Projected changes of temperature and precipitation in Texas from downscaled global climate models

Climate Research

Volumn 53, Issue 3, 2012, Pages 229-244

  Jiang, Xiaoyan ^a,b   Yang, Zong Liang ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN   (United States)

^b NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

Author keywords

Downscaling; Emissions scenarios; Future climate change; Precipitation; Temperature

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTIONS; CORRELATION COEFFICIENT; DOWN-SCALING; EMISSION SCENARIO; EMISSIONS SCENARIOS; FUTURE CLIMATE; GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL; GULF OF MEXICO; MODEL RESULTS; MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE; PRECIPITATION CHANGE; PROBABILITY ANALYSIS; REANALYSIS; SUB-REGIONS; SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURES; WINTER SEASONS;

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE MODELS; PRECIPITATION (CHEMICAL); TEMPERATURE;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; COMPARATIVE STUDY; CORRELATION; FUTURE PROSPECT; GLOBAL CLIMATE; INDUCTIVELY COUPLED PLASMA METHOD; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); TEMPERATURE EFFECT;

TEXAS; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84864765177     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: 16161572     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr01093     Document Type: Article

References (37)

1. Almasri A, Locking H, Shukar G (2008) Testing for climate warming in Sweden during 1850-1999 using wavelet analysis. J Appl Stat 35: 431-443
2. Boer GJ, Flato G, Ramsden D (2000) A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: Projected climate to the twenty-first century. Clim Dyn 16: 427-450 (Pubitemid 30454353)
3. Cameron GN, Scheel D (2001) Getting warmer: Effect of global climate change on distribution of rodents in Texas. J Mammal 82: 652-680 (Pubitemid 32818426)
4. Cayan DR, Maurer EP, Dettinger MD, Tyree M, Hayhoe K (2008) Climate change scenarios for the California region. Clim Change 87(Suppl 1): 21-42 doi: 10.1007/ s10584- 007- 9377-6
5. Dean A, Voss D (1999) Design and analysis of experiments. Springer Verlag, New York, NY
6. Fowler HJ, Ekström M, Blenkinsop S, Smith AP (2007) Estimating change in extreme European precipitation using a multimodel ensemble. J Geophys Res 112: D18104 doi: 10. 1029/2007JD008619
7. Held IM, Soden BJ (2006) Robust responses of the hydro - logi cal cycle to global warming. J Clim 19: 5686-5699 (Pubitemid 44817044)
8. Higgins RW, Shi W, Yarosh E (2000) Improved United States precipitation quality control system and analysis. NCEP/Climate Prediction Center Atlas No. 7. US Department of Commerce, NOAA, National Weather Service, Camp Springs, MD. Available at: www.cpc.ncep. noaa. gov/ research-papers/ncep-cpc-atlas/7/index. html
9. IPCC (2001) Climate change 2001: The scientific basis-contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
10. IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007: The scientific basis-contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, New York, NY
11. Jiang X, Wiedinmyer C, Chen F, Yang ZL, Lo JCF (2008) Predicted impacts of climate and land use change on surface ozone in the Houston, Texas area. J Geophys Res 113: D20312
12. Johns TC, Gregory JM, Ingram WJ, Johnson CE and others (2003) Anthropogenic climate change for 1860 to 2100 simulated with the HadCM3 model under updated emissions scenarios. Clim Dyn 20: 583-612 doi: 10.1007/ s00382-002-0296-y (Pubitemid 36669603)
13. Kalnay E, Cai M (2003) Impact of urbanization and land-use change on climate. Nature 423: 528-531 (Pubitemid 36648574)
14. Karl TR, Trenberth KE (2003) Modern global climate change. Science 302: 1719-1723 (Pubitemid 37505728)
15. Kidson JW, Thompson CS (1998) A comparison of statistical and model-based downscaling techniques for estimating local climate variations. J Clim 11: 735-753 (Pubitemid 28392579)
16. Liang XZ, Pan J, Zhu J, Kunkel KE, Wang JXL, Dai A (2006) Regional climate model downscaling of the U.S. summer climate and future change. J Geophys Res 111: D10108 doi:10.1029/2005JD006685 (Pubitemid 44043247)
17. Liang XZ, Kunkel KE, Meehl GA, Jones RG, Wang JXL (2008) Regional climate models downscaling analysis of general circulation models present climate biases propagation into future change projections. Geophys Res Lett 35: L08709 doi:10.1029/2007GL032849
18. Lo JCF, Yang ZL, Pielke RA (2008) Assessment of three dynamical climate downscaling methods using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. J Geophys Res 113: D09112 doi: 10.1029/2007JD009216
19. Loaiciga HA, Maidment DR, Valdes JB (2000) Climatechange impacts in a regional karst aquifer, Texas, USA. J Hydrol (Amst) 227: 173-194 (Pubitemid 30104926)
20. Madden RA, Williams J (1978) The correlation between temperature and precipitation in the United States and Europe. Mon Weather Rev 106: 142-147
21. Maurer EP (2007) Uncertainty in hydrologic impacts of climate change in the Sierra Nevada Mountains, California under two emissions scenarios. Clim Change 82: 309-325 (Pubitemid 46606967)
22. Mearns LO, Rosenzweig C, Goldberg R (1997) Mean and variance change in climate scenarios: Methods, agricultural applications, and measures of uncertainty. Clim Change 35: 367-396
23. Mearns LO, Bogardi I, Giorgi F, Matyasovszky I, Palecki M (1999) Comparison of climate change scenarios gen - erated from regional climate model experiments and statistical downscaling. J Geophys Res 104(D6): 6603-6621 (Pubitemid 29346262)
24. Mearns LO, Gutowski WJ, Jones R, Leung LY, McGinnis S, Nunes AMB, Qian Y (2009) A regional climate change assessment program for North America. EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 90: 311-312
25. Meehl GA, Covey C, Delworth T, Latif M and others (2007) The WCRP CMIP3 multi-model dataset: A new era in climate change research. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 88: 1383-1394 (Pubitemid 47616759)
26. Mesinger F, DiMego G, Kalnay E, Mitchell K and others (2006) North American regional reanalysis. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 87: 343-360
27. Mishra AK, Singh VP (2010) Changes in extreme precipitation in Texas. J Geophys Res 115: D14106 doi:10.1029/ 2009 JD013398
28. Murphy J (1999) An evaluation of statistical and dynamical techniques for downscaling local climate. J Clim 12: 2256-2284 (Pubitemid 30024925)
29. Nakicenovic N, Alcamo J, Davis G, de Vries B and others (2000) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change special report on emissions scenarios. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
30. Patz JA, Campbell-Lendrum D, Holloway T, Foley JA (2005) Impact of regional climate change on human health. Nature 438: 310-317 (Pubitemid 41643942)
31. Schmidli J, Goodess CM, Frei C, Haylock MR, Hundecha Y, Ribalaygua J, Schmith T (2007) Statistical and dynamical downscaling of precipitation: An evaluation and compar- ison of scenarios for the European Alps. J Geophys Res 112: D04105 doi:10.1029/2005JD007026 (Pubitemid 47489829)
32. Seager R, Ting M, Held I, Kushnir Y and others (2007) Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America. Science 316: 1181-1184 (Pubitemid 46877478)
33. Walther GR, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A and others (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416: 389-395 (Pubitemid 34272866)
34. Wentz FJ, Ricciardulli L, Hilburn K, Mears C (2007) How much more rain will global warming bring? Science 317: 233-235 (Pubitemid 47076196)
35. Wilby RL, Wigley TML (1997) Downscaling general circulation model output: A review of methods and limitations. Prog Phys Geogr 21: 530-548
36. Wood AW, Maurer EP, Kumar A, Lettenmaier DP (2002) Long-range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States. J Geophys Res 107(D20): 4429 doi:10. 1029/ 2001 JD000659
37. Wood AW, Leung LR, Sridhar V, Lettenmaier DP (2004) Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs. Clim Change 62: 189-216 (Pubitemid 38300001)