The tropical frontier in avian climate impact research

Ibis

Volumn 153, Issue 4, 2011, Pages 877-882

  Harris, J Berton C ^a   Sekercioglu, Cagan H ^b,d   Sodhi, Navjot S ^c   Fordham, Damien A ^a   Paton, David C ^a   Brook, Barry W ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ADELAIDE   (Australia)

^b STANFORD UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF SINGAPORE   (Singapore)

^d UNIVERSITY OF UTAH   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AVES;

EID: 80052576675     PISSN: 00191019     EISSN: 1474919X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1474-919X.2011.01166.x     Document Type: Note

References (71)

1. Akçakaya, H.R., Butchart, S.H.M., Mace, G.M., Stuart, S.N. & Hilton-Taylor, C. 2006. Use and misuse of the IUCN Red List Criteria in projecting climate change impacts on biodiversity. Global Change Biol. 12: 2037-2043.
2. Araújo, M.B. & Rahbek, C. 2006. How does climate change affect biodiversity? Science 313: 1396-1397.
3. Beaumont, L.J., Hughes, L. & Pitman, A.J. 2008. Why is the choice of future climate scenarios for species distribution modelling important? Ecol. Lett. 11: 1135-1146.
4. BirdLife International. 2009. Birdlife International Data Zone. Available at: (Accessed 11 May 2009).
5. Brook, B.W., Sodhi, N.S. & Bradshaw, C.J.A. 2008. Synergies among extinction drivers under global change. Trends Ecol. Evol. 23: 453-460.
6. Brook, B.W., Akçakaya, H.R., Keith, D.A., Mace, G.M., Pearson, R.G. & Araújo, M.B. 2009. Integrating bioclimate with population models to improve forecasts of species extinctions under climate change. Biol. Lett. 5: 723-725.
7. Chen, I.C., Shiu, H.-J., Benedick, S., Holloway, J.D., Chey, V.K., Barlow, H.S., Hill, J.K. & Thomas, C.D. 2009. Elevation increases in moth assemblages over 42years on a tropical mountain. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 106: 1479-1483.
8. Chen, I.C., Hill, J.K., Shiu, H.J., Holloway, J.D., Benedick, S., Chey, V.K., Barlow, H.S. & Thomas, C.D. 2011. Asymmetric boundary shifts of tropical montane Lepidoptera over four decades of climate warming. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 20: 34-45.
9. Colwell, R.K., Brehm, G., Cardelus, C.L., Gilman, A.C. & Longino, J.T. 2008. Global warming, elevational range shifts, and lowland biotic attrition in the wet tropics. Science 322: 258-261.
10. Crick, H.Q.P. 2004. The impact of climate change on birds. Ibis 146: 48-56.
11. Fordham, D.A., Akçakaya, H.R., Araújo, M.B. & Brook, B.W. In press. Modelling range shifts for invasive vertebrates in response to climate change. In Brodie, J., Post, E. & Doak, D. (eds) Wildlife Conservation in a Changing Climate: Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
12. Forero-Medina, G., Joppa, L. & Pimm, S.L. 2011. Constraints to species' elevational range shifts as climate changes. Conserv. Biol. 25: 163-171.
13. Gasner, M.R., Jankowski, J.E., Ciecka, A.L., Kyle, K.O. & Rabenold, K.N. 2010. Projecting the local impacts of climate change on a Central American montane avian community. Biol. Conserv. 143: 1250-1258.
14. Ghalambor, C.K., Huey, R.B., Martin, P.R., Tewksbury, J.J. & Wang, G. 2006. Are mountain passes higher in the tropics? Janzen's hypothesis revisited Integr. Comp. Biol. 46: 5-17.
15. Grosbois, V., Gimenez, O., Gaillard, J.M., Pradel, R., Barbraud, C., Clobert, J., Møller, A.P. & Weimerskirch, H. 2008. Assessing the impact of climate variation on survival in vertebrate populations. Biol. Rev. 83: 357-399.
16. Heikkinen, R.K., Luoto, M., Virkkala, R., Pearson, R.G. & Körber, J.H. 2007. Biotic interactions improve prediction of boreal bird distributions at macro-scales. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 16: 754-763.
17. Hole, D.G., Willis, S.G., Pain, D.J., Fishpool, L.D.C., Butchart, S.H.M., Collingham, Y.C., Rahbek, C. & Huntley, B. 2009. Projected impacts of climate change on a continent-wide protected area network. Ecol. Lett. 12: 1-12.
18. Isaac, J.L., Vanderwal, J., Johnson, C.N. & Williams, S.E. 2009. Resistance and resilience: quantifying relative extinction risk in a diverse assemblage of Australian tropical rainforest vertebrates. Divers. Distrib. 15: 280-288.
19. Jankowski, J.E., Robinson, S.K. & Levey, D.J. 2010. Squeezed at the top: interspecific aggression may constrain elevational ranges in tropical birds. Ecology 91: 1877-1884.
20. Jetz, W., Wilcove, D.S. & Dobson, A.P. 2007. Projected impacts of climate and land-use change on the global diversity of birds. PLoS Biol. 5: 1211-1219.
21. Kattan, G.H. 1992. Rarity and vulnerability: the birds of the Cordillera central of Colombia. Conserv. Biol. 6: 64-70.
22. Khamyong, S., Lykke, A.M., Seramethakun, D. & Barfod, A.S. 2004. Species composition and vegetation structure of an upper montane forest at the summit of Mt. Doi Inthanon, Thailand. Nord. J. Bot. 23: 83-97.
23. La Sorte, F.A. & Jetz, W. 2010a. Projected range contractions of montane biodiversity under global warming. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B doi:.
24. La Sorte, F.A. & Jetz, W. 2010b. Avian distributions under climate change: towards improved projections. J. Exp. Biol. 213: 862-869.
25. La Sorte, F.A. & Thompson, F.R. 2007. Poleward shifts in winter ranges of North American birds. Ecology 88: 1803-1812.
26. Laurance, W.F., Carolina Useche, D., Shoo, L.P., Herzog, S.K., Kessler, M., Escobar, F., Brehm, G., Axmacher, J.C., Chen, I.C., Gámez, L.A., Hietz, P., Fiedler, K., Pyrcz, T., Wolf, J., Merkord, C.L., Cardelus, C., Marshall, A.R., Ah-Peng, C., Aplet, G.H., del Coro Arizmendi, M., Baker, W. J., Barone, J., Brühl, C.A., Bussmann, R.W., Cicuzza, D., Eilu, G., Favila, M. E., Hemp, A., Hemp, C., Homeier, J., Hurtado, J., Jankowski, J., Kattán, G., Kluge, J., Krömer, T., Lees, D.C., Lehnert, M., Longino, J.T., Lovett, J., Martin, P.H., Patterson, B.D., Pearson, R.G., Peh, K.S. H., Richardson, B., Richardson, M., Samways, M.J., Senbeta, F., Smith, T.B., Utteridge, T.M. A., Watkins, J.E., Wilson, R., Williams, S.E. & Thomas, C.D. 2011. Global warming, elevational ranges and the vulnerability of tropical biota. Biol. Conserv. 144: 548-557.
27. Lenoir, J., Gegout, J.C., Marquet, P.A., de Ruffray, P. & Brisse, H. 2008. A significant upward shift in plant species optimum elevation during the 20th century. Science 320, 1768-1771.
28. Loarie, S.R., Duffy, P.B., Hamilton, H., Asner, G.P., Field, C.B. & Ackerly, D.D. 2009. The velocity of climate change. Nature 462: 1052-1055.
29. Magurran, A.E., Baillie, S.R., Buckland, S.T., Dick, J.M., Elston, D.A., Scott, E.M., Smith, R.I., Somerfield, P.J. & Watt, A.D. 2010. Long-term datasets in biodiversity research and monitoring: assessing change in ecological communities through time. Trends Ecol. Evol. 25: 574-582.
30. Manning, A.D., Fischer, J., Felton, A., Newell, B., Steffen, W. & Lindenmayer, D.B. 2009. Landscape fluidity - a unifying perspective for understanding and adapting to global change. J. Biogeogr. 36: 193-199.
31. Martin, T.E. 2007. Climate correlates of 20years of trophic changes in a high-elevation riparian system. Ecology 88: 367-380.
32. Miller-Rushing, A., Primack, R.B. & Sekercioglu, C.H. 2010. Conservation consequences of climate change for birds. In Møller, A.P., Fiedler, W. & Berthold, P. (eds) Effects of Climate Change on Birds: 295-309. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
33. Møller, A.P., Fiedler, W. & Berthold, P. 2010. Effects of Climate Change on Birds. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
34. Mooney, H., Larigauderie, A., Cesario, M., Elmquist, T., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Lavorel, S., Mace, G.M., Palmer, M., Scholes, R. & Yahara, T. 2009. Biodiversity, climate change, and ecosystem services. Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustainability 1: 46-54.
35. New, M., Liverman, D. & Anderson, K. 2009. Mind the gap. Nature Rep. Climate Change 0912: 143-144.
36. Newmark, W.D. 2006. A 16-year study of forest disturbance and understory bird community structure and composition in Tanzania. Conserv. Biol. 20: 122-134.
37. Parker, T.H., Becker, C.D., Sandercock, B.K. & Agreda, A.E. 2006. Apparent survival estimates for five species of tropical birds in an endangered forest habitat in western Ecuador. Biotropica 38: 764-769.
38. Parmesan, C. 2006. Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 37: 637-669.
39. Parmesan, C. & Yohe, G. 2003. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421: 37-42.
40. Peh, K.S.H. 2007. Potential effects of climate change on elevational distributions of tropical birds in Southeast Asia. Condor 109: 437-441.
41. Pounds, J.A., Fogden, M.P.L. & Campbell, J.H. 1999. Biological response to climate change on a tropical mountain. Nature 398: 611-615.
42. Pounds, J.A., Fogden, M.P.L. & Masters, K.L. 2005. Responses of natural communities to climate change in a highland tropical forest. In Lovejoy, T. & Hannah, L. (eds) Climate Change and Biodiversity: 70-74. New Haven: Yale University Press.
43. Price, T.D. & Kirkpatrick, M. 2009. Evolutionarily stable range limits set by interspecific competition. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 276: 1429-1434.
44. Raxworthy, C.J., Pearson, R.G., Rabibisoa, N., Rakotondrazafy, A.M., Ramanamanjato, J.B., Raselimanana, A.P., Wu, S., Nussbaum, R.A. & Stone, D.A. 2008. Extinction vulnerability of tropical montane endemism from warming and upslope displacement: a preliminary appraisal for the highest massif in Madagascar. Global Change Biol. 14: 1703-1720.
45. Restrepo, C., Gomez, N. & Heredia, S. 1999. Anthropogenic edges, treefall gaps, and fruit-frugivore interactions in a neotropical montane forest. Ecology 80: 668-685.
46. Ricklefs, R.E. & Bermingham, E. 2002. The concept of the taxon cycle in biogeography. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 11: 353-361.
47. Root, T.L., Price, J.T., Hall, K.R., Schneider, S.H., Rosenzweig, C. & Pounds, J.A. 2003. Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 421: 57-60.
48. Rosenzweig, C., Casassa, G., Karoly, D.J., Imeson, A., Liu, C., Menzel, A., Rawlins, S., Root, T.L., Seguin, B. & Tryjanowski, P. 2007. Assessment of observed changes and responses in natural and managed systems. In Parry, M.L., Canziani, O.F., Palutikof, J.P., Van Der Linden, P.J. & Hansen, C.E. (eds) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: 79-131. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
49. Rosenzweig, C., Karoly, D., Vicarelli, M., Neofotis, P., Wu, Q.G., Casassa, G., Menzel, A., Root, T.L., Estrella, N., Seguin, B., Tryjanowski, P., Liu, C.Z., Rawlins, S. & Imeson, A. 2008. Attributing physical and biological impacts to anthropogenic climate change. Nature 453: 353-357.
50. Sala, O.E., Chapin, F.S., Armesto, J.J., Berlow, E., Bloomfield, J., Dirzo, R., Huber-Sanwald, E., Huenneke, L.F., Jackson, R.B., Kinzig, A., Leemans, R., Lodge, D.M., Mooney, H.A., Oesterheld, M., Poff, N.L., Sykes, M.T., Walker, B.H., Walker, M. & Wall, D.H. 2000. Global biodiversity scenarios for the year 2100. Science 287, 1770-1774.
51. Seimon, T.A., Seimon, A., Daszak, P., Halloy, S.R.P., Schloegel, L.M., Aguilar, C.A., Sowell, P., Hyatt, A.D., Konecky, B. & E Simmons, J. 2007. Upward range extension of Andean anurans and chytridiomycosis to extreme elevations in response to tropical deglaciation. Global Change Biol. 13: 288-299.
52. Sekercioglu, C.H. 2007. Global warming creates a stairway to heaven. Available at:.
53. Sekercioglu, C.H. 2011. Functional extinctions of bird pollinators cause plant declines. Science 331: 1019-1020.
54. Sekercioglu, C.H., Schneider, S.H., Fay, J.P. & Loarie, S.R. 2008. Climate change, elevational range shifts, and bird extinctions. Conserv. Biol. 22: 140-150.
55. Shoo, L.P., Williams, S.E. & Hero, J.M. 2005. Potential decoupling of trends in distribution area and population size of species with climate change. Global Change Biol. 11: 1469-1476.
56. Shoo, L.P., Storlie, C., Vanderwal, J., Little, J. & Williams, S.E. 2011. Targeted protection and restoration to conserve tropical biodiversity in a warming world. Global Change Biol. 17: 186-193.
57. Sodhi, N.S., Koh, L.P., Brook, B.W. & Ng, P.K.L. 2004. Southeast Asian biodiversity: an impending disaster. Trends Ecol. Evol. 19: 654-660.
58. Sodhi, N.S., Koh, L.P. & Brook, B.W. 2006. Southeast Asian birds in peril. Auk 123: 275-277.
59. Sodhi, N.S., Sekercioglu, C.H., Barlow, J. & Robinson, S.K. 2011. Conservation of Tropical Birds. Oxford: Wiley Blackwell.
60. Stainforth, D.A., Aina, T., Christensen, C., Collins, M., Faull, N., Frame, D.J., Kettleborough, J.A., Knight, S., Martin, A., Murphy, J.M., Piani, C., Sexton, D., Smith, L.A., Spicer, R.A., Thorpe, A.J. & Allen, M.R. 2005. Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases. Nature 433: 403-406.
61. Tewksbury, J.J., Huey, R.B. & Deutsch, C.A. 2008. Putting the heat on tropical animals. Science 320: 1296-1297.
62. Thomas, C.D. & Lennon, J.J. 1999. Birds extend their ranges northwards. Nature 399: 213.
63. Thomas, C.D., Cameron, A., Green, R.E., Bakkenes, M., Beaumont, L.J., Collingham, Y.C., Erasmus, B.F.N., de Siqueira, M.F., Grainger, A., Hannah, L., Hughes, L., Huntley, B., van Jaarsveld, A.S., Midgley, G.F., Miles, L., Ortega-Huerta, M.A., Peterson, A.T., Phillips, O.L. & Williams, S.E. 2004. Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427: 145-148.
64. Tingley, M.W. & Beissinger, S.R. 2009. Detecting range shifts from historical species occurrences: new perspectives on old data. Trends Ecol. Evol. 24: 625-633.
65. Tryjanowski, P., Sparks, T.H. & Profus, P. 2005. Uphill shifts in the distribution of the white stork Ciconia ciconia in southern Poland: the importance of nest quality. Divers. Distrib. 11: 219-223.
66. Walther, G.R., Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T.J.C., Fromentin, J.M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O. & Bairlein, F. 2002. Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416: 389-395.
67. Wilhere, G.F. 2002. Adaptive management in habitat conservation plans. Conserv. Biol. 16: 20-29.
68. Williams, S.E., Bolitho, E.E. & Fox, S. 2003. Climate change in Australian tropical rainforests: an impending environmental catastrophe. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 270: 1887-1892.
69. Wormworth, J. & Sekercioglu, C.H. 2011. Winged Sentinels: Birds and Climate Change. New York: Cambridge University Press.
70. Wright, S.J., Muller-Landau, H.C. & Schipper, J. 2009. The future of tropical species on a warmer planet. Conserv. Biol. 23: 1418-1426.
71. Zuckerberg, B., Woods, A.M. & Porter, W.F. 2009. Poleward shifts in breeding bird distributions in New York State. Global Change Biol. 15: 1866-1883.