How weil do IPCC-AR4/CMIP3 climate models simulate global dimming/brightening and twentieth-century daytime and nighttime warming?

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres

Volumn 114, Issue 9, 2009, Pages

  Wild, Martin ^a  

^a Land Climate Dynamics Group   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; GLOBAL WARMING; SOLAR RADIATION; SUN;

COUPLED MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT; DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RANGES; GLOBAL DIMMING; GLOBAL DIMMING/BRIGHTENING; GLOBAL LAND SURFACE; HIGHLY-CORRELATED; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGES; SURFACE SOLAR RADIATION; TWENTIETH CENTURY;

CLIMATE MODELS;

CLIMATE MODELING; DECADAL VARIATION; DIURNAL VARIATION; GLOBAL WARMING; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE; SOLAR RADIATION; TWENTIETH CENTURY;

EID: 77951905128     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2008JD011372     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Alport, P., P. Kishcha, Y. J. Kaufman, and R. Schwarzbard (2005), Global dimming or local, dimming?: Effect of urbanization on sunlight availability, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L17802, doi:10.1029/2005GL023320.
2. Bond, T. C., E. Bhardwaj, R. Dong, R. Jogani, S. Jung, C. Roden, D. G. Streets, and N. M. Trautmann (2007), Historical emissions of black and organic carbon aerosol from energy-related combustion, 1850-2000, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 21, GB2018, doi:10.1029/2006GB002840.
3. Bristow, K. L., and S. Campbell (1984), On the relationship between, incoming solar radiation and daily maximum and minimum temperature, Agric. For Meteorol, 31, 159-166, doi:10.1016/0168-1923(84)90017-0.
4. Brohan, P., J. J. Kennedy, I. Harris, S. F. B. Tett, and P. D. Jones (2006), Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed, temperature changes: A new dataset from 1850, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D12106, doi:10.1029/2005JD006548.
5. Dai, A., K. E. Trenberth, and T. R. Karl (1999), Effects of clouds, soil moisture, precipitation, and water vapor on diurnal temperature range, J. Clim., 12, 2451-2473, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<2451: EOCSMP>2.0.CO;2.
6. Easterling, D. R., et al. (1997), Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe, Science, 277, 364-367, doi: 10.1126/science.277.5324.364.
7. Evan, A. T., A. K. Heidinger, and D. J. Vimont (2007), Arguments against a physical, long-term trend in global ISCCP cloud amounts, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L04701, doi:10.1029/2006GL028083.
8. Gilgen, H., M. Wild, and A. Ohmura (1998), Means and trends of shortwave irradiance at the surface estimated from Global Energy Balance Archive Data, J. Clim., 11, 2042-2061.
9. Hatzianastassiou, N., et al. (2005), Global distribution of Earth's surface shortwave radiation budget, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, 2847-2867.
10. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by S. Solomon et al., Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
11. Karl, T. R., et al. (1993), Asymmetric trends of daily maximum and minimum temperature, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 74, 1007-1023, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1993)074<1007:ANPORG>2.0.CO;2.
12. Kukla, G., J. Gavin, M. Schlesinger, and T. Karl (1995), Comparison of observed seasonal temperature maxima, minima and diurnal range in North America with simulations from three global climate models, Atmos. Res., 37, 267-275, doi:10.1016/0169-8095(94)00082-O.
13. Liepert, B. G. (2002), Observed reductions of surface solar radiation at sites in the United States and worldwide from 1961 to 1990, Geophys. Res. Lett, 29(10), 1421, doi:10.1029/2002GL014910.
14. Liu, B., M. Xu, M. Henderson, Y Qi, and Y Li (2004), Taking China's temperature: Daily range, warming trends, and regional variations, 1.955-2000, J. Clim., 17, 4453-4462, doi:10.1175/3230.1.
15. Makowski, K., M. Wild, and A. Ohmura (2008), Diurnal temperature range over Europe between 1950 and 2005, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 6483-6498.
16. Makowski, K., E. Jäger, M. Chiacchio, M. Wild, E. Tracy, and A. Ohmura (2009), On the relationship between diurnal temperature range and surface solar radiation in Europe, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D00D07, doi:10.1029/ 2008JD011104.
17. Mishchenko, M. I., I. V. Geogdzhayev, W. B. Rossow, B. Cairns, B. E. Carlson, A. A. Lacis, L. Liu, and L. D. Travis (2007), Long-term satellite record reveals likely recent aerosol trend, Science, 315, 1543, doi.:10.1126/science.1136709.
18. Mitchell, T. D., and P. D. Jones (2005), An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated highresolution grids, Int. J. Climatol, 25, 693-712, doi:10.1002/joc.1181.
19. Norris, J. R., and M. Wild (2007), Trends in aerosol radiative effects over Europe inferred from observed cloud cover, solar "dimming," and solar "brightening," J. Geophys. Res., 112, D08214, doi:10.1.029/ 2006JD007794.
20. Ohmura, A. (2006), Observed long term variations of solar irradiances at the Earth's surface, Space Sci. Rev., 125, 111-128, doi:10.1007/s11214-006-9050- 9.
21. Pinker, R. T., B. Zhan, and E. G. Dutton (2005), Can satellites observe trends in surface solar radiation?, Science, 308, 850-854, doi:10.1126/ science.1103159.
22. Quaas, J. (2003), The aerosol indirect effect: Parameterization in large-scale models and evaluation with satellite data, doctoral thesis, 157 pp., Ecole Polytech., Lab. de Metéorol. Dyn., Inst. Pierre Simon Laplace, Paris.
23. Robock, A., M. Mu, K. Vinnikov, I1. V. Trofimova, and T. I. Adamenko (2005), Forty-five years of observed soil moisture in the Ukraine: No summer desiccation (yet), Geophys. Res. Lett, 32, L03401, doi:10.1029/ 2004GL021914.
24. Romanou, A., B. Liepert, G. A. Schmidt, W. B. Rossow, R. A. Ruedy, and Y Zhang (2007), 20th century changes in surface solar irradiance in simulations and observations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L05713, doi:10.1029/2006GL028356.
25. Rossow, W. B., and E. N. Duenas (2004), The International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) web site: An online resource for research, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 85, 167-172, doi:10.1175/BAMS-85-2-167.
26. Ruckstuhl, C., and J. Norris (2009), How do aerosol, histories affect solar "dimming" and "brightening" over Europe?: IPCC-AR4 models versus observations, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D00D04, doi: 10.1.029/ 2008JD011066.
27. Ruckstuhl, C., et al. (2008), Aerosol and cloud effects on solar brightening and the recent rapid warming, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L12708, doi:10.1029/2008GL034228.
28. Stanhill, G., and S. Cohen (2001), Global dimming: A review of the evidence for a widespread and significant reduction in global radiation with discussion of its probable causes and possible agricultural consequences, Agric. For. Meteorol., 107, 255-278, doi: 10.1016/S0168-1923 (00)00241-0.
29. Stern, D. I. (2006), Reversal of the trend in global anthropogenic sulfur emissions, Global Environ. Change, 16, 207-220, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha. 2006.01.001.
30. Stier, P., et al. (2005), The aerosol-climate model ECHAM5-HAM, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, 1125-1156.
31. Stone, D. A., and A. J. Weaver (2002), Daily maximum and minimum temperature trends in a climate model, Geophys. Res. Lett, 29(9), 1356, doi:10.1029/2001GL014556.
32. Stone, D. A., and A. J. Weaver (2003), Factors contributing to diurnal temperature range trends in twentieth and twenty-first century simulations of the CCCma coupled model, Clim. Dyn., 20, 435-445.
33. Streets, D. G., Y. Wu, and M. Chin (2006), Two-decadal aerosol trends as a likely explanation of the global, dimming/brightening transition, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L15806, doi:10.1029/2006GL026471.
34. Vose, R. S., D. R. Easterling, and B. Gleason (2004), Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe: An update through 2004, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L23822, doi:10.1029/2005GL024379.
35. Wild, M. (2008), Shortwave and longwave surface radiation budgets in GCMs: A review based on the IPCC-AR4/CMIP3 models, Tellus, Ser. A, 60, 932-945, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00342.x.
36. Wild, M. (2009), Global, dimming and brightening: A. review, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2008JD011470, in press.
37. Wild, M., A. Ohmura, H. Gilgen, and D. Rosenfeld (2004), On the consistency of trends in radiation and temperature records and implications for the global hydrological cycle, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L11201, doi:10.1029/2003GL019188.
38. Wild, M., et al. (2005), From dimming to brightening: Decadal changes in surface solar radiation, Science, 308, 847-850, doi: 10.1126/ science. 1103215.
39. Wild, M., C. N. Long, and A. Ohmura (2006), Evaluation of clear-sky solar fluxes in GCMs participating in AMIP and IPCC-AR4 from a surface perspective, J. Geophys Res., III, DO 1104, doi:10.1029/2005JD006118.
40. Wild, M., A. Ohmura, and K. Makowski (2007), Impact of global dimming and brightening on global warming, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L04702, doi:10.1029/2006GL028031.
41. Wild, M., J. Grieser, and C. Schär (2008), Combined surface solar brightening and increasing greenhouse effect support recent intensification of the global land-based hydrological cycle, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L17706, doi:10.1029/2008GL034842.