Field-level validation of a CLIMEX model for cactoblastis cactorum (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) using estimated larval growth rates

Environmental Entomology

Volumn 39, Issue 2, 2010, Pages 368-377

  Legaspi Jr , Benjamin C ^a,b   Legaspi, Jesusa Crisostomo ^a  

^a AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH SERVICE   (United States)

^b State of Florida ^*  (United States)

Author keywords

Bioclimatic models; Cactoblastis cactorum; Cactus moth; Climate envelope; Model validation

Indexed keywords

BIOCLIMATOLOGY; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; FIELD METHOD; GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION; GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE; GROWTH RATE; LARVAL DEVELOPMENT; MODEL VALIDATION; MOTH; PEST SPECIES;

ANIMAL; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; CACTACEAE; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING; LARVA; MOTH; VALIDATION STUDY;

ANIMALS; CACTACEAE; LARVA; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; MOTHS;

AUSTRALIA; CARIBBEAN ISLANDS; INDIA; KENYA; NORTH AMERICA; PAKISTAN; SOUTHEAST ASIA; SOUTHERN AFRICA;

CACTACEAE; CACTOBLASTIS CACTORUM; HEXAPODA; LEPIDOPTERA; PYRALIDAE;

EID: 77952682764     PISSN: 0046225X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1603/EN08248     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Addison, S. J., T. Farrell, G. N. Roberts, and D. J. Rogers. 2007. Roadside surveys support predictions of negligible naturalisation potential for cotton (Gossypium hirsutum) in north-east Australia. Weed Res. 47(3): 192-201.
2. Baker, R. H., A.C.E. Sansford, C. H. Jarvis, R.J.C. Cannon, A. MacLeod, and K.F.A. Walters. 2000. The role of climatic mapping in predicting the potential geographical distribution of non-indigenous pests under current and future climates. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 82: 57-71.
3. Bloem, K. S. Bloem, H. Carpenter, S. Hight, J. Floyd, and H. Zimmermann. 2007. DonÕt let Cacto blast us: development of a bi-national plan to stop the spread of the cactus moth Cactoblastis cactorum in North America, pp. 337- 344. In M.J.B. Vreysen, A. S. Robinson, and J. Hendrichs (eds.), Area-wide control of insect pests. Springer, New York.
4. Capinera, J. L. (ed.). 2008. Encyclopedia of entomology. Springer, New York.
5. [CRS] Creative Research Systems. 2004. CLIMEX and DYMEX: CLIMEX applications. (http://www. climatemodel.com/climAppl.htm).
6. Davis, A. J., L. S. Jenkinson, J. H. Lawton, B. Shorrocks, and S. Wood. 1998. Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming. Nature 391: 783-786.
7. Davis, A. J., J. H. Lawton, B. Shorrocks, and L. S. Jenkinson. 1998b. Individualistic species responses invalidate simple physiological models of community dynamics under global environmental change. J. Anim. Ecol. 67: 600-612.
8. Gevrey, M., and S. P. Worner. 2006. Prediction of global distribution of insect pest species in relation to climate by using an ecological informatics method. J. Econ. Entomol. 99: 979-986.
9. Goolsby, J. A., P. J. DeBarro, A. A. Kirk, R. W. Sutherst, L. Canas, M. A. Ciomperlik, P. C. Ellsworth, J. R. Gould, D. M. Hartley, and K. A. Hoelmer. 2005. Post-release evaluation of biological control of Bemisia tabaci biotype "B" in the USA and the development of predictive tools to guide introductions for other countries. Biol. Control 32: 70-77.
10. Gullan, P. J., and P. S. Cranston. 2005. The insects: an outline of entomology, 3rd ed. Blackwell Publishing. Malden, MA.
11. Habeck, D. H., and F. D. Bennett. 1990. Cactoblastis cactorum (Berg) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae), a phycitine new to Florida. Entomol. Circ. 333.
12. Heikkinen, R. K., M. Luoto, M. B. Araú jo, R. Virkkala, W. Thuiller, and M. T. Sykes. 2006. Methods and uncertainties in bioclimatic modeling under climate change. Prog. Phys. Geog. 30: 1-27.
13. Hernandez Baeza, J. 2006. Detection of an outbreak of cactus moth(Cactoblastis cactorum) inIsla Mujeres,QuintanaRoo, Mexico. North American Plant Protection Organization. (http://www.pestalert.org/oprDetail.cfm?oprID- 216).
14. Hight, S. D., J. E. Carpenter, K. A. Bloem, S. Bloem, R. W. Pemberton, and P. Stiling. 2002. Expanding geographical range of Cactoblastis cactorum (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in North America. Fla. Entomol. 85: 527-529.
15. Hight, S. D., J. E. Carpenter, S. Bloem, and K. A. Bloem. 2005. Developing a sterile insect release program for Cactoblastis cactorum (Berg): effective overßooding ratios and release-recapture field studies. Environ. Entomol. 34: 850-856.
16. Hight, S. D., and J. E. Carpenter. 2009. Flight phenology of male Cactoblastis cactorum (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) at different latitudes in the southeastern United States. Fla. Entomol. 92: 208-216.
17. Hodkinson, I. D. 1999. Species response to global environmental change or why ecophysiological models are important: a reply to Davis et al. J. Anim. Ecol. 68: 1259-1262.
18. [IPCC-TGCIA] Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Task Group on Scenarios for Climate Impact Assessment.1999. Guidelines on the use of scenario data for climate impact and adaptation assessment. 73: 569-576.
19. Irish, M. 2001. The ornamental prickly pear industry in the southwestern United States. Fla. Entomol. 84: 484-485.
20. Jeschke, J. M., and D. L. Strayer. 2008. Usefulness of bioclimatic models for studying climate change and invasive species, pp. 1-24. In R. S. Ostfeld and W. H. Schlesinger (eds.), Year in ecology and conservation biology 2008. New York Academy of Science, New York.
21. Lawton, J. H. 1998. Small earthquakes in Chile and climatic change. Oikos 82: 209-211.
22. Legaspi, J. C., and B. C. Legaspi, Jr. 2007a. Bioclimatic model of the spined soldier bug (Podisus maculiventris) using CLIMEX: testing model predictions at two spatial scales. J. Entomol. Sci. 42: 533-547.
23. Legaspi, J. C., and B. C. Legaspi, Jr. 2007b. Life table analysis for Cactoblastis cactorum immatures and female adults under five constant temperatures: implications for pest management. Ann. Entomol. Soc. Am. 100: 497-505.
24. Legaspi, J. C., and B. C. Legaspi, Jr. 2008. Cactus moth, Cactoblastis cactorum (Berg) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae), pp. 696-703. In J. L. Capinera (ed.), Encyclopedia of entomology. Springer, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
25. Legaspi, J. C., I. Baez, and B. C. Legaspi, Jr. 2009a. Phenology and egg production of the cactus moth (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae): comparison of field census data and life stage development in the field. J. Entomol. Sci. 44: 341-352.
26. Legaspi, J. C., I. Baez, and B. C. Legaspi, Jr. 2009b. Reproduction, longevity and survival of Cactoblastis cactorum (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) Ann. Entomol. Soc. Am. 102: 445-449.
27. McLean, S. C., K. A. Bloem, S. Bloem, S. D. Hight, and J. E. Carpenter. 2006. Effect of temperature and length of exposure time on percent egg hatch of Cactoblastis cactorum (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae). Fla. Entomol. 89: 340- 347.
28. Norval, R.A.I., and B. D. Perry. 1990. Introduction, spread and subsequent disappearance of the brown ear-tick, Rhipicephalus appendiculatus, from the southern lowveld of Zimbabwe. Exp. Appl. Acarol. 9: 103-111.
29. Parmesan, C., S. Gaines, L. Gonzalez, D. M. Kaufman, J. Kingsolver, A. T. Peterson, and R. Sagarin. 2005. Empirical perspectives on species borders: from traditional biogeography to global change. Oikos 108: 58-75.
30. Pearson, R. G., and T. P. Dawson. 2003. Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful? Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 12: 361-371.
31. Perez-Sandi, M. 2001. Addressing the threat of Cactoblastis cactorum (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) to Opuntia in Mexico. Fla. Entomol. 84: 499-502.
32. Pollet, D. K. 2009. Pest alertsÑcactus moth. Louisiana State University AgrCenter. (http://www.lsuagcenter.com/en/ environment/insects/Pest- Alerts/Cactus-Moth.htm).
33. Rafoss, T., and M.-G. Sæthre. 2003. Spatial and temporal distribution of bioclimatic potential for the codling moth and the Colorado potato beetle in Norway: model predictions versus climate and field data from the 1990s. Agric. Forest Entomol. 5: 75-85.
34. Raghu, S., and C. Walton. 2007. Understanding the ghost of Cactoblastis past: historical clarifications on a poster child of classical biological control BioScience 57: 699-705.
35. Rogers, D. J., R. E. Reid, J. J. Rogers, and S. J. Addison. 2007. Prediction of the naturalisation potential and weediness risk of transgenic cotton in Australia. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 119: 177-189.
36. Samways, M. J., R. Osborn, H. Hastings, and V. Hattingh. 1999. Global climate change and accuracy of prediction of speciesÕ geographical ranges: establishment success of introduced ladybirds (Coccinellidae, Chilocorus spp.) worldwide. J. Biogeogr. 26: 795-812.
37. Simonson, S. E., T. J. Stohlgren, L. Tyler, W. P. Gregg, R. Muir, and L. J. Garrett. 2005. Preliminary assessment of the potential impacts and risks of the invasive cactus moth, Cactoblastis cactorum Berg, in the U.S. and Mexico. Final Report to the International Atomic Energy Agency, 25 April 2005. IAEA, Vienna, Austria.
38. Soberó n, J., and A. T. Peterson. 2005. Interpretation of models of fundamental ecological niches and speciesÕ distributional areas. Biodivers. Inform. 2: 1-10.
39. Soberó n, J., J. Golubov, and J. Sarukhan. 2001. The importance of Opuntia in Mexico and routes of invasion and impact of Cactoblastis cactorum (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae). Fla. Entomol. 84: 486-492.
40. Sutherst,R.W. 1998. Implications of globalchangeandclimate variability for vector-borne diseases: generic approaches to impact assessments. Int. J. Parasitol. 28: 935-945.
41. Sutherst, R. W. 2004. Global change and human vulnerability to vector-borne diseases. Clin. Microbiol. Rev. 17: 136-173.
42. Sutherst, R. W., and G. F. Maywald. 1985. A computerised system for matching climates in ecology. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 13: 281-299.
43. Sutherst, R. W., and G. F. Maywald. 1991. Climate-matching for quarantine, using CLIMEX. Plant Prot. Quart. 6: 3-7.
44. Sutherst, R. W., and G. Maywald. 2005. A climate model of the red imported fire ant, Solenopsis invicta Buren (Hymenoptera: Formicidae): implications for invasion ofnew regions, particularly Oceania. Environ. Entomol. 34: 317- 335.
45. Sutherst, R. W., and A. S. Bourne. 2008. Modelling nonequilibrium distributions of invasive species: a tale of two modeling paradigms. Biol. Invasions. (DOI: 10.1007/ s10530-008-9335-x).
46. Sutherst, R. W., G. F. Maywald, W. Bottomley, and A. Bourne. 2004. CLIMEX v2: userÕs guide. CSIRO, Queensland, Australia.
47. Venette, R. C., and S. D. Cohen. 2006. Potential climatic suitability for establishment of Phytophthora ramorum within the contiguous United States. Forest Ecol. Manag. 231: 18-26.
48. Vera, M. T., R. Rodriguez, D. F. Segura, J. L. Cladera, and R.W.Sutherst. 2002. Potential geographical distribution of the Mediterranean fruit ßy, Ceratitis capitata (Diptera: Tephritidae), with emphasis on Argentina and Australia. Environ. Entomol. 31: 1009-1022.
49. Vigueras, G.A.L., and L. Portillo. 2001. Uses of Opuntia species and the potential impact of Cactoblastis cactorum (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in Mexico. Fla. Entomol. 84: 493-498.
50. Yonow, T., D. J. Kriticos, and R. W. Medd. 2004. The potential geographic range of Pyrenophora semeiperda. Phytopathology 94: 805-812.
51. Zimmermann, H. G., V. C. Moran, and J. H. Hoffmann. 2000. The renowned cactus moth, Cactoblastis cactorum: its natural history and threat to native Opuntia ßoras in Mexico and the United States of America. Divers. Distrib. 6: 259-269.
52. Zimmermann, H. G., S. Bloem, and H. Klein. 2004. Biology, history, threat, surveillance and control of the cactus moth, Cactoblastis cactorum. International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna, Austria.