메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 135, Issue 639, 2009, Pages 535-539

Comment on 'Can multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts?'

Author keywords

Ensemble dispersion; Overconfidence; Probabilistic verification; Reliability; Toy model

Indexed keywords

ENSEMBLE DISPERSION; GAUSSIAN; MULTI-MODEL COMBINATION; MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE; OVERCONFIDENCE; PROBABILISTIC ENSEMBLE; PROBABILISTIC VERIFICATION; SEASONAL FORECASTING; TOY MODEL; TOY MODELS; WELL-DISPERSED;

EID: 67649443942     PISSN: 00359009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/qj.381     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (17)

References (13)
  • 1
    • 57149133822 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The benefits of multi-analysis and poor-man's ensembles
    • Bowler NE, Arribas A, Mylne KR. 2008. The benefits of multi-analysis and poor-man's ensembles. Mon. Weather Rev. 136: 4113-4129.
    • (2008) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.136 , pp. 4113-4129
    • Bowler, N.E.1    Arribas, A.2    Mylne, K.R.3
  • 3
    • 67649442009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Medium-range multi-model ensemble combination and calibration
    • Exeter, UK. Available at
    • Johnson C, Swinbank R. 2008.'Medium-range multi-model ensemble combination and calibration.' Technical report 517. Met Office: Exeter, UK. Available at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/nwp/publications/ papers/technical_reports.
    • (2008) Technical report , vol.517
    • Johnson, C.1    Swinbank, R.2
  • 4
    • 0038684066 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved seasonal probability forecasts
    • Kharin VV, Zwiers FW. 2003. Improved seasonal probability forecasts. J. Climate 16: 1684-1701.
    • (2003) J. Climate , vol.16 , pp. 1684-1701
    • Kharin, V.V.1    Zwiers, F.W.2
  • 7
    • 58049196895 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • TIGGE: Preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles
    • Park YY, Buizza R, Leutbecher M. 2008. TIGGE: Preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 134: 2029-2050.
    • (2008) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc , vol.134 , pp. 2029-2050
    • Park, Y.Y.1    Buizza, R.2    Leutbecher, M.3
  • 10
    • 33846673525 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The discrete Brier and ranked probability skill scores
    • Weigel AP, Liniger MA, Appenzeller C. 2007. The discrete Brier and ranked probability skill scores. Mon. Weather Rev. 135: 118-124.
    • (2007) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.135 , pp. 118-124
    • Weigel, A.P.1    Liniger, M.A.2    Appenzeller, C.3
  • 11
    • 41949124639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of ensemble forecasts?
    • Weigel AP, Liniger MA, Appenzeller C. 2008. Can multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of ensemble forecasts? Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 134: 241-260.
    • (2008) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc , vol.134 , pp. 241-260
    • Weigel, A.P.1    Liniger, M.A.2    Appenzeller, C.3
  • 12
    • 67649438091 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal ensemble forecasts: Are recalibrated single models better than multi-models?
    • in press
    • Weigel AP, Liniger MA, Appenzeller C. 2009. Seasonal ensemble forecasts: Are recalibrated single models better than multi-models? Mon. Weather Rev. in press.
    • (2009) Mon. Weather Rev
    • Weigel, A.P.1    Liniger, M.A.2    Appenzeller, C.3
  • 13
    • 27744569360 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Theoretical examination of a multi-model composite for seasonal prediction
    • DOI: 10.1029/2005GL023513
    • Yoo JH, Kang I-S. 2005. Theoretical examination of a multi-model composite for seasonal prediction. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32: L18707. DOI: 10.1029/2005GL023513.
    • (2005) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.32
    • Yoo, J.H.1    Kang, I.-S.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.