메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 108, Issue 1-2, 2012, Pages 217-234

Climate change scenarios for precipitation extremes in Portugal

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; BOUNDARY CONDITION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE CONDITIONS; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE VARIATION; COMPUTER SIMULATION; COUPLING; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION; SEASON; SPATIAL VARIATION;

EID: 84859100185     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-011-0528-3     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (80)

References (78)
  • 1
    • 0002624038 scopus 로고
    • Exact conditional tests for cross-classifications: approximation of attained significance levels
    • Agresti A, Wackerly D, Boyett JM (1979) Exact conditional tests for cross-classifications: approximation of attained significance levels. Psychometrika 44: 75-83.
    • (1979) Psychometrika , vol.44 , pp. 75-83
    • Agresti, A.1    Wackerly, D.2    Boyett, J.M.3
  • 2
    • 33646344974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation
    • doi:10.1029/2005JD006290
    • Alexander LV, Zhang X, Peterson TC, Caesar J et al (2006) Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. J Geophys Res 111: D05109. doi: 10. 1029/2005JD006290.
    • (2006) J Geophys Res , vol.111
    • Alexander, L.V.1    Zhang, X.2    Peterson, T.C.3    Caesar, J.4
  • 3
    • 79956361364 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-scale atmospheric dynamics of the wet winter 2009-2010 and its impact on hydrology in Portugal
    • doi:10.3354/cr00945
    • Andrade C, Santos JA, Pinto JG, Corte-Real J (2011) Large-scale atmospheric dynamics of the wet winter 2009-2010 and its impact on hydrology in Portugal. Clim Res 46: 29-41. doi: 10. 3354/cr00945.
    • (2011) Clim Res , vol.46 , pp. 29-41
    • Andrade, C.1    Santos, J.A.2    Pinto, J.G.3    Corte-Real, J.4
  • 4
    • 58049125600 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of daily precipitation characteristics in the CLM and their sensitivity to parameterizations
    • doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0300
    • Bachner S, Kapala A, Simmer C (2008) Evaluation of daily precipitation characteristics in the CLM and their sensitivity to parameterizations. Meteorol Z 17: 407-419. doi: 10. 1127/0941-2948/2008/0300.
    • (2008) Meteorol Z , vol.17 , pp. 407-419
    • Bachner, S.1    Kapala, A.2    Simmer, C.3
  • 5
    • 33646372857 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Storm tracks and climate change
    • doi:10.1175/JCLI3815.1
    • Bengtsson L, Hodges KI, Roeckner E (2006) Storm tracks and climate change. J Climate 19: 3518-3543. doi: 10. 1175/JCLI3815. 1.
    • (2006) J Climate , vol.19 , pp. 3518-3543
    • Bengtsson, L.1    Hodges, K.I.2    Roeckner, E.3
  • 6
    • 34248212636 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future extreme events in European climate: an exploration of regional climate model projections
    • doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9226-z
    • Beniston M, Stephenson D, Christensen O, Ferro C et al (2007) Future extreme events in European climate: an exploration of regional climate model projections. Clim Chang 81: 71-95. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-006-9226-z.
    • (2007) Clim Chang , vol.81 , pp. 71-95
    • Beniston, M.1    Stephenson, D.2    Christensen, O.3    Ferro, C.4
  • 8
    • 72749118773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of spatial resolution on area burned and fire occurrence projections in Portugal under climate change
    • doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9667-2
    • Carvalho A, Flannigan MD, Logan KA, Gowman LM, Miranda AI, Borrego C (2010) The impact of spatial resolution on area burned and fire occurrence projections in Portugal under climate change. Clim Chang 98: 177-197. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-009-9667-2.
    • (2010) Clim Chang , vol.98 , pp. 177-197
    • Carvalho, A.1    Flannigan, M.D.2    Logan, K.A.3    Gowman, L.M.4    Miranda, A.I.5    Borrego, C.6
  • 10
    • 71449125761 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends in extreme precipitation indices derived from a daily rainfall database for the south of Portugal
    • doi:10.1002/joc.1834
    • Costa AC, Soares A (2009a) Trends in extreme precipitation indices derived from a daily rainfall database for the south of Portugal. Int J Climatol 29: 1956-1975. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1834.
    • (2009) Int J Climatol , vol.29 , pp. 1956-1975
    • Costa, A.C.1    Soares, A.2
  • 11
    • 64249147200 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Homogenization of climate data: review and new perspectives using geostatistics
    • doi:10.1007/s11004-008-9203-3
    • Costa AC, Soares A (2009b) Homogenization of climate data: review and new perspectives using geostatistics. Math Geosci 41: 291-305. doi: 10. 1007/s11004-008-9203-3.
    • (2009) Math Geosci , vol.41 , pp. 291-305
    • Costa, A.C.1    Soares, A.2
  • 12
    • 78649753395 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investigating annual and monthly trends in precipitation structure: an overview across Portugal
    • doi:10.5194/nhess-10-2429-2010
    • de Lima MIP, Carvalho SCP, de Lima JLMP (2010) Investigating annual and monthly trends in precipitation structure: an overview across Portugal. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 10: 2429-2440. doi: 10. 5194/nhess-10-2429-2010.
    • (2010) Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci , vol.10 , pp. 2429-2440
    • de Lima, M.I.P.1    Carvalho, S.C.P.2    de Lima, J.L.M.P.3
  • 13
    • 70349858105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An analysis of present and future ECHAM5 pressure fields using a classification of circulation patterns
    • doi:10.1002/joc.1821
    • Demuzere M, Werner M, van Lipzig NPM, Roeckner E (2009) An analysis of present and future ECHAM5 pressure fields using a classification of circulation patterns. Int J Climatol 29: 1796-1810. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1821.
    • (2009) Int J Climatol , vol.29 , pp. 1796-1810
    • Demuzere, M.1    Werner, M.2    van Lipzig, N.P.M.3    Roeckner, E.4
  • 14
    • 77954140477 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European storminess and associated circulation weather types: future changes deduced from a multi-model ensemble of GCM simulations
    • doi:10.3354/cr00853
    • Donat MG, Leckebusch GC, Pinto JG, Ulbrich U (2010) European storminess and associated circulation weather types: future changes deduced from a multi-model ensemble of GCM simulations. Clim Res 42: 27-43. doi: 10. 3354/cr00853.
    • (2010) Clim Res , vol.42 , pp. 27-43
    • Donat, M.G.1    Leckebusch, G.C.2    Pinto, J.G.3    Ulbrich, U.4
  • 15
    • 33646415341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models
    • doi:10.1029/2005JD005965
    • Frei C, Schöll R, Fukutome S, Schmidli J, Vidale PL (2006) Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models. J Geophys Res 111: D06105. doi: 10. 1029/2005JD005965.
    • (2006) J Geophys Res , vol.111
    • Frei, C.1    Schöll, R.2    Fukutome, S.3    Schmidli, J.4    Vidale, P.L.5
  • 16
    • 0036327945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century
    • doi:10.3354/cr019193
    • Frich P, Alexander LV, Della-Marta P, Gleason B, Haylock M, Klein Tank AMG, Peterson T (2002) Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century. Clim Res 19: 193-212. doi: 10. 3354/cr019193.
    • (2002) Clim Res , vol.19 , pp. 193-212
    • Frich, P.1    Alexander, L.V.2    Della-Marta, P.3    Gleason, B.4    Haylock, M.5    Klein Tank, A.M.G.6    Peterson, T.7
  • 17
    • 79951667246 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of climate change impacts on the urban heat load using an urban climate model and regional climate projections
    • doi:10.1175/2010JAMC2377.1
    • Früh B, Becker P, Deutschländer T, Hessel J-D et al (2011) Estimation of climate change impacts on the urban heat load using an urban climate model and regional climate projections. J Appl Meteor Climatol 50: 167-184. doi: 10. 1175/2010JAMC2377. 1.
    • (2011) J Appl Meteor Climatol , vol.50 , pp. 167-184
    • Früh, B.1    Becker, P.2    Deutschländer, T.3    Hessel, J.-D.4
  • 18
    • 79251634753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends in frequency indices of daily precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula during the last century
    • doi:10.1029/2010JD014255
    • Gallego MC, Trigo RM, Vaquero JM, Brunet M et al (2011) Trends in frequency indices of daily precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula during the last century. J Geophys Res 116: D02109. doi: 10. 1029/2010JD014255.
    • (2011) J Geophys Res , vol.116
    • Gallego, M.C.1    Trigo, R.M.2    Vaquero, J.M.3    Brunet, M.4
  • 19
    • 33745456749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change hot-spots
    • doi:10.1029/2006GL025734
    • Giorgi F (2006) Climate change hot-spots. Geophys Res Lett 33: L08707. doi: 10. 1029/2006GL025734.
    • (2006) Geophys Res Lett , vol.33
    • Giorgi, F.1
  • 20
    • 0037112379 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Links between circulation and changes in the characteristics of Iberian rainfall
    • doi:10.1002/joc.810
    • Goodess CM, Jones PD (2002) Links between circulation and changes in the characteristics of Iberian rainfall. Int J Climatol 22: 1593-1615. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 810.
    • (2002) Int J Climatol , vol.22 , pp. 1593-1615
    • Goodess, C.M.1    Jones, P.D.2
  • 21
    • 42549116158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Response in extremes of daily precipitation and wind from a downscaled multimodel ensemble of anthropogenic global climate change scenarios
    • doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00315.x
    • Haugen JE, Iversen T (2008) Response in extremes of daily precipitation and wind from a downscaled multimodel ensemble of anthropogenic global climate change scenarios. Tellus A 60: 411-426. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1600-0870. 2008. 00315. x.
    • (2008) Tellus A , vol.60 , pp. 411-426
    • Haugen, J.E.1    Iversen, T.2
  • 22
    • 2442708767 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual variability of European extreme winter rainfall and links with mean large-scale circulation
    • doi:10.1002/joc.1033
    • Haylock MR, Goodess CM (2004) Interannual variability of European extreme winter rainfall and links with mean large-scale circulation. Int J Climatol 24: 759-776. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1033.
    • (2004) Int J Climatol , vol.24 , pp. 759-776
    • Haylock, M.R.1    Goodess, C.M.2
  • 23
    • 58149250231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation
    • doi:10.1029/2008JD010201
    • Haylock MR, Hofstra N, Klein Tank AMG, Klok EJ, Jones PD, New M (2008) A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation. J Geophys Res 113: D20119. doi: 10. 1029/2008JD010201.
    • (2008) J Geophys Res , vol.113
    • Haylock, M.R.1    Hofstra, N.2    Klein Tank, A.M.G.3    Klok, E.J.4    Jones, P.D.5    New, M.6
  • 24
    • 33646348872 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensembles-based predictions of climate changes and their impacts
    • doi:10.1029/2004EO520005
    • Hewitt CD, Griggs DJ (2004) Ensembles-based predictions of climate changes and their impacts. EOS, Trans Am Geophys Union 85: 566. doi: 10. 1029/2004EO520005.
    • (2004) EOS, Trans Am Geophys Union , vol.85 , pp. 566
    • Hewitt, C.D.1    Griggs, D.J.2
  • 26
    • 0032787430 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CLIVAR/GCOS/WMO workshop on indices and indicators for climate extremes: workshop summary
    • doi:10.1023/A:1005491526870
    • Karl TR, Nicholls N, Ghazi A (1999) CLIVAR/GCOS/WMO workshop on indices and indicators for climate extremes: workshop summary. Clim Chang 42: 3-7. doi: 10. 1023/A: 1005491526870.
    • (1999) Clim Chang , vol.42 , pp. 3-7
    • Karl, T.R.1    Nicholls, N.2    Ghazi, A.3
  • 27
    • 34248233107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological impacts of climate change on the Tejo and Guadiana Rivers
    • doi:10.5194/hess-11-1175-2007
    • Kilsby CG, Tellier SS, Fowler HJ, Howels TR (2007) Hydrological impacts of climate change on the Tejo and Guadiana Rivers. Hydrol Earth Syst Sc 11: 1175-1189. doi: 10. 5194/hess-11-1175-2007.
    • (2007) Hydrol Earth Syst Sc , vol.11 , pp. 1175-1189
    • Kilsby, C.G.1    Tellier, S.S.2    Fowler, H.J.3    Howels, T.R.4
  • 28
    • 78650100349 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 21st century changes in the European climate: uncertainties derived from an ensemble of regional climate model simulations
    • doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00475.x
    • Kjellström E, Nikulin G, Hansson U, Strandberg G, Ullerstig A (2011) 21st century changes in the European climate: uncertainties derived from an ensemble of regional climate model simulations. Tellus A 63: 24-40. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1600-0870. 2010. 00475. x.
    • (2011) Tellus A , vol.63 , pp. 24-40
    • Kjellström, E.1    Nikulin, G.2    Hansson, U.3    Strandberg, G.4    Ullerstig, A.5
  • 29
    • 0036802698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Daily dataset of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European climate assessment
    • doi:10.1002/joc.773
    • Klein Tank AMG et al (2002) Daily dataset of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European climate assessment. Int J Climatol 22: 1441-1453. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 773.
    • (2002) Int J Climatol , vol.22 , pp. 1441-1453
    • Klein Tank, A.M.G.1
  • 30
    • 21844465418 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of climate extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean
    • doi:10.1007/s00703-005-0122-2
    • Kostopoulou E, Jones PD (2005) Assessment of climate extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean. Meteorol Atmos Phys 89: 69-85. doi: 10. 1007/s00703-005-0122-2.
    • (2005) Meteorol Atmos Phys , vol.89 , pp. 69-85
    • Kostopoulou, E.1    Jones, P.D.2
  • 31
    • 33645469129 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent increase in persistence of atmospheric circulation over Europe: comparison with long-term variations since 1881
    • doi:10.1002/joc.1265
    • Kyselý J, Domonkos P (2006) Recent increase in persistence of atmospheric circulation over Europe: comparison with long-term variations since 1881. Int J Climatol 26: 461-483. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1265.
    • (2006) Int J Climatol , vol.26 , pp. 461-483
    • Kyselý, J.1    Domonkos, P.2
  • 32
    • 70749110125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate simulation with CLM, climate of the 20th century run no. 1, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD
    • doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_C20_1_D3
    • Lautenschlager M, Keuler K, Wunram C, Keup-Thiel E et al (2009a) Climate simulation with CLM, climate of the 20th century run no. 1, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD. World Data Center for Climate. doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_C20_1_D3.
    • (2009) World Data Center for Climate
    • Lautenschlager, M.1    Keuler, K.2    Wunram, C.3    Keup-Thiel, E.4
  • 33
    • 70749110125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate simulation with CLM, climate of the 20th century run no. 2, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD
    • doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_C20_2_D3
    • Lautenschlager M, Keuler K, Wunram C, Keup-Thiel E et al (2009b) Climate simulation with CLM, climate of the 20th century run no. 2, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD. World Data Center for Climate. doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_C20_2_D3.
    • (2009) World Data Center for Climate
    • Lautenschlager, M.1    Keuler, K.2    Wunram, C.3    Keup-Thiel, E.4
  • 34
    • 70749110125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate simulation with CLM, scenario A1B run no. 1, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD
    • doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_A1B_1_D3
    • Lautenschlager M, Keuler K, Wunram C, Keup-Thiel E et al (2009c) Climate simulation with CLM, scenario A1B run no. 1, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD. World Data Center for Climate. doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_A1B_1_D3.
    • (2009) World Data Center for Climate
    • Lautenschlager, M.1    Keuler, K.2    Wunram, C.3    Keup-Thiel, E.4
  • 35
    • 70749110125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate simulation with CLM, scenario A1B run no. 2, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD
    • doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_A1B_2_D3
    • Lautenschlager M, Keuler K, Wunram C, Keup-Thiel E et al (2009d) Climate simulation with CLM, scenario A1B run no. 2, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD. World Data Center for Climate. doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_A1B_2_D3.
    • (2009) World Data Center for Climate
    • Lautenschlager, M.1    Keuler, K.2    Wunram, C.3    Keup-Thiel, E.4
  • 36
    • 70749110125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate simulation with CLM, scenario B1 run no. 1, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD
    • doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_B1_1_D3
    • Lautenschlager M, Keuler K, Wunram C, Keup-Thiel E et al (2009e) Climate simulation with CLM, scenario B1 run no. 1, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD. World Data Center for Climate. doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_B1_1_D3.
    • (2009) World Data Center for Climate
    • Lautenschlager, M.1    Keuler, K.2    Wunram, C.3    Keup-Thiel, E.4
  • 37
    • 70749110125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate simulation with CLM, scenario B1 run no. 2, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD
    • doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_B1_2_D3
    • Lautenschlager M, Keuler K, Wunram C, Keup-Thiel E et al (2009f) Climate simulation with CLM, scenario B1 run no. 2, data stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD. World Data Center for Climate. doi: 10. 1594/WDCC/CLM_B1_2_D3.
    • (2009) World Data Center for Climate
    • Lautenschlager, M.1    Keuler, K.2    Wunram, C.3    Keup-Thiel, E.4
  • 38
    • 10944272073 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of global change on the hydropower potential of Europe: a model-based analysis
    • doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2003.10.018
    • Lehner B, Czisch G, Vassolo S (2005) The impact of global change on the hydropower potential of Europe: a model-based analysis. Energy Policy 33: 839-855. doi: 10. 1016/j. enpol. 2003. 10. 018.
    • (2005) Energy Policy , vol.33 , pp. 839-855
    • Lehner, B.1    Czisch, G.2    Vassolo, S.3
  • 39
    • 78649880425 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change scenarios for viticultural zoning in Europe
    • doi:10.3354/cr00918
    • Malheiro AC, Santos JA, Fraga H, Pinto JG (2010) Climate change scenarios for viticultural zoning in Europe. Clim Res 43: 163-177. doi: 10. 3354/cr00918.
    • (2010) Clim Res , vol.43 , pp. 163-177
    • Malheiro, A.C.1    Santos, J.A.2    Fraga, H.3    Pinto, J.G.4
  • 40
    • 0002322469 scopus 로고
    • On a test of whether one of two random variables is stochastically larger than the other
    • Mann HB, Whitney DR (1947) On a test of whether one of two random variables is stochastically larger than the other. Ann Math Stat 18: 50-60.
    • (1947) Ann Math Stat , vol.18 , pp. 50-60
    • Mann, H.B.1    Whitney, D.R.2
  • 41
    • 77954700859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precipitation downscaling under climate change: recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user
    • doi:10.1029/2009RG000314
    • Maraun D, Wetterhall F, Ireson AM, Chandler RE et al (2010) Precipitation downscaling under climate change: recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user. Rev Geophys 48: RG3003. doi: 10. 1029/2009RG000314.
    • (2010) Rev Geophys , vol.48
    • Maraun, D.1    Wetterhall, F.2    Ireson, A.M.3    Chandler, R.E.4
  • 43
    • 33746392735 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impact of climate change on fire risk in the Mediterranean area
    • doi:10.3354/cr031085
    • Moriondo M, Good P, Durão R, Bindi M, Giannakopoulos C, Corte-Real J (2006) Potential impact of climate change on fire risk in the Mediterranean area. Clim Res 31: 85-95. doi: 10. 3354/cr031085.
    • (2006) Clim Res , vol.31 , pp. 85-95
    • Moriondo, M.1    Good, P.2    Durão, R.3    Bindi, M.4    Giannakopoulos, C.5    Corte-Real, J.6
  • 44
    • 0003564167 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • N. Nakićenović and R. Swart (Eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Nakićenović N, Swart R (eds) (2000) IPCC special report on emissions scenarios. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    • (2000) IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios
  • 45
    • 70749098700 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Feedbacks of windthrow for Norway spruce and Scots pine stands under changing climate
    • doi:10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/045019
    • Panferov O, Doering C, Rauch E, Sogachev A, Ahrends B (2009) Feedbacks of windthrow for Norway spruce and Scots pine stands under changing climate. Environ Res Lett 4: 045019. doi: 10. 1088/1748-9326/4/4/045019.
    • (2009) Environ Res Lett , vol.4 , pp. 045019
    • Panferov, O.1    Doering, C.2    Rauch, E.3    Sogachev, A.4    Ahrends, B.5
  • 46
    • 32444434245 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Five hundred years of gridded high-resolution precipitation reconstructions over Europe and the connection to large-scale circulation
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0090-8
    • Pauling A, Luterbacher J, Casty C, Wanner H (2006) Five hundred years of gridded high-resolution precipitation reconstructions over Europe and the connection to large-scale circulation. Clim Dynam 26: 387-405. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-005-0090-8.
    • (2006) Clim Dynam , vol.26 , pp. 387-405
    • Pauling, A.1    Luterbacher, J.2    Casty, C.3    Wanner, H.4
  • 47
    • 14744268312 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Synoptic patterns associated with large summer forest fires in Portugal
    • doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2004.12.007
    • Pereira MG, Trigo RM, da Camara CC, Pereira JMC, Leite SM (2005) Synoptic patterns associated with large summer forest fires in Portugal. Agr Forest Meteorol 129: 11-25. doi: 10. 1016/j. agrformet. 2004. 12. 007.
    • (2005) Agr Forest Meteorol , vol.129 , pp. 11-25
    • Pereira, M.G.1    Trigo, R.M.2    da Camara, C.C.3    Pereira, J.M.C.4    Leite, S.M.5
  • 48
    • 33845680382 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change indices
    • Peterson TC (2005) Climate change indices. WMO Bulletin 54: 83-86.
    • (2005) WMO Bulletin , vol.54 , pp. 83-86
    • Peterson, T.C.1
  • 50
    • 33745806245 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of winter cyclone activity in a transient ECHAM4-OPYC3 GHG experiment
    • doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2006/0128
    • Pinto JG, Spangehl T, Ulbrich U, Speth P (2006) Assessment of winter cyclone activity in a transient ECHAM4-OPYC3 GHG experiment. Meteorol Z 15: 279-291. doi: 10. 1127/0941-2948/2006/0128.
    • (2006) Meteorol Z , vol.15 , pp. 279-291
    • Pinto, J.G.1    Spangehl, T.2    Ulbrich, U.3    Speth, P.4
  • 51
    • 34250023161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in storm track and cyclone activity in three SRES ensemble experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0230-4
    • Pinto JG, Ulbrich U, Leckebusch GC, Spangehl T, Reyers M, Zacharias S (2007) Changes in storm track and cyclone activity in three SRES ensemble experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM. Clim Dynam 29: 195-210. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-007-0230-4.
    • (2007) Clim Dynam , vol.29 , pp. 195-210
    • Pinto, J.G.1    Ulbrich, U.2    Leckebusch, G.C.3    Spangehl, T.4    Reyers, M.5    Zacharias, S.6
  • 52
    • 79960411445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolution of extreme temperatures over Portugal: recent changes and future scenarios
    • doi:10.3354/cr00934
    • Ramos AM, Trigo RM, Santo FE (2011) Evolution of extreme temperatures over Portugal: recent changes and future scenarios. Clim Res 48: 177-192. doi: 10. 3354/cr00934.
    • (2011) Clim Res , vol.48 , pp. 177-192
    • Ramos, A.M.1    Trigo, R.M.2    Santo, F.E.3
  • 54
    • 58049133389 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The regional climate model COSMO-CLM
    • doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0309
    • Rockel B, Will A, Hense A (2008) The regional climate model COSMO-CLM. Meteorol Z (Berl) 17: 347-348. doi: 10. 1127/0941-2948/2008/0309.
    • (2008) Meteorol Z (Berl) , vol.17 , pp. 347-348
    • Rockel, B.1    Will, A.2    Hense, A.3
  • 55
    • 33746921939 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of simulated climate to horizontal and vertical resolution in the ECHAM5 atmosphere model
    • doi:10.1175/JCLI3824.1
    • Roeckner E, Brokopf R, Esch M, Giorgetta M, Hagemann S, Kornblueh L (2006) Sensitivity of simulated climate to horizontal and vertical resolution in the ECHAM5 atmosphere model. J Climate 19: 3771-3791. doi: 10. 1175/JCLI3824. 1.
    • (2006) J Climate , vol.19 , pp. 3771-3791
    • Roeckner, E.1    Brokopf, R.2    Esch, M.3    Giorgetta, M.4    Hagemann, S.5    Kornblueh, L.6
  • 56
    • 58049132354 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of CCLM model biases in relation to intra-ensemble model variability
    • doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0307
    • Roesch A, Jaeger EB, Lüthi D, Seneviratne SI (2008) Analysis of CCLM model biases in relation to intra-ensemble model variability. Meteorol Z 17: 369-382. doi: 10. 1127/0941-2948/2008/0307.
    • (2008) Meteorol Z , vol.17 , pp. 369-382
    • Roesch, A.1    Jaeger, E.B.2    Lüthi, D.3    Seneviratne, S.I.4
  • 58
    • 13644249256 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather regimes and their connection to the winter rainfall in Portugal
    • doi:10.1002/joc.1101
    • Santos JA, Corte-Real J, Leite SM (2005) Weather regimes and their connection to the winter rainfall in Portugal. Int J Climatol 25: 33-50. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1101.
    • (2005) Int J Climatol , vol.25 , pp. 33-50
    • Santos, J.A.1    Corte-Real, J.2    Leite, S.M.3
  • 59
    • 33750474090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European winter precipitation extremes and surface large-scale circulation: a coupled model and its scenarios
    • doi:10.1007/s00704-005-0224-2
    • Santos JA, Corte-Real J, Ulbrich U, Palutikof J (2007a) European winter precipitation extremes and surface large-scale circulation: a coupled model and its scenarios. Theor Appl Climatol 87: 85-102. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-005-0224-2.
    • (2007) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.87 , pp. 85-102
    • Santos, J.A.1    Corte-Real, J.2    Ulbrich, U.3    Palutikof, J.4
  • 60
    • 34247877509 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric large-scale dynamics during the 2004/2005 winter drought in Portugal
    • doi:10.1002/joc.1425
    • Santos JA, Corte-Real J, Leite SM (2007b) Atmospheric large-scale dynamics during the 2004/2005 winter drought in Portugal. Int J Climatol 27: 571-586. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1425.
    • (2007) Int J Climatol , vol.27 , pp. 571-586
    • Santos, J.A.1    Corte-Real, J.2    Leite, S.M.3
  • 61
    • 69949098492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of large-scale eddies in the occurrence of precipitation deficits in Portugal
    • doi:10.1002/joc.1818
    • Santos JA, Andrade C, Corte-Real J, Leite SM (2009a) The role of large-scale eddies in the occurrence of precipitation deficits in Portugal. Int J Climatol 29: 1493-1507. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1818.
    • (2009) Int J Climatol , vol.29 , pp. 1493-1507
    • Santos, J.A.1    Andrade, C.2    Corte-Real, J.3    Leite, S.M.4
  • 62
    • 71949094723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the development of strong ridge episodes over the eastern North Atlantic
    • doi:10.1029/2009GL039086
    • Santos JA, Pinto JG, Ulbrich U (2009b) On the development of strong ridge episodes over the eastern North Atlantic. Geophys Res Lett 36: L17804. doi: 10. 1029/2009GL039086.
    • (2009) Geophys Res Lett , vol.36
    • Santos, J.A.1    Pinto, J.G.2    Ulbrich, U.3
  • 63
    • 40849150808 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European climate extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation
    • doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1631.1
    • Scaife AA, Folland CK, Alexander LV, Moberg A, Knight JR (2008) European climate extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation. J Climate 21: 72-83. doi: 10. 1175/2007JCLI1631. 1.
    • (2008) J Climate , vol.21 , pp. 72-83
    • Scaife, A.A.1    Folland, C.K.2    Alexander, L.V.3    Moberg, A.4    Knight, J.R.5
  • 64
    • 0000898845 scopus 로고
    • An analysis of variance test for normality (complete samples)
    • doi:10.1093/biomet/52.3-4.591
    • Shapiro SS, Wilk MB (1965) An analysis of variance test for normality (complete samples). Biometrika 52: 591-611. doi: 10. 1093/biomet/52. 3-4. 591.
    • (1965) Biometrika , vol.52 , pp. 591-611
    • Shapiro, S.S.1    Wilk, M.B.2
  • 65
    • 37549068546 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Indices for extreme events in projections of anthropogenic climate change
    • doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9308-6
    • Sillmann J, Roeckner E (2008) Indices for extreme events in projections of anthropogenic climate change. Clim Chang 86: 83-104. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-007-9308-6.
    • (2008) Clim Chang , vol.86 , pp. 83-104
    • Sillmann, J.1    Roeckner, E.2
  • 66
    • 33745712486 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • North Atlantic Oscillation response to transient greenhouse gas forcing and the impact on European winter climate: a CMIP2 multi-model assessment
    • participating CMIP2 modelling groups, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0140-x
    • Stephenson DB, Pavan V, Collins M, Junge MM, Quadrelli R, participating CMIP2 modelling groups (2006) North Atlantic Oscillation response to transient greenhouse gas forcing and the impact on European winter climate: a CMIP2 multi-model assessment. Clim Dynam 27: 401-420. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-006-0140-x.
    • (2006) Clim Dynam , vol.27 , pp. 401-420
    • Stephenson, D.B.1    Pavan, V.2    Collins, M.3    Junge, M.M.4    Quadrelli, R.5
  • 67
    • 33644697480 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Going to extremes: an intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events
    • doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9051-4
    • Tebaldi C, Hayhoe K, Arblaster JM, Meehl GA (2006) Going to extremes: an intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Clim Chang 79: 185-211. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-006-9051-4.
    • (2006) Clim Chang , vol.79 , pp. 185-211
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Hayhoe, K.2    Arblaster, J.M.3    Meehl, G.A.4
  • 69
    • 0033668633 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Circulation weather types and their impact on the precipitation regime in Portugal
    • doi:10.1002/1097-0088(20001115)20:13&1559::AID-JOC555 3.0.CO;2-5
    • Trigo RM, DaCamara C (2000) Circulation weather types and their impact on the precipitation regime in Portugal. Int J Climatol 20: 1559-1581. doi: 10. 1002/1097-0088(20001115)20: 13& 1559:: AID-JOC555 3. 0. CO; 2-5.
    • (2000) Int J Climatol , vol.20 , pp. 1559-1581
    • Trigo, R.M.1    Dacamara, C.2
  • 70
    • 0036320329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The North Atlantic Oscillation influence on Europe climate impacts and associated physical mechanisms
    • doi:10.3354/cr020009
    • Trigo RM, Osborn TJ, Corte-Real JM (2002) The North Atlantic Oscillation influence on Europe climate impacts and associated physical mechanisms. Clim Res 20: 9-17. doi: 10. 3354/cr020009.
    • (2002) Clim Res , vol.20 , pp. 9-17
    • Trigo, R.M.1    Osborn, T.J.2    Corte-Real, J.M.3
  • 71
    • 0033616514 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dependence of winter precipitation over Portugal on NAO and baroclinic wave activity
    • doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(19990330)19:4&379::AID-JOC357 3.0.CO;2-8
    • Ulbrich U, Christoph M, Pinto JG, Corte-Real J (1999) Dependence of winter precipitation over Portugal on NAO and baroclinic wave activity. Int J Climatol 19: 379-390. doi: 10. 1002/(SICI)1097-0088(19990330)19: 4& 379:: AID-JOC357 3. 0. CO; 2-8.
    • (1999) Int J Climatol , vol.19 , pp. 379-390
    • Ulbrich, U.1    Christoph, M.2    Pinto, J.G.3    Corte-Real, J.4
  • 72
    • 64749102736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review
    • doi:10.1007/s00704-008-0083-8
    • Ulbrich U, Leckebusch GC, Pinto JG (2009) Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review. Theor Appl Climatol 96: 117-131. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-008-0083-8.
    • (2009) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.96 , pp. 117-131
    • Ulbrich, U.1    Leckebusch, G.C.2    Pinto, J.G.3
  • 73
    • 77949543153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment and validation of wildfire susceptibility and hazard in Portugal
    • doi:10.5194/nhess-10-485-2010
    • Verde JC, Zêzere JL (2010) Assessment and validation of wildfire susceptibility and hazard in Portugal. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 10: 485-497. doi: 10. 5194/nhess-10-485-2010.
    • (2010) Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci , vol.10 , pp. 485-497
    • Verde, J.C.1    Zêzere, J.L.2
  • 74
    • 33847373738 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends in drought intensity and variability in the middle Ebro valley (NE of the Iberian peninsula) during the second half of the twentieth century
    • doi:10.1007/s00704-006-0236-6
    • Vicente-Serrano SM, Cuadrat-Prats JM (2007) Trends in drought intensity and variability in the middle Ebro valley (NE of the Iberian peninsula) during the second half of the twentieth century. Theor Appl Climatol 88: 247-258. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-006-0236-6.
    • (2007) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.88 , pp. 247-258
    • Vicente-Serrano, S.M.1    Cuadrat-Prats, J.M.2
  • 76
    • 78650108146 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ENSEMBLES: climate change and its impacts: summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project
    • (eds), FitzRoy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK
    • van der Linden P, Mitchell JFB (eds) (2009) ENSEMBLES: climate change and its impacts: summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project. Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK, p 160.
    • (2009) Met Office Hadley Centre , pp. 160
    • van der Linden, P.1    Mitchell, J.F.B.2
  • 77
    • 0038721180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Homogeneity of 20th century European daily temperature and precipitation series
    • doi:10.1002/joc.906
    • Wijngaard J, Klein Tank AMG, Können GP (2003) Homogeneity of 20th century European daily temperature and precipitation series. Int J Climatol 23: 679-692. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 906.
    • (2003) Int J Climatol , vol.23 , pp. 679-692
    • Wijngaard, J.1    Klein Tank, A.M.G.2    Können, G.P.3
  • 78
    • 0001884644 scopus 로고
    • Individual comparison by ranking methods
    • Wilcoxon F (1945) Individual comparison by ranking methods. Biometrics 1: 80-83.
    • (1945) Biometrics , vol.1 , pp. 80-83
    • Wilcoxon, F.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.