메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 60, Issue 5, 2008, Pages 1064-1078

Subjective versus objective sensitivity estimates: Application to a North African cyclogenesis

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; CYCLOGENESIS; ERROR ANALYSIS; ESTIMATION METHOD; EXPERIMENTAL STUDY; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 52949138332     PISSN: 02806495     EISSN: 16000870     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00353.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (2)

References (58)
  • 1
    • 38049160114 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing adjoint- and ensemble-sensitivity analysis with applications to observation targeting
    • Ancell, B. and Hakim, G. J. 2007a. Comparing adjoint- and ensemble-sensitivity analysis with applications to observation targeting. Mon. Wea. Rev. 135, 4117-4134.
    • (2007) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.135 , pp. 4117-4134
    • Ancell, B.1    Hakim, G.J.2
  • 2
    • 39749109510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interpreting adjoint and ensemble sensitivity toward the development of optimal observation targeting strategies
    • Ancell, B. C. and Hakim, G. J. 2007b. Interpreting adjoint and ensemble sensitivity toward the development of optimal observation targeting strategies. Meteorol. Z. 16, 635-642.
    • (2007) Meteorol. Z. , vol.16 , pp. 635-642
    • Ancell, B.C.1    Hakim, G.J.2
  • 3
    • 0035065229 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simple initial value problems and mechanisms for baroclinic growth
    • Badger, J. and Hoskins, B. 2001. Simple initial value problems and mechanisms for baroclinic growth. J. Atmos. Sci. 58, 38-49.
    • (2001) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.58 , pp. 38-49
    • Badger, J.1    Hoskins, B.2
  • 4
    • 0034082449 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Observation and background adjoint sensitivity in the adaptive observation targeting problem
    • Baker, N. L. and Daley, R. 2000. Observation and background adjoint sensitivity in the adaptive observation targeting problem. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 126, 1431-1454.
    • (2000) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.126 , pp. 1431-1454
    • Baker, N.L.1    Daley, R.2
  • 5
    • 0007498304 scopus 로고
    • On-off switches in the adjoint method: Step functions
    • Bao, J.-W. and Kuo, Y.-H. 1995. On-off switches in the adjoint method: step functions. Mon. Wea. Rev. 123, 1589-1594.
    • (1995) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.123 , pp. 1589-1594
    • Bao, J.-W.1    Kuo, Y.-H.2
  • 6
    • 3042798251 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A three-dimensional variational data assimilation system for MM5: Implementation and initial results
    • Barker, D. M., Huang, W., Guo, Y. R., Bourgeois, A. and Xiao, Q. N. 2004. A three-dimensional variational data assimilation system for MM5: implementation and initial results. Mon. Wea. Rev. 132, 897-914.
    • (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.132 , pp. 897-914
    • Barker, D.M.1    Huang, W.2    Guo, Y.R.3    Bourgeois, A.4    Xiao, Q.N.5
  • 7
    • 0003535057 scopus 로고
    • [Available from University Microfil, 300 N. Zeeb Rd., P.O. Box 1346, Ann Arbor, MI 46801-1346.], Ph.D. Thesis, The Pennsylvania State University
    • Benjamin, S. G. 1983. Some Effects of Heating and Topography on the Regional Severe Storm Environment. 265 pp. [Available from University Microfil, 300 N. Zeeb Rd., P.O. Box 1346, Ann Arbor, MI 46801-1346.], Ph.D. Thesis, The Pennsylvania State University.
    • (1983) Some Effects of Heating and Topography on the Regional Severe Storm Environment , pp. 265
    • Benjamin, S.G.1
  • 8
    • 0032764042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical design for adaptive weather observations
    • Berliner, L. M., Lu, Z.-Q. and Snyder, C. 1999. Statistical design for adaptive weather observations. J. Atmos. Sci. 56, 2536-2552.
    • (1999) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.56 , pp. 2536-2552
    • Berliner, L.M.1    Lu, Z.-Q.2    Snyder, C.3
  • 9
    • 0035270690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalman filter. Part I: Theoretical aspects
    • Bishop, C., Etherton, B. and Majumdar, S. 2001. Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalman filter. Part I: Theoretical aspects. Mon. Wea. Rev. 129, 420-436.
    • (2001) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.129 , pp. 420-436
    • Bishop, C.1    Etherton, B.2    Majumdar, S.3
  • 10
    • 0021547943 scopus 로고
    • An assessment of Omega dropwindsonde data in track forecasts of Hurricane Debby (1982)
    • Burpee, R. W., Marks, D. G. and Merrill, R. T. 1984. An assessment of Omega dropwindsonde data in track forecasts of Hurricane Debby (1982). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 65, 1050-1058.
    • (1984) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.65 , pp. 1050-1058
    • Burpee, R.W.1    Marks, D.G.2    Merrill, R.T.3
  • 12
    • 85040897227 scopus 로고
    • Cambridge University Press, London
    • Daley, R. 1991. Atmospheric Data Analysis. Cambridge University Press, London, 457 pp.
    • (1991) Atmospheric Data Analysis , pp. 457
    • Daley, R.1
  • 13
    • 0035712339 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity to observations applied to fastex cases
    • Doerenbecher, A. and Bergot, T. 2001. Sensitivity to observations applied to fastex cases. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. 8, 467-481.
    • (2001) Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. , vol.8 , pp. 467-481
    • Doerenbecher, A.1    Bergot, T.2
  • 14
    • 0024921060 scopus 로고
    • Numerical study of convection observed during the winter monsoon experiment using a mesoscale two-dimensional model
    • Dudhia, J. 1989. Numerical study of convection observed during the winter monsoon experiment using a mesoscale two-dimensional model. J. Atmos. Sci. 46, 3077-3107.
    • (1989) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.46 , pp. 3077-3107
    • Dudhia, J.1
  • 16
    • 0001142253 scopus 로고
    • Report of the first prospectus development team of the U.S. weather research program to NOAA and the NSF
    • co-authors
    • Emanuel, K. A., Raymont, D., Betts, A., Bosart, L., Bretherton, C. and co-authors. 1995. Report of the first prospectus development team of the U.S. weather research program to NOAA and the NSF. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 76, 1194-1208.
    • (1995) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.76 , pp. 1194-1208
    • Emanuel, K.A.1    Raymont, D.2    Betts, A.3    Bosart, L.4    Bretherton, C.5
  • 17
    • 0031400136 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What is an adjoint model?
    • Errico, R. M. 1997. What is an adjoint model? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 78, 2577-2591.
    • (1997) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.78 , pp. 2577-2591
    • Errico, R.M.1
  • 18
    • 0032963456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An examination of the accuracy of the linearization of a mesoscale model with moist physics
    • Errico, R. M. and Raeder, K. D. 1999. An examination of the accuracy of the linearization of a mesoscale model with moist physics. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 125, 169-195.
    • (1999) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.125 , pp. 169-195
    • Errico, R.M.1    Raeder, K.D.2
  • 19
    • 0027872522 scopus 로고
    • Examination of the accuracy of a tangent linear model
    • Errico, R. M., Vukićević, T. and Raeder, K. 1993. Examination of the accuracy of a tangent linear model. Tellus 45A, 462-477.
    • (1993) Tellus , vol.45 A , pp. 462-477
    • Errico, R.M.1    Vukićević, T.2    Raeder, K.3
  • 21
    • 0031833778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity analysis of forecast errors and the construction of optimal perturbations using singular vectors
    • Gelaro, R., Buizza, R., Palmer, T. N. and Klinker, E. 1998. Sensitivity analysis of forecast errors and the construction of optimal perturbations using singular vectors. J. Atmos. Sci. 55, 1012-1037.
    • (1998) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.55 , pp. 1012-1037
    • Gelaro, R.1    Buizza, R.2    Palmer, T.N.3    Klinker, E.4
  • 22
    • 0033497388 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An assessment of singular-vector approach to targeted observing using the fastex dataset
    • Gelaro, R., Langland, R. H., Rohaly, G. D. and Rosmond, T. E. 1999. An assessment of singular-vector approach to targeted observing using the fastex dataset. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 125, 3299-3327.
    • (1999) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.125 , pp. 3299-3327
    • Gelaro, R.1    Langland, R.H.2    Rohaly, G.D.3    Rosmond, T.E.4
  • 23
    • 0034537713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A predictability study using geostationary satellite wind observations during NORPEX
    • Gelaro, R., Reynolds, C. A., Langland, R. H. and Rohaly, G. D. 2000. A predictability study using geostationary satellite wind observations during NORPEX. Mon. Wea. Rev. 128, 3789-3807.
    • (2000) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.128 , pp. 3789-3807
    • Gelaro, R.1    Reynolds, C.A.2    Langland, R.H.3    Rohaly, G.D.4
  • 24
    • 0035891673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linear regime duration: Is 24 hours a long time in synoptic weather forecasting?
    • Gilmour, I., Smith, L. A. and Buizza, R. 2001. Linear regime duration: is 24 hours a long time in synoptic weather forecasting? J. Atmos. Sci. 58, 3525-3539.
    • (2001) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.58 , pp. 3525-3539
    • Gilmour, I.1    Smith, L.A.2    Buizza, R.3
  • 27
    • 0036184032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A deep cyclone of african origin over the western mediterranean: Diagnosis and numerical simulation
    • Homar, V., Ramis, C. and Alonso, S. 2002. A deep cyclone of african origin over the western mediterranean: Diagnosis and numerical simulation. Ann. Geophys. 20, 93-106.
    • (2002) Ann. Geophys. , vol.20 , pp. 93-106
    • Homar, V.1    Ramis, C.2    Alonso, S.3
  • 28
    • 8344240458 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivities of an intense mediterranean cyclone: Analysis and validation
    • Homar, V. and Stensrud, D. J. 2004. Sensitivities of an intense mediterranean cyclone: Analysis and validation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 130, 2519-2540.
    • (2004) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.130 , pp. 2519-2540
    • Homar, V.1    Stensrud, D.J.2
  • 29
    • 0001704660 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonlocal boundary layer vertical diffusion in a medium-range forecast model
    • Hong, S. Y. and Pan, H. L. 1996. Nonlocal boundary layer vertical diffusion in a medium-range forecast model. Mon. Wea. Rev. 124, 2322-2339.
    • (1996) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.124 , pp. 2322-2339
    • Hong, S.Y.1    Pan, H.L.2
  • 31
    • 1342310488 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The kain-fritsch convective parameterization: An update
    • Kain, J. S. 2002. The kain-fritsch convective parameterization: An update. J. Appl. Meteorol. 43, 170-181.
    • (2002) J. Appl. Meteorol. , vol.43 , pp. 170-181
    • Kain, J.S.1
  • 32
    • 0001014123 scopus 로고
    • Convective parameterization for mesoscale models: The kain-fritsch scheme
    • In: (eds. K. A. Emanuel and D. J. Raymond). Amer. Meteor. Soc
    • Kain, J. S. and Fritsch, J. M. 1993. Convective parameterization for mesoscale models: The kain-fritsch scheme. In: The Representation of Cumulus Convection in Numerical Models (eds. K. A. Emanuel and D. J. Raymond). Amer. Meteor. Soc p. 246.
    • (1993) The Representation of Cumulus Convection in Numerical Models , pp. 246
    • Kain, J.S.1    Fritsch, J.M.2
  • 33
    • 2042467553 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of observation impact using the NRL atmospheric variational data assimilation adjoint system
    • Langland, R. H. and Baker, N. L. 2004. Estimation of observation impact using the NRL atmospheric variational data assimilation adjoint system. Tellus 56A, 189-201.
    • (2004) Tellus , vol.56 A , pp. 189-201
    • Langland, R.H.1    Baker, N.L.2
  • 34
    • 0029414035 scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of physical processes in an idealized extratropical cyclone using adjoint sensitivity
    • Langland, R. H., Elsberry, R. and Errico, R. M. 1995. Evaluation of physical processes in an idealized extratropical cyclone using adjoint sensitivity. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 121, 1349-1386.
    • (1995) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.121 , pp. 1349-1386
    • Langland, R.H.1    Elsberry, R.2    Errico, R.M.3
  • 35
    • 0033512437 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Targeted observations in fastex: Adjoint-based targeting procedures and data impact experiments in iop17 and iop18
    • Langland, R. H., Gelaro, R., Rohaly, G. D. and Shapiro, M. 1999a. Targeted observations in fastex: Adjoint-based targeting procedures and data impact experiments in iop17 and iop18. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 125, 3241-3270.
    • (1999) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.125 , pp. 3241-3270
    • Langland, R.H.1    Gelaro, R.2    Rohaly, G.D.3    Shapiro, M.4
  • 36
    • 0000993297 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The north pacific experiment (NORPEX-98): Targeted observations for improved north american weather forecasts
    • co-authors
    • Langland, R. H., Toth, Z., Gelaro, R., Szunyogh, I., Shapiro, M. and co-authors. 1999b. The north pacific experiment (NORPEX-98): Targeted observations for improved north american weather forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 80, 1363-1384.
    • (1999) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.80 , pp. 1363-1384
    • Langland, R.H.1    Toth, Z.2    Gelaro, R.3    Szunyogh, I.4    Shapiro, M.5
  • 37
    • 0035122859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vapor flux associated with return flow over the gulf of mexico: A sensitivity study using adjoint modeling
    • Lewis, J. M., Raeder, K. D. and Errico, R. M. 2001. Vapor flux associated with return flow over the gulf of mexico: A sensitivity study using adjoint modeling. Tellus 53A, 74-93.
    • (2001) Tellus , vol.53 A , pp. 74-93
    • Lewis, J.M.1    Raeder, K.D.2    Errico, R.M.3
  • 39
    • 33749037435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of adaptive observing guidance for atlantic tropical cyclones
    • co-authors
    • Majumdar, S. J., Aberson, S. D., Bishop, C. H., Buizza, R., Peng, M. S. and co-authors. 2006. A comparison of adaptive observing guidance for atlantic tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev. 134, 2354-2372.
    • (2006) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.134 , pp. 2354-2372
    • Majumdar, S.J.1    Aberson, S.D.2    Bishop, C.H.3    Buizza, R.4    Peng, M.S.5
  • 40
    • 0036146489 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of added observations on. analysis and forecast errors: Results from idealized systems
    • Morss, R. E. and Emanuel, K. A. 2002. Influence of added observations on analysis and forecast errors: Results from idealized systems. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 128, 285-321.
    • (2002) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.128 , pp. 285-321
    • Morss, R.E.1    Emanuel, K.A.2
  • 41
    • 0035862626 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Idealized adaptive observation strategies for improving numerical weather prediction
    • Morss, R. E., Emanuel, K. A. and Snyder, C. 2001. Idealized adaptive observation strategies for improving numerical weather prediction. J. Atmos. Sci. 58, 210-232.
    • (2001) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.58 , pp. 210-232
    • Morss, R.E.1    Emanuel, K.A.2    Snyder, C.3
  • 42
    • 0000703501 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validity of the tangent linear approximation in a moist convective cloud model
    • Park, S. K. and Droegemeier, K. K. 1997. Validity of the tangent linear approximation in a moist convective cloud model. Mon. Wea. Rev. 125, 3320-3340.
    • (1997) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.125 , pp. 3320-3340
    • Park, S.K.1    Droegemeier, K.K.2
  • 43
    • 0031256687 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of forecast error to initial conditions with a quasi-inverse linear method
    • Pu, Z.-X., Kalnay, E., Sela, J. and Szunyogh, I. 1997. Sensitivity of forecast error to initial conditions with a quasi-inverse linear method. Mon. Wea. Rev. 125, 2479-2503.
    • (1997) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.125 , pp. 2479-2503
    • Pu, Z.-X.1    Kalnay, E.2    Sela, J.3    Szunyogh, I.4
  • 44
    • 0032276069 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diagnosis and numerical simulation of a torrential precipitation event in Catalonia (Spain)
    • Ramis, C., Romero, R., Homar, V., Alonso, S. and Alarcón, M. 1998. Diagnosis and numerical simulation of a torrential precipitation event in Catalonia (Spain). Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 69, 1-21.
    • (1998) Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. , vol.69 , pp. 1-21
    • Ramis, C.1    Romero, R.2    Homar, V.3    Alonso, S.4    Alarcón, M.5
  • 45
    • 0031659521 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Explicit forecasting of supercooled liquid water in winter storms using the MM5 mesoscale model
    • Reisner, J., Rasmussen, R. J. and Bruintjes, R. T. 1998. Explicit forecasting of supercooled liquid water in winter storms using the MM5 mesoscale model. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 124B, 1071-1107.
    • (1998) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.124 B , pp. 1071-1107
    • Reisner, J.1    Rasmussen, R.J.2    Bruintjes, R.T.3
  • 46
    • 38049117728 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interpretation of adaptive observing guidance for atlantic tropical cyclones
    • co-authors
    • Reynolds, C. A., Peng, M. S., Majumdar, S. J., Aberson, S. D., Bishop, C. H. and co-authors. 2007. Interpretation of adaptive observing guidance for atlantic tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev. 135, 4006-4029.
    • (2007) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.135 , pp. 4006-4029
    • Reynolds, C.A.1    Peng, M.S.2    Majumdar, S.J.3    Aberson, S.D.4    Bishop, C.H.5
  • 47
    • 0035489747 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of a heavy rain producing western mediterranean cyclone to embedded potential vorticity anomalies
    • Romero, R. 2001. Sensitivity of a heavy rain producing western mediterranean cyclone to embedded potential vorticity anomalies. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 127, 2559-2597.
    • (2001) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.127 , pp. 2559-2597
    • Romero, R.1
  • 48
    • 0019172179 scopus 로고
    • Synoptic-dynamic climatology of the "Bomb"
    • Sanders, F. and Gyakum, J. 1980. Synoptic-dynamic climatology of the "Bomb". Mon. Wea. Rev. 108, 1589-1606.
    • (1980) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.108 , pp. 1589-1606
    • Sanders, F.1    Gyakum, J.2
  • 49
    • 0027868809 scopus 로고
    • Factor separation in numerical simulations
    • Stein, U. and Alpert, P. 1993. Factor separation in numerical simulations. J. Atmos. Sci. 50, 2107-2115.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.50 , pp. 2107-2115
    • Stein, U.1    Alpert, P.2
  • 50
    • 0028668503 scopus 로고
    • Mesoscale convective systems in weakly forced large-scale environments. Part III: Numerical simulations and implications for operational forecasting
    • Stensrud, D. J. and Fritsch, J. M. 1994. Mesoscale convective systems in weakly forced large-scale environments. Part III: Numerical simulations and implications for operational forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev. 122, 2084-2104.
    • (1994) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.122 , pp. 2084-2104
    • Stensrud, D.J.1    Fritsch, J.M.2
  • 51
    • 0033504047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble-based targeting experiments during fastex: The effect of dropsonde data from the lear jet
    • co-authors
    • Szunyogh, I., Toth, Z., Emanuel, K. A., Bishop, C. H., Snyder, C. and co-authors. 1999. Ensemble-based targeting experiments during fastex: the effect of dropsonde data from the lear jet. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 125, 3189-3217.
    • (1999) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.125 , pp. 3189-3217
    • Szunyogh, I.1    Toth, Z.2    Emanuel, K.A.3    Bishop, C.H.4    Snyder, C.5
  • 52
    • 0000593274 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method
    • Toth, Z. and Kalnay, E. 1997. Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method. Mon. Wea. Rev. 125, 3297-3319.
    • (1997) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.125 , pp. 3297-3319
    • Toth, Z.1    Kalnay, E.2
  • 56
    • 0030477122 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized adjoint for physical processes with parameterized discontinuities. Part I: Basic issues and heuristic examples
    • Xu, Q. 1996. Generalized adjoint for physical processes with parameterized discontinuities. Part I: Basic issues and heuristic examples. J. Atmos. Sci. 53, 1123-1142.
    • (1996) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.53 , pp. 1123-1142
    • Xu, Q.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.