메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 125, Issue 10, 1997, Pages 2479-2503

Sensitivity of forecast errors to initial conditions with a quasi-inverse linear method

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DIFFUSION; ERRORS; ESTIMATION; FRICTION; ITERATIVE METHODS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; NUMERICAL METHODS; PERTURBATION TECHNIQUES; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; VECTORS;

EID: 0031256687     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1997)125<2479:SOFETI>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (62)

References (49)
  • 3
    • 0028582474 scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of optimal unstable structures
    • Buizza, R., 1994: Sensitivity of optimal unstable structures. Quart. J. Roy Meteor, Soc., 120, 429-451.
    • (1994) Quart. J. Roy Meteor, Soc. , vol.120 , pp. 429-451
    • Buizza, R.1
  • 4
    • 0027835599 scopus 로고
    • Computation of optimal unstable structure for a numerical weather prediction model
    • _, J. Tribbia, F. Molteni, and T. Palmer, 1993: Computation of optimal unstable structure for a numerical weather prediction model. Tellus, 45A, 388-407.
    • (1993) Tellus , vol.45 A , pp. 388-407
    • Tribbia, J.1    Molteni, F.2    Palmer, T.3
  • 5
    • 0001696802 scopus 로고
    • A fixed-lag Kalman smoother for retrospective data assimilation
    • Cohn, S. E., N. S. Sivakumaran, and R. Todling, 1994: A fixed-lag Kalman smoother for retrospective data assimilation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 2838-2867.
    • (1994) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.122 , pp. 2838-2867
    • Cohn, S.E.1    Sivakumaran, N.S.2    Todling, R.3
  • 6
    • 0028561614 scopus 로고
    • A strategy for operational implementation of 4-D VAR using an incremental approach
    • Courtier, P., J.-N. Thepaut, and A. Hollingsworth, 1994: A strategy for operational implementation of 4-D VAR using an incremental approach. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 120, 1367-1387.
    • (1994) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.120 , pp. 1367-1387
    • Courtier, P.1    Thepaut, J.-N.2    Hollingsworth, A.3
  • 7
    • 0023490870 scopus 로고
    • Variational four-dimensional analysis using quasi-geostrophic constraints
    • Derber, J. C., 1987: Variational four-dimensional analysis using quasi-geostrophic constraints. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 998-1008.
    • (1987) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.115 , pp. 998-1008
    • Derber, J.C.1
  • 8
    • 0024907683 scopus 로고
    • A variational continuous assimilation technique
    • _, 1989: A variational continuous assimilation technique. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 2437-2446.
    • (1989) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.117 , pp. 2437-2446
  • 9
    • 0000189967 scopus 로고
    • The new global operational analysis system at the National Meterological Center
    • _, D. F. Parrish, and S. J. Lord, 1991: The new global operational analysis system at the National Meterological Center. Wea. Forecasting. 6, 538-547.
    • (1991) Wea. Forecasting , vol.6 , pp. 538-547
    • Parrish, D.F.1    Lord, S.J.2
  • 10
    • 0003499566 scopus 로고
    • Available from Environmental Modeling Center, NCEP/NWS/NOAA, 5200 Auth Road, Washington, DC 20233-9910
    • Development Division, NMC/NWS/NOAA, 1988: Documentation of the NMC global model. 244 pp. [Available from Environmental Modeling Center, NCEP/NWS/NOAA, 5200 Auth Road, Washington, DC 20233-9910.]
    • (1988) Documentation of the NMC Global Model
  • 11
    • 0027089133 scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity analysis using an adjoint of the PSU-NCAR mesoscale model
    • Errico, R. M., and T. Vukicevic, 1992: Sensitivity analysis using an adjoint of the PSU-NCAR mesoscale model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 1644-1660.
    • (1992) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.120 , pp. 1644-1660
    • Errico, R.M.1    Vukicevic, T.2
  • 12
    • 0027872522 scopus 로고
    • Examination of the accuracy of a tangent linear model
    • _, _, and K. Raeder, 1993: Examination of the accuracy of a tangent linear model. Tellus, 45A, 462-477.
    • (1993) Tellus , vol.45 A , pp. 462-477
    • Raeder, K.1
  • 14
    • 0001704660 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonlocal boundary layer diffusion in a medium-range forecast model
    • Hong, S.-Y., and H.-L. Pan, 1996: Nonlocal boundary layer diffusion in a medium-range forecast model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2322-2339.
    • (1996) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.124 , pp. 2322-2339
    • Hong, S.-Y.1    Pan, H.-L.2
  • 15
    • 0001335449 scopus 로고
    • The construction of optimal perturbations
    • Houtekamer, P. L., 1995: The construction of optimal perturbations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2888-2898.
    • (1995) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.123 , pp. 2888-2898
    • Houtekamer, P.L.1
  • 16
    • 0007074251 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A poorman's 4DVAR: The use of the adjoint model in an intermittent data assimilation system
    • Preprints, Norfolk. VA. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
    • Huang, X.-Y., N. Gustafsson, and E. Kallen, 1996: A poorman's 4DVAR: The use of the adjoint model in an intermittent data assimilation system. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction. Norfolk. VA. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 132-134.
    • (1996) 11th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction , pp. 132-134
    • Huang, X.-Y.1    Gustafsson, N.2    Kallen, E.3
  • 17
    • 0038365007 scopus 로고
    • Removing growing errors in the analysis
    • Preprints, Potland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
    • Kalnay, E., and Z. Toth, 1994: Removing growing errors in the analysis. Preprints, 10th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Potland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 212-215.
    • (1994) 10th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction , pp. 212-215
    • Kalnay, E.1    Toth, Z.2
  • 18
    • 2142769987 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The breeding method
    • Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, Available from ECMWF, Reading RG2-9AX, United Kingdom.
    • _, and _, 1996: The breeding method. Proc. of the ECMWF Seminar on Predictability, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, 69-82. [Available from ECMWF, Reading RG2-9AX, United Kingdom.]
    • (1996) Proc. of the ECMWF Seminar on Predictability , pp. 69-82
  • 19
    • 0029768948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project
    • _, and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471.
    • (1996) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.77 , pp. 437-471
  • 20
    • 0000301684 scopus 로고
    • Recent changes implemented into the global forecast system at NMC
    • Kanamitsu, M., and Coauthors, 1991: Recent changes implemented into the global forecast system at NMC. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 425-435.
    • (1991) Wea. Forecasting , vol.6 , pp. 425-435
    • Kanamitsu, M.1    Coauthors2
  • 21
    • 0023808349 scopus 로고
    • Short range evolution of small perturbation in a barotropic model
    • Lacarra, J. F., and O. Talagrand, 1988: Short range evolution of small perturbation in a barotropic model. Tellus. 40A, 81-95.
    • (1988) Tellus , vol.40 A , pp. 81-95
    • Lacarra, J.F.1    Talagrand, O.2
  • 22
    • 0022842584 scopus 로고
    • Variational algorithms for analysis and assimilation of meteorological observations: The-oretical aspects
    • LeDimet, F. X., and O. Talagrand, 1986: Variational algorithms for analysis and assimilation of meteorological observations: The-oretical aspects. Tellus, 38A, 91-110.
    • (1986) Tellus , vol.38 A , pp. 91-110
    • LeDimet, F.X.1    Talagrand, O.2
  • 23
    • 0027388691 scopus 로고
    • Predictability and finite-time instability of the northern winter circulation
    • Molteni, F., and T. N. Palmer, 1993: Predictability and finite-time instability of the northern winter circulation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 119, 269-298.
    • (1993) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.119 , pp. 269-298
    • Molteni, F.1    Palmer, T.N.2
  • 24
    • 0029753275 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: Methodology and validation
    • _, R. Buizza, T. Palmer, and T. Petroliagis, 1996: The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: Methodology and validation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 122, 73-119.
    • (1996) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.122 , pp. 73-119
    • Buizza, R.1    Palmer, T.2    Petroliagis, T.3
  • 25
    • 0027073664 scopus 로고
    • Variational data assimilation with an adiabatic version of the NMC spectral model
    • Navon, I. M., X. Zou, J. Derber, and J. Sela, 1992: Variational data assimilation with an adiabatic version of the NMC spectral model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 1433-1446.
    • (1992) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.120 , pp. 1433-1446
    • Navon, I.M.1    Zou, X.2    Derber, J.3    Sela, J.4
  • 28
    • 0027040023 scopus 로고
    • The National Meteorological Center's spectral statistical-interpolation analysis system
    • Parrish, D. F., and J. C. Derber, 1992: The National Meteorological Center's spectral statistical-interpolation analysis system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 1747-1763.
    • (1992) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.120 , pp. 1747-1763
    • Parrish, D.F.1    Derber, J.C.2
  • 30
    • 5844268646 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using past forecast error to improve the future forecast skill
    • Preprints, Norfolk, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
    • _, E. Kalnay, J. C. Derber, and J. Sela, 1996: Using past forecast error to improve the future forecast skill. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Norfolk, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 142-143.
    • (1996) 11th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction , pp. 142-143
    • Kalnay, E.1    Derber, J.C.2    Sela, J.3
  • 31
    • 0031458916 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using forecast sensitivity patterns to improve future forecast skill
    • _, _, _, and _, 1997: Using forecast sensitivity patterns to improve future forecast skill. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 123, 1035-1054.
    • (1997) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.123 , pp. 1035-1054
  • 33
    • 0028583430 scopus 로고
    • Random error growth in NMC's global forecasts
    • Reynolds, C. A., P. J. Webster, and E. Kalnay, 1994: Random error growth in NMC's global forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 1281-1305.
    • (1994) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.122 , pp. 1281-1305
    • Reynolds, C.A.1    Webster, P.J.2    Kalnay, E.3
  • 34
    • 0019204260 scopus 로고
    • Spectral modeling at the National Meterological Center
    • Sela, J. G., 1980: Spectral modeling at the National Meterological Center. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 1279-1292.
    • (1980) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.108 , pp. 1279-1292
    • Sela, J.G.1
  • 35
    • 0003843097 scopus 로고
    • Available from NOAA/NWS/NCEP. Environmental Modeling Center, WWB. Room 207, Washinhton, DC 20233
    • _, and Coauthors, 1988: Documentation of the research version of the NMC medium range forecasting model. 504 pp. [Available from NOAA/NWS/NCEP. Environmental Modeling Center, WWB. Room 207, Washinhton, DC 20233.]
    • (1988) Documentation of the Research Version of the NMC Medium Range Forecasting Model
  • 36
    • 0000024344 scopus 로고
    • Symmetries, conservation laws, and Hamiltonian structure in geophysical fluid dynamics
    • Academic Press
    • Shepherd, T. G., 1990: Symmetries, conservation laws, and Hamiltonian structure in geophysical fluid dynamics. Advances in Geophysics. Vol. 32, Academic Press, 287-338.
    • (1990) Advances in Geophysics , vol.32 , pp. 287-338
    • Shepherd, T.G.1
  • 37
    • 0027498786 scopus 로고
    • A unified theory of available potential energy
    • _, 1993: A unified theory of available potential energy. Atmos.-Ocean. 31, 1-26.
    • (1993) Atmos.-Ocean. , vol.31 , pp. 1-26
  • 38
    • 7044280055 scopus 로고
    • High-performence computing requirements for medium-range weather forecasting
    • Simmons, A. J., 1995: High-performence computing requirements for medium-range weather forecasting. ECMWF Newslett., 69, 8-13.
    • (1995) ECMWF Newslett. , vol.69 , pp. 8-13
    • Simmons, A.J.1
  • 39
    • 0029538682 scopus 로고
    • Error growth and estimates of predictability from the ECMWF forecasting system
    • R. Mureau, and T. Petroliagis, 1995: Error growth and estimates of predictability from the ECMWF forecasting system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 121, 1739-1771.
    • (1995) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.121 , pp. 1739-1771
    • Mureau, R.1    Petroliagis, T.2
  • 40
    • 0030723220 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of Lyapunov vectors and optimal vectors in a low resolution GCM
    • Szunyogh, I., E. Kalnay, and Z. Toth, 1997: A comparison of Lyapunov vectors and optimal vectors in a low resolution GCM. Tellus, 49A, 200-227.
    • (1997) Tellus , vol.49 A , pp. 200-227
    • Szunyogh, I.1    Kalnay, E.2    Toth, Z.3
  • 41
    • 0001509508 scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations
    • Toth, Z., and E. Kalnay, 1993: Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 2317-2330.
    • (1993) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.74 , pp. 2317-2330
    • Toth, Z.1    Kalnay, E.2
  • 42
    • 0343377669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting at NCEP
    • Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, Available from ECMWF, Reading RG2-9AX. United Kingdom
    • _, and _, 1996: Ensemble forecasting at NCEP. Proc. of the ECMWF Seminar on Predictability, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, 39-60. [Available from ECMWF, Reading RG2-9AX. United Kingdom.]
    • (1996) Proc. of the ECMWF Seminar on Predictability , pp. 39-60
  • 43
    • 0003025601 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Singular, Lyapunov and bred vectors in ensemble forecasting
    • Preprints, Norfolk, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
    • _, I. Szunyogh, and E. Kalnay, 1996: Singular, Lyapunov and bred vectors in ensemble forecasting. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Norfolk, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 53-55.
    • (1996) 11th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction , pp. 53-55
    • Szunyogh, I.1    Kalnay, E.2
  • 44
    • 0026302243 scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear and linear evolution of initial forecast error
    • Kicevic, T., 1991: Nonlinear and linear evolution of initial forecast error. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119, 1602-1611
    • (1991) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.119 , pp. 1602-1611
    • Kicevic, T.1
  • 45
    • 0027065684 scopus 로고
    • An optimal nudging data assimilation scheme using parameter estimation
    • Zou, X., I. M. Navon, and F. X. LeDimet, 1992: An optimal nudging data assimilation scheme using parameter estimation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 118, 1163-1186.
    • (1992) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.118 , pp. 1163-1186
    • Zou, X.1    Navon, I.M.2    LeDimet, F.X.3
  • 46
    • 0000649871 scopus 로고
    • Four-dimensional variational assimilation of precipitation data
    • Zupanski, D., and F. Mesinger, 1995: Four-dimensional variational assimilation of precipitation data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 1112-1127.
    • (1995) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.123 , pp. 1112-1127
    • Zupanski, D.1    Mesinger, F.2
  • 47
    • 0027879853 scopus 로고
    • Regional four-dimensional variational data assimilation in a quasi-operational forecasting environment
    • Zupanski, M., 1993: Regional four-dimensional variational data assimilation in a quasi-operational forecasting environment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 2396-2408.
    • (1993) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.121 , pp. 2396-2408
    • Zupanski, M.1
  • 48
    • 0141581760 scopus 로고
    • An iterative approximation to the sensitivity in calculus of variations
    • _, 1995: An iterative approximation to the sensitivity in calculus of variations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 3590-3604.
    • (1995) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.123 , pp. 3590-3604
  • 49
    • 5844303853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A quasi-operational application of a regional four-dimensional variational data assimilation
    • Preprints, Norfolk, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
    • _, and D. Zupanski, 1996: A quasi-operational application of a regional four-dimensional variational data assimilation. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Norfolk, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94-95.
    • (1996) 11th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction , pp. 94-95
    • Zupanski, D.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.