Evaluating the use of 'goodness-of-fit' measures in hydrologic and hydroclimatic model validation

Water Resources Research

Volumn 35, Issue 1, 1999, Pages 233-241

  Legates, David R ^a   McCabe Jr , Gregory J ^b,c  

^a LOUISIANA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b DENVER FEDERAL CENTER   (United States)

^c DENVER FEDERAL CENTER   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATOLOGY; CORRELATION METHODS; ERROR ANALYSIS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS;

HYDROCLIMATOLOGY;

HYDROLOGY;

HYDROLOGICAL MODEL; MODEL VALIDATION; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS;

EID: 0032920124     PISSN: 00431397     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/1998WR900018     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Burt, J. E., and G. M. Barber, Elementary Statistics for Geographers, 2nd ed., Guilford, New York, 1996.
2. Efron, B., Nonparametric estimates of standard error: The jackknife, the bootstrap, and other methods, Biometrika, 68, 589-599, 1981a.
3. Efron, B., Nonparametric standard errors and confidence intervals, Can. J. Stat., 9, 139-172, 1981b.
4. Efron, B., and G. Gong, A leisurely look at the bootstrap, the jackknife and cross-validation, Am. Stat., 37, 36-48, 1983.
5. Garrick, M., C. Cunnane, and J. E. Nash, A criterion of efficiency for rainfall-runoff models, J. Hydrol., 36, 375-381, 1978.
6. Hay, L. E., Stochastic calibration of an orographic precipitation model, Hydrol. Process., 12, 613-634, 1998.
7. Hegerl, G. C., H. von Storch, K. Hasselmann, B. D. Santer, U. Cubasch, and P. D. Jones, Detecting greenhouse gas-induced climate change with an optimal fingerprint method, J. Clim., 9, 2281-2306, 1996.
8. Jensen, M. E., and H. R. Haise, Estimating evapotranspiration from solar radiation, J. Irrig. Drain. Div., Am. Soc. Civ. Eng., 89, 15-41, 1963.
9. Kessler, E., and B. Neas, On correlation, with applications to the radar and raingage measurement of rainfall, Atmos. Res., 34, 217-229, 1994.
10. Kohler, M. A., T. J. Nordenson, and D. R. Baker, Evaporation maps for the United States, Plate 3, Tech. Pap. 37, Weather Bur., U.S. Dep. of Commer., Washington, D. C., 1959.
11. Leavesley, G. H., R. W. Lichty, B. M. Troutman, and L. G. Saindon, Precipitation-runoff modeling system user's manual, U.S. Geol. Sur. Water Resour. Invest. Rep. 83-4238, 207 pp., 1983.
12. Leavesley, G. H., M. D. Branson, and L. E. Hay, Using coupled atmospheric and hydrologic models to investigate the effects of climate change in mountainous regions, in Proceedings of the Symposium on Managing Water Resources During Global Change, pp. 691-700, Am. Water Resour. Assoc., Bethesda, Md., 1992.
13. Legates, D. R., and R. E. Davis, The continuing search for an anthropogenic climate change signal: Limitations of correlation-based approaches, Geophys. Res. Lett., 24, 2319-2322, 1997.
14. Legates, D. R., and J. R. Mather, An evaluation of the average annual water balance, Geogr. Rev., 82, 253-267, 1992.
15. McCabe, G. J., and L. E. Hay, Hydrological effects of hypothetical climate change in the East River Basin, Colorado, Hydrol. Sci. J., 40, 303-318, 1995.
16. McCabe, G. J., and R. A. Muller, An index of evaporation in southern Louisiana, Phys. Geogr., 8, 99-112, 1987.
17. McCuen, R. H., and W. M. Snyder, A proposed index for computing hydrographs, Water Resour. Res., 11, 1021-1024, 1975.
18. Moore, D. S., Statistics: Concepts and Controversies, 3rd ed., 439 pp., W. H. Freeman, New York, 1991.
19. Nash, J. E., and J. V. Sutcliffe, River flow forecasting through conceptual models, I, A discussion of principles, J. Hydrol., 10, 282-290, 1970.
20. Santer, B. D., K. E. Taylor, T. M. L. Wigley, J. E. Penner, P. D. Jones, and U. Cubasch, Towards the detection and attribution of an anthropogenic effect on climate, Clim. Dyn., 12, 77-100, 1995.
21. Santer, B. D., et al., A search for human influences on the thermal structure in the atmosphere, Nature, 382, 39-46, 1996.
22. Song, Z., and L. D. James, Calibration of a parametric-stochastic model, Hydrol. Sci. Technol., 6, 93-98, 1991.
23. Thornthwaite, C. W., An approach toward a rational classification of climate, Geogr. Rev., 38, 55-94, 1948.
24. Van Bavel, C. H. M., Potential evaporation: The combination concept and its experimental verification, Water Resour. Res., 2, 455-467, 1966.
25. Wilcox, B. P., W. J. Rawls, D. L. Brakensiek, and J. R. Wight, Predicting runoff from rangeland catchments: A comparison of two models, Water Resour. Res., 26, 2401-2410, 1990.
26. Willmott, C. J., On the validation of models, Phys. Geogr., 2, 184-194, 1981.
27. Willmott, C. J., On the evaluation of model performance in physical geography, in Spatial Statistics and Models, edited by G. L. Gaile, and C. J. Willmott, pp. 443-460, D. Reidel, Norwell, Mass., 1984.
28. Willmott, C. J., and S. M. Robeson, Climatologically aided interpolation (CAI) of terrestrial air temperature, Int. J. Climatol., 15, 221-229, 1995.
29. Willmott, C. J., S. G. Ackleson, R. E. Davis, J. J. Feddema, K. M. Klink, D. R. Legates, J. O'Donnell, and C. M. Rowe, Statistics for the evaluation and comparison of models, J. Geophys. Res., 90, 8995-9005, 1985.