메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 41, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 47-57

Underconfidence bias as a specific-domain phenomenon;El sesgo de subconfianza como fenómeno de dominio específico

Author keywords

Calibration; General domain; Metacognition; Specific domain; Underconfidence bias

Indexed keywords


EID: 70450192231     PISSN: 01200534     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (2)

References (50)
  • 1
    • 33645159081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economists as Experts: Overconfidence in theory and practice
    • Angner, E. (2006). Economists as Experts: Overconfidence in theory and practice. Journal of Economic Methodology, 13(1), 1-24.
    • (2006) Journal of Economic Methodology , vol.13 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-24
    • Angner, E.1
  • 2
    • 0141901789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • When predictions fail: The dilemma of unrealistic optimism
    • En T. Gilovich, D. Griffin & D. Kahneman (Eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Armor, D.A. & Taylor, S.E. (2002). When predictions fail: The dilemma of unrealistic optimism. En T. Gilovich, D. Griffin & D. Kahneman (Eds.), Heuristics and Biases. The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (pp. 334-347). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (2002) Heuristics and Biases. The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment , pp. 334-347
    • Armor, D.A.1    Taylor, S.E.2
  • 4
    • 0034296720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Should observed overconfidence be dismissed as a statistical artifact? Critique of Erev, Wallsten, and Budescu (1994)
    • Brenner, L. (2000). Should observed overconfidence be dismissed as a statistical artifact? Critique of Erev, Wallsten, and Budescu (1994). Psychological Review, 107(4), 943-946.
    • (2000) Psychological Review , vol.107 , Issue.4 , pp. 943-946
    • Brenner, L.1
  • 5
    • 0038395947 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A random support model of the calibration of subjective probabilities
    • Brenner, L. (2003). A random support model of the calibration of subjective probabilities. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 90, 87-110.
    • (2003) Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes , vol.90 , pp. 87-110
    • Brenner, L.1
  • 7
    • 0001372829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overconfidence and excess entry: An experimental approach
    • Camerer, C.F. & Lovallo, D. (1999). Overconfidence and excess entry: An experimental approach. American Economic Review, 89(1), 306-318.
    • (1999) American Economic Review , vol.89 , Issue.1 , pp. 306-318
    • Camerer, C.F.1    Lovallo, D.2
  • 9
    • 23844502561 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Performance overconfidence: Metacognitive effects or misplaced student expectations?
    • Clayson, D.E. (2005). Performance overconfidence: Metacognitive effects or misplaced student expectations? Journal of Marketing Education, 27(2), 122-129.
    • (2005) Journal of Marketing Education , vol.27 , Issue.2 , pp. 122-129
    • Clayson, D.E.1
  • 12
    • 8644247363 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of representative design in an ecological approach to cognition
    • Dhami, M.K., Hertwig, R. & Hoffrage, U. (2004). The role of representative design in an ecological approach to cognition. Psychological Bulletin, 130(6), 959-988.
    • (2004) Psychological Bulletin , vol.130 , Issue.6 , pp. 959-988
    • Dhami, M.K.1    Hertwig, R.2    Hoffrage, U.3
  • 13
    • 12044259660 scopus 로고
    • Simultaneous over- and Underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes
    • Erev, I., Wallsten, T.S. & Budescu, D.V. (1994). Simultaneous over- and Underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. Psychological Review, 101(3), 519-527.
    • (1994) Psychological Review , vol.101 , Issue.3 , pp. 519-527
    • Erev, I.1    Wallsten, T.S.2    Budescu, D.V.3
  • 14
    • 42249110250 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Metacognitive judgment and denial of deficit: Evidence from frontotemporal dementia
    • Fernandez-Duque, D. & Black, S. (2007). Metacognitive judgment and denial of deficit: Evidence from frontotemporal dementia. Judgment and Decision Making, 2(5), 359-370.
    • (2007) Judgment and Decision Making , vol.2 , Issue.5 , pp. 359-370
    • Fernandez-Duque, D.1    Black, S.2
  • 15
    • 0002871842 scopus 로고
    • Debiasing
    • En D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Fischhoff, B. (1982). Debiasing. En D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.). Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (pp. 422-444). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1982) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 422-444
    • Fischhoff, B.1
  • 16
    • 62649173752 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Take-the-best in expert-novice decision strategies for residential burglary
    • García-Retamero, R. & Dhami, M. (2009). Take-the-best in expert-novice decision strategies for residential burglary. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 16(1), 163-169.
    • (2009) Psychonomic Bulletin & Review , vol.16 , Issue.1 , pp. 163-169
    • García-Retamero, R.1    Dhami, M.2
  • 18
    • 0026234897 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic mental models: A brunswikian theory of confidence
    • Gigerenzer, G., Hoffrage, U. & Kleinbölting, H. (1991). Probabilistic mental models: A brunswikian theory of confidence. Psychological Review, 98(4), 506-528.
    • (1991) Psychological Review , vol.98 , Issue.4 , pp. 506-528
    • Gigerenzer, G.1    Hoffrage, U.2    Kleinbölting, H.3
  • 19
    • 0003718482 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gilovich, T., Griffin, D. & Kahneman, D. (Eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Gilovich, T., Griffin, D. & Kahneman, D. (Eds.) (2002). Heuristics and Biases. The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (2002) Heuristics and Biases. The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment
  • 20
    • 68049094609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sequential evidence accumulation in decision making: The individual desired level of confidence can explain the extent of information acquisition
    • Hausmann, D. & Läge, D. (2008). Sequential evidence accumulation in decision making: The individual desired level of confidence can explain the extent of information acquisition. Judgment and Decision Making, 3(3), 229-243.
    • (2008) Judgment and Decision Making , vol.3 , Issue.3 , pp. 229-243
    • Hausmann, D.1    Läge, D.2
  • 21
    • 84951069189 scopus 로고
    • Assessing uncertainty in physical constants
    • Henrion, M. & Fischhoff, B. (1986). Assessing uncertainty in physical constants. American Journal of Physics, 54, 791-797.
    • (1986) American Journal of Physics , vol.54 , pp. 791-797
    • Henrion, M.1    Fischhoff, B.2
  • 23
    • 0034169210 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Naïve empiricism and dogmatism in confidence research: A critical examination of the hard-easy effect
    • Juslin, P., Winman, A. & Olsson, H. (2000). Naïve empiricism and dogmatism in confidence research: A critical examination of the hard-easy effect. Psychological Review, 107, 384-396.
    • (2000) Psychological Review , vol.107 , pp. 384-396
    • Juslin, P.1    Winman, A.2    Olsson, H.3
  • 24
    • 0242267471 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A perspective on judgment and choice. Mapping bounded rationality
    • Kahneman, D. (2003). A perspective on judgment and choice. Mapping bounded rationality. American Psychologist, 58(9), 697-720.
    • (2003) American Psychologist , vol.58 , Issue.9 , pp. 697-720
    • Kahneman, D.1
  • 25
    • 0003768818 scopus 로고
    • Kahneman, D., Slovic, P. & Tversky, A. (Eds.)., Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Kahneman, D., Slovic, P. & Tversky, A. (Eds.). (1982). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1982) Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
  • 26
    • 0001902216 scopus 로고
    • Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures
    • En D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1982). Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures. En D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (pp. 414-421). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1982) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 414-421
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 27
    • 85098044698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (Eds.)., New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (Eds.). (2000). Choices, Values, and Frames. New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (2000) Choices, Values, and Frames
  • 28
    • 0034005249 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Individual differences in metacogntion: Evidence against a general metacognitive ability
    • Kelemen, W.L., Frost, P.J. & Weaver, C.A. (2000). Individual differences in metacogntion: Evidence against a general metacognitive ability. Memory and cognition, 28(1), 92-107.
    • (2000) Memory and cognition , vol.28 , Issue.1 , pp. 92-107
    • Kelemen, W.L.1    Frost, P.J.2    Weaver, C.A.3
  • 30
    • 0038266698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The calibration of expert judgment: Heuristics and biases beyond the laboratory
    • En T. Gilovich, D. Griffin & D. Kahneman (Eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Koehler, D.J., Brenner, L. & Griffin, D. (2002). The calibration of expert judgment: Heuristics and biases beyond the laboratory. En T. Gilovich, D. Griffin & D. Kahneman (Eds.), Heuristics and Biases. The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (pp. 686-715). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (2002) Heuristics and Biases. The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment , pp. 686-715
    • Koehler, D.J.1    Brenner, L.2    Griffin, D.3
  • 31
    • 0002941732 scopus 로고
    • Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980
    • En D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B. & Phillips, L.D. (1982). Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980. En D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (pp. 306-334). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1982) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 306-334
    • Lichtenstein, S.1    Fischhoff, B.2    Phillips, L.D.3
  • 32
    • 42249100392 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • La estimación subjetiva de éxito en los trastornos de ansiedad
    • Macbeth, G. & Bogiaizian, D. (2007). La estimación subjetiva de éxito en los trastornos de ansiedad. Revista Argentina de Clínica Psicológica, 16(2), 143-150.
    • (2007) Revista Argentina de Clínica Psicológica , vol.16 , Issue.2 , pp. 143-150
    • Macbeth, G.1    Bogiaizian, D.2
  • 33
    • 42249084904 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efecto del entrenamiento sobre la calibración subjetiva de éxito en tareas verbales
    • Macbeth, G. & Cortada de Kohan, N. (2008). Efecto del entrenamiento sobre la calibración subjetiva de éxito en tareas verbales. Revista Latinoamericana de Psicología, 40(1), 9-20.
    • (2008) Revista Latinoamericana de Psicología , vol.40 , Issue.1 , pp. 9-20
    • Macbeth, G.1    Cortada de Kohan, N.2
  • 38
    • 70450132825 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disolución del sesgo de subconfianza en tareas verbales
    • Macbeth, G. & Razumiejczyk, E. (2008). Disolución del sesgo de subconfianza en tareas verbales. Anales de Psicología, 24(1), 143-149.
    • (2008) Anales de Psicología , vol.24 , Issue.1 , pp. 143-149
    • Macbeth, G.1    Razumiejczyk, E.2
  • 40
    • 0035409518 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do frequency representations eliminate conjunction effects? An exercise in adversarial collaboration
    • Mellers, B., Hertwig, R., & Kahneman, D. (2001). Do frequency representations eliminate conjunction effects? An exercise in adversarial collaboration. Psychological Science, 12, 269-275.
    • (2001) Psychological Science , vol.12 , pp. 269-275
    • Mellers, B.1    Hertwig, R.2    Kahneman, D.3
  • 41
    • 33746629077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An application of the Poisson Race Model to confidence calibration
    • Merkle, E. & Van Zandt, T. (2006). An application of the Poisson Race Model to confidence calibration. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 135(3), 391-408.
    • (2006) Journal of Experimental Psychology: General , vol.135 , Issue.3 , pp. 391-408
    • Merkle, E.1    van Zandt, T.2
  • 42
    • 41849115239 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • La solución de problemas cognitivos. Una reflexión cognitiva sociocultural
    • Montealegre, R. (2007). La solución de problemas cognitivos. Una reflexión cognitiva sociocultural. Avances en Psicología Latinoamericana, 25(2), 20-39.
    • (2007) Avances en Psicología Latinoamericana , vol.25 , Issue.2 , pp. 20-39
    • Montealegre, R.1
  • 45
    • 58149449547 scopus 로고
    • Overconfidence in case-study judgments
    • Oskamp, S. (1965). Overconfidence in case-study judgments. The Journal of Consulting Psychology, 29, 261-265.
    • (1965) The Journal of Consulting Psychology , vol.29 , pp. 261-265
    • Oskamp, S.1
  • 47
    • 33746599147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intuitive confidence: Choosing between intuitive and nonintuitive alternatives
    • Simmons, J.P. & Nelson, L.D. (2006). Intuitive confidence: Choosing between intuitive and nonintuitive alternatives. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 135(3), 409-428.
    • (2006) Journal of Experimental Psychology: General , vol.135 , Issue.3 , pp. 409-428
    • Simmons, J.P.1    Nelson, L.D.2
  • 48
    • 0013136339 scopus 로고
    • Are we all less risky and more skillful than our fellow drivers?
    • Svenson, O. (1981). Are we all less risky and more skillful than our fellow drivers? Acta Psychologica, 47, 143-148.
    • (1981) Acta Psychologica , vol.47 , pp. 143-148
    • Svenson, O.1
  • 49
    • 0034296721 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The importance of theory: Response to Brenner (2000)
    • Wallsten, T.S., Erev, I. & Budescu, D.V. (2000). The importance of theory: Response to Brenner (2000). Psychological Review, 107(4), 947-949.
    • (2000) Psychological Review , vol.107 , Issue.4 , pp. 947-949
    • Wallsten, T.S.1    Erev, I.2    Budescu, D.V.3
  • 50
    • 0141628904 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mental contamination and the debiasing problem
    • Wilson, T.D., Centerbar, D.B. & Brekke, N., En T. Gilovich, D. Griffin & D. Kahneman (Eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Wilson, T.D., Centerbar, D.B. & Brekke, N. (2002). Mental contamination and the debiasing problem. En T. Gilovich, D. Griffin & D. Kahneman (Eds.), Heuristics and Biases. The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (pp. 185-200). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (2002) Heuristics and Biases. The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment , pp. 185-200


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.