메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 211, Issue 1-4, 1998, Pages 69-85

Monte Carlo assessment of parameter uncertainty in conceptual catchment models: The Metropolis algorithm

Author keywords

Bayesian inference; Conceptual catchment models; Importance sampling; Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling; Parameter uncertainty; Rainfall runoff models

Indexed keywords

ALGORITHMS; APPROXIMATION THEORY; CALIBRATION; HYDROLOGY; MARKOV PROCESSES; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION; RAIN; RUNOFF;

EID: 0032214428     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0022-1694(98)00198-X     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (629)

References (26)
  • 1
    • 0027009437 scopus 로고
    • The future of distributed models: Model calibration and predictive uncertainty
    • Beven K.J., Binley A.M. The future of distributed models: model calibration and predictive uncertainty. Hydrol. Processes. 6:1992;279-298.
    • (1992) Hydrol. Processes , vol.6 , pp. 279-298
    • Beven, K.J.1    Binley, A.M.2
  • 2
    • 0001185873 scopus 로고
    • An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances
    • Bayes, T., 1763. An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances. Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. 53.
    • (1763) Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. , vol.53
    • Bayes, T.1
  • 6
    • 0345369213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Markov chain Monte Carlo and its application, The Statistician
    • Brooks, S.P., 1998. Markov chain Monte Carlo and its application, The Statistician. J. Royal Statist. Soc. Series D.
    • (1998) J. Royal Statist. Soc. Series D
    • Brooks, S.P.1
  • 7
    • 0025448276 scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear system identification using neural networks
    • Chen S., Billings S.A., Grant P.M. Nonlinear system identification using neural networks. Int. J. Control. 51(6):1990;1215-1228.
    • (1990) Int. J. Control , vol.51 , Issue.6 , pp. 1215-1228
    • Chen, S.1    Billings, S.A.2    Grant, P.M.3
  • 9
    • 0026445234 scopus 로고
    • Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models
    • Duan Q., Sorooshian S., Gupta V. Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models. Water Resources Res. 28(4):1992;1015-1031.
    • (1992) Water Resources Res. , vol.28 , Issue.4 , pp. 1015-1031
    • Duan, Q.1    Sorooshian, S.2    Gupta, V.3
  • 10
    • 0000020761 scopus 로고
    • A three parameter daily rainfall-runoff model (in French)
    • Edijatno E., Michel C. A three parameter daily rainfall-runoff model (in French). Houille Blanche. 2:1989;113-121.
    • (1989) Houille Blanche , vol.2 , pp. 113-121
    • Edijatno, E.1    Michel, C.2
  • 11
    • 0004264604 scopus 로고
    • Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA
    • Fiering, M.B., 1967. Streamflow Synthesis. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
    • (1967) Streamflow Synthesis
    • Fiering, M.B.1
  • 14
    • 0027038056 scopus 로고
    • Physically based hydrologic modelling 2. Is the concept realistic?
    • Grayson R.B., Moore I.D., McMahon T.A. Physically based hydrologic modelling 2. Is the concept realistic? Water Resources Res. 26(10):1992;2659-2666.
    • (1992) Water Resources Res. , vol.26 , Issue.10 , pp. 2659-2666
    • Grayson, R.B.1    Moore, I.D.2    McMahon, T.A.3
  • 15
    • 0018876834 scopus 로고
    • Eutrophication in Peel inlet, I: The problem defining behavior and a mathematical model for the phosphorus scenario
    • Hornberger G.M., Spear R.C. Eutrophication in Peel inlet, I: the problem defining behavior and a mathematical model for the phosphorus scenario. Water Resources Res. 14:1980;29-42.
    • (1980) Water Resources Res. , vol.14 , pp. 29-42
    • Hornberger, G.M.1    Spear, R.C.2
  • 16
    • 0027790160 scopus 로고
    • How much complexity is warranted in a rainfall-runoff model
    • Jakeman A., Hornberger G. How much complexity is warranted in a rainfall-runoff model. Water Resources Res. 29(8):1993;2637-2649.
    • (1993) Water Resources Res. , vol.29 , Issue.8 , pp. 2637-2649
    • Jakeman, A.1    Hornberger, G.2
  • 17
    • 0020969493 scopus 로고
    • Improved parameter inference in catchment models, 1: Evaluating parameter uncertainly
    • Kuczera G. Improved parameter inference in catchment models, 1: evaluating parameter uncertainly. Water Resources Res. 19(5):1983;1151-1162.
    • (1983) Water Resources Res. , vol.19 , Issue.5 , pp. 1151-1162
    • Kuczera, G.1
  • 18
    • 0024163428 scopus 로고
    • On the validity of first-order prediction limits for conceptual hydrologic models
    • Kuczera G. On the validity of first-order prediction limits for conceptual hydrologic models. J. Hydrol. 103:1988;229-247.
    • (1988) J. Hydrol. , vol.103 , pp. 229-247
    • Kuczera, G.1
  • 19
    • 0031748081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of hydrologic parameter uncertainty and the worth of multi-response data
    • Kuczera G., Mroczkowski M. Assessment of hydrologic parameter uncertainty and the worth of multi-response data. Water Resources Res. 34(6):1998;1481-1490.
    • (1998) Water Resources Res. , vol.34 , Issue.6 , pp. 1481-1490
    • Kuczera, G.1    Mroczkowski, M.2
  • 21
    • 0014776873 scopus 로고
    • River flow forecasting through conceptual models
    • Nash J.E., Sutcliffe J.V. River flow forecasting through conceptual models. J. Hydrol. 10:1970;282-290.
    • (1970) J. Hydrol. , vol.10 , pp. 282-290
    • Nash, J.E.1    Sutcliffe, J.V.2
  • 23
    • 0030764323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The quest for more powerful validation of conceptual catchment models
    • Mroczkowski M., Raper G.P., Kuczera G. The quest for more powerful validation of conceptual catchment models. Water Resources Res. 33:1997;2325-2337.
    • (1997) Water Resources Res. , vol.33 , pp. 2325-2337
    • Mroczkowski, M.1    Raper, G.P.2    Kuczera, G.3
  • 24
    • 0039215743 scopus 로고
    • Tools for statistical inference: observed data and data augmentation methods
    • Springer-Verlag, New York
    • Tanner, M.H., 1992. Tools for statistical inference: observed data and data augmentation methods. In: Lecture Notes in Statistics 67. Springer-Verlag, New York.
    • (1992) In: Lecture Notes in Statistics , vol.67
    • Tanner, M.H.1
  • 25
    • 84979368472 scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty propagation and speculation in projective forecasts of environmental change: A lake-eutrophication example
    • van Straten G., Keesman K.J. Uncertainty propagation and speculation in projective forecasts of environmental change: a lake-eutrophication example. J. Forecasting. 10:1991;163-190.
    • (1991) J. Forecasting , vol.10 , pp. 163-190
    • Van Straten, G.1    Keesman, K.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.