Can Strategic Interaction Divert Diversionary Behavior? A Model of U.S. Conflict Propensity

Journal of Politics

Volumn 65, Issue 4, 2003, Pages 1013-1039

  Clark, David H ^a  

^a BINGHAMTON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0242679640     PISSN: 00223816     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/1468-2508.t01-1-00123     Document Type: Review

References (41)

1. Achen, Christopher H. 1986. The Statistical Analysis of Quasi Experiments. Berkeley: University of California Press.
2. Allison, Graham. 1971. Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Boston: Little Brown.
3. Blechman, Barry, and Stephen Kaplan. 1978. Force without War. Washington: Brookings Institution.
4. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, James D. Morrow, Randolph M. Siverson, and Alastair Smith. 1999. "An Institutional Explanation of the Democratic Peace." American Political Science Review 93(4): 791-807.
5. Clark, David H. 2000. "Agreeing to Disagree: Domestic Institutional Congruence, and US Dispute Behavior." Political Research Quarterly 53(2): 375-401.
6. Clark, David H. 2001. "Trading Butter for Guns: Domestic Imperatives for Foreign Policy Substitution." Journal of Conflict Resolution 45(5): 636-60.
7. Clark, David H., and Patrick M. Regan. 2003. "Opportunities to Fight: A Statistical Technique for Modeling Unobservable Phenomena." Journal of Conflict Resolution 47(1): 94-115.
8. Clarke, Kevin A. 2003. "Nonparametric Model Discrimination in International Relations." Journal of Conflict Resolution 47(1): 72-93.
9. Coser, Lewis. 1956. The Functions of Social Conflict. New York: The Free Press.
10. Dassel, Kurt, and Eric Reinhardt. 1999. "Domestic Strife and the Initiation of Violence at Home and Abroad." American Journal of Political Science 43(1): 56-85.
11. Dubin, Jeffery, and Douglas Rivers. 1989. "Selection Bias in Linear Regression, Logit, and Probit Models." Sociological Methods and Research 18 (December-January): 360-90.
12. Fearon, James D. 1994. "Domestic Political Audiences and the Escalation of International Disputes." American Political Science Review 88(3): 577-92.
13. Fordham, Benjamin. 1998a. "Partisanship, Macroeconomic Policy, and U.S. Uses of Force, 1949-1994." Journal of Conflict Resolution 42(4): 418-39.
14. Fordham, Benjamin. 1998b. "A Political Economy Model of U.S. Uses of Force: Supply, Demand, and Endogenous Threat Perception." International Studies Quarterly 42(3): 567-90.
15. Gelpi, Christopher. 1997. "Democratic Diversions: Governmental Structure and the Externalization of Domestic Conflict." Journal of Conflict Resolution 41(2): 255-82.
16. Hess, Gregory D., and Athanasios Orphanides. 1995. "War Politics: An Economic, Rational-Voter Framework." The American Economic Review 85(4): 828-45.
17. James, Patrick, and John R. Oneal. 1991. "The Influence of International and Domestic Politics on the President's Use of Force." Journal of Conflict Resolution 35(2): 307-32.
18. Jentleson, Bruce W. 1992. "The Pretty Prudent Public: Post Post-Vietnam American Opinion on the Use of Military Force." International Studies Quarterly 36(1): 49-74.
19. Leeds, Brett Ashley, and David R. Davis. 1997. "Domestic Political Vulnerability and International Disputes." Journal of Conflict Resolution 41(6): 814-34.
20. Levy, Jack S. 1989. "The Diversionary Theory of War: A Critique." In Handbook of War Studies, ed. Manus I. Midlarsky. Boston: Unwin Hyman, pp. 259-88.
21. Long, J. S. 1997. Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
22. Meernik, James. 1994. "Presidential Decision Making and the Political Use of Military Force." International Studies Quarterly 38(1): 121-38.
23. Meernik, James, and Peter Waterman. 1996. "The Myth of the Diversionary Use of Force by American Presidents." Political Research Quarterly 49(3): 573-90.
24. Miller, Ross A. 1995. "Domestic Structures and the Diversionary Use of Force." American Journal of Political Science 39(3): 760-85.
25. Morgan, T. Clifton, and Kenneth Bickers. 1992. "Domestic Discontent and the Use of Force." Journal of Conflict Resolution 36(1): 25-52.
26. Most, Benjamin A., and Harvey Starr. 1989. Inquiry, Logic and International Politics. Columbia: University of South Carolina Press.
27. Ostrom, Charles W., and Brian Job. 1986. "The President and the Political Use of Force." American Political Science Review 80(2): 541-66.
28. Reed, William. 2000. "A Unified Statistical Model of Conflict Onset and Escalation." American Journal of Political Science 44(1): 84-93.
29. Reed, William, and David H. Clark. 2000. "War Initiators and War Winners: The Consequences of Linking Theories of Democratic War Success." Journal of Conflict Resolution 44(3): 378-95.
30. Richards, Diana, T. Clifton Morgan, R. K. Wilson, Valerie Schwebach, and G. D. Young. 1993. "Good Times, Bad Times, and the Diversionary Use of Force." Journal of Conflict Resolution 37(3): 504-35.
31. Rosencrance, Richard N. 1963. Action and Reaction in World Politics. Boston: Little, Brown and Company.
32. Rummel, Rudolph J. 1963. "Dimensions of Conflict Behavior Within and Between Nations." General Systems Yearbook 8: 1-50.
33. Signorino, Curtis S. 1999. "Strategic Interaction and the Statistical Analysis of International Conflict." American Political Science Review 93(2): 279-98.
34. Smith, Alastair. 1996. "Diversionary Foreign Policy in Democratic Systems." International Studies Quarterly 40(1): 133-54.
35. Smith, Alastair. 1998. "International Crises and Domestic Politics." American Political Science Review 92(3): 623-38.
36. Smith, Alastair. 1999. "Testing Theories of Strategic Choice: The Example of Crisis Escalation." American Journal of Political Science 43(4): 1254-83.
37. Stoll, Richard J. 1984. "The Guns of November: Presidential Reelections and the Use of Force, 1947-1982." Journal of Conflict Resolution 28(2): 231-46.
38. Sumner, William Graham. 1906. Folkways. Boston: Ginn and Company.
39. Tanter, Raymond. 1966. "Dimensions of Conflict Behavior within and between Nations, 1958-1960." Journal of Conflict Resolution 10(1): 41-64.
40. Wilkenfeld, Jonathan. 1968. "Domestic and Foreign Conflict Behavior of Nations." Journal of Peace Research 5(1): 56-69.
41. Zorn, Christopher J. W. 1998. "An Analytic and Empirical Examination of Zero-Inflated and Hurdle Poisson Specifications." Sociological Methods and Research 26(3): 368-400.