메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 42-44, Issue , 2012, Pages 21-30

Model uncertainty analysis by variance decomposition

Author keywords

Heteroscedasticity; Model error; River model; Serial dependence; Sewer model; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

HETEROSCEDASTICITY; MODEL ERRORS; RIVER MODEL; SERIAL DEPENDENCE; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 84860167407     PISSN: 14747065     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.pce.2011.07.003     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (30)

References (42)
  • 1
    • 0035452259 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of imperfect rainfall knowledge on the efficiency and the parameters of watershed models
    • Andreassian V., Perrin C., Michel C., Usart-Sanchez I., Lavabre J. Impact of imperfect rainfall knowledge on the efficiency and the parameters of watershed models. J. Hydrol. 2001, 250(1-4):206-223.
    • (2001) J. Hydrol. , vol.250 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 206-223
    • Andreassian, V.1    Perrin, C.2    Michel, C.3    Usart-Sanchez, I.4    Lavabre, J.5
  • 2
    • 0033762270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uniqueness of place and process representations in hydrological modelling
    • Beven K.J. Uniqueness of place and process representations in hydrological modelling. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2000, 4(2):203-213.
    • (2000) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.4 , Issue.2 , pp. 203-213
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 3
    • 0027009437 scopus 로고
    • The future of distributed models-model calibration and uncertainty prediction
    • Beven K.J., Binley A.M. The future of distributed models-model calibration and uncertainty prediction. Hydrol. Process. 1992, 6(3):279-298.
    • (1992) Hydrol. Process. , vol.6 , Issue.3 , pp. 279-298
    • Beven, K.J.1    Binley, A.M.2
  • 4
    • 0000133998 scopus 로고
    • An analysis of transformations
    • (discussion 244-252)
    • Box G.E.P., Cox D.R. An analysis of transformations. J. Royal Stat. Soc. Series B 1964, 211-243. (discussion 244-252).
    • (1964) J. Royal Stat. Soc. Series B , pp. 211-243
    • Box, G.E.P.1    Cox, D.R.2
  • 5
    • 79961126034 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent developments in predictive uncertainty assessment based on the model conditional processor approach
    • Coccia G., Todini E. Recent developments in predictive uncertainty assessment based on the model conditional processor approach. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. 2010, 7:9219-9270.
    • (2010) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. , vol.7 , pp. 9219-9270
    • Coccia, G.1    Todini, E.2
  • 6
    • 78149411358 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in water quality modeling: the applicability of variance decomposition approach
    • Freni G., Mannina G. Uncertainty in water quality modeling: the applicability of variance decomposition approach. J. Hydrol. 2010, 394(3-4):324-333.
    • (2010) J. Hydrol. , vol.394 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 324-333
    • Freni, G.1    Mannina, G.2
  • 7
    • 67349206153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Urban runoff modelling uncertainty: comparison among Bayesian and pseudo-Bayesian methods
    • Freni G., Mannina G., Viviani G. Urban runoff modelling uncertainty: comparison among Bayesian and pseudo-Bayesian methods. Environ. Modell. Softw. 2009, 24(9):1100-1111.
    • (2009) Environ. Modell. Softw. , vol.24 , Issue.9 , pp. 1100-1111
    • Freni, G.1    Mannina, G.2    Viviani, G.3
  • 8
    • 33846829888 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis for a watershed model
    • Gallagher M., Doherty J. Parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis for a watershed model. Environ. Modell. Softw. 2007, 22(7):1000-1020.
    • (2007) Environ. Modell. Softw. , vol.22 , Issue.7 , pp. 1000-1020
    • Gallagher, M.1    Doherty, J.2
  • 9
    • 84860118334 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of uncertainty in application of integrated urban water modeling
    • Proceedings of the IMUG Conference, Integrated Modelling User Group (IMUG), Tilburg, 23-25 April 2003.
    • Harremoës, P., 2003. The role of uncertainty in application of integrated urban water modeling. In: Proceedings of the IMUG Conference, Integrated Modelling User Group (IMUG), Tilburg, 23-25 April 2003.
    • (2003)
    • Harremoës, P.1
  • 10
    • 56449107067 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model output uncertainty of a coupled pathogen indicator-hydrologic catchment model due to input data uncertainty
    • Haydon S., Deletic A. Model output uncertainty of a coupled pathogen indicator-hydrologic catchment model due to input data uncertainty. Environ. Modell. Softw. 2009, 24(3):322-328.
    • (2009) Environ. Modell. Softw. , vol.24 , Issue.3 , pp. 322-328
    • Haydon, S.1    Deletic, A.2
  • 11
    • 33744932433 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameter estimation in stochastic rainfall-runoff models
    • Jonsdottira H., Madsen H., Palsson O.P. Parameter estimation in stochastic rainfall-runoff models. J. Hydrol. 2006, 326(1-4):379-393.
    • (2006) J. Hydrol. , vol.326 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 379-393
    • Jonsdottira, H.1    Madsen, H.2    Palsson, O.P.3
  • 12
    • 63149190405 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identification of hydrological trends in the presence of serial and cross correlations: a review of selected methods and their application to annual flow regimes of Canadian rivers
    • Khaliq M.N., Ouarda T.B.M.J., Gachon P., Sushama L., St-Hilaire A. Identification of hydrological trends in the presence of serial and cross correlations: a review of selected methods and their application to annual flow regimes of Canadian rivers. J. Hydrol. 2009, 368(1-4):117-130.
    • (2009) J. Hydrol. , vol.368 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 117-130
    • Khaliq, M.N.1    Ouarda, T.B.M.J.2    Gachon, P.3    Sushama, L.4    St-Hilaire, A.5
  • 13
    • 0024163428 scopus 로고
    • On the validity of first-order prediction limits for conceptual hydrologic models
    • Kuczera G. On the validity of first-order prediction limits for conceptual hydrologic models. J. Hydrol. 1988, 103:229-247.
    • (1988) J. Hydrol. , vol.103 , pp. 229-247
    • Kuczera, G.1
  • 14
    • 0032214428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo assessment of parameter uncertainty in conceptual catchment models: the Metropolis algorithm
    • Kuczera G., Parent E. Monte Carlo assessment of parameter uncertainty in conceptual catchment models: the Metropolis algorithm. J. Hydrol. 1998, 211:69-85.
    • (1998) J. Hydrol. , vol.211 , pp. 69-85
    • Kuczera, G.1    Parent, E.2
  • 15
    • 33750474092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards a Bayesian total error analysis of coneptual rainfall-runoff models: characterising model error using storm-dependent parameters
    • Kuczera G., Kavetski D., Franks S., Thyer M. Towards a Bayesian total error analysis of coneptual rainfall-runoff models: characterising model error using storm-dependent parameters. J. Hydrol. 2006, 331:161-177.
    • (2006) J. Hydrol. , vol.331 , pp. 161-177
    • Kuczera, G.1    Kavetski, D.2    Franks, S.3    Thyer, M.4
  • 16
    • 0032920124 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the use of " goodness-of-fit" measures in hydrologic and hydroclimate model validation
    • Legates D.R., McCabe G.J. Evaluating the use of " goodness-of-fit" measures in hydrologic and hydroclimate model validation. Water Resour. Res. 1999, 35(1):233-241.
    • (1999) Water Resour. Res. , vol.35 , Issue.1 , pp. 233-241
    • Legates, D.R.1    McCabe, G.J.2
  • 17
    • 33748808177 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: incoherence of the GLUE methodology
    • Mantovan P., Todini E. Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: incoherence of the GLUE methodology. J. Hydrol. 2006, 330:368-381.
    • (2006) J. Hydrol. , vol.330 , pp. 368-381
    • Mantovan, P.1    Todini, E.2
  • 18
    • 0025161751 scopus 로고
    • A reliability estimation in modeling watershed runoff with uncertainties
    • Melching C.S., Yen B.C., Wenzel H.G. A reliability estimation in modeling watershed runoff with uncertainties. Water Resour. Res. 1990, 26(10):2275-2286.
    • (1990) Water Resour. Res. , vol.26 , Issue.10 , pp. 2275-2286
    • Melching, C.S.1    Yen, B.C.2    Wenzel, H.G.3
  • 19
    • 33947533125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What do we mean by 'uncertainty'? The need for a consistent wording about uncertainty assessment in hydrology
    • Montanari A. What do we mean by 'uncertainty'? The need for a consistent wording about uncertainty assessment in hydrology. Hydrol. Process. 2007, 21(6):841-845.
    • (2007) Hydrol. Process. , vol.21 , Issue.6 , pp. 841-845
    • Montanari, A.1
  • 20
    • 60349083109 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties on mean areal precipitation: assessment and impact on streamflow simulations
    • Moulin L., Gaume E., Obled C. Uncertainties on mean areal precipitation: assessment and impact on streamflow simulations. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2009, 13:99-114.
    • (2009) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.13 , pp. 99-114
    • Moulin, L.1    Gaume, E.2    Obled, C.3
  • 21
    • 44449154918 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Underestimation of uncertainty in statistical regression of environmental models: influence of model structure uncertainty
    • Neumann M.B., Gujer W. Underestimation of uncertainty in statistical regression of environmental models: influence of model structure uncertainty. Environ. Sci. Technol. 2008, 42(11):4037-4043.
    • (2008) Environ. Sci. Technol. , vol.42 , Issue.11 , pp. 4037-4043
    • Neumann, M.B.1    Gujer, W.2
  • 22
    • 33748415971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis for river water quality modelling
    • Radwan M., Willems P., Berlamont J. Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis for river water quality modelling. J. Hydroinform. 2004, 06.2:83-99.
    • (2004) J. Hydroinform. , pp. 83-99
    • Radwan, M.1    Willems, P.2    Berlamont, J.3
  • 24
    • 72149112778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analyzing input and structural uncertainty of nonlinear dynamic models with stochastic, time-dependent parameters
    • Reichert P., Mieleitner J. Analyzing input and structural uncertainty of nonlinear dynamic models with stochastic, time-dependent parameters. Water Resour. Res. 2009, 45:W10402.
    • (2009) Water Resour. Res. , vol.45
    • Reichert, P.1    Mieleitner, J.2
  • 25
    • 78649960487 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disentangling uncertainties in distributed hydrological modeling using multiplicative error models and sequential data assimilation
    • Salamon P., Feyen L. Disentangling uncertainties in distributed hydrological modeling using multiplicative error models and sequential data assimilation. Water Resour. Res. 2010, 46:W12501.
    • (2010) Water Resour. Res. , vol.46
    • Salamon, P.1    Feyen, L.2
  • 26
    • 78650532321 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How to avoid a perfunctory sensitivity analysis
    • Saltelli A., Annoni P. How to avoid a perfunctory sensitivity analysis. Environ. Modell. Softw. 2010, 25:1508-1517.
    • (2010) Environ. Modell. Softw. , vol.25 , pp. 1508-1517
    • Saltelli, A.1    Annoni, P.2
  • 27
    • 0030435931 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adjustment of tipping-bucket precipitation gauge measurements
    • Sevruk B. Adjustment of tipping-bucket precipitation gauge measurements. Atmos. Res. 1996, 42:237-246.
    • (1996) Atmos. Res. , vol.42 , pp. 237-246
    • Sevruk, B.1
  • 28
    • 0000807470 scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity estimates for nonlinear mathematical models
    • Sobol' I.M. Sensitivity estimates for nonlinear mathematical models. Matematicheskoe Modelirovanie 1990, 2:112-118.
    • (1990) Matematicheskoe Modelirovanie , vol.2 , pp. 112-118
    • Sobol', I.M.1
  • 29
    • 0034794967 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian recursive parameter estimation for hydrologic models
    • Thiemann T., Trosset M., Gupta H., Sorooshian S. Bayesian recursive parameter estimation for hydrologic models. Water Resour. Res. 2001, 37(10):2521-2535.
    • (2001) Water Resour. Res. , vol.37 , Issue.10 , pp. 2521-2535
    • Thiemann, T.1    Trosset, M.2    Gupta, H.3    Sorooshian, S.4
  • 30
    • 37349072243 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic modeling of overflow, surcharge, and flooding in urban drainage using the First Order Reliability Method and parameterization of local rain series
    • Thorndahl S., Willems P. Probabilistic modeling of overflow, surcharge, and flooding in urban drainage using the First Order Reliability Method and parameterization of local rain series. Water Res. 2008, 42:455-466.
    • (2008) Water Res. , vol.42 , pp. 455-466
    • Thorndahl, S.1    Willems, P.2
  • 31
    • 45549099666 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Event based uncertainty assessment in urban drainage modelling, applying the GLUE methodology
    • Thorndahl S., Beven K., Jensen J., Schaarup-Jensen K. Event based uncertainty assessment in urban drainage modelling, applying the GLUE methodology. J. Hydrol. 2008, 357(3-4):421-437.
    • (2008) J. Hydrol. , vol.357 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 421-437
    • Thorndahl, S.1    Beven, K.2    Jensen, J.3    Schaarup-Jensen, K.4
  • 32
    • 84860193002 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • River flooding analysis using quasi-2D hydraulic modelling and geospatial data
    • Ph.D. dissertation, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Faculty of Engineering, May 2007.
    • Timbe, L., 2007. River flooding analysis using quasi-2D hydraulic modelling and geospatial data. Ph.D. dissertation, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Faculty of Engineering, May 2007.
    • (2007)
    • Timbe, L.1
  • 34
    • 14944365603 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved treatment of uncertainty in hydrologic modelling: combining the strengths of global optimization and data assimilation
    • Vrugt J.A., Diks C.G.H., Gupta H.V., Bouten W., Verstraten J.M. Improved treatment of uncertainty in hydrologic modelling: combining the strengths of global optimization and data assimilation. Water Resour. Res. 2005, 41:W01017.
    • (2005) Water Resour. Res. , vol.41
    • Vrugt, J.A.1    Diks, C.G.H.2    Gupta, H.V.3    Bouten, W.4    Verstraten, J.M.5
  • 35
    • 0037442971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards reduced uncertainty in conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling: dynamic identifiability analysis
    • Wagener T., McIntyrire N., Lees M.J., Wheather H.S., Gupta H.V. Towards reduced uncertainty in conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling: dynamic identifiability analysis. Hydrol. Process. 2003, 17:455-476.
    • (2003) Hydrol. Process. , vol.17 , pp. 455-476
    • Wagener, T.1    McIntyrire, N.2    Lees, M.J.3    Wheather, H.S.4    Gupta, H.V.5
  • 36
    • 78751600863 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identification and classification of uncertainties in the application of environmental models
    • Warmink J.J., Janssen J.A.E.B., Booij M.J., Krol M.S. Identification and classification of uncertainties in the application of environmental models. Environ. Modell. Softw. 2010, 25:1518-1527.
    • (2010) Environ. Modell. Softw. , vol.25 , pp. 1518-1527
    • Warmink, J.J.1    Janssen, J.A.E.B.2    Booij, M.J.3    Krol, M.S.4
  • 37
    • 84857379461 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of predictive hydrological uncertainty using quantile regression: examples from the national flood forecasting system (England and Wales)
    • Weerts A.H., Winsemius H.C., Verkade J.S. Estimation of predictive hydrological uncertainty using quantile regression: examples from the national flood forecasting system (England and Wales). Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. 2010, 7:5547-5575.
    • (2010) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. , vol.7 , pp. 5547-5575
    • Weerts, A.H.1    Winsemius, H.C.2    Verkade, J.S.3
  • 38
    • 0035648266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic description of the rainfall input errors in lumped hydrological models
    • Willems P. Stochastic description of the rainfall input errors in lumped hydrological models. Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 2001, 15:132-152.
    • (2001) Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess. , vol.15 , pp. 132-152
    • Willems, P.1
  • 39
    • 33751038444 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Random number generator or sewer water quality model?
    • Willems P. Random number generator or sewer water quality model?. Water Sci. Technol. 2006, 54(6-7):387-394.
    • (2006) Water Sci. Technol. , vol.54 , Issue.6-7 , pp. 387-394
    • Willems, P.1
  • 40
    • 54049131688 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantification and relative comparison of different types of uncertainties in sewer water quality modelling
    • Willems P. Quantification and relative comparison of different types of uncertainties in sewer water quality modelling. Water Res. 2008, 42:3539-3551.
    • (2008) Water Res. , vol.42 , pp. 3539-3551
    • Willems, P.1
  • 41
    • 56449098374 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A time series tool to support the multi-criteria performance evaluation of rainfall-runoff models
    • Willems P. A time series tool to support the multi-criteria performance evaluation of rainfall-runoff models. Environ. Modell. Softw. 2009, 24(3):311-321.
    • (2009) Environ. Modell. Softw. , vol.24 , Issue.3 , pp. 311-321
    • Willems, P.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.