AGCM simulations of intraseasonal variability associated with the Asian summer monsoon

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 21, Issue 5-6, 2003, Pages 423-446

  Waliser, D E ^a   Jin, K ^b   Kang, I S ^b   Stern, W F ^c   Schubert, S D ^d   Wu, M L C ^d   Lau, K M ^d   Lee, M I ^b   Krishnamurthy, V ^e   Kitoh, A ^f   Meehl, G A ^g   Galin, V Y ^h   Satyan, V ⁱ   Mandke, S K ⁱ   Wu, G ^j   Liu, Y ^j   Park, C K ^k  

^a STONY BROOK UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b Seoul National University   (South Korea)

^c PRINCETON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^d NASA GODDARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER   (United States)

^e CENTER FOR OCEAN LAND ATMOSPHERE STUDIES   (United States)

^f METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Japan)

^g NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

^h INSTITUTE OF NUMERICAL MATHEMATICS   (Russian Federation)

ⁱ INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TROPICAL METEOROLOGY   (India)

^j INSTITUTE OF ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS   (China)

^k National Typhoon Center   (South Korea)

more..

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; MONSOON; RAINFALL; REGIONAL CLIMATE; SEASONAL VARIATION;

ASIA;

EID: 0041554005     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-003-0337-1     Document Type: Article

References (113)

1. AAMWG, CLIVAR US, Lau WKM, Hastenrath S, Kirtman B, Krishnamurti TN, Lukas R, McCreary J, Shukla J, Shuttleworth J, Waliser D, Webster PJ (2001) An Asian-Australian Monsoon Research Prospectus by the Asian-Australian Monsoon Working Group, pp 46
2. Annamalai H, Slingo JM (2001) Active/break cycles: diagnosis of the intraseasonal variability of the Asian summer monsoon. Clim Dyn 18: 85-102
3. Bell GD, Halpert MS, Ropelewski CF, Kousky VE, Douglas AV, Schnell RC, Gelman ME (1999) Climate assessment for 1998. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 80: S1-S48
4. Betts AK (1986) A new convective adjustment scheme. Part I: Observational and theoretical basis. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 112: 677-691
5. Bonan GB (1998) The land surface climatology of the NCAR land surface model (LSM 1.0) coupled to the NCAR Community Climate Model(CCM3). J Climate 11: 1307-1326.
6. Chou M-D, Ridgway W, Yan M-H (1993) One-parameter scaling and exponential-sum fitting for water vapor and CO2 infrared transmission functions. J Atmos Sci 50: 2294-2303.
7. Chou M-D, Suarez MJ (1994) An efficient thermal infrared radiation parameterization for use in general circulation models. NASA Tech Memo 104606, Vol. 3. Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771.
8. Deardorff JW (1978) Efficient prediction of ground surface temperature and moisture, with inclusion of a layer of vegetation. J Geophys Res 83: 1889-1903.
9. Fennessy MJ, Kinter JL, Kirtman B, Marx L, Nigam S, Schneider E, Shukla J, Straus D, Vernekar A, Xue Y, Zhou J (1994) The simulated Indian Monsoon - a Gem sensitivity study. J Clim 7: 33-43
10. Ferranti L, Slingo JM, Palmer TN, Hoskins BJ (1997) Relations between interannual and intraseasonal monsoon variability as diagnosed from AMIP integrations. Q J R Meteorol Soc 123: 1323-1357
11. Flatau M, Flatau PJ, Phoebus P, Niller PP (1997) The feedback between equatorial convection and local radiative and evaporative processes: the implications for intraseasonal oscillations. J Atmos Sci 54: 2373-2386
12. Fu X, Wang B, Li T (2002) Impacts of air-sea coupling on the simulation of mean Asian summer monsoon in the ECHAM4 Model. Mon Weather Rev 130: 2889-2904
13. Gadgil S, Asha G (1992) Intraseasonal variation of the summer monsoon. 1. Observational aspects. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 70: 517-527
14. Gordon CT (1992) Comparison of 30 day integrations with and without cloud-radiation interaction. Mon Wea Rev 120: 1244-1277
15. Goswami BN (1998) Interannual variations of Indian summer monsoon in a GCM: External conditions versus internal feedbacks. J Clim 11: 501-522
16. Gregory D, Rowntree PR (1990) A mass flux convection scheme with representation of cloud ensemble characteristics and stability dependent closure. Mon Wea Rev 118: 1483-1506
17. Gualdi S, Navarra A, Tinarelli G (1999) The interannual variability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in an ensemble of GCM simulations. Clim Dyn 15: 643-658
18. Harshvardhan R Davies, Randall DA, Corsetti TG (1987) A fast radiation parameterization for general circulation models. J Geophys Res 92: 1009-1016
19. Hastenrath S, Greischar L (1993) Changing predictability of Indian monsoon rainfall anomalies. Proc Indian Acad Sci-Earth Planet Sci 102: 35-47
20. Hayashi Y, Golder DG (1997) United mechanisms for the generation of low- and high-frequency tropical waves.2. Theoretical interpretations. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 75: 775-797
21. Hendon HH, Salby ML (1994) The life-cycle of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, J Atmos Sci 51: 2225-2237
22. Hendon HH, Zhang CD, Glick JD (1999) Interannual variation of the Madden-Julian oscillation during austral summer. J Clim 12: 2538-2550
23. Higgins RW, Shi W (2001) Intercomparison of the principal modes of interannual and intraseasonal variability of the North American monsoon system. J Clim 14: 403-417
24. Hou Y-T (1990) Cloud-Radiation-Dynamics Interaction. Ph.D. Thesis, University of Maryland at College Park, 209 pp
25. Ingram WJ, Wood Ward S, Edward J (1996) Radiation. Unified model documentation paper no. 23
26. Jones C, Schemm JKE (2000) The influence of intraseasonal variations on medium- to extended-range weather forecasts over South America. Mon Weather Rev 128: 486-494
27. Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Zhu Y, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo KC, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Leetmaa A, Reynolds R, Jenne R, Joseph D (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77: 437-471
28. Kang I, An S, Joung C, Yoon S, Lee S (1989) 30-60 day oscillation appearing in climatological variation of outgoing longwave radiation around East Asia during summer. J Korean Meteorol Soc 25: 149-160
29. Kang IS, Ho CH, Lim YK, Lau KM (1999) Principal modes of climatological seasonal and intraseasonal variations of the Asian summer monsoon. Mon Weather Rev 127: 322-340
30. Kang IS, Lau KM, Shukla J, Krishnamurthy V, Schubert SD, Waliser DE, Stern WF, Satyan V, Kitoh A, Meehl GA, Kanamitsu M, Galin VY, Kim JK, Sumi A, Wu G, Liu Y (2002a) Intercomparion of GCM simulated anomalies associated with the 1997-98 El Niño. J Clim 15: 2791-2805
31. Kang IS, K. J, Wang B, Lau KM, Shukla J, Schubert SD, Waliser DE, Krishnamurthy V, Stern WF, Satyan V, Kitoh A, Meehl GA, Kanamitsu M, Galin VY, Kim JK, Sumi A, Wu G, Liu Y (2002b) Intercomparison of the climatological variations of Asian summer monsoon precipitation simulated by 10 GCMs. Clim Dyn 19: 383-395
32. Katayama A (1978) Parameterization of the planetary boundary layer in atmospheric general circulation models. Kisyo Kenkyu Note No. 134, Meteorological Society of Japan, 153-200 (in Japanese)
33. Kemball-Cook S, Wang B (2001) Equatorial waves and air-sea interaction in the Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation. J Clim 14: 2923-2942
34. Kemball-Cook S, Wang B, Fu X (2002) Simulation of the ISO in the ECHAM4 model: the impact of coupling with an ocean model. J Atmos Sci 59: 1433-1453
35. Kiehl JT (1994) On the Observed near cancellation between longwave and shortwave cloud forcing in tropical regions. Journal of Climate Vol. 7, No. 4, pp. 559-565
36. Kiehl JT, Hack JJ, Bonan G, Boville B, Williamson D, Rasch P (1998) The National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate Model (CCM3). J Climate 11: 1131-1149
37. Kitoh A, Yamazaki K, Tokioka T (1988) Influence of soil moisture and surface albedo changes over the African tropical rain forest on summer climate investigated with the MRI GCM-I. J Meteor Soc Japan 66: 65-86
38. Krishnamurthy V, Shukla J (2000) Intraseasonal and interannual variability of rainfall over India. J Clim 13: 4366-4377
39. Krishnamurti TN, Subramaniam M, Daughenbaugh G, Oosterhof D, Xue JH (1992) One-month forecasts of wet and dry spells of the monsoon. Mon Weather Rev 120: 1191-1223
40. Kumar KK, Rajagopalan B, Cane MA (1999) On the weakening relationship between the Indian monsoon and ENSO. Science 284: 2156-2159
41. Lacis AA, Hansen JE (1974) A parameterization for the absorption of solar radiation in the Earth's atmosphere. J Atmos Sci 31: 118-133
42. Lal M, Cubasch U, Perlwitz J, Waszkewitz J (1997) Simulation of the Indian monsoon climatology in ECHAM3 climate model: sensitivity to horizontal resolution. Int J Climatol 17: 847-858
43. Lau KM, Chan PH (1986) Aspects of the 40-50 day oscillation during the northern summer as inferred from outgoing longwave radiation. Mon Weather Rev 114: 1354-1367
44. Lau KM, Chan PH (1988) Intraseasonal and interannual variations or tropical convection - a possible link between the 40-50 day oscillation and Enso. J Atmos Sci 45: 506-521
45. Lau KM, Yang GJ, Shen SH (1988) Seasonal and intraseasonal climatology of summer monsoon rainfall over East-Asia. Mon Weather Rev 116: 18-37
46. Lawrence DM, Webster PJ (2001) Interannual variations of the intraseasonal oscillation in the south Asian summer monsoon region. J Clim 14: 2910-2922
47. Le Treut H, Li Z-X (1991) Sensitivity of an atmospheric general circulation model to prescribed SST changes: feedback effects associated with the simulation of cloud optical properties. Clim Dynam 5: 175-187
48. Liang XZ, Samel AN, Wang WC (1995) Observed and Gem simulated decadal variability of monsoon rainfall in East China. Clim Dyn 11: 103-114
49. Liu YM, Chan JCL, Mao JY, Wu GX (2002) The role of Bay of Bengal convection in the onset of the 1998 South China Sea summer monsoon. Mon Weather Rev (in press)
50. Lo F, Hendon HH (2000) Empirical extended-range prediction of the Madden-Julian oscillation. Mon Weather Rev 128: 2528-2543
51. Lucas LE, Waliser DE, Xie P, Janowiak JE, Liebmann B (2001) Estimating the satellite equatorial crossing time biases in the daily, global outgoing longwave radiation dataset. J Clim 14: 2583-2605
52. Madden RA, Julian PR (1994) Observations of the 40-50-day tropical oscillation - a review. Mon Weather Rev 122: 814-837
53. Maloney ED, Hartmann DL (2000) Modulation of eastern North Pacific hurricanes by the Madden-Julian oscillation. J Clim 13: 1451-1460
54. Manabe S, Smagorinsky J, Strickler RF (1965) Simulated climatology of a general circulation model with a hydrologic cycle. Mon Wea Rev 93: 769-798
55. Martin GM (1999) The simulation of the Asian summer monsoon, and its sensitivity to horizontal resolution, in the UK Meteorological Office Unified Model. Q J R Meteorol Soc 125: 1499-1525
56. McPhaden MJ (1999) Climate oscillations - genesis and evolution of the 1997-98 El Nino. Science 283: 950-954
57. Mo KC (2000a) The association between intraseasonal oscillations and tropical storms in the Atlantic basin. Mon Weather Rev 128: 4097-4107
58. Mo KC (2000b) Intraseasonal modulation of summer precipitation over North America. Mon Weather Rev 128: 1490-1505
59. Mo KC (2001) Adaptive filtering and prediction of intraseasonal oscillations. Mon Weather Rev 129: 802-817
60. Mo KC, Higgins RW (1998) The Pacific-South American modes and tropical convection during the Southern Hemisphere winter. Mon Weather Rev 126: 1581-1596
61. Moorthi S, Suarez MJ (1992) Relaxed Arakawa-Schubert: A parameterization of moist convection for general circulation models. Mon Wea Rev 120: 978-1002
62. Murakami T, Chen LX, Xie A, Shrestha ML (1986) Eastward propagation of 30-60 day perturbations as revealed from outgoing longwave radiation data. J Atmos Sci 43: 961-971
63. Nakajima T, Tanaka M (1986) Matrix formulation for the transter of solar radiation in a plane-parallel scattering atmosphere. J Quant Spectrosc Radiat Transfer 35: 13-21
64. Nakazawa T (1992) Seasonal phase lock of intraseasonal variation during the Asian summer monsoon. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 70: 257-273
65. NoguesPaegle J, Mo KC (1997) Alternating wet and dry conditions over South America during summer. Mon Weather Rev 125: 279-291
66. Paegle JN, Byerle LA, Mo KC (2000) Intraseasonal modulation of South American summer precipitation. Mon Weather Rev 128: 837-850
67. Parthasarathy B, Kumar KR, Deshpande VR (1991) Indian-summer monsoon rainfall and 200-Mbar meridional wind index - application for long-range prediction. Int J Climatol 11: 165-176
68. Preisendorfer RW, Zwiers EW, Barnett TP (1981) Foundations of principal component selection rules. Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Rep 81-7, La Jolla, CA, pp 200
69. Ramesh KJ, Iyengar GR (1999) Characteristics of medium range rainfall forecasts of the Asian summer monsoon. Int J Climatol 19: 627-637
70. Reynolds RW, Smith TM (1994) Improved global sea-surface temperature analyses using optimum interpolation. J Clim 7: 929-948
71. Richman MB (1986) Rotation of principal components. J Clim 6: 293-335
72. Richman MB, Easterling WE (1988) Procrustes target analysis - a multivariate tool for identification of climate fluctuations. J Geophys Res-Atmos 93: 10,989-11,003
73. Schemm J -K, Schubert S, Terry J, Bloom S, Sud Y (1992) Estimates of monthly mean soil moisture for 1979-89, NASA Tech. Memo. No. 104571, Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771
74. Schwarzkopf MD, Fels SB (1991) The simplified exchange method revisited: An accurate, rapid method for computation of infrared cooling rates and fluxes. J Geophys Res 96: 9075-9096
75. Shi GY (1981) An accurate calculation and the infrared transmission function of the atmospheric constituents. Ph.D. Thesis, Dept. of Sci., Tohoku University of Japan. pp. 191
76. Shibata K, Aoki T (1989) An infrared radiative scheme for the numerical models of weather and climate. J Geophys Res 94: 14923-14943
77. Slingo A, Wilderspin RC (1986) Development of a revised longwave radiation scheme for an atmospheric general circulation model. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 112: 371-386
78. Slingo A (1989) A GCM parameterization for the shortwave radiative properties of water clouds. J Atmos Sci 46: 1419-1427
79. Slingo JM, Ritter B (1985) Cloud prediction in the ECMWF model. ECMWF Tech. Report No. 46, European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, England, 48pp
80. Slingo JM (1987) The development and verification of a cloud prediction model for the ECMWF model. Quart. J Roy Meteor Soc 13: 899-927
81. Slingo JM, Sperber KR, Boyle JS, Ceron JP, Dix M, Dugas B, Ebisuzaki W, Fyfe J, Gregory D, Gueremy JF, Hack J, Harzallah A, Inness P, Kitoh A, Lau WKM, McAvaney B, Madden R, Matthews A, Palmer TN, Park CK, Randall D, Renno N (1996) Intraseasonal oscillations in 15 atmospheric general circulation models: results from an AMIP diagnostic subproject. Clim Dyn 12: 325-357
82. Slingo JM, Rowell DP, Sperber KR, Nortley E (1999) On the predictability of the interannual behaviour of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its relationship with El Nino. Q J R Meteorol Soc 125: 583-609
83. Smith RNB (1990a) Subsurface, surface and boundary layer processes. Unified Model Doc. Paper 24, Available at Nat. Met. Lib., Bracknell
84. Smith RNB (1990b) A scheme for predicting layer clouds and their water content in a General Circulation Model. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 116: 435-460
85. Soman MK, Slingo J (1997) Sensitivity of the Asian summer monsoon to aspects of sea-surface-temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Q J R Meteorol Soc 123: 309-336
86. Sperber KR, Palmer TN (1996) Interannual tropical rainfall variability in general circulation model simulations associated with the atmospheric model intercomparison project. J Clim 9: 2727-2750
87. Sperber KR, Slingo JM, Inness PM, Lau WKM (1997) On the maintenance and initiation of the intraseasonal oscillation in the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and in the GLA and UKMO AMIP simulations. Clim Dyn 13: 769-795
88. Sperber KR, Slingo JM, Annamalai H (2000) Predictability and the relationship between subseasonal and interannual variability during the Asian summer monsoon. Q J R Meteorol Soc 126: 2545-2574
89. Sperber KR, Brankovic C, Deque M, Frederiksen CS, Graham R, Kitoh A, Kobayashi C, Palmer T, Puri K, Tennant W, Volodin E (2001) Dynamical seasonal predictability of the Asian summer monsoon. Mon Weather Rev 129: 2226-2248
90. Sud YC, Walker GK (1992) A review of recent research on improvement of physical parameterizations in the GLA GCM. In Physical Processes in Atmospheric Models, D.R. Sikka and S.S. Singh (eds.). Wiley Eastern Ltd., New Delhi, 422-479
91. Tokioka T, Yamazaki K, Yagai I, Kitoh A (1984) A description of the Meteorological Research Institute atmospheric general circulation model (MRI GCM-I). MRI Tech. Report No. 13, Meteorological Research Institute, Ibaraki-ken, Japan, 249 pp
92. Tokioka T, Yamazaki K, Kitoh A, Ose T (1988) The equatorial 30-60 day oscillation and the Arakawa-Schubert penetrative cumulus parameterization. J Meteor Soc Japan 66: 883-901
93. Volodin EM, Lykossov VN (1998) Parameterization of heat and moisture transfer in the soil-vegetation system for use in atmospheric general circulation models: 1. Formulation and simulations based on local observational data. Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics 34: 405-416 (Translated from Izvestiya AN. Fizika Atmosfery i Okeana)
94. Waliser DE, Graham NE, Gautier C (1993) Comparison of the highly reflective cloud and outgoing longwave radiation datasets for use in estimating tropical deep convection. J Clim 6: 331-353
95. Waliser DE, Lau KM, Kim JH (1999a) The influence of coupled sea surface temperatures on the Madden-Julian oscillation: a model perturbation experiment. J Atmos Sci 56: 333-358
96. Waliser DE, Jones C, Schemm JKE, Graham NE (1999b) A statistical extended-range tropical forecast model based on the slow evolution of the Madden-Julian oscillation. J Clim 12: 1918-1939
97. Waliser D, Zhang Z, Lau KM, Kim JH (2001) Interannual sea surface temperature variability and the predictability of tropical intraseasonal variability. J Atmos Sci 58: 2595-2614
98. Waliser DE, Lau KM, Stern W, Jones C (2003a) Potential predictability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 84: 33-50
99. Waliser DE, Stern W, Schubert S, Lau KM (2003b) Dynamic Predicts of Intraseasonal Variability Associated with the Asien Summer Monsoon. Quart Royal Meteor Soc: in press
100. Wang B, Rui H (1990) Synoptic climatology of transient tropical intraseasonal convection anomalies - 1975-1985. Meteorol Atmos Phys 44: 43-61
101. Wang B, Xu XH (1997) Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon singularities and climatological intraseasonal oscillation. J Clim 10: 1071-1085
102. Wang B, Xie XS (1997) A model for the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation. J Atmos Sci 54: 72-86
103. Wang B, Kang I.-S., Lee J.-Y. (2003) Asian-Australien Monsoon Variability During 1997-1998 El Nino Simulated by Eleven AGCMs. Clim Dyn: in press
104. Webster PJ, Magana VO, Palmer TN, Shukla J, Tomas RA, Yanai M, Yasunari T (1998) Monsoons: processes, predictability, and the prospects for prediction. J Geophys Res-Oceans 103: 14,451-14,510
105. Wheeler M, Weickmann KM (2001) Real-time monitoring and prediction of modes of coherent synoptic to intraseasonal tropical variability. Mon Weather Rev 129: 2677-2694
106. Wu GX, Zhang YS (1998) Tibetan Plateau forcing and the timing of the monsoon onset over South Asia and the South China Sea. Mon Weather Rev 126: 913-927
107. Wu MLC, Schubert S, Kang IS, Waliser DE (2002) Forced and free intra-seasonal variability over the South Asian Monsoon region simulated by 10 AGCMs. J Clim 15: 2862-2880
108. Xie PP, Arkin PA (1997) Global precipitation: a 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 78: 2539-2558
109. Xue Y-K, Sellers PJ, Kinter II JL, Shukla J (1991) A simplified biosphere model for global climate studies. J Climate 4: 345-364
110. Yasunari T (1979) Cloudiness fluctuations associated with the Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 57: 227-242
111. Yasunari T (1980) A quasi-stationary appearance of the 30-40 day period in the cloudiness fluctuations during the summer monsoon over India. J Metorol Soc Jpn 59: 336-354
112. Zachary A, Randall D (1999) Sensitivity of the simulated Asian summer monsoon to parameterized physical processes. J Geophys Res 104: 12,177-12,191
113. Zhang GJ, McFarlane NA (1995) Sensitivity of climate simulations to the parameterization of cumulus convection in the Canadian Climate Centre general circulation model. Atmos-Ocean 33: 407-446