Assessing the impact of future land-use changes on hydrological processes in the Elbow River watershed in southern Alberta, Canada

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 412-413, Issue , 2012, Pages 220-232

  Wijesekara, G N ^a   Gupta, A ^b   Valeo, C ^a   Hasbani, J G ^a   Qiao, Y ^c   Delaney, P ^c   Marceau, D J ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY   (Canada)

^b ALBERTA ENVIRONMENT AND PARKS   (Canada)

^c ENVIRONMENT CANADA   (Canada)

Author keywords

Cellular automata; Integrated modeling; Land use change modeling; MIKE SHE; Physically based distributed hydrological modeling

Indexed keywords

ALBERTA , CANADA; BASEFLOWS; BUILT-UP AREAS; CA MODEL; CALGARY; DISTRIBUTED HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; EVERGREEN FORESTS; FLOW DATA; GROUNDWATER STORAGE; HYDROLOGIC COMPONENTS; HYDROLOGIC CYCLES; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL MODELS; HYDROLOGICAL PROCESS; HYDROLOGICAL REGIME; HYDROMETRIC STATIONS; INTEGRATED MODELING; LAND-USE CHANGE; MIKE-SHE; NEGATIVE IMPACTS; OVERLAND FLOW; RAPID POPULATION GROWTH; RIVER WATERSHEDS; STUDY AREAS; VALIDATION PERIODS;

CELLULAR AUTOMATA; COMPUTER SIMULATION; GROUNDWATER; LAND USE; LANDFORMS; POPULATION STATISTICS; POTABLE WATER; RESERVOIRS (WATER); RIVERS; WATER SUPPLY; WATERSHEDS;

FORESTRY;

AGRICULTURAL LAND; CALIBRATION; CELLULAR AUTOMATON; DECIDUOUS FOREST; DRINKING WATER; EVERGREEN FOREST; FLASH FLOOD; HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL REGIME; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; HYDROMETRY; LAND USE CHANGE; MODEL VALIDATION; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS; NUMERICAL MODEL; PASTURE; POPULATION GROWTH; SURFACE WATER; SUSTAINABILITY; WATER RESOURCE; WATER SUPPLY; WATERSHED;

ALBERTA; GROUND WATER; HYDROLOGY; LAND USE; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; RESERVOIRS; ROBOTS; SIMULATION; WATER SHEDS; WATER SUPPLY;

ALBERTA; CALGARY; CANADA; ELBOW BASIN;

EID: 84155187102     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.04.018     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Abbott M.B., Ionescu F. On the numerical computation of nearly-horizontal flows. Journal of Hydraulic Research 1967, 5:97-117.
2. Alberta Environmental Protection, 1991. Alberta Vegetaion Inventory Standards Manual. Alberta Environmental Protection. Resource Data Division. Data Acquisition Branch (Report).
3. Allen, R.G., Pereira, L.S., Raes, D., Smith, M., 1998. Crop Evapotranspiration - Guidelines for Computing Crop Water Requirements - FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56. FAO - Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Rome (Report).
4. Almeida C.M., Gleriani J.M., Castejon E.F., Soares-Filho B.S. Using neural networks and cellular automata for modelling intra-urban land-use dynamics. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 2008, 22(9):943-963.
5. Arnold J.G., Allen P.M., Bernhardt G. A comprehensive surface-groundwater flow model. Journal of Hydrology 1993, 142(1-4):47-69.
6. Barredo J.I., Kasanko M., McCormick N., Lavalle C. Modelling dynamic spatial processes: simulation of urban future scenarios through cellular automata. Landscape and Urban Planning 2003, 64(3):145-160.
7. Bithell M., Brasington J. Coupling agent-based models of subsistence farming with individual-based forest models and dynamic models of water distribution. Environmental Modelling & Software 2009, 24:173-190.
8. Calder I.R., Hall R.L., Bastable H.G., Gunston H.M., Shela O., Chirwa A., Kafundu R. The impact of land use change on water resources in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling study of Lake Malawi. Journal of Hydrology 1995, 170:123-135.
9. Calgary Economic Development, Demographics, 2010. http://www.calgaryeconomicdevelopment.com/liveWorkPlay/Live/demographics.cfm.
10. City of Calgary, 2005. Calgary Economic Outlook 2005-2015. City of Calgary Publications.
11. DeFries R., Eshleman K.N. Land-use change and hydrologic processes: a major focus for the future. Hydrological Processes 2004, 18:2183-2186. 10.1002/hyp.5584.
12. DHI, 2009. MIKE SHE User Manual Volume 2: Reference Guide.
13. DHI Water and Environment, 2010. Elbow River Watershed Hydrologic Modeling Final Report. Report Submitted to Alberta Environment.
14. ERWP, 2010. Elbow River Watershed Partnership. http://www.erwp.org/.
15. Fohrer N., Haverkamp S., Frede H.G. Assessment of the effects of land use patterns on hydrologic landscape functions: development of sustainable land use concepts for low mountain range areas. Hydrological Processes 2005, 19:659-675.
16. Golder Associates, 2008. Elbow River Cross Section Survey. Final Project Report Submitted to Alberta Environment, Canada.
17. Gustard A., Wesselink A.J. Impact of land-use change on water resources: Balquhidder catchments. Journal of Hydrology 1993, 145:389-401.
18. Haith D.A., Shoemaker I.L. Generalized watershed loading functions for stream flow nutrients. Water Resources Bulletin 1987, 107:121-137.
19. Harbor J.M. A practical method for estimating the impact of land-use change on surface runoff, groundwater recharge and wetland hydrology. Journal of the American Planning Association 1994, 60(1):95.
20. Hasbani, J.-G., 2008. Semi-automated Calibration of a Cellular Automata Model to Simulate Land-use Changes in the Calgary Region. Unpublished M.Sc. thesis, Department of Geomatics Engineering, University of Calgary, 96p.
21. Hasbani, J.-G., Wijesekara, N., Marceau, D.J., 2011. Semi-interactive method to calibrate a cellular automata model. Intech.
22. Heritage Community Foundation, 2002. Alberta's Resource Inventory. (web article). http://www.abheritage.ca/abresources/inventory/resources_soil_agriculture_today_crops.html.
23. Im S., Kim H., Kim C., Jang C. Assessing the impacts of land use changes on watershed hydrology using MIKE SHE. Environmental Geology 2009, 57:231-239.
24. Jenerette D.G., Wu J. Analysis and simulation of land-use change in the central Arizona - Phoenix region, USA. Landscape Ecology 2001, 16:611-626.
25. Kim, S.H., Park, J.H., Woo, C.S., Lee, K.S., 2005. Analysis of Temporal Variability of MODIS Leaf Area Index (LAI) Product over Temperate Forest in Korea. International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (IGARSS) 6. 1525880, pp. 4343-4346.
26. Li X., Yeh A.G.-O. Modelling sustainable urban development by the integration of constrained cellular automata and GIS. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 2000, 14(2):131-152.
27. Li L., Sato Y., Zhu H. Simulating spatial urban expansion based on a physical process. Landscape and Urban Planning 2003, 64(1-2):67-76.
28. Limerinos, J.T., 1970. Determination of the Manning Coefficient for Measured Bed Toughness in Natural Channels. Water Supply Paper 1898-B, US Geological Survey. Washington, D.C.
29. Lin Y.P., Hong N.M., Wu P.J., Wu C.F., Verburg P.H. Impacts of land use change scenarios on hydrology and land use patterns in the Wu-Tu watershed in Northen Taiwan. Landscape and Urban Planning 2007, 80(1-2):111-126.
30. Ménard A., Marceau D.J. Simulating the impact of forest management scenarios in an agricultural landscape of southern Quebec, Canada, using a geographic cellular automaton. Landscape and Urban Planning 2007, 79(3-4):253-265.
31. Meyboom P. Groundwater resources of the City of Calgary and vicinity. Edmonton Research Council of Alberta 1961, 72.
32. Moriasi D.N., Arnold J.G., Van Liew M.W., Bingner R.L., Harmel R.D., Veith T.L. Model evaluation guidelines for systematic quantification of accuracy in Watershed simulations. American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers 2007, 50(3):885-900.
33. Myneni, R., Knyazikhin, Y., Glassy, J., Votava, P., Shabanov, N., 2003. User's Guide FPAR, LAI (ESDT: MOD15A2) 8-day Composite NASA MODIS Land Algorithm, FPAR, LAI User's Guide. Terra MODIS Land Team (Report).
34. Niehoff D., Fritsch U., Bronstert A. Land-use impacts on storm-runoff generation: scenarios of land-use change and simulation of hydrological response in a meso-scale catchment in SW-Germany. Journal of Hydrology 2002, 267(1-2):80-93.
35. Oogathoo, S., 2006. Runoff Simulation in the Canagagigue Creek Watershed using the MIKE-SHE Model. Unpublished M.Sc. thesis. Department of Bioresource Engineering, Faculty of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.
36. Puliafito J.L. A transport model for the evolution of urban systems. Applied Mathematical Modelling 2006, 31(11):2391-2411.
37. Refsgaard J. Terminology, modeling protocol and classification of hydrological model codes. Distributed Hydrological Modeling 1996, 16-39.
38. Refsgaard J.C. Parameterization, calibration and validation of distributed hydrological models. Journal of Hydrology 1997, 198:69-97.
39. Sahoo G.B., Ray C., De Carlo E.H. Calibration and validation of a physically distributed hydrological model MIKE-SHE, to predict streamflow at high frequency in a flashy mountainous Hawaii stream. Journal of Hydrology 2006, 327(1-2):94-109.
40. Santé I., Garcia A.M., Miranda D., Crecente R. Cellular automata models for the simulation of real-world urban processes: a review and analysis. Landscape and Urban Planning 2010, 96:108-122.
41. Schindler D.W., Donahue W.F. An impending water crisis in Canada's western prairie provinces. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2006, 103(19):7210-7216.
42. Scurlock, J.M.O., Asner, G.P., Gower, S.T., 2001, Worldwide Historical estimates of Leaf Area Index, 1932-2000. DOE Scientific and Technical Information. (Article). http://www.osti.gov/bridge/.
43. Shen Z., Kawakami M., Kawamura I. Geosimulation model using geographic automata for simulating land-use patterns in urban partitions. Environment and Planning B 2009, 36:802-823.
44. Stevens D., Dragicevic S., Rothley K. iCity: A GIS-CA modelling tool for urban planning and decision making. Environmental Modelling & Software 2007, 22(6):761-773.
45. Task Committee on Hydrology Handbook of Management Group D of the American Society of Civil Engineers, 1996. Hydrology Handbook. second ed. ASCE, New York.
46. Thanapakpawin P., Richey J., Thomas D., Rodda S., Campbell B., Logsdon M. Effects of landuse change on the hydrologic regime of the Mae Chaem river basin, NW Thailand. Journal of Hydrology 2006, 334:215-230.
47. Verburg P.H., Soepboer W., Veldkamp A., Limpiada R., Espaldon V. Modeling the spatial dynamics of regional land use: the CLUE-s model. Environmental Management 2002, 30:391-405.
48. White R., Engelen G. High-resolution integrated modeling of the spatial dynamics of urban and regional systems. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 2000, 24:383-400.
49. Wijesekara, G.N., Marceau, D.J., 2009. Integrating a Land-use Cellular Automata (CA) Model with a Hydrological Model (MIKE-SHE) to Simulate the Impact of Land-use Changes on Water Resources in the Elbow River Watershed in Southern Alberta. Report Submitted to Alberta Environment.
50. Yang D., Herath S., Musiake K. Comparison of different distributed hydrological models for characterization of catchment spatial variability. Hydrological Processes 2000, 14(3):403-416.
51. Zeng X. Global vegetation root distribution for land modeling. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2001, 2(5):525-530.
52. Zimmermann B., Elsenbeer H., De Moraes J.M. The influence of land-use changes on soil hydraulic properties: implications for runoff generation. Forest Ecology and Management 2006, 222:29-38.