-
1
-
-
24144438219
-
Test of a poor man's ensemble prediction system for short-range probability forecasting
-
Arribas, A., K. B. Robertson, and K. R. Mylne, 2005: Test of a poor man's ensemble prediction system for short-range probability forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 1825-1839.
-
(2005)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.133
, pp. 1825-1839
-
-
Arribas, A.1
Robertson, K.B.2
Mylne, K.R.3
-
2
-
-
0033368923
-
The skill of ensemble prediction systems
-
Atger, F., 1999: The skill of ensemble prediction systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 1941-1953.
-
(1999)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.127
, pp. 1941-1953
-
-
Atger, F.1
-
3
-
-
0035270690
-
Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalmnan filter. Part I: Theoretical aspects
-
Bishop, C. H., B. J. Etherton, and S. J. Majumdar, 2001: Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalmnan filter. Part I: Theoretical aspects. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 420-436.
-
(2001)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.129
, pp. 420-436
-
-
Bishop, C.H.1
Etherton, B.J.2
Majumdar, S.J.3
-
4
-
-
42549149903
-
The MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system
-
Bowler, N. E., A. Arribas, K. R. Mylne, K. R. Robertson, and S. E. Beare, 2008: The MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 134, 703-722.
-
(2008)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.134
, pp. 703-722
-
-
Bowler, N.E.1
Arribas, A.2
Mylne, K.R.3
Robertson, K.R.4
Beare, S.E.5
-
6
-
-
0029412335
-
The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric general circulation
-
Buizza, R., and T. N. Palmer, 1995: The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric general circulation. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 1434-1456.
-
(1995)
J. Atmos. Sci
, vol.52
, pp. 1434-1456
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Palmer, T.N.2
-
7
-
-
0037255591
-
Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles
-
Buizza, R., D. S. Richardson, and T. N. Palmer, 2003: Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, 1269-1288.
-
(2003)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.129
, pp. 1269-1288
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Richardson, D.S.2
Palmer, T.N.3
-
8
-
-
12944288520
-
A comparison of the ECMWF, MSC, and NCEP global ensemble prediction systems
-
Buizza, R., P. L. Houtekamer, Z. Toth, G. Pellerin, M. Wei, and Z. Yuejian, 2005: A comparison of the ECMWF, MSC, and NCEP global ensemble prediction systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 1076-1097.
-
(2005)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.133
, pp. 1076-1097
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Houtekamer, P.L.2
Toth, Z.3
Pellerin, G.4
Wei, M.5
Yuejian, Z.6
-
9
-
-
0001193751
-
Short-range ensemble forecasting of quantitative precipitation
-
Du, J., S. L. Mullen, and F. Sanders, 1997: Short-range ensemble forecasting of quantitative precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 2427-2459.
-
(1997)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.125
, pp. 2427-2459
-
-
Du, J.1
Mullen, S.L.2
Sanders, F.3
-
10
-
-
0035475022
-
Ability of a poor man's ensemble to predict the probability and distribution of precipitation
-
Ebert, E. E., 2001: Ability of a poor man's ensemble to predict the probability and distribution of precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2461-2480.
-
(2001)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.129
, pp. 2461-2480
-
-
Ebert, E.E.1
-
11
-
-
23144455758
-
Aspects of effective mesoscale, short-range ensemble forecasting
-
Eckel, F. A., and C. F. Mass, 2005: Aspects of effective mesoscale, short-range ensemble forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 328-350.
-
(2005)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.20
, pp. 328-350
-
-
Eckel, F.A.1
Mass, C.F.2
-
12
-
-
0033745169
-
Joint medium-range ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF systems
-
Evans, R. E., M. S. J. Harrison, R. J. Graham, and K. R. Mylne, 2000: Joint medium-range ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 3104-3127.
-
(2000)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.128
, pp. 3104-3127
-
-
Evans, R.E.1
Harrison, M.S.J.2
Graham, R.J.3
Mylne, K.R.4
-
13
-
-
0028193070
-
Sequential data assimilation with a nonlinear quasi-geostrophic model using Monte-Carlo methods to forecast error statistics
-
Evensen, G., 1994: Sequential data assimilation with a nonlinear quasi-geostrophic model using Monte-Carlo methods to forecast error statistics. J. Geophys. Res., 99, 10 143-10 162.
-
(1994)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.99
-
-
Evensen, G.1
-
14
-
-
57149139324
-
Multi-model ensemble for short-range predictions
-
Reading, United Kingdom, WMO and Cosponsors, Available online at
-
Garcia-Moya, J. A., A. Callado, C. Santos, D. Santos, and J. Simarro, 2007: Multi-model ensemble for short-range predictions. Third Int. Verification Methods Workshop, Reading, United Kingdom, WMO and Cosponsors. [Available online at http://www.ecmwf.int/newsevents/ meetings/workshops/2007/jwgv/workshop_presentations/index_poster.htm.]
-
(2007)
Third Int. Verification Methods Workshop
-
-
Garcia-Moya, J.A.1
Callado, A.2
Santos, C.3
Santos, D.4
Simarro, J.5
-
15
-
-
0035419258
-
Impact of the digital filter as a weak constraint in the preoperational 4DVAR assimilation system of Meteo-France
-
Gauthier, P., and J. N. Thepaut, 2001: Impact of the digital filter as a weak constraint in the preoperational 4DVAR assimilation system of Meteo-France. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2089-2102.
-
(2001)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.129
, pp. 2089-2102
-
-
Gauthier, P.1
Thepaut, J.N.2
-
16
-
-
0035891673
-
Linear regime duration: Is 24 hours a long time in synoptic weather forecasting?
-
Gilmour, I., L. A. Smith, and R. Buizza, 2001: Linear regime duration: Is 24 hours a long time in synoptic weather forecasting? J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 3525-3539.
-
(2001)
J. Atmos. Sci
, vol.58
, pp. 3525-3539
-
-
Gilmour, I.1
Smith, L.A.2
Buizza, R.3
-
17
-
-
57149122103
-
-
Grumbine, R. W., 1996: Automated passive microwave sea ice concentration analysis at NCEP. DOC/NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC/OMB Tech. Note 120, 13 pp.
-
Grumbine, R. W., 1996: Automated passive microwave sea ice concentration analysis at NCEP. DOC/NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC/OMB Tech. Note 120, 13 pp.
-
-
-
-
18
-
-
0033792589
-
A hybrid ensemble Kalman filter-variational analysis scheme
-
Hamill, T. M., and C. Snyder, 2000: A hybrid ensemble Kalman filter-variational analysis scheme. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 2905-2919.
-
(2000)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.128
, pp. 2905-2919
-
-
Hamill, T.M.1
Snyder, C.2
-
19
-
-
0001818520
-
Joint ensembles from the UKMO and ECMWF models
-
Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF
-
Harrison, M. S. J., T. N. Palmer, D. S. Richardson, R. Buizza, and T. Petroliagis, 1995: Joint ensembles from the UKMO and ECMWF models. Proc. ECMWF Workshop on Predictability, Vol. II, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, 61-120.
-
(1995)
Proc. ECMWF Workshop on Predictability
, vol.2
, pp. 61-120
-
-
Harrison, M.S.J.1
Palmer, T.N.2
Richardson, D.S.3
Buizza, R.4
Petroliagis, T.5
-
20
-
-
0035129828
-
A sequential ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation
-
Houtekamner, P. L., and H. L. Mitchell, 2001: A sequential ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 123-137.
-
(2001)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.129
, pp. 123-137
-
-
Houtekamner, P.L.1
Mitchell, H.L.2
-
21
-
-
0001209566
-
A system simulation approach to ensemble prediction
-
Houtekamer, P. L., L. Lefaivre, J. Derome, H. Ritchie, and H. L. Mitchell, 1996: A system simulation approach to ensemble prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 1225-1242.
-
(1996)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.124
, pp. 1225-1242
-
-
Houtekamer, P.L.1
Lefaivre, L.2
Derome, J.3
Ritchie, H.4
Mitchell, H.L.5
-
22
-
-
13244288261
-
Atmospheric data assimilation with an ensemble Kalman filter: Results with real observations
-
Houtekamer, P. L., H. L. Mitchell, G. Pellerin, M. Buehner, M. Charron, L. Spacek, and B. Hansen, 2005: Atmospheric data assimilation with an ensemble Kalman filter: Results with real observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 604-620.
-
(2005)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.133
, pp. 604-620
-
-
Houtekamer, P.L.1
Mitchell, H.L.2
Pellerin, G.3
Buehner, M.4
Charron, M.5
Spacek, L.6
Hansen, B.7
-
23
-
-
31544445484
-
Influence of a stochastic parameterization on the frequency of occurrence of North Pacific weather regimes in the ECMWF model
-
doi:10.1029/2005GL024248
-
Jung, T., T. N. Palmer, and G. J. Shutts, 2005: Influence of a stochastic parameterization on the frequency of occurrence of North Pacific weather regimes in the ECMWF model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L23811, doi:10.1029/2005GL024248.
-
(2005)
Geophys. Res. Lett
, vol.32
-
-
Jung, T.1
Palmer, T.N.2
Shutts, G.J.3
-
24
-
-
0000630257
-
Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts
-
Leith, C. E., 1974: Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 102, 409-418.
-
(1974)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.102
, pp. 409-418
-
-
Leith, C.E.1
-
25
-
-
24144454647
-
Roots of ensemble forecasting
-
Lewis, J. M., 2005: Roots of ensemble forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 1865-1885.
-
(2005)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.133
, pp. 1865-1885
-
-
Lewis, J.M.1
-
26
-
-
0347709927
-
The potential of the ensemble Kalman filter for NWP - A comparison with 4D-Var
-
Lorenc, A. C., 2003: The potential of the ensemble Kalman filter for NWP - A comparison with 4D-Var. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, 3183-3203.
-
(2003)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.129
, pp. 3183-3203
-
-
Lorenc, A.C.1
-
27
-
-
0026313123
-
The Meteorological Office analysis correction data assimilation scheme
-
Lorenc, A. C., R. S. Bell, and B. Macpherson, 1991: The Meteorological Office analysis correction data assimilation scheme. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 117, 59-89.
-
(1991)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.117
, pp. 59-89
-
-
Lorenc, A.C.1
Bell, R.S.2
Macpherson, B.3
-
28
-
-
17744394502
-
The Met Office global three-dimensional variational data assimilation scheme
-
Lorenc, A. C., and Coauthors, 2000: The Met Office global three-dimensional variational data assimilation scheme. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 2991-3012.
-
(2000)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.126
, pp. 2991-3012
-
-
Lorenc, A.C.1
-
29
-
-
0036150044
-
Multi-model multi-analysis ensembles in quasi-operational medium-range forecasting
-
Mylne, K. R., R. E. Evans, and R. T. Clark, 2002: Multi-model multi-analysis ensembles in quasi-operational medium-range forecasting. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 361-384.
-
(2002)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.128
, pp. 361-384
-
-
Mylne, K.R.1
Evans, R.E.2
Clark, R.T.3
-
30
-
-
8844258829
-
A local ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation
-
Ott, E., B. R. Hunt, I. Szunyogh, A. V. Zimin, E. J. Kostelich, M. Corazza, E. Kalnay, and D. J. Patil, 2004: A local ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation. Tellus, 56A, 415-428.
-
(2004)
Tellus
, vol.56 A
, pp. 415-428
-
-
Ott, E.1
Hunt, B.R.2
Szunyogh, I.3
Zimin, A.V.4
Kostelich, E.J.5
Corazza, M.6
Kalnay, E.7
Patil, D.J.8
-
31
-
-
57149122780
-
Ensemble prediction: A pedagogical perspective
-
Winter, ECMWF, Available online at, 2006
-
Palmer, T., R. Buizza, R. Hagedorn, A. Lawrence, M. Leutbecher, and L. Smith, 2006: Ensemble prediction: A pedagogical perspective. ECMWF Newsletter, Vol. 106, Winter 2005/06, ECMWF, 10-17. [Available online at http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/newsletters/pdf/106.pdf.]
-
(2006)
ECMWF Newsletter
, vol.106
, pp. 10-17
-
-
Palmer, T.1
Buizza, R.2
Hagedorn, R.3
Lawrence, A.4
Leutbecher, M.5
Smith, L.6
-
32
-
-
0027040023
-
The National Meteorological Centers spectral statistical-interpolation analysis system
-
Parrish, D. F., and J. C. Derber, 1992: The National Meteorological Centers spectral statistical-interpolation analysis system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 1747-1763.
-
(1992)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.120
, pp. 1747-1763
-
-
Parrish, D.F.1
Derber, J.C.2
-
33
-
-
34247233963
-
The Met Office global four-dimensional variational data assimilation scheme
-
Rawlins, F., S. P. Ballard, K. J. Bovis, A. M. Clayton, D. Li, G. W. Inverarity, A. C. Lorenc, and T. J. Payne, 2007: The Met Office global four-dimensional variational data assimilation scheme. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 133, 347-362.
-
(2007)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.133
, pp. 347-362
-
-
Rawlins, F.1
Ballard, S.P.2
Bovis, K.J.3
Clayton, A.M.4
Li, D.5
Inverarity, G.W.6
Lorenc, A.C.7
Payne, T.J.8
-
34
-
-
0035389832
-
Ensembles using multiple models and analyses
-
Richardson, D., 2001: Ensembles using multiple models and analyses. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, 1847-1864.
-
(2001)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.127
, pp. 1847-1864
-
-
Richardson, D.1
-
35
-
-
57149147338
-
First workshop on the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE)
-
Final report. WMO/ TD-No. 1273, WWRP/THORPEX No. 5, 39 pp, Available online at
-
Richardson, D. S., R. Buizza, and R. Hagedorn, 2005: First workshop on the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE): Final report. WMO/ TD-No. 1273, WWRP/THORPEX No. 5, 39 pp. [Available online at http://www.ecmwf.int/newsevents/meetings/workshops/2005/TIGGE/ report_WS1_WMO_TD1273_2005-1.pdf.]
-
(2005)
-
-
Richardson, D.S.1
Buizza, R.2
Hagedorn, R.3
-
36
-
-
57149146924
-
Comparing and combining deterministic and ensemble forecasts: How to predict rainfall occurrence better
-
Winter, ECMWF, Available online at, 2006
-
Rodwell, M. J., 2006: Comparing and combining deterministic and ensemble forecasts: How to predict rainfall occurrence better. ECMWF Newsletter, Vol. 106, Winter 2005/06, ECMWF, 17-23. [Available online at http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/newsletters/pdf/106.pdf.]
-
(2006)
ECMWF Newsletter
, vol.106
, pp. 17-23
-
-
Rodwell, M.J.1
-
37
-
-
31544461628
-
A kinetic energy backscatter algorithm for use in ensemble prediction systems
-
Shutts, G., 2005: A kinetic energy backscatter algorithm for use in ensemble prediction systems. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 3079-3102.
-
(2005)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.131
, pp. 3079-3102
-
-
Shutts, G.1
-
38
-
-
57149137963
-
Predictability and chaos
-
J. R. Holton, J. A. Curry, and J. A. Pyle, Eds, Academic Press, 2003
-
Smith, L. A., 2003: Predictability and chaos. Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, J. R. Holton, J. A. Curry, and J. A. Pyle, Eds., Vol. 4, Academic Press, 1777-1785.
-
(1777)
Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences
, vol.4
-
-
Smith, L.A.1
-
39
-
-
0032752524
-
Using ensembles for short-range forecasting
-
Stensrud, D. J., H. E. Brooks, J. Du, M. S. Tracton, and E. Rogers, 1999: Using ensembles for short-range forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 433-446.
-
(1999)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.127
, pp. 433-446
-
-
Stensrud, D.J.1
Brooks, H.E.2
Du, J.3
Tracton, M.S.4
Rogers, E.5
-
40
-
-
0001509508
-
Ensemble forecasting at the NMC: The generation of perturbations
-
Toth, Z., and E. Kalnay, 1993: Ensemble forecasting at the NMC: The generation of perturbations. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 2317-2330.
-
(1993)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc
, vol.74
, pp. 2317-2330
-
-
Toth, Z.1
Kalnay, E.2
-
41
-
-
0000593274
-
Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method
-
Toth, Z., and E. Kalnay, 1997: Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 3297-3319.
-
(1997)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.125
, pp. 3297-3319
-
-
Toth, Z.1
Kalnay, E.2
-
42
-
-
0003143209
-
Short-range ensemble forecasting (SREF) at NCEP/EMC. Preprints
-
Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc
-
Tracton, M. S., J. Du, Z. Toth, and H. Juang, 1998: Short-range ensemble forecasting (SREF) at NCEP/EMC. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 269-272.
-
(1998)
12th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction
, pp. 269-272
-
-
Tracton, M.S.1
Du, J.2
Toth, Z.3
Juang, H.4
-
43
-
-
0032853505
-
Estimation of spatial degrees of freedom of a climate field
-
Wang, X., and S. S. Shen, 1999: Estimation of spatial degrees of freedom of a climate field. J. Climate, 12, 1280-1291.
-
(1999)
J. Climate
, vol.12
, pp. 1280-1291
-
-
Wang, X.1
Shen, S.S.2
-
44
-
-
38849180042
-
Dependence of ensemble spread on model uncertainties for extratropical cyclone simulations
-
Zhu, H., and A. J. Thorpe, 2007: Dependence of ensemble spread on model uncertainties for extratropical cyclone simulations. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 133, 2057-2064.
-
(2007)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.133
, pp. 2057-2064
-
-
Zhu, H.1
Thorpe, A.J.2
-
45
-
-
0034069270
-
Comparison of a single-model EPS with a multi-model ensemble consisting of a few operational models
-
Ziehmann, C., 2000: Comparison of a single-model EPS with a multi-model ensemble consisting of a few operational models. Tellus, 52A, 280-299.
-
(2000)
Tellus
, vol.52 A
, pp. 280-299
-
-
Ziehmann, C.1
|