (2005) The ERA-40 re-analysis. Q J Roy Meteor Soc 131: 2961-3012. doi: 10. 1256/qj. 04. 176.
58. Washington WM et al (2000) Parallel climate model (PCM) control and transient simulations. Clim Dyn 16: 755-774.
59. Wilks DS (2006) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences, 2nd edn. International geophysics series vol 9. Elsevier, Burlington, p 627.
60. Yiou P, Nogaj M (2004) Extreme climatic events and weather regimes over the North Atlantic: When and where? Geophys Res Lett 1: L07202. doi: 10. 10129/2003GL019119.
61. Yukimoto S, Noda A (2003) Improvements of the Meteorological Research Institute Global Ocean-Atmosphere Coupled GCM (MRI-GCM2) and its climate sensitivity. CGER's Supercomputing Activity Rep., vol 10-2001, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Ibaraki, Japan, pp 37-44.
62. Yukimoto S et al (2001) The new Meteorological Research Institute global ocean-atmosphere coupled GCM (MRICGCM2)-model climate and variability. Pap Meteor Geophys 51: 47-88.