메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 140, Issue 6, 2012, Pages 1957-1974

Nonlinear parameter estimation: Comparison of an ensemble Kalman smoother with a Markov chain monte carlo algorithm

Author keywords

Cloud parameterizations; Convective storms; Data assimilation; Kalman filters; Model errors; Nonlinear models

Indexed keywords

CONVECTIVE STORMS; DATA ASSIMILATION; MODEL ERRORS; NON-LINEAR MODEL; PARAMETERIZATIONS;

EID: 84864843741     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: 15200493     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00242.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (51)

References (55)
  • 1
    • 33750467661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • En-semble-based simultaneous state and parameter estimation in a two-dimensional sea-breeze model
    • Aksoy, A., F. Zhang, and J. W. Nielsen-Gammon, 2006: En- semble- based simultaneous state and parameter estimation in a two-dimensional sea-breeze model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 2951-2970.
    • (2006) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.134 , pp. 2951-2970
    • Aksoy, A.1    Zhang, F.2    Nielsen-Gammon, J.W.3
  • 2
    • 0035655814 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An ensemble adjustment Kalman filter for data assimilation
    • Anderson, J. L., 2001: An ensemble adjustment Kalman filter for data assimilation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2884-2903.
    • (2001) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.129 , pp. 2884-2903
    • Anderson, J.L.1
  • 3
    • 79954486545 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model uncertainty in a mesoscale ensemble prediction system Stochastic versus multiphysics representations
    • Berner, J., S.-Y. Ha, J. P. Hacker, A. Fournier, and C. Snyder, 2011: Model uncertainty in a mesoscale ensemble prediction system: Stochastic versus multiphysics representations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 1972-1995.
    • (2011) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.139 , pp. 1972-1995
    • Berner, J.1    Ha, S.-Y.2    Hacker, J.P.3    Fournier, A.4    Snyder, C.5
  • 4
    • 0035270690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalman filter Part I Theoretical aspects
    • Bishop, C. H., B. J. Etherton, and S. J. Majumdar, 2001: Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalman filter. Part I: Theoretical aspects. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 420-436.
    • (2001) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.129 , pp. 420-436
    • Bishop, C.H.1    Etherton, B.J.2    Majumdar, S.J.3
  • 5
    • 77955429089 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Beyond Gaussian sta-tistical modeling in geophysical data assimilation
    • Bocquet, M., C. A. Pires, and L. Wu, 2010: Beyond Gaussian sta- tistical modeling in geophysical data assimilation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 2997-3023.
    • (2010) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.138 , pp. 2997-3023
    • Bocquet, M.1    Pires, C.A.2    Wu, L.3
  • 6
    • 0032439201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis scheme in the ensemble Kalman filter
    • Burgers, G., P. Jan van Leeuwen, and G. Evensen, 1998: Analysis scheme in the ensemble Kalman filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1719-1724.
    • (1998) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.126 , pp. 1719-1724
    • Burgers, G.1    Jan van Leeuwen, P.2    Evensen, G.3
  • 7
    • 84895413948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data Assimilation The Ensemble Kalman Fil-ter. Springer
    • Evensen, G., 2006: Data Assimilation: The Ensemble Kalman Fil- ter. Springer, 279 pp.
    • (2006) , pp. 279
    • Evensen, G.1
  • 8
    • 0000954353 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian Statistics V, J. M. Bernardo et al., Eds., Oxford University Press
    • Gelman, A. G., G. O. Roberts, and W. R. Gilks, 1996: Efficient metropolis jumping rules. Bayesian Statistics V, J. M. Bernardo et al., Eds., Oxford University Press, 599-608.
    • (1996) Efficient metropolis jumping rules , pp. 599-608
    • Gelman, A.G.1    Roberts, G.O.2    Gilks, W.R.3
  • 10
    • 3943079207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pre-cipitation uncertainty due to variations in precipitation parti-cle parameters within a simple microphysics scheme
    • Gilmore, M. S., J. M. Straka, and E. N. Rasmussen, 2004: Pre- cipitation uncertainty due to variations in precipitation parti- cle parameters within a simple microphysics scheme. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2610-2627.
    • (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.132 , pp. 2610-2627
    • Gilmore, M.S.1    Straka, J.M.2    Rasmussen, E.N.3
  • 11
    • 0347353582 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of cloud microphysics on convective-radiative quasi equilibrium revealed by cloud-resolving convective parameterization
    • Grabowski, W. W., 2003: Impact of cloud microphysics on convective-radiative quasi equilibrium revealed by cloud- resolving convective parameterization. J. Climate, 16, 3463- 3475.
    • (2003) J. Climate , vol.16 , pp. 3463-3475
    • Grabowski, W.W.1
  • 12
    • 0032586524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cloud-resolving mod-eling of tropical cloud systems during phase III of GATE Part III Effects of cloud microphysics
    • Grabowski, W. W., X. Wu, and M. W. Moncrieff, 1999: Cloud-resolving mod- eling of tropical cloud systems during phase III of GATE. Part III: Effects of cloud microphysics. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 2384-2402.
    • (1999) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.56 , pp. 2384-2402
    • Grabowski, W.W.1    Wu, X.2    Moncrieff, M.W.3
  • 13
    • 0033436531 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive pro-posal distribution for random walk Metropolis algorithm
    • Haario, H., E. Saksman, and J. Tamminen, 1999: Adaptive pro- posal distribution for random walk Metropolis algorithm. Comput. Stat., 14, 375-395.
    • (1999) Comput. Stat. , vol.14 , pp. 375-395
    • Haario, H.1    Saksman, E.2    Tamminen, J.3
  • 14
    • 0037116314 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Obser-vations and parameterizations of particle size distributions in deep tropical cirrus and stratiform precipitating clouds Results from in situ observations in TRMM field campaigns
    • Heymsfield, A. J., A. Bansemer, P. R. Field, S. L. Durden, J. L. Smith, J. E. Dye, W. Hall, and C. A. Grainger, 2002: Obser- vations and parameterizations of particle size distributions in deep tropical cirrus and stratiform precipitating clouds Results from in situ observations in TRMM field campaigns. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 3457-3491.
    • (2002) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.59 , pp. 3457-3491
    • Heymsfield, A.J.1    Bansemer, A.2    Field, P.R.3    Durden, S.L.4    Smith, J.L.5    Dye, J.E.6    Hall, W.7    Grainger, C.A.8
  • 15
    • 84855772814 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble state estimation for nonlinear systems using polynomial expansions in the innovation
    • Hodyss, D., 2011: Ensemble state estimation for nonlinear systems using polynomial expansions in the innovation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 3571-3588.
    • (2011) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.139 , pp. 3571-3588
    • Hodyss, D.1
  • 16
    • 0032024819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter technique
    • Houtekamer, P. L., and H. L. Mitchell, 1998: Data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter technique. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 796-811.
    • (1998) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.126 , pp. 796-811
    • Houtekamer, P.L.1    Mitchell, H.L.2
  • 17
    • 14344255017 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mesoscale convective systems
    • doi:10.1029/2004RG000150
    • Houze, R. A., Jr., 2004: Mesoscale convective systems. Rev. Geo- phys., 42, RG4003, doi:10.1029/2004RG000150.
    • (2004) Rev. Geo-phys. , vol.42
    • Houze Jr., R.A.1
  • 20
    • 34247897250 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving simulations of convective systems from TRMM LBA Easterly and westerly regimes
    • Lang, S., W.-K. Tao, R. Cifelli, W. Olson, J. Halverson, S. Rutledge, and J. Simpson, 2007: Improving simulations of convective systems from TRMM LBA: Easterly and westerly regimes. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 1141-1164.
    • (2007) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.64 , pp. 1141-1164
    • Lang, S.1    Tao, W.-K.2    Cifelli, R.3    Olson, W.4    Halverson, J.5    Rutledge, S.6    Simpson, J.7
  • 21
    • 0036321094 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An estimation-based precipitation retrieval algorithm for attenuating radars
    • L'Ecuyer, T. S., and G. L. Stephens, 2002: An estimation-based precipitation retrieval algorithm for attenuating radars. J. Appl. Meteor., 41, 272-285.
    • (2002) J. Appl. Meteor. , vol.41 , pp. 272-285
    • L'Ecuyer, T.S.1    Stephens, G.L.2
  • 22
    • 0042847367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The tropical oceanic energy budget from the TRMM perspective Part I Algorithm and uncertainties
    • L'Ecuyer, T. S., and G. L. Stephens, 2003: The tropical oceanic energy budget from the TRMM perspective. Part I: Algorithm and uncertainties. J. Climate, 16, 1967-1985.
    • (2003) J. Climate , vol.16 , pp. 1967-1985
    • L'Ecuyer, T.S.1    Stephens, G.L.2
  • 24
    • 0020968202 scopus 로고
    • Bulk parame-terization of the snow field in a cloud model
    • Lin, Y.-L., R. D. Farley, and H. D. Orville, 1983: Bulk parame- terization of the snow field in a cloud model. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 22, 1065-1092.
    • (1983) J. Climate Appl. Meteor. , vol.22 , pp. 1065-1092
    • Lin, Y.-L.1    Farley, R.D.2    Orville, H.D.3
  • 25
    • 0000208159 scopus 로고
    • Fall speeds and masses of solid precipitation particles
    • Locatelli, J. D., and P. V. Hobbs, 1974: Fall speeds and masses of solid precipitation particles. J. Geophys. Res., 79, 2185- 2197.
    • (1974) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.79 , pp. 2185-2197
    • Locatelli, J.D.1    Hobbs, P.V.2
  • 26
    • 34248364831 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tests of an ensemble Kalman filter for mesoscale and regional scale data assimilation Part II Imperfect model experiments
    • Meng, Z., and F. Zhang, 2007: Tests of an ensemble Kalman filter for mesoscale and regional scale data assimilation. Part II: Imperfect model experiments. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 1403- 1423.
    • (2007) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.135 , pp. 1403-1423
    • Meng, Z.1    Zhang, F.2
  • 27
    • 0030431092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of mass-and area-dimensional power laws for determining precipitation particle terminal velocities
    • Mitchell, D. L., 1996: Use of mass- and area-dimensional power laws for determining precipitation particle terminal velocities. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 1710-1723.
    • (1996) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.53 , pp. 1710-1723
    • Mitchell, D.L.1
  • 28
    • 0027069248 scopus 로고
    • Organized convective systems Ar-chetypal dynamical models, mass and momentum flux theory, and parameterization
    • Moncrieff, M. W., 1992: Organized convective systems: Ar- chetypal dynamical models, mass and momentum flux theory, and parameterization. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 118, 819-850.
    • (1992) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.118 , pp. 819-850
    • Moncrieff, M.W.1
  • 29
    • 77956782351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic approach to inverse problems
    • W. H. K. Lee et al., Eds., International Geophysical Series, Academic Press
    • Mosegaard, K., and A. Tarantola, 2002: Probabilistic approach to inverse problems. International Handbook of Earthquake & Engineering Seismology (Part A), W. H. K. Lee et al., Eds., International Geophysical Series, Vol. 81A, Academic Press, 237-265.
    • (2002) International Handbook of Earthquake & Engineering Seismology (Part A) , vol.81 A , pp. 237-265
    • Mosegaard, K.1    Tarantola, A.2
  • 33
    • 0035472614 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity studies using a cloud-resolving model simulation of the tropical west Pacific
    • Petch, J. C., and M. E. B. Gray, 2001: Sensitivity studies using a cloud-resolving model simulation of the tropical west Pacific. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, 2287-2306.
    • (2001) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.127 , pp. 2287-2306
    • Petch, J.C.1    Gray, M.E.B.2
  • 34
    • 77955588931 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust characterization of model physics uncertainty for simulations of deep moist con-vection
    • Posselt, D. J., and T. Vukicevic, 2010: Robust characterization of model physics uncertainty for simulations of deep moist con- vection. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 1513-1535.
    • (2010) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.138 , pp. 1513-1535
    • Posselt, D.J.1    Vukicevic, T.2
  • 35
    • 62149125480 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring the error characteristics of thin ice cloud property retrievals using a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm
    • doi:10.1029/2008JD010832
    • Posselt, D. J., T. S. L'Ecuyer, and G. L. Stephens, 2008: Exploring the error characteristics of thin ice cloud property retrievals using a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D24206, doi:10.1029/2008JD010832.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.113
    • Posselt, D.J.1    L'Ecuyer, T.S.2    Stephens, G.L.3
  • 37
    • 30944442656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Drop size distributions of tropical rain over south India
    • Roy, S. S., R. K. Datta, R. C. Bhatia, and A. K. Sharma, 2005: Drop size distributions of tropical rain over south India. Geofizika, 22, 105-130.
    • (2005) Geofizika , vol.22 , pp. 105-130
    • Roy, S.S.1    Datta, R.K.2    Bhatia, R.C.3    Sharma, A.K.4
  • 38
    • 0020969548 scopus 로고
    • The mesoscale and micro-scale structure and organization of clouds and precipitation in midlatitude cyclones VIII A model for the "seeder-feeder" process in warm-frontal rainbands
    • Rutledge, S. A., and P. V. Hobbs, 1983: The mesoscale and micro- scale structure and organization of clouds and precipitation in midlatitude cyclones. VIII: A model for the "seeder-feeder" process in warm-frontal rainbands. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 1185-1206.
    • (1983) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.40 , pp. 1185-1206
    • Rutledge, S.A.1    Hobbs, P.V.2
  • 39
    • 0021505988 scopus 로고
    • The mesoscale and microscale structure and organization of clouds and precipitation in midlatitude cyclones Part XII A diagnostic modeling study of precipitation development in narrow cold frontal rainbands
    • Rutledge, S. A., and P. V. Hobbs, 1984: The mesoscale and microscale structure and organization of clouds and precipitation in midlatitude cyclones. Part XII: A diagnostic modeling study of precipitation development in narrow cold frontal rainbands. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 2949-2972.
    • (1984) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.41 , pp. 2949-2972
    • Rutledge, S.A.1    Hobbs, P.V.2
  • 40
    • 13444269104 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases
    • Stainforth, D. A., and Coauthors, 2005: Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases. Nature, 433, 403-406.
    • (2005) Nature , vol.433 , pp. 403-406
    • Stainforth, D.A.1
  • 41
    • 0033825565 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using initial condition and model physics perturbations in short-range en-semble simulations of mesoscale convective systems
    • Stensrud, D. J., J.-W. Bao, and T. T. Warner, 2000: Using initial condition and model physics perturbations in short-range en- semble simulations of mesoscale convective systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 2077-2107.
    • (2000) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.128 , pp. 2077-2107
    • Stensrud, D.J.1    Bao, J.-W.2    Warner, T.T.3
  • 42
    • 10644233101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validation of nonlinear inverse algorithms with Markov chain Monte Carlo method
    • doi:10.1029/2004JD004927
    • Tamminen, J., 2004: Validation of nonlinear inverse algorithms with Markov chain Monte Carlo method. J. Geophys. Res., 109, D19303, doi:10.1029/2004JD004927.
    • (2004) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.109
    • Tamminen, J.1
  • 43
    • 0034856846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian solution for nonlinear and non-Gaussian inverse problems by Markov chain Monte Carlo method
    • Tamminen, J., and E. Kyrola, 2001: Bayesian solution for nonlinear and non- Gaussian inverse problems by Markov chain Monte Carlo method. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 14 377-14 390.
    • (2001) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.106 , pp. 14377-14390
    • Tamminen, J.1    Kyrola, E.2
  • 44
    • 0002992680 scopus 로고
    • Goddard Cumulus Ensemble Model Part I Model description
    • Tao, W.-K., and J. Simpson, 1993: Goddard Cumulus Ensemble Model. Part I: Model description. Terr. Atmos. Oceanic Sci., 4, 35-72.
    • (1993) Terr. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. , vol.4 , pp. 35-72
    • Tao, W.-K.1    Simpson, J.2
  • 45
    • 0029472096 scopus 로고
    • The effect of melting processes on the development of a tropical and a midlatitude squall line
    • Tao, W.-K., J. R. Scala, B. S. Ferrier, and J. Simpson, 1995: The effect of melting processes on the development of a tropical and a midlatitude squall line. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 1934-1948.
    • (1995) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.52 , pp. 1934-1948
    • Tao, W.-K.1    Scala, J.R.2    Ferrier, B.S.3    Simpson, J.4
  • 46
    • 0345329910 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Microphysics, radiation, and surface processes in the Goddard Cumulus Ensemble (GCE) model
    • Tao, W.-K., and Coauthors, 2003: Microphysics, radiation, and surface processes in the Goddard Cumulus Ensemble (GCE) model. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 82, 97-137.
    • (2003) Meteor. Atmos. Phys. , vol.82 , pp. 97-137
    • Tao, W.-K.1
  • 49
    • 0030471053 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence from tropical raindrop spectra of the origin of rain from stratiform versus convective clouds
    • Tokay, A., and D. A. Short, 1996: Evidence from tropical raindrop spectra of the origin of rain from stratiform versus convective clouds. J. Appl. Meteor., 35, 355-371.
    • (1996) J. Appl. Meteor. , vol.35 , pp. 355-371
    • Tokay, A.1    Short, D.A.2
  • 50
    • 44949155490 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simultaneous estimation of micro-physical parameters and atmospheric state with simulated radar data and ensemble square root Kalman filter Part I Sensitivity analysis and parameter identifiability
    • Tong, M., and M. Xue, 2008: Simultaneous estimation of micro- physical parameters and atmospheric state with simulated radar data and ensemble square root Kalman filter. Part I: Sensitivity analysis and parameter identifiability. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 1630-1648.
    • (2008) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.136 , pp. 1630-1648
    • Tong, M.1    Xue, M.2
  • 51
    • 44449167987 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simultaneous estimation of microphysical parameters and atmospheric state with simulated radar data and ensemble square root Kalman filter Part II Parameter estimation experiments
    • Tong, M., and M. Xue, 2008: Simultaneous estimation of microphysical parameters and atmospheric state with simulated radar data and ensemble square root Kalman filter. Part II: Parameter estimation experiments. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 1649-1688.
    • (2008) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.136 , pp. 1649-1688
    • Tong, M.1    Xue, M.2
  • 52
    • 3943048755 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of hail size on simulated supercell storms
    • van den Heever, S. C., and W. R. Cotton, 2004: The impact of hail size on simulated supercell storms. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1596- 1609.
    • (2004) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.61 , pp. 1596-1609
    • van den Heever, S.C.1    Cotton, W.R.2
  • 53
    • 56849087023 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of the impact of model nonlinearities in inverse problem solving
    • Vukicevic, T., and D. J. Posselt, 2008: Analysis of the impact of model nonlinearities in inverse problem solving. J. Atmos. Sci., 65, 2803-2823.
    • (2008) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.65 , pp. 2803-2823
    • Vukicevic, T.1    Posselt, D.J.2
  • 54
    • 0036646009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble data assimilation without perturbed observations
    • Whitaker, J. S., and T. M. Hamill, 2002: Ensemble data assimilation without perturbed observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1913- 1924.
    • (2002) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.130 , pp. 1913-1924
    • Whitaker, J.S.1    Hamill, T.M.2
  • 55
    • 0033567624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term behavior of cloud systems in TOGA COARE and their interactions with ra-diative and surface processes Part II Effects of ice micro-physics on cloud-radiation interaction
    • Wu, X., W. D. Hall, W. W. Grabowski, M. W. Moncrieff, W. D. Collins, and J. T. Kiehl, 1999: Long-term behavior of cloud systems in TOGA COARE and their interactions with ra- diative and surface processes. Part II: Effects of ice micro- physics on cloud-radiation interaction. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 3177-3195.
    • (1999) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.56 , pp. 3177-3195
    • Wu, X.1    Hall, W.D.2    Grabowski, W.W.3    Moncrieff, M.W.4    Collins, W.D.5    Kiehl, J.T.6


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.