Modelling the hydrologic response of a mesoscale Andean watershed to changes in land use patterns for environmental planning

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Volumn 14, Issue 10, 2010, Pages 1963-1977

  Stehr, A ^a   Aguayo, M ^a   Link, O ^a   Parra, O ^a   Romero, F ^b   Alcayaga, H ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CONCEPCIÓN   (Chile)

^b National Water Agency   (Chile)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL LAND USE; CENTRAL CHILE; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; EUCALYPTUS GLOBULUS; EXOTIC SPECIES; HEURISTIC RULES; HYDROLOGIC RESPONSE; INTRODUCED SPECIES; LAND USE PATTERN; LAND-USE SCENARIO; LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODELS; MESOSCALE; MULTI-DISCIPLINARY APPROACH; PHYSICALLY BASED; PINUS RADIATA; RUNOFF MODEL;

FORESTRY; LANDFORMS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; WATER RESOURCES; WATERSHEDS;

LAND USE;

CALIBRATION; COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONIFEROUS TREE; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; LAND USE; LOGISTICS; MESOSCALE METEOROLOGY; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER RESOURCE; WATERSHED;

FORESTRY; LAND USE; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; WATER RESOURCES; WATER SHEDS;

CHILE;

EUCALYPTUS; EUCALYPTUS GLOBULUS; PINUS RADIATA;

EID: 77958168184     PISSN: 10275606     EISSN: 16077938     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/hess-14-1963-2010     Document Type: Article

References (68)

1. Aguayo, M., Pauchard, A., Azocar, G., and Parra, O.: Land use change in South-central Chile by the end of the XX century. Understanding spatial and temporary landscape dynamics, Rev. Chil. Hist. Nat., 82, 361-374. 2009 (in Spanish).
2. Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., and Smith, M.: Crop Evapotranspiration: Guidelines for Computing Crop Water Requirements, FAO Irrigat. Drainage, Rome, 1998.
3. Altamirano, A., Echeverŕ a, C., and Lara, A.: Effect of forest fragmentation on the vegetation structure of threatened populations of Legrandia concinna (Myrtaceae) in the center-south of Chile, Rev. Chil. Hist. a Nat., 80, 27-42, 2007 (in Spanish). (Pubitemid 46639906)
4. Anderson, M. G. and Burt, T. P.: Process studies in hillslope hydrology, John Wiley and Sons Ltd, England, 1990.
5. Antonioletti, R., Gonzalez, P., and Ortega, S.: Comparative analysis of methods for estimating evapotranspiration in the Maule region of Chile, Agro-Ciencia (Chile), 14, 435-440, 1998 (in Spanish).
6. Arnold, J. C., Allen, P. M., and Bernhardt, G.: A comprehensive surface groundwater flow model, J. Hydrol., 142, 47-69, 1993. (Pubitemid 23381748)
7. Arnold, J. G., Allen, P. M. Muttiah, R., and Bernhardt, G.: Automated base flow separation and recession analysis techniques, Ground Water, 33, 1010-1018, 1995.
8. Arnold, J. G., Srinivasan, R., Muttiah, R. S., and Williams, J. R.: Large area hydrologic modeling and assessment - Part 1: Model development, J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc., 34, 73-89, 1998. (Pubitemid 28190080)
9. Arnold, J. G. and Allen, P. M.: Automated methods for estimating baseflow and ground water recharge from streamflow records, JAWRA, 35, 411-424, 1999.
10. Arnold, J. G., Muttiah, R. S., Srinivasan, R., and Allen, P. M.: Regional estimation of base flow and groundwater recharge in the upper Mississippi basin, J. Hydrol., 227, 21-40, 2000. (Pubitemid 30104916)
11. Arnold, J. G. and Fohrer, N.: SWAT2000: current capabilities and research opportunities in applied watershed modeling, Hydrol. Processes, 19, 563-572, 2005. (Pubitemid 40289981)
12. Bosch, J. M. and Hewlett, J. D.: A review of catchment experiments to determine the effect of vegetation changes on water yield and evapotranspiration, J. Hydrol., 55, 3-23, 1982. (Pubitemid 12261168)
13. Breuer, L. and Huisman, J. A.: Assessing the impact of land use change on hydrology by ensemble modeling (LUCHEM), Adv. Water Resour., 32, 127-128, 2009.
14. Bronstert, A., Niehoff, D., and Burger, G.: Effects of climate and land-use change on storm runoff generation: present knowledge and modeling capabilities, Hydrol. Processes, 16, 509-529, 2002. (Pubitemid 34137766)
15. Brown, A. E., Zhang, L., McMahon, T. A., Western, A. W., and Vertessy, R. A.: A review of paired catchment studies for determining changes in water yield resulting from alterations in vegetation, J. Hydrol., 310, 28-61, 2005. (Pubitemid 40837283)
16. Centro de Informacíon de Recursos Naturales (CIREN): Estudio Agroĺogico VIII Regíon. Descripcíon de Suelos, Materiales y ś mbolos. Tomos 1 y 2, CIREN CORFO, Santiago, Chile, 1999.
17. Centro de Informacíon de Recursos Naturales (CIREN): Estudio Agroĺogico IX Regíon. Descripcíon de Suelos, Materiales y śmbolos, CIREN CORFO, Santiago, Chile, 1999.
18. Corporacíon Nacional Forestal - Comisíon Nacional del Medio Ambiente - Banco Interamericano de Reconstruccíon y Fomento (CONAMA-CONAF-BIRF): Catastro y evaluacíon de los recursos vegetacionales nativos de Chile. Informe Regional, Octava Regíon, CONAF-CONAMA, Santiago, Chile, 1999.
19. Costa, M. H., Botta, A., and Cardille, J. A.: Effects of large-scale changes in land cover on the discharge of the Tocantins River, Southeastern Amazonia, J. Hydrol., 283, 206-217, 2003. (Pubitemid 37435804)
20. Croke, B. F. W., Merritt, W. S., and Jakeman, A. J.: A dynamic model for predicting hydrologic response to land cover changes in gauged and ungauged catchments, J. Hydrol., 291, 115-131, 2004.
21. Droogers, P. and Allen, R. G.: Estimating reference evapotranspiration under inaccurate data conditions, Irrigat. Drainage Syst., 16, 33-45, doi:10.1023/A:1015508322413, 2002. (Pubitemid 34641895)
22. Duan, Q., Sorooshian, S., and Gupta, V.: Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models, Water Resour. Res., 28, 1015-1031, 1992.
23. Echeverŕa C, Coomes, D., Salas, J., Rey-Benayas, J. M., Lara, A., and Newton, A.: Rapid deforestation and fragmentation of Chilean temperate forests, Biol. Conserv., 130, 481-494, 2006.
24. Echeverŕa, C., Newton, A., Lara, A., Rey-Benayas, J. M., and Coomes, D.: Impacts of forest fragmentation on species composition and forest structure in the temperate landscape of southern Chile, Global Ecol. Biogeogr., 16, 426-439, 2007. (Pubitemid 46916994)
25. Eckhardt, K., Breuer, L., and Frede, H. G.: Parameter uncertainty and the significance of simulated land use change effects, J. Hydrol., 273, 164-176, 2003. (Pubitemid 36260967)
26. Escobar, F. and Vidal, F.: Experience on the determination of the snowline in drainage basins of central Chile, Sociedad de Ingenier ́ a Hidŕaulica Revista (Santiago), 2, 5-18, 1992 (in Spanish).
27. Fohrer, N., Haverkamp, S., Eckhardt, K., and Frede, H. G.: Hydrologic response to land use changes on the catchment scale, Physics Chem. Earth: B: Hydrol., Oceans Atmosphere, 26, 577-582, 2001. (Pubitemid 32579704)
28. Fohrer, N., Haverkamp, S., and Frede, H. G.: Assessment of the effects of land use patterns on hydrologic landscape functions: development of sustainable land use concepts for low mountain range areas, Hydrol. Processes, 19, 659-672, 2005. (Pubitemid 40294701)
29. Foley, J. A., DeFries, R., Asner, G. P., Barford, C., Bonan, G., Carpenter, S. R., Chapin, F. S., Coe, M. T., Daily, G. C., Gibbs, H. K., Helkowski, J. H., Holloway, T., Howard, E. A., Kucharik, C. J., Monfreda, C., Patz, J. A., Prentice, I. C., Ramankutty, N., and Snyder, P. K.: Global consequences of land use, Science, 309, 570-574, 2005. (Pubitemid 41033633)
30. Fontaine, T. A., Cruickshank, T. S., and Arnold, J. G.: Development of a snowfall - snowmelt routine for mountainous terrain for the soil water assessment tool (SWAT), J. Hydrol, 262, 209-223, 2002.
31. Hejazi, M. I. and Moglen, G. E.: The effect of climate and land use change on flow duration in the Maryland Piedmont region, Hydrol. Processes, 22, 4710-4722, 2008.
32. Holvoet, K., van Griensven, A., Seuntjens, P., and Vanrolleghem, P. A.: Sensitivity analysis for hydrology and pesticide supply towards the river in SWAT, Phys. Chem. Earth, 30, 518-526, 2005. (Pubitemid 41510298)
33. Irouḿe, A., Huber, A., Salazar, C., and Arriagada, A.: Monitoring and quantification of the hydric processes in an Andean watershed, IX Region, Chile, VI Jornadas del CONAPHI-Chile, Santiago, Chile, 1999 (in Spanish).
34. Jenerette, G. D. and Larsen, L.: A global perspective on changing sustainable urban water supplies, Global Planet. Change, 50, 202-211, 2006. (Pubitemid 43673891)
35. Jensen, M. E., Burman, R. D., and Allen, R. G.: Evapotranspiration and irrigation ẃater requirements, ASCE Manuals and Reports on Engineering Practice, No.70, ASCE, New York, USA, 332 pp, 1990.
36. Kannan, N., White, S., Worrall, F., and Whelan, M.: Modelling pollutants in runoff from the Colworth experimental Catchment, Proceedings of the 2nd International SWAT Conference, Bari, Italy, 149-154, 2003.
37. Kannan, N., White, S. M., Worrall, F., and Whelan, M. J.: Sensitivity analysis and identification of the best evapotranspiration and runoff options for hydrological modelling in SWAT-2000, J. Hydrol., 332, 456-466, 2007. (Pubitemid 46017040)
38. Klocking, B. and Haberlandt, U.: Impact of land use changes on water dynamics-a case study in temperate meso and macroscale river basins, Physics Chem. Earth: B: Hydrol., Oceans Atmosphere, 27, 619-629, 2002.
39. Klocking, B., Strobl, B., Knoblauch, S., Maier, U., Pfutzner, B., and Gericke, A.: Development and allocation of land-use scenarios in agriculture for hydrological impact studies, Physics Chem. Earth: B: Hydrol., Oceans Atmosphere, 28, 1311-1321, 2003. (Pubitemid 37477371)
40. Lahmer, W., Pfutzner, B., and Becker, A.: Assessment of land use and climate change impacts on the mesoscale, Physics Chem. Earth: B: Hydrol., Oceans Atmosphere, 26, 565-575, 2001. (Pubitemid 32579703)
41. Liu, Y. B., Gebremeskel, S., De Smedt, F., and Pfister, L.: Flood prediction with theWetSpa model on catchment scale, Flood Defence 2002, Wu, B. S., Wang, Z. Y., Huang, G. H., Fang, H. W., and Huang, J. C., Science Press, New York Ltd., ISBN 1-880132-54-0, 2002.
42. Mark, A. F. and Dickinson, K. J. M.: Maximizing water yield with indigenous non-forest vegetation: a New Zealand perspective, Front. Ecol. Environ., 6, 25-34, 2008.
43. Montgomery, D. R. and Buffington, J. M.: Channel-reach morphology in mountain drainage basins, Geol. Soc. Am. Bull., 109, 596-611, 1997. (Pubitemid 27457128)
44. Morris, M. D.: Factorial sampling plans for preliminary computational experiments, Technometrics, 33, 161-174, 1991.
45. Naef, F., Scherrer, S., and Weiler, M.: A process based assessment of the potential to reduce flood runoff by land use change, J. Hydrol., 267, 74-79, 2002.
46. Neitsch, S. L., Arnold, J. G., Kiniry, J. R., Srinivasan, R., and Williams, J. R.: Soil and Water Assessment Tool User's Manual Version 2000, Texas Water Resources Institute TR-192, College Station, TX., 2002.
47. Ott, B. and Uhlenbrook, S.: Quantifying the impact of land-use changes at the event and seasonal time scale using a processoriented catchment model, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 8, 62-78, doi:10.5194/hess-8-62-2004, 2004. (Pubitemid 38688451)
48. Peñaa, H., Vidal, F., Escobar, F., and Stowhas, L.: Snowmelt rates estimation, VII Congreso de Ingenieŕa Hidŕaulica, Concepcíon, Chile, 1985 (in Spanish).
49. Pizarro, R., Tapia, M., Roḿan, L., Jord́an, C., and Faŕas, C.: Chile. Instantaneous runoff coefficients for Tutuv́en river basin, Maule Region, Chile, Bosque, 27, 83-91, 2006 (in Spanish).
50. Postel, S. L., Daily, G. C., and Ehrlich, P. R.: Human appropriation of renewable fresh water, Science, 271, 785-788, 1996. (Pubitemid 26058928)
51. Saavedra, C. and Stowhas, L.: Calculation and critical analysis of the curve number method for watershed of the country, XVI Congreso de Ingenieŕ a Hidŕaulica, Santiago, Chile, 2003 (in Spanish).
52. Saghravani, S., Mustapha, S., Ibrahim, S., and Randjbaran, E.: Comparison of Daily and Monthly Results of Three Evapotranspiration Models in Tropical Zone: A Case Study, Am. J. Environ. Sci., 5, 698-705, 2009.
53. Sahin, V. and Hall, M. J.: The effects of afforestation and deforestation on water yields, J. Hydrol., 178, 293-309, 1996. (Pubitemid 27002142)
54. Spruill, C. A., Workman, S. R., and Taraba, J. L.: Simulation of daily and monthly stream discharge from small watersheds using the SWAT model, Trans. ASAE, 43, 1431-1439, 2000.
55. Stednick, J. D.: Monitoring the effects of timber harvest on annual water yield, J. Hydrol., 176, 79-95, 1996. (Pubitemid 27002144)
56. Stehr, A., Debels, P., Romero, F., and Alcayaga, H.: Hydrological modelling with SWAT under limited conditions of data availability: evaluation of results from a Chilean case study, J. Hydrol. Sci., 53, 588-601, 2008. (Pubitemid 351850441)
57. Stehr, A., Debels, P., Aruḿ J. L., Romero, F., and Alcayaga, H.: Combining discharge data and MODIS imagery for evaluating the performance of SWAT and its snowmelt routine in a small Andean basin, Chile, J. Hydrol. Sci., 54, 1053-1067, 2009.
58. Stowhas, L.: Use of the curve number method in heterogenous watersheds, XVI Congreso de Ingenieŕ a Hidŕaulica, Santiago, Chile, 2003 (in Spanish).
59. Thanapakpawin, P., Richey, J., Thomas, D., Rodda, S., Campbell, B., and Logsdon, M.: Effects of landuse change on the hydrologic regime of the Mae Chaem river basin, NW Thailand, J. Hydrol., 334, 215-230, 2007. (Pubitemid 46148959)
60. Uhlenbrook, S., Roser, S., and Tilch, N.: Development of a distributed, but conceptual catchment model to represent hydrological processes adequately at the meso scale, J. Hydrol., 291, 278-296, 2004.
61. Veldkamp, A. and Lambin, E. F.: Predicting land-use change, Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 85, 1-6, 2001.
62. Verburg, P. H., Soepboer, W., Veldkamp, A., Limpiada, R., Espaldon, V., and Mastura, S. S. A.: Modeling the spatial dynamics of regional land use: The CLUE-S model, Environ. Manage., 30, 391-405, 2002. (Pubitemid 36927550)
63. Van Griensven, A. and Bauwens, W.: Multiobjective autocalibration for semidistributed water quality models, Water Resour. Res., 39, 1348, doi:10.1029/2003WR002284, 2003. (Pubitemid 38231354)
64. Van Griensven, A., Meixner, T., Grunwald, S., Bishop, T., and Sirinivasan, R.: A global sensitivity analysis tool for the parameters of multi-variable catchment models, J. Hydrol., 324, 10-23, 2006. (Pubitemid 43744502)
65. Van Liew, M. W., Arnold, J. G., and Bosch, D. D.: Problems and potential of autocalibrating a hydrologic model, Trans. ASAE, 48, 1025-1040, 2005.
66. Van Roosmalen, L., Sonnenborg, T. O., and Jensen, K. H.: Impact of climate and land use change on the hydrology of a largescale agricultural catchment, Water Resour. Res., 45, W00A15, doi:10.1029/2007WR006760, 2009.
67. Vitousek, P. M., Mooney, H. A., Lubchenco, J., and Melillo, J. M.: Human domination of Earth's ecosystems, Science, 277, 494-499, 1997. (Pubitemid 27368986)
68. Wilk, J., Andersson, L., and Plermkamon, V.: Hydrological impacts of forest conversion to agriculture in a large river basin in northeast Thailand, Hydrol. Processes, 15, 2729-2748, 2001. (Pubitemid 32997172)