Ensemble-based targeting experiments during FASTEX: The effect of dropsonde data from the Lear jet

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Volumn 125, Issue 561, 1999, Pages 3189-3217

  Szunyogh, I ^a   Toth, Z ^b   Emanuel, K A ^b   Bishop, C H ^b   Snyder, C ^b   Morss, R E ^b   Woolen, J ^b   Marchok, T ^b  

^a CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER   (United States)

^b NONE

Author keywords

Ensemble Transform (ET) technique; Fronts and Atlantic Storm Track EXperiment (FASTEX); Targeted observations

Indexed keywords

CYCLOGENESIS; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; FASTEX; FORECASTING METHOD; SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY;

ATLANTIC OCEAN;

EID: 0033504047     PISSN: 00359009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1256/smsqj.56103     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Barkmeijer, J., van Gijzen, M. and Bouttier, F. 1998 Singular vectors and estimates of the analysis error covariance metric. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 124, 1695-1713
2. Bergot, T. 1999 Adaptive observations during FASTEX: A systematic survey of upstream flights Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125, 3271-3298
3. Bergot, T., Hello, G. and Joly, A. 1999 Adaptive observations: a feasibility study. Mon. Weather Rev., 127, 743-765
4. Bergot, T., Malardel, S. and Joly, A. 1996 'Sensitivity and singular vectors calculation in the operational context of FASTEX'. Pp. 366-368 in Preprints of the 7th AMS Conference on Meso-scale Processes, 19-23 August 1996 Norfolk, VA, USA. American Meteorological Society
5. Berliner, L. M., Lu, Z.-Q. and Snyder, C. 1999 Statistical design for adaptive weather observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 2536-2552
6. Bishop, C. H. and Toth, Z. 1996 'Using ensembles to identify observations likely to improve forecasts'. Pp. 72-74 in Preprints of the 11th AMS Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 19-23 August 1996, Norfolk, VA, USA. American Meteorological Society
7. Bishop, C. H. and Toth, Z. 1999 Ensemble transformation and adaptive observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 1748-1765
8. Bollt, E. M. and Kostelich, E. J. 1998 Optimal targeting of chaos. Phys. Let. A, 245, 399-406
9. Cherry, S. 1996 Singular value decomposition analysis and canonical correlation analysis. J. Climate, 9, 2003-2009
10. Derber, J. C., Parrish, D. F. and Lord, S. J. 1991 The new global operational analysis system at the National Meteorological Center. Weather and Forecasting, 6, 538-547
11. Emanuel, K. A., Lorenz, E. N. and Morss, R. E. 1996 'Adaptive observations'. Pp. 67-69 in Preprints of the 11th AMS Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 19-23 August 1996, Norfolk, VA, USA. American Meteorological Society
12. Fischer, C., Joly, A. and Lalaurette, F. 1998 Error growth and Kalman filtering within an idealized baroclinic flow. Tellus, 50A, 596-615
13. Gandin, L. S. 1990 Comprehensive hydrostatic quality control at the National Meteorological Center. Mon. Weather Rev., 118, 2754-2767
14. Gelaro, R., Langland, R. H., Rohaly, G. D. and Rosmond, T. E. 1999 An assessment of the singular-vector approach to targeted observing using the FASTEX dataset. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125, 3299-3327
15. Iyengar, G., Toth, Z., Kalnay, E. and Woolen, J. S. 1996 'Are the bred vectors representative of analysis errors?' Pp. 64-65 in Preprints of the 11th AMS Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 19-23 August 1996, Norfolk, VA, USA. American Meteorological Society
16. Joly, A., Jorgensen, D., Shapiro, M. A., Thorpe, A. J., Bessemoulin, P., Browning, K. A., Cammas, J. P., Chalon, J. P., Clough, S. A., Emanuel, K. A., Eymard, L., Gall R., Hildebrand, P. H., Langland, R. H., Lemaitre, Y., Lynch P., Moore, J. A., Persson, P. O. G., Snyder, C. and Wakimoto, R. M. 1997 The fronts and Atlantic storm-track experiment (FASTEX): Scientific objectives and experimental design. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 1917-1940
17. Joly, A., Browning, K. A., Bessemoulin, P., Cammas, J.-P., Caniaux, G., Chalon, J.-P., Clough, S. A., Dirks, R., Emanuel, K. A., Eymard, L., Gall, R., Hewson, T. D., Hildebrand, P. H., Jorgensen, D., Lalaurette, F., Langland, R. H., Lemaître, Y., Mascart, P., Moore, J. A., Persson, P. O. G., Roux, F., Shapiro, M. A., Snyder, C., Toth, Z. and Wakimoto, R. M. 1999 Overview of the field phase of the Fronts and Atlantic Storm-Track EXperiment (FASTEX) project. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 125, 3131-3163
18. Kalnay, E. and Pu, Z.-X. 1997 Using an adjoint model and/or a quasi-inverse linear model to target weather observations. Research activities in atmospheric and oceanic modeling. Ed. A. Staniforth. CAS/JSC/WGNE, WMO/TD-No. 792
19. Kanamitsu, M., Alpert, J., Campana, K., Caplan, P., Deaven, D., Iredell, M., Katz, B., Pan, H.-L., Sela, J. and White, G. H. 1991 Recent changes implemented into the global forecast system at NMC. Weather and Forecasting, 6, 425-435
20. Kendall, M. G. and Stuart, A. 1967 Pp. 420-441 in The advanced theory of statistics, vol. 2. Hafner Publishing Co., New York, USA
21. Langland, R. H. and Rohaly, G. D. 1996 'Analysis error and adjoint sensitivity in prediction of a north Atlantic frontal cyclone'. Pp. 150-152 in Preprints of the 11th AMS Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 19-23 August 1996, Norfolk, VA, USA, American Meteorological Society
22. Langland, R. H., Toth, Z., Gelaro, R., Szunyogh, I., Shapiro, M. A., Majumdar, S., Morss, R., Rohaly, G. D., Velden, C., Bond, N. and Bishop, C. 1998 The North Pacific-Experiment (NORPEX-98). Targeted observations for improved North American weather forecasts. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., in press
23. Lord, S. J. 1996 'The impact on synoptic-scale forecasts over the United States of dropwindsonde observations taken in the northeast Pacific'. Pp. 70-71 in Preprints of the 11th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 19-23 August 1996, Norfolk, VA, USA. American Meteorological Society
24. Lorenz, E. N. 1990 'Effects of analysis and model errors on routine weather forecasts'. Vol. 1 Pp. 115-128 in Proceedings of ECMWF seminars on 'Ten years of medium-range weather forecasting', 4-8 September 1989, Reading, UK. ECMWF
25. Lorenz, E. N. and Emanuel, K. A. 1998 Optimal sites for supplementary weather observations: simulations with a small model. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 399-414
26. Morss, R. E. 1999 'Adaptive observations: Idealized sampling strategies for improving numerical weather prediction'. PhD. Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
27. Palmer, T. N., Gelaro, R., Barkmeijer, J. and Buizza, R. 1998 Singular vectors, metrics and adaptive observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 633-653
28. Parrish, D. F. and Derber, J. C. 1992 The National Meteorological Center's Spectral Statistical-Interpolation Analysis System. Mon. Weather Rev., 120, 1747-1763
29. Parrish, D. F., Derber, J. C., Purser, R. J., Wu, W.-S. and Pu, Z.-X. 1997 The NCEP global analysis system: Recent improvements and future plans. J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn, 75, 1B, 359-365
30. Pu, Z.-X., Kalnay, E., Sela, J. and Szunyogh, I. 1997 Sensitivity of forecast errors to initial conditions with a quasi-inverse linear method. Mon. Weather Rev., 125, 2479-2503
31. Pu, Z.-X., Kalnay, E. and Toth, Z. 1998a 'Application of the quasi-inverse linear and adjoint NCEP global models to targeted observations during FASTEX'. Pp. 8-9 in Preprint of the 12th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 11-16 January 1998, Phoenix, AZ, USA. American Meteorological Society
32. Pu, Z.-X., Lord, S. and Kalnay, E. 1998b Forecast sensitivity with dropwindsonde data and targeted observations. Tellus, 50A, 391
33. Ralph, F. M., Persson, O., Reynolds, D., Nuss, W., Miller, D., Schmidt, J., Jorgensen, D., Wilczak, J., Neiman, P., Bao, J.-W., Kingsmill, D., Toth, Z., Veldon, C., White, A., King, C. and Wurman, J. 1999 The California land-falling jets experiment (CALJET): Objectives and design of a coastal atmosphere-ocean observing system deployed during a strong El Niño'. Pp. 78-81 in Proceedings of the 3rd Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, 10-15 January 1999, Dallas, Texas, USA. American Meteorological Society
34. Snyder, C. 1996 Summary of an informal workshop on adaptive observations and FASTEX. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77, 953-961
35. Szunyogh, I., Toth, Z., Majumdar, S., Morss, R., Bishop, C. and Lord, S. 1999 'Ensemble-based targeted observations during NORPEX'. Pp. 74-77 in Proceedings of the Third Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, 10-15 January 1999, Dallas, Texas, USA. American Meteorological Society
36. Thorpe, A. J. 1999 'Predictability studies with FASTEX data using the ECMWF IFS'. Pp. 185-194 in Proceedings of the ECMWF workshop on predictability, 20-22 October 1997, Reading, UK, ECMWF
37. Toth, Z. and Kalnay, E. 1997 Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method. Mon. Weather Rev., 125, 3297-3319
38. Toth, Z. and Szunyogh, I. 1997 'Review of the use of ECMWF ensemble data for targeting upstream observations during the FASTEX field experiment'. P. 131 in Proceedings of the FASTEX Upstream Observations Workshop, 10-11 April 1997, NCEP, Camp Springs, MD, USA. NOAA/NWS/NCEP Office Note 420. Environmental Modeling Center, 5200 Auth Rd., WWB, Rm. 207, Camp Springs, MD 20746, USA
39. Vanneste, J., P., Morisson, J. and Warn, T. 1998 Strong echo effect and nonlinear transient growth in shear flows. Physics of Fluids, 10, 1398-1404
40. Woolen, J. S. 1991 'New NMC operational OI quality control'. Pp. 24-27 in reprints of the 9th AMS Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 14-18 October 1991, Denver, CO, USA
41. Zhu, Y, Iyengar, G., Toth, Z., Tracton, M. S. and Marchok, T. 1996 'Objective evaluation of the NCEP global ensemble forecasting system'. Pp. 79-82 in Preprints of the 15th AMS Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, 19-23 August 1996, Norfolk, Virginia, USA