Predicted impacts of climate and land use change on surface ozone in the Houston, Texas, area

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres

Volumn 113, Issue 20, 2008, Pages

  Jiang, Xiaoyan ^a   Wiedinmyer, Christine ^b   Chen, Fei ^b   Yang, Zong Liang ^a   Lo, Jeff Chun Fung ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN   (United States)

^b NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY; ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; LAND USE; OZONE LAYER; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE MODELING; COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONCENTRATION (COMPOSITION); LAND USE CHANGE; OZONE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

HOUSTON; NORTH AMERICA; TEXAS; UNITED STATES;

EID: 58149267668     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2008JD009820     Document Type: Article

References (78)

1. Aw, J., and M. J. Kleeman (2003), Evaluating the first-order effect of intraannual temperature variability on urban air pollution, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D12), 4365, doi:10.1029/2002JD002688.
2. Bossioli, E., M. Tombrou, A. Dandou, and N. Soulakellis (2007), Simulation of the effects of critical factors on ozone formation and accumulation in the greater Athens area, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D02309, doi:10.1029/2006JD007185.
3. Byun, D. W., et al. (2005), Estimation of biogenic emissions with satellite-derived land use and land cover data for air quality modeling of Houston-Galveston ozone nonattainment area, J. Environ. Manage., 75(4), 285-301, doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2004.10.009.
4. Chen, F., and J. Dudhia (2001), Coupling an advanced land-surface/ hydrology model with the Penn State/NCAR MM5 modeling system. Part I: Model description and implementation, Mon. Weather Rev., 129, 569-585, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<0569:CAALSH>2.0.CO;2.
5. Chen, F., H. Kusaka, M. Tewari, J.-W. Bao, and H. Hirakuchi (2004), Utilizing the coupled WRF/LSM/Urban modeling system with detailed urban classification to simulate the urban heat island phenomena over the greater Houston area, paper presented at Fifth Conference on Urban Environment, Am. Meteorol. Soc., Vancouver, B. C., Canada.
6. Chen, F., M. Tewari, H. Kusaka, and T. T. Warner (2006), Current status of urban modeling in the community Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model, paper presented at Sixth Symposium on the Urban Environment and AMS Forum: Managing our Physical and Natural Resources: Successes and Challenges, Am. Meteorol. Soc., Atlanta, Ga.
7. Civerolo, K. L., G. Sistla, S. T. Rao, and D. J. Nowak (2000), The effects of land use in meteorological modeling: Implications for assessment of future air quality scenarios, Atmos. Environ., 34(10), 1615-1621, doi:10.1016/S1352-2310(99)00393-3.
8. Civerolo, K. L., et al. (2007), Estimating the effects of increased urbanization on surface meteorology and ozone concentrations in the New York City metropolitan region, Atmos. Environ., 41, 1803-1818, doi:10.1016/j.atinosenv.2006.10.076.
9. Collins, W. D., et al. (2006), Radiative forcing by well-mixed greenhouse gases: Estimates from climate models in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), J. Geophys. Res., 111, D14317, doi:10.1029/2005JD006713.
10. Dabberdt, W. F., et al. (2004), Meteorological research needs for improved air quality forecasting: Report of the 11th Prospectus Development Team of the U.S. Weather Research Program, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 85(4), 563-586, doi:10.1175/BAMS-85-4-563.
11. Dawson, J. P., P. J. Adams, and S. N. Pandis (2007), Sensitivity of ozone to summertime climate in the eastern USA: A modeling case study, Atmos. Environ., 41, 1494-1511, doi:10.1016 /j.atmosenv.2006.10.033.
12. Dudhia, J. (1989), Numerical study of convection observed during the winter monsoon experiment using a mesoscale two-dimensional model, J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 3077-3107, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1989)046<3077: NSOCOD>2.0.CO;2.
13. Eisele, F. L., G. H. Mount, F. C. Felisenfeld, J. Harder, E. Marovich, D. D. Parrish, J. Roberts, M. Trainer, and D. Tanner (1994), Intercomparison of tropospheric OH and ancillary trace gas measurements at Fritz Peak Observatory, Colorado, J. Geophys. Res., 99 (D9), 18,605-18,626, doi:10.1029/94JD00740.
14. Ek, M. B., K. E. Mitchell, Y. Lin, E. Rogers, P. Grumnann, V. Koren, G. Gayno, and J. D. Tarpley (2003), Implementation of Noah land surface model advances in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction operational mesoscale Eta model, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D22), 8851, doi:10.1029/2002JD003296.
15. Fast, J. D., and W. E. Heilman (2005), Simulated sensitivity of seasonal ozone exposure in the Great Lakes region to changes in anthropogenic emissions in the presence of interannual variability, Atmos. Environ., 39(29), 5291-5306, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.05.032.
16. Fast, J. D., W. I. Gustafson Jr., R. C. Easter, R. A. Zaveri, J. C. Barnard, E. G. Chapman, G. A. Grell, and S. E. Peckham (2006), Evolution of ozone, particulates, and aerosol direct radiative forcing in the vicinity of Houston using a fully coupled meteorology-chemistry-aerosol model, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D21305, doi:10.1029/2005JD006721.
17. Fiore, A. M., D. J. Jacob, I. Bey, R. M. Yantosca, B. D. Field, A. C. Fusco, and J. G. Wilkinson (2002), Background ozone over the United States in summer: Origin, trend, and contribution to pollution episodes, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D15), 4275, doi:10.1029/2001JD000982.
18. Fiore, A. M., et al. (2005), Evaluating the contribution of changes in isoprene emissions to surface ozone trends over the eastern United States, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D12303, doi:10.1029/2004JD005485.
19. Forkel, R., and R. Knoche (2006), Regional climate change and its impact on photooxidant concentrations in southern Germany: Simulations with a coupled regional climate-chemistry model, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D12302, doi:10.1029/2005JD006748.
20. Friedl, M. A., et al. (2002), Global land cover mapping from MODIS: Algorithms and early results, Remote Sens. Environ., 83, 287-302, doi:10.1016/S0034-4257(02)00078-0.
21. Geron, C. D., A. B. Guenther, and T. E. Pierce (1994), An improved model for estimating emissions of volatile organic compounds from forests in the eastern United States, J. Geophys. Res., 99(D6), 12,773-12,792, doi:10.1029/94JD00246.
22. Grell, G. A., J. Dudhia, and D. R. Stauffer (1994), A description of the fifth- generation Penn State/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5), NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN-398+STR, 117 pp., Natl. Cent. Atmos. Res., Boulder, Colo.
23. Grell, G. A., S. E. Peckham, R. Schmitzc, S. A. McKeenb, G. Frostb, W C. Skamarockd, and B. Eder (2005), Fully coupled "online" chemistry within the WRF model, Atmos. Environ., 39, 6957-6975, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.04.027.
24. Grossman-Clarke, S., et al. (2005), Urban modifications in a mesoscale meteorological model and the effects on near-surface variables in an arid metropolitan region, J. Appl. Meteorol., 44(9), 1281-1297, doi:10.1175/JAM2286.1.
25. Guenther, A., et al. (1995), A global model of natural volatile organic compound emissions, J. Geophys. Res., 100(D5), 8873-8892, doi:10.1029/94JD02950.
26. Hogrefe, C., B. Lynn, K. Civerolo, J.-Y. Ku, J. Rosenthal, C. Rosenzweig, R. Goldberg, S. Gaffin, K. Knowlton, and P. L. Kinney (2004), Simulating changes in regional air pollution over the eastern United States due to changes in global and regional climate and emissions, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D22301, doi:10.1029 /2004JD004690.
27. Holt, T., and J. Pullen (2007), Urban canopy modeling of the New York City metropolitan area: A comparison and validation of single- and multilayer parameterizations, Mon. Weather Rev., 135(5), 1906-1930, doi:10.1175/MWR3372.1.
28. Hong, S. Y., and H. L. Pan (1996), Nonlocal boundary layer vertical diffusion in a medium range forecast model, Mon. Weather Rev, 124, 2322-2339, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1996)124<2322:NBLVDI>2.0.CO;2.
29. Hong, S.-Y., J. Dudhia, and S.-H. Chen (2004), A revised approach to ice microphysical processes for the bulk parameterization of clouds and precipitation, Mon. Weather Rev., 132, 103-120, doi:10.1175/ 1520-0493 (2004)132<0103:ARATIM>2.0.CO;2.
30. Horowitz, L. W., A. M. Fiore, G. P. Milly, R. C. Cohen, A. Petting, P. J. Wooldridge, P. G. Hess, L. K. Emmons, and J.-F. Lamarque (2007), Observational constraints on the chemistry of isoprene nitrates over the eastern United States, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D12S08, doi:10.1029/ 2006JD007747.
31. Inoue, E. (1963), On the turbulent structure of air flow within crop canopies, J. Met. Soc. Jpn., 41(6), 317-326.
32. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2001), Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis - Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by J. T. Houghton et al., 881 pp., Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.
33. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2007), Climate Change 2007: The Scientific Basis - Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by S. Solomon et al., Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.
34. Jiang, G. F., and J. D. Fast (2004), Modeling the effects of VOC and NOx emission sources on ozone formation in Houston during the TexAQS 2000 field campaign, Atmos. Environ., 38(30), 5071-5085, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2004.06.012.
35. Jimenez, P., et al. (2006), Evaluation of MM5-EMICAT2000-CMAQ performance and sensitivity in complex terrain: High-resolution application to the northeastern Iberian Peninsula, Atmos. Environ., 40(26), 5056-5072, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.12.060.
36. Kinnee, E., C. Geron, and T. Pierce (1997), United States land use inventory for estimation biogenic ozone precursor emissions, Ecol. Appl., 7, 46-58, doi:10.1890/1051-0761(1997)007[0046:USLUIF]2.0.CO;2.
37. Kusaka, H., and F. Kimura (2004a), Thermal effects of urban canyon structure on the nocturnal heat island: Numerical experiment using a mesoscale model coupled with an urban canopy model, J. Appl. Meteorol., 43, 1899-1910, doi:10.1175/JAM2169.1.
38. Kusaka, H., and F. Kimura (2004b), Coupling a single-layer urban canopy model with a simple atmospheric model: Impact of urban heat island simulation for an idealized case, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 82, 67-80, doi:10.2151/jmsj.82.67.
39. Kusaka, H., H. Kondo, Y. Kikegawa, and F. Kimura (2001), A simple single-layer urban canopy model for atmospheric models: Comparison with multi-layer and slab models, Boundary Layer Meteorol., 101, 329-359, doi:10.1023/A:1019207923078.
40. Lamb, R. G. (1988), Diagnostic studies of ozone in the northeastern United States based on application of the Regional Oxidant Model (ROM), in The Scientific and Technical Issues Facing Post-1987 Ozone Control Strategies, edited by G. T. Wolff, J. L. Hanisch, and K. Schere, Air Waste Manage. Assoc., Pittsburgh, Pa.
41. Leung, L. R., and W. I. Gustafson Jr. (2005), Potential regional climate change and implications to U.S. air quality, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L16711, doi:10.1029/2005GL022911.
42. Li, G., R. Zhang, J. Fan, and X. Tie (2007), Impacts of biogenic emissions on photochemical ozone production in Houston, Texas, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D10309, doi:10.1029/2006JD007924.
43. Liao, H., W.-T. Chen, and J. H. Seinfeld (2006), Role of climate change in global predictions of future tropospheric ozone and aerosol, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D12304, doi:10.1029/2005JD006852.
44. Lin, W. S., et al. (2007), A numerical study of the influence of urban expansion on monthly climate in dry autumn over the Pearl River Delta, China, Theor Appl. Climatol., 89(1-2), 63-72, doi:10.1007/ s00704006-0244-6.
45. Liu, Y., F. Chen, T. Warner, and J. Basara (2006), Verification of a mesoscale data-assimilation and forecasting system for the Oklahoma City area during the Joint Urban 2003 field project, J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol., 45, 912-929, doi:10.1175/JAM2383.1.
46. Lo, J. C. F., A. K. H. Lau, F. Chen, J. C. H. Fung, and K. K. M. Leung (2007), Urban modification in a mesoscale model and the effects on the local circulation in the Pearl River Delta region, J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol., 46, 457-476, doi:10.1175/JAM2477.1.
47. Madronich, S. (1987), Photodissociation in the atmosphere: I. Actinic flux and the effects of ground reflections and clouds, J. Geophys. Res., 92, 9740-9752, doi:10.1029/JD092iD08p09740.
48. Martin, R. V., D. J. Jacob, R. M. Yantoscal M. Chin, and P. Ginoux (2003), Global and regional decreases in tropospheric oxidants from photochemical effects of aerosols, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D3), 4097, doi:10.1029/2002JD002622.
49. McKeen, S. A., et al. (1997), Photochemical modeling of hydroxyl and its relationship to other species during the Tropospheric OH Photochemistry Experiment, J. Geophys. Res., 102(D5), 6467-6494, doi:10.1029/ 96JD03322.
50. McKeen, S. A., et al. (2002), Ozone production from Canadian wildfires during June and July of 1995, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D14), 4192, doi:10.1029/2001JD000697.
51. Meehl, G. A., et al. (2006), Climate change projections for the twenty-first century and climate change commitment in the CCSM3, J. Clim., 19(11), 2597-2616, doi:10.1175/JCLI3746.1.
52. Mickley, L. J., D. J. Jacob, B. D. Field, and D. Rind (2004), Effects of future climate change on regional air pollution episodes in the United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L24103, doi:10.1029/2004GL021216.
53. Mlawer, E. J., S. J. Taubman, P. D. Brown, M. J. Iacono, and S. A. Clough (1997), Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave, J. Geophys. Res., 102(D14), 16,663-16,682, doi:10.1029/97JD00237.
54. Murazaki, K., and P. Hess (2006), How does climate change contribute to surface ozone change over the United States?, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05301, doi:10.1029/2005JD005973.
55. Nam, J., Y. Kimura, W. Vizuete, C. Murphy, and D. T. Allen (2606), Modeling the impacts of emission events on ozone formation in Houston, Texas, Atmos. Environ., 40, 5329-5341, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv. 2006.05.002.
56. Ordonez, C., H. Methis, M. Furger, S. Henne, C. Huglin, J. Stachelin, and A. S. H. Prevot (2005), Changes of daily surface ozone maxima in Switzerland in all seasons from 1992 to 2002 and discussion of summer 2003, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, 1187-1203.
57. Prather, M., et al. (2003), Fresh air in the 21st century?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(2), 1100, doi:10.1029/2002GL016285.
58. Racherla, P. N., and P. J. Adams (2006), Sensitivity of global tropospheric ozone and fine particulate matter concentrations to climate change, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D24103, doi:10.1029/2005JD006939.
59. Rao, S. T., J. Y. Ku, S. Berman, D. Zhang, and H. Mao (2003), Summer-time characteristics of the atmospheric boundary layer and relationships to ozone levels over the eastern United States, Pure Appl. Geophys., 160, 21-55, doi:10.1007/s00024-003-8764-9.
60. Schere, K. L., and R. A. Wayland (1989), EPA Regional Oxidant Model (ROM2.0): Evaluation on 1980 NEROS Data Bases, Rep. EPA-600/3-89 /057, Research Triangle Park, N. C.
61. Sillman, S., and P. J. Samson (1995), Impact of temperature on oxidant photochemistry in urban, polluted rural and remote environments, J. Geophys. Res., 100(D6), 11,497-11,508, doi:10.1029/94JD02146.
62. Singh, H. B., et al. (1995), Relationship between peroxyacetyl nitrate and nitrogen oxides in the clean troposphere, Nature, 318, 347-349, doi:10.1038/318347a0.
63. Skamarock, W. C., J. B. Klemp, J. Dudhia, D. O. Gill, D. M. Barker, W. Wang, and J. D. Powers (2005), A description of the Advanced Research WRF version 2, Tech. Rep. TN-468+STR, 88 pp., Natl. Cent. Atmos. Res., Boulder, Colo.
64. Stockwell, W. R., P. Middleton, J. S. Chang, and X. Tang (1990), The second generation regional acid deposition model chemical mechanism for regional air quality modeling, J. Geophys. Res., 95(D10), 16,343-16,367, doi:10.1029/JD095iD10p16343.
65. Taha, H. (1996), Modeling the impacts of increased urban vegetation on the ozone air quality in the South Coast Air Basin, Atmos. Environ., 30(20), 3423-3430, doi:10.1016/1352-2310(96)00035-0.
66. Taha, H., S. Konopacki, and H. Akbari (1998), Impacts of lowered urban air temperatures on precursor emission and ozone air quality, J. Air Waste Manage. Assoc., 48, 860-865.
67. Tao, Z., A. Williams, H.-C. Huang, M. Caughey, and X.-Z. Liang (2007), Sensitivity of U.S. surface ozone to future emissions and climate changes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L08811, doi:10.1029 /2007GL029455.
68. Tao, Z. N., et al. (2004), Sensitivity of regional ozone concentrations to temporal distribution of emissions, Atmos. Environ., 38(37), 6279-6285, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2004.08.042.
69. Tie, X., G. Brasseur, L. Emmons, L. Horowitz, and D. Kinnison (2001), Effects of aerosols on tropospheric oxidants: A global model study, J. Geophys. Res., 106(D19),22,931-22,964, doi:10.1029 /2001JD900206.
70. Theobald, D. (2005), Landscape patterns of exurban growth in the USA from 1980 to 2020, Ecol. Soc., 10(1), 32.
71. Tokairin, T., H. Kondo, H. Yoshikado, Y. Genchi, and T. Ihara (2006), Numerical study on the effect of buildings on temperature variation in urban and suburban areas in Tokyo, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 84(5), 921-937, doi:10.2151/jmsj.84.921.
72. Wang, X. M., W. S. Lin, L. M. Yang, R. R. Deng, and H. Lin (2007), A numerical study of influences of urban land use change on ozone distribution over the Pearl River Delta region, China, Tellus, Ser. B, 59(3), 633-641, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00271.x.
73. Weng, Q., et al. (2006), Urban air pollution patterns, land use, and thermal landscape: An examination of the linkage using GIS, Environ. Monit. Assess., 117(1-3), 463-489, doi:10.1007/s10661-006-0888-9.
74. Wert, B. P., et al. (2003), Signatures of terminal alkene oxidation in airborne formaldehyde measurements during TexAQS 2000, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D3), 4104, doi:10.1029/2002JD002502.
75. Wigley, T. M. L., S. J. Smith, and M. J. Prather (2002), Radiative forcing due to reactive gas emissions, J. Clim., 15(18), 2690-2696, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2690:RFDTRG>2.0.CO;2.
76. Williams, E. J., A. Guenther, and F. C. Fehsenfeld (1992), An inventory of nitric oxide emissions from solids in the United States, J. Geophys. Res., 97(D7), 7511-7519.
77. Wu, S., L. J. Mickley, E. M. Leibensperger, D. J. Jacob, D. Rind, and D. G. Streets (2008), Effects of 2000-2050 global change on ozone air quality in the United States, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D06302, doi:10.1029/20071D008917.
78. Zhang, F., N. Bei, J. W. Nielsen-Gammon, G. Li, R. Zhang, A. Stuart, and A. Aksoy (2007), Impacts of meteorological uncertainties on ozone pollution predictability estimated through meteorological and photochemical ensemble forecasts, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D04304, doi:10.1029/2006JD007429.